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Evan Manvel

@evanmanvel.bsky.social
1.4K followers 616 following 482 posts

Lover of walking and biking, the Northwest, thoughtful policy, parking reform, climate action, and gueuze. Dad. Opinions are my own.

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Reposted by Evan Manvel
Aimee @aimeenvironment.bsky.social · 17h
Soooo, can we all agree that every time we see “billionaire” we replace it with “hoarder”?
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Richard Waite @waiterich.bsky.social · 10h
Interviewer: can you explain this gap in your resume? Climate professional: look, that is insignificant compared to the large and growing gap between our total emissions and the level of emissions consistent with achieving the goals of the Paris Agreement
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Rachel Maddow @maddow.bsky.social · 11h
Harris County TX. He's hospitalized: "ICE claimed the man ran in front of the agents' vehicle and was struck. However, the surveillance video appears to show the SUV veering left through empty parking spaces before running the man over..." abc7.com/story/ice-ru...
abc7.com
ICE agent strikes man with car during pursuit in Texas, authorities say: VIDEO
Surveillance video shows the moment an unmarked SUV carrying ICE agents ran over a man during a pursuit at a shopping center in Texas.
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Liz - High and Inside @lizzierie.bsky.social · 10/10/2026
Schwarbs being a transit guy is elite stuff
Screenshot of Kyle Schwarber’s instagram story of him on a septa train and text reads

Top 5 Reasons
Riding SEPTA is a Pro Move
Phillies
1. It's $2.90
2. No traffic
3. No parking
4. Center City to South Philly in 11 minutes
5. Kids ride free
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Jake Grumbach @jakemgrumbach.bsky.social · 09/10/2026
New working paper: the Norwegian wealth tax was a huge success. The "exodus" of wealthy people never happened (less than 100 individuals left). Tax revenue increased by 71.5%. No changes in business activity or investment. www.nber.org/papers/w35854
Taxing Entrepreneurial Wealth: Evidence from
Norway, 2021-2025
Marius A. K. Ring
WORKING PAPER 35854|
DOl 10.3386/w35854
ISSUE DATE October 2026
Whether imposing higher taxes on business owners adversely affects business activity by constraining investment and inducing capitalist flight is a central question in the ongoing debate on how to tax the ultra wealthy. To shed new light, I exploit a series of related Norwegian reforms during 2021-2024 that increased dividend tax rates, removed migration-related capital gains tax loopholes, and nearly doubled the effective marginal tax rate on business wealth. These reforms spurred international debate and, allegedly, an "exodus" of Norwegian billionaires (Financial Times,
2023). While I document clear effects on migration, these responses are concentrated among the top 0.1% of the wealth distribution and mostly confined to 2022 and 2023. My results indicate that at most 100 individuals left due to the reforms. I find no evidence of significant outmigration or reduced inflows of startup founders or inventors. I estimate that absent any outmigration, wealth tax revenues would have increased by 75% from 2021 to 2024. Reform-driven outmigration lowers the revenue gain to 71.5%. My findings further show that outmigrating owners' firms remain economically active and do not reduce investment. In a broader set of analyses, I examine whether business outcomes are affected, regardless of whether owners outmigrate, since firms may reduce investment both due to liquidity constraints or distortions to owners' savings decisions. I compare firms owned by Norwegian individuals subject to the wealth tax with firms owned by foreigners and other tax-exempt entities. By merging historical ownership data from Orbis with the Norwegian shareholder register, I perform these analyses on both Norwegian and foreign-domiciled firms.
Across settings, I find no evidence that Norwegian-owned firms pay out more dividends or invest less after the reforms,…
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David Ho @davidho.bsky.social · 10/10/2026
Dude!
theguardian.com
Climate crisis is coming to crush many of world’s best surf breaks, study warns
Changing tide levels, shifting sands and hardened shorelines put waves at risk, affecting more than just surfers
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James Medlock @jdcmedlock.bsky.social · 09/10/2026
I'm taking my "Norway's wealth tax didn't reduce tax revenue" victory lap.
