iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

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Big Data Kane @cmwitko.bsky.social · 25/09/2026

New paper with @mjnelson.bsky.social Affluent + highly educated are more knowledgeable about state policies. Issue publics reduce knowledge disparities for some groups (LGBT on LGBT issues, women on abortion), but these disparities remain within issue publics. www.cambridge.org/core/journal...

cambridge.org

Can Issue Publics Overcome Inequalities in State Policy Knowledge? | State Politics & Policy Quarterly | Cambridge Core

Can Issue Publics Overcome Inequalities in State Policy Knowledge?

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Cambridge University Press Political Science & IR @cambup-polsci.cambridge.org · 27/09/2026

#OpenAccess from State Politics and Policy Quarterly - Women and Politics Research in State Politics and Policy Quarterly, 2000–2025 - cup.org/4iMGs1f - Tracy Osborn, @brownphdgirl.bsky.social, Guillermo Caballero & Anna Mahoney #FirstView

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John Cluverius @johncluverius.bsky.social · 24/09/2026

New from @umlcpo.bsky.social / @today.yougov.com in Maine: 8/28-9/14 U.S. Senate Jackson 48% Collins 43 Another candidate 1 Undecided 6 Will not vote 1 So much to unpack in this, check it all out via the link for topline, methodology, etc.

uml.edu

Center for Public Opinion Polls | Research

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Frog and Toad Bot @frogandtoadbot.bsky.social · 22/09/2026

“Your windows need scrubbing,” said Frog. “Your plants need watering.” “Tomorrow!” cried Toad. “I will do it all tomorrow!”

Frog, ever the know-it-all, points out all the shortcomings of Toad's housekeeping. It is true, though, that Toad's house is a mighty mess, including a pile of dirty dishes in the sink.

From "Tomorrow"
In *Days with Frog and Toad*

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Dan Bowen @bowendc.bsky.social · 22/09/2026

TCNJ is hiring for a TT position in IR at rank of assistant professor! Pay is good; NJ is (obviously) the best; collegial and friendly department; easy access to Philly/NYC; good students. I'm not on the search committee but very happy to answer questions about TCNJ and the area. Apps due 11/1 👇

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Dan Bowen @bowendc.bsky.social · 18/09/2026

What do voters want from their elected leaders? What causes voters to vote for the party/candidate they do? What causes potential voters to turn out to the polls? What ultimately decides election outcomes between equally-matched parties? These are distinct questions and each have different answers.

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Dan Bowen @bowendc.bsky.social · 18/09/2026

This is right. In fact, this is the mistake of the Biden Admin/Dems. Post 2020, they interpreted Trump's defeat as a repudiation of Trump rather than a "sign of the times" response to a global pandemic. Assuming Dems win again in 26 and 28, they will find voters ready to blame them once in power.

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Ariel Edwards-Levy @aedwardslevy.bsky.social · 17/09/2026

Very excited to visit the Happiest Place on Earth, by which I of course mean the @ropercenter.bsky.social polling archives

A very happy nerd stands amid stacks of boxes filled with polls

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Bethany Albertson @albertsonb2.bsky.social · 16/09/2026

Niche political science primary update - David Redlawsk is up in a big way in Delaware's 23rd district. 62% of the vote, with 22% in.

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E.J. Fagan @ejfagan.com · 14/09/2026

This weekend from @gelliottmorris.com: CBS and The Economist both released polls conducted on YouGov covering a similar period. CBS was D+8 and the Economist was D+11 on the generic ballot. CBS asked the normal generic ballot question. Economist named candidates + parties. Big difference in results

gelliottmorris.com

If Democrats win, one reason will be great recruitment

Plus, Democrats hit +7 in our generic ballot average for the first time this cycle. Your weekly political data roundup for September 13, 2026.

