Reposted by E.J. FaganDavid S. Bernstein @dbernstein.bsky.social · 4hMaybe not the right analogy to make in a Yankees +9 environment 2459
E.J. Fagan @ejfagan.com · 4hFree policy idea: all major sporting events must be broadcast locally (nationally during the playoffs) over the air. 120
Reposted by E.J. FaganGreg Sargent @gregsargent.bsky.social · 6hI've obtained new data showing that in 3 House districts in South Texas, big majorities of Latinos are swinging hard against Trump on immigration. This is where the "multiracial