Whether imposing higher taxes on business owners adversely affects business activity by constraining investment and inducing capitalist flight is a central question in the ongoing debate on how to tax the ultra wealthy. To shed new light, I exploit a series of related Norwegian reforms during 2021–2024 that increased dividend tax rates, removed migration-related capital gains tax loopholes, and nearly doubled the effective marginal tax rate on business wealth. These reforms spurred international debate and, allegedly, an “exodus” of Norwegian billionaires (Financial Times, 2023). While I document clear effects on migration, these responses are concentrated among the top 0.1% of the wealth distribution and mostly confined to 2022 and 2023. My results indicate that at most 100 individuals left due to the reforms. I find no evidence of significant outmigration or reduced inflows of startup founders or inventors. I estimate that absent any outmigration, wealth tax revenues would have increased by 75% from 2021 to 2024. Reform-driven outmigration lowers the revenue gain to 71.5%. My findings further show that outmigrating owners’ firms remain economically active and do not reduce investment. In a broader set of analyses, I examine whether business outcomes are affected, regardless of whether owners outmigrate, since firms may reduce investment both due to liquidity constraints or distortions to owners’ savings decisions. I compare firms owned by Norwegian individuals subject to the wealth tax with firms owned by foreigners and other tax-exempt entities. By merging historical ownership data from Orbis with the Norwegian shareholder register, I perform these analyses on both Norwegian and foreign-domiciled firms. Across settings, I find no evidence that Norwegian-owned firms pay out more dividends or invest less after the reforms, nor is there any evidence that the reform induced more bankruptcies. ...
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Chris Geidner @chrisgeidner.bsky.social · 09/10/2026
WTF. Even I am just seeing this now.
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iain @maccoinnich.bsky.social · 09/10/2026
When I first saw a draft of Vancouver’s new zoning code, I had to email the staff working on it to confirm that I wasn’t misinterpreting what I was reading
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Seattle Department of Transportation @transportation.seattle.gov · 01/10/2026
Halloween is coming. You don’t have to go to a “trunk-or-treat” event in Seattle! You can close your neighborhood street to through-traffic – for free! Trick-or-Streets permits are free and easy to get. Join here: seattle.gov/transportation/trick-or-streets
The ancient two-panel Drake meme. On the top, he's looking away in disgust and holding his hand up. The text next to it says "Truck-or-treat". On the bottom, he looks pleased and is pointing toward text that says "Close your street".
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Cannonball Adderall @echoloop.bsky.social · 08/10/2026
All this talk about paying off debts without a paper trail reminds me we still have no idea what went on here
gq.com
Where Did Brett Kavanaugh's Tens of Thousands of Dollars in Credit Card Debt Go?
Kavanaugh spent between $60,000 and $200,000 on baseball tickets, and it was all paid off just last year.
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Jane Natoli 🥑🚲🍍 @wafoli.bsky.social · 07/10/2026
Good. Too often we give pablum about getting people to take alternative methods other than driving, but the number one way we do that is appropriately cost options. If you keep parking free or cheap, people will avail themselves of it. They are acting rationally unless you change the equation
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Portland Mercury @portlandmercury.com · 08/10/2026
Dan Ryan is under a court order not to delete messages from his personal phone, which may contain public records. In court documents, Ryan said he no longer has the phone he's been using, because his spouse traded it in the same day a judge barred him from deleting records. He says nothing was lost.
portlandmercury.com
Councilor Ryan’s Phone is Traded In On the Same Day a Judge Bars Him from Deleting Messages - Portland Mercury
A Multnomah County judge granted a temporary restraining order October 1, barring District 2 City Councilor Dan Ryan from deleting messages held on his private cell phone and other devices. The restra...
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Emily Hamilton @ebwhamilton.bsky.social · 07/10/2026
TIL Thomas Jefferson wrote the Declaration of Independence from a short-term rental founders.archives.gov/documents/Je...
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iain @maccoinnich.bsky.social · 07/10/2026
Oregon can’t control federal immigration policy, but it could change its occupational licensing laws so that immigrants who were educated in other countries can work here in the fields in which they were trained.
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Bromptonymous 🇨🇦 @bromptonymous.ca · 06/10/2026
Paraphrasing but… “You can point to the cities and say ‘oh look at those problems’ but cities are holding a lot of the people that the rest of the country refused to take care of”. Wow.
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Hyperlexic @hyperlexic.bsky.social · 06/10/2026
ie, don’t follow San Francisco.
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20's Plenty for Us @20splenty.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
What's happening here? Maybe something changed part way through 2023 on urban/residential 30mph roads! I wonder if it could be that from Sep 17th 2023 95% of roads with a 30mph limit were changed to 20mph. #20splenty making your place an even better, safer, quieter, fairer place to be!