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Jacob T. Levy @jacobtlevy.bsky.social · 12/09/2026

Money that comes into the United States government is government revenue. It is part of the public fisc. There's not "taxpayer money" and then "extra bonus money outside the rules." It's all taxpayer money. And spending *any* of it requires Congressional authorization. 2/

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Josh Zingher @zingherpolisci.bsky.social · 10/09/2026

Republicans used to have a big turnout advantage in Midterms (see 2010 & 2014) because their core supporters were more engaged and likely to show up than the Democrats. Trump chased a bunch of these types of high SES voters out of the party--they're Democrats now. 2/x

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Tobias Wilson-Bates @phdhurtbrain.bsky.social · 08/09/2026

Eliot lowkey foreseeing the vibes of social media

Let us go then, you and I,
When the evening is spread out against the sky
Like a patient etherized upon a table;
Let us go, through certain half-deserted streets,
The muttering retreats
Of restless nights in one-night cheap hotels
And sawdust restaurants with oyster-shells:
Streets that follow like a tedious argument
Of insidious intent

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Annika Barber @annikabarber.bsky.social · 06/09/2026

Agreed to put just the first floor of our house on our neighborhood historic home tour, but already having regretzzzz. But if you're an NJ local who wants to nose into historic Trenton homes, get your tickets. Proceeds benefit HomeWorks Trenton. www.dathil.com/cadwalader/C...

dathil.com

House Tour 2026

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Brendel @brendelbored.bsky.social · 28/08/2026

Welcome to Bluesky. Please familiarize yourself with the following accounts to understand the range of opinions it is acceptable to express

All the Star Trek characters played by Jeffrey Combs

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Anil Dash @anildash.com · 26/08/2026

Meta is a creep who will _never_ take no for an answer, and never stop trying to ignore their lack of consent. Every media & regulatory organization in the world seems determined to ignore this reality; I genuinely don't understand why. Today's settlement is so that Meta can keep violating consent.

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Amanda Bittner @bittner.bsky.social · 13/08/2026

Beyond excited to announce that the newest edition of PUBLIC OPINION, written by Rosalee Clawson, Zoe Oxley, and ME(!!) is available now! This book is filled with lots of cool material geared towards undergrads, super proud! Find the book here: collegepublishing.sagepub.com/products/pub...

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Anne Whitesell @annewhitesell.bsky.social · 12/08/2026

I need help from the bluesky hive mind: I’ve been asked to consult on a law suit and they want to know my hourly rate and retainer fee. So, uh, what should I say? How does one determine such a number?

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Jake Grumbach @jakemgrumbach.bsky.social · 10/08/2026

Many many many people (like half of my students) wanna do DiD with a continuous treatment variable. When I first read the working paper version, I was like "well I can't do much with this knowledge until they provide some code"--but now there's an R package! bcallaway11.github.io/contdid/

bcallaway11.github.io

Difference-in-Differences with a Continuous Treatment

Provides methods for difference-in-differences with a continuous treatment and staggered treatment adoption. Includes estimation of treatment effects and causal responses as a function of the dose, ev...

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Kevin Collins @kwcollins.bsky.social · 04/08/2026

This is impressionistic, but there's both a lot more antisemitism and a lot more anti-Muslim bias since the last time I did this

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T H E VV O R S T @milfparade.bsky.social · 03/08/2026

A few weeks ago I realized that tomorrow is the date the Ray Bradbury story “There Will Come Soft Rains” takes place. It’s a shame science fiction from 75 years ago isn’t relevant anymore

short-stories.co

There Will Come Soft Rains by Ray Bradbury

The voice-clock sang, breakfast was ejected, but no doors slammed. The garage chimed and lifted its door to reveal the waiting car. The house sat alone in a city of rubble and…

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Michael Hankinson @hankinson.bsky.social · 31/07/2026

In Philly, I have seen vague orange signs warning about irresponsible development ("Their Profit. Your Loss!"). The Inquirer traced them to the Carpenters union, working to mobilize residents into zoning meetings. My work w/ Asya Magazinnik & Anna Weissman helps explain their logic.

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Boxscore @boxscore.email · 27/07/2026

Added something new today. I've had several users ask me for an image of a box score that was meaningful to them in some way. Maybe they got engaged at the game, or caught a home run. You can now create an image of your favorite box score. boxscore.email/mlb/art

boxscore.email

Box Score Image Maker — boxscore

Pick any game from MLB history and get its box score as a shareable, printable image.

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Dan Nexon @dhnexon.net · 20/07/2026

I think some history is important here. After HRC lost in 2016, there was a very strong sense among "the establishment" that the party needed to move left.* *I experienced this personally, because all of a sudden I was getting invited to foreign-policy events. 1/x

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Scott Meinke @srmeinke.bsky.social · 15/07/2026

I don't have a very strong opinion about year-round DST, but the time that Congress tried this in the 1970s is pretty interesting . . . 🧵

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Rachel Porter @rachelporter.bsky.social · 14/07/2026

📢 JOB ANNOUNCEMENT 📢 Our department is hiring an Assistant Professor of Quantitative Political Science. We seek a scholar in AP, CP, PE, or IR who applies frontier methods of statistics and data science to substantive questions in their area of expertise. apply.interfolio.com/189477

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Chris Wlezien @cbwlezien.bsky.social · 10/07/2026

Here's a little something that might interest a number of you in my network, part of a forum in the Journal of Public Policy: www.cambridge.org/core/journal.... Many thanks to editor Josh Ryan and the commentators Samuel Bagg, Tara Grillos, Agustin Markarian, and Mary Scudder!

cambridge.org

On policy responsiveness: conditions for effective demand and supply | Journal of Public Policy | Cambridge Core

On policy responsiveness: conditions for effective demand and supply - Volume 46 Issue 2

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Andrew Heiss @andrew.heiss.phd · 08/07/2026

Latest version of Positron can open xlsx files in the data viewer(!) and it has a dropdown menu now for previewing different formats of #QuartoPub documents And—most importantly, but also from a few weeks ago, so less new—the plots panel can pick up dimensions from chunk options!!!! #rstats

An excel file of R's penguins data loaded into the data viewer in Positron

A screenshot of an image set to be 5x3 in the Quarto chunk options, automatically displaying as 5x3 in the plot panel

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Stephen West @stephenwest.bsky.social · 02/07/2026

The image here borrows its title from Grant's 1868 presidential campaign slogan, "Let us have peace." Here's what Frederick Douglass had to say about that sentiment.

In the language of our greatest soldier, twice honored with the Presidency of the nation, “Let us have peace.” Yes, let us have peace, but let us have liberty, law, and justice first. Let us have the Constitution, with its thirteenth, fourteenth, and fifteenth amendments, fairly interpreted, faithfully executed, and cheerfully obeyed in the fullness of their spirit and the completeness of their letter.

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Dan Bowen @bowendc.bsky.social · 24/06/2026

Internecine Democratic Party Bluesky is absolutely the worst Bluesky.

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Dan Bowen @bowendc.bsky.social · 21/06/2026

Pork roll, egg, and cheese on an egg everything bagel = perfect start to Father's Day in New Jersey

A gooey pork roll, egg, and cheese breakfast sandwich on an egg everything bagel.

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JM =^D @jm539581.bsky.social · 20/06/2026

*with sound effects*

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Adam Bonica @adambonica.bsky.social · 18/06/2026

For years I've tracked billionaire excess. Each year I show students a chart that blows their minds. This year I had to redraw it for a trillionaire: Elon Musk, $1.32T. Depressing that we're here. Silver lining: couldn't have happened to a less deserving person, proof that wealth ≠ merit.

stanford.edu

Elon Musk's $1.32 Trillion, to Scale

The first trillionaire's fortune, one pixel per $1,000 — scroll past every dollar, and see what a fraction of it could do instead.