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Ryan Packer @typewriteralley.bsky.social · 06/10/2026
The Shoreline City Council is getting a report right now that showed that 27% of city residents have used bike or scooter share in the city and that 53% have a negative view of the program. Non-users "top concern" was safety, yet the city has reported no crashes during Lime's pilot period.
Slide showing 383 respondents and the results of a survey as described
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Secretary of Defense Rock @sodrock.bsky.social · 04/10/2026
Every single one of these stories is like this and it pisses me off to no end
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David Stott @davstott.bsky.social · 04/10/2026
Spot of drive-by ornithology from the cargo bike
Two kids in the box of a triporteur / bakfiet / ladcyklen / cargo bike. In the woods. They've got a field guide to birds open at the page with jays
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Tony Jordan @tonyjordan.bsky.social · 03/10/2026
Never forget when Shoup taught us that the value of parking spaces in the USA is likely more than the value of all the roads and all the cars that drive on them.
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James Fallows @jfallows.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
Somehow not everyone is aware of fact alluded to below. So one more time: John Roberts, Brett Kavanaugh, Amy Coney Barrett were all on GWBush 2000 'Florida Recount' team. (Which made GWB first prez in 112 yrs to 'win' after losing popular vote. Now they 'impartially' rule on our future.)
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US Political Politics News 💙🌈🦋The Fighting Liberal @us-political-news.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
Trump Rigs America.gov AI Chatbot After It Keeps Correcting His Lies Trump officials seem to have realized their AI chatbot was fact-checking the president’s biggest lies. ...
newrepublic.com
Trump Reprograms Government AI Chatbot to Stop Fact-Checking His Lies
Trump officials seem to have realized their AI chatbot was correcting the president’s biggest lies.
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Emily Hamilton @ebwhamilton.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
I have a new policy brief out on zoning for manufactured housing. I think that laws that are already on the books protecting manufactured housing as an option are somewhat under the radar: www.mercatus.org/research/pol...
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James McLeod @jamespmcleod.ca · 30/09/2026
As the article notes, it's pretty wild that the U.S. tourism numbers are crashing like this in a year when they literally hosted the World Cup. www.semafor.com/article/09/2...
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Seth Cotlar @sethcotlar.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
Some important news that you’ll never see in the lamestream media. This is a real fundraising email I received today.
Donald J. Trump
To: Seth Cotlar >
Reply To: Donald J. Trump
In my meeting with Elon Musk, Seth came up!
5:10 PM
We're so back - Elon Musk came to the White House for a very important meeting!
What was the topic of discussion?We talked for hours, figuring out the key to saving the MAGA movement. We went through every possibility, looking far and wide for answers.
Once we figured it out, I began typing this email out to you.
You're not going to believe this...
The key to saving the MAGA
Movement is Seth!
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Ryan Packer @typewriteralley.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
1,100 riders is definitely really low, now to take a big swig of coffee and open up the Everett Link DEIS
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Pocket News 📰 @jeanpocket.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
Today before Senate.
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Gordon Padelford @gordonofseattle.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
Seattleites are most concerned about traffic safety because we all experience it regularly: narrowly missing getting hit while walking in a crosswalk, seeing people using center turn lanes as their personal speedway, etc. Most people also know someone who has died or been seriously injured:
Info graphic showing most people will know 6 people who die in a car crash and 28 who have major injuries
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Molly Knight @mollyknight.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
Yeah. That’s exactly what happened.
After the hearing, Schmitt insisted he'd gotten nothing wrong, but he seemed less sure Smith had committed perjury.
"I don't know if Jack Smith's lying or not. It was the only game - Atlanta was the only NBA game or men's college basketball game that night at 7:30,
Schmitt told HuffPost.
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Drew McKevitt @drewmckevitt.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
It's a bit of a bummer that the story today has been "look at this absolute doofus of a senator" and not "Jack Smith once again credibly accuses the president of many serious crimes"
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Evan Manvel @evanmanvel.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
While I'm fearful of AI, it's got to be in part because of how bad Microsoft products are at doing simple things at understanding my list numbering and formatting. The programs are simultaneously really, really dumb and pretend to be really, really smart.
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Parking Reform Network @parkingreform.org · 18/09/2026
A $250K parking space is more than a curiosity it’s a window into how parking, housing, infrastructure + climate are connected. 🎙️ New PRN podcast with Tushar Kansal of Pew. 🏙️ See him at The Urban Climate Solution during Climate Week NYC: www.urbanclimatesolution.org #ParkingReform #ClimateWeekNYC
This week with PRN featuring Tushar Kansal of Pew
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Jared Yates Sexton @jysexton.bsky.social · 26/09/2026
Just helping with editing here. These bots aren’t sentient. They’re doing what they’re programmed to do. OpenAI, a private company supposedly bound by laws, committed federal crimes.