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Yonah Freemark @yonahfreemark.com · 15/06/2026

How has the US added housing supply since 2000? Are conservative places building a lot more than liberal places? In new research, I show that: —Additional homes were disproportionately in high-income, conservative, greenfield areas —BUT infill growth was more likely to be located in liberal areas

tandfonline.com

The Paradox of Housing Supply Growth: Conservative Sprawl and Liberal Infill in the 21st-Century United States

Housing affordability is declining in the United States. To explain this phenomenon, many scholars and policymakers point to slowing construction, which they argue is particularly troublesome in co...

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Zack Furness @punkademic.bsky.social · 08/06/2026

Let’s not be hasty. The Queen of England was almost assassinated this way.

Reggie Jackson attempting an assassination of the British Queen in the film Naked Gun

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Andrew Leahey ⚖️ @esq.social · 05/06/2026

Added BlueSky compatibility to Wallflower. All your Mastodon and BlueSky posts in one (quiet, restrained) place. thewallflower.app

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Christina Wolbrecht @cwolbrecht.bsky.social · 02/06/2026

Mike has written a terrific book about what happened in state legislatures after the imposition of Jim Crow. Data are amazing, analysis is nuanced, and the lessons are important. Check it out!

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Lior Sheffer @liorsheffer.bsky.social · 30/05/2026

New preprint: Jack Lucas, @breunig.eurosky.social and I reanalyze 70,470 assessments made by 12,860 politicians about their constituents' public opinion and demographics, sourced from every available published study of elite perceptual accuracy, and our own original data. /1 osf.io/preprints/ps...

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Dan Bowen @bowendc.bsky.social · 23/05/2026

As a native Iowan who has settled in New Jersey, this is spot-on.

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Leah Rosenstiel @leahrosenstiel.bsky.social · 22/05/2026

Politics by Formula: How Congressional Policymaking Creates Disparities is now out! I show how politics shapes and often distorts important federal programs, driving inequalities across states.

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⭕⭕⭕ Zoë Greene ⭕⭕⭕ @zdgreene.bsky.social · 20/05/2026

A summary of key findings from our recent @strathplacelab.bsky.social & @parliview.bsky.social findings on the use and perceptions of AI for learning about politics in the recent Scottish elections @strathpolir.bsky.social @connectedpol.bsky.social

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Central NJ Yimby 🏗️🚲🚇🇺🇸 @princetonyimby.bsky.social · 20/05/2026

The NJ Bike Walk Coalition is organizing a rally at the statehouse in Trenton this Thursday, May 21, to try to get New Jersey's terrible e-bike law repealed or replaced with something better. Details are here, would be great if we could get a turnout at it... bit.ly/ride-rally

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Dan Bowen @bowendc.bsky.social · 20/05/2026

If members of Congress cannot maintain political support independent of the president, then Congress is not an independent and coequal branch of government.

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Greg Sargent @gregsargent.bsky.social · 18/05/2026

This is insane. The terms of DOJ's slush fund appear to transfer control of $1.8 billion beyond US government entirely. Unless I'm misreading this, that would circumvent Congress *entirely* and put the money outside of *any* constitutional and/or legal constraints ofany kind. Straight up theft.

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Dan Bowen @bowendc.bsky.social · 17/05/2026

I'm seeing a lot of dunking on this; but this type of analysis is useful for several reasons. 1/4

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Kathleen Bachynski @bachynski.bsky.social · 14/05/2026

“He’s dealing with a personal heath condition, and he’ll be back soon,” Mr. Scharfenberger said in an interview. When pressed on the nature of the health condition and why Mr. Kean had not been seen in New Jersey or in Washington, Mr. Scharfenberger said, “There’s no cameras where Tom is.”

nytimes.com

The Mystery of a Congressman’s Absence Deepens

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Eddie Yang @eddieyang.bsky.social · 13/05/2026

New paper in Nature. The more a government controls its domestic media, the more it dominates AI training data, the more pro-regime outputs we get from AI. By scraping the open web, LLMs are unwittingly laundering state-coordinated narratives into seemingly objective answers.

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