Screenshot of BBC article: OpenAI bots (struck through) meddled with multiple US government agency sites
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Robert Reich @rbreich.bsky.social · 26/09/2026
On this day in 1994, the Clinton administration's heathcare reform plan was declared "dead" by Congress. Over 30 years later, the US is still the only industrialized country without universal healthcare. This should be a national outrage.
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Marcel Moran @marcelmoran.com · 26/09/2026
Mamdani and Grégoire talking School Streets! www.nytimes.com/2026/09/26/n...
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Will Oremus @willoremus.com · 26/09/2026
Meta's platforms have repeatedly been caught running ads for deepfake "nudify" apps that let you virtually undress real people without their consent, but they won't run an a trailer for an upcoming documentary that reflects poorly on Elon Musk. www.hollywoodreporter.com/business/dig...
hollywoodreporter.com
The Major Social Media Platforms Are All Rejecting Paid Ads for Alex Gibney’s ‘Musk’ (Exclusive)
YouTube, TikTok and Meta have all turned down the trailer for the Oct. 9 doc, citing “political” content. X won't even take Bleecker Street's calls. The distributor is appealing.
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Ariel Edwards-Levy @aedwardslevy.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
STOP QUOTE TWEETING THE POLL ACCOUNTS THAT NEVER LINK BACK TO THE POLLS THEY'RE MENTIONING thank you
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Michael Andersen @andersem.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
Some WSJ headline writer is apparently tired of tenants winning, but the reporting is fine: Haddox’s new place didn’t require months of paperwork or administrative bottlenecks. She applied and moved within a week. “This was way easier because the market had gone down.” www.wsj.com/real-estate/...
wsj.com
Portland Real Estate Is Such a Mess That All Housing Is Affordable Housing
Rarely has the Oregon city seen such a narrow price gap between market-rate and affordable units.
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Ryan Packer @typewriteralley.bsky.social · 26/09/2026
Among the reasons to get up early on a Saturday, trains are pretty close to the top of the list
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ryan cooper @ryanlcooper.com · 26/09/2026
great piece. man social media is a cancer themomoftheyear.substack.com/p/im-the-mom...
themomoftheyear.substack.com
I’m the Mom in That Viral Giants Clip. Let Me Tell You About My Husband.
You saw me carrying our baby and food. There was more happening in our family that night.
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🌬Breeze @cool-summer-breeze.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
This is the Stolen Neighbors Quilt. Each of the 11,000 squares represents a person taken by ICE in Minnesota.
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rm [-r] lininger @0xdaeda1a.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
“Without the threat of giant SUVs and pickups running over their children, people were beginning to feel too safe and started taking their families to hang out here more often—it was getting out of hand, especially with the lovely Waterfront nearby.”
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Kelli Refer @kellireef.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
Hot take: Fall biking > Summer biking! For every like, I will share a reason why. Let’s Go!
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Evan Manvel @evanmanvel.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
Interesting research, as always, from Sightline.
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Your Internet Friend Tom Tomorrow @tomtomorrow.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
tapping the sign, er, cartoon www.dailykos.com/stories/2026...
dailykos.com
Large language muddle
A cartoon by Tom Tomorrow.
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Chuck Slothower @chuckslothower.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
Interesting point from Harvard's Joint Center for Housing Studies.
"Rising losses of older households will likely mean that less new construction will be needed to accommodate new households than in years past, but only if the units given up by older households are smoothly returned to the stock, rather than lost to obsolescence or in need of significant rehabilitation. As such, managing the growing number of vacated units will be a concern for both the public and private sectors in the decades ahead, with major implications for neighborhoods and markets, home prices, rents, and housing affordability more broadly."
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Tara Goddard @drtaragoddard.com · 24/09/2026
This is a good illustration of why "distracted" is a bit of a euphemism. Distraction means you aren't paying your full attention. But we lose all situational awareness when scrolling our phones, and we know from studies of pilots, it doesn't come back that quickly even in an emergency.
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Evan Manvel @evanmanvel.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
One of my biggest annoyances with talk about AI, including the term AI itself rather than large language models or other such terms…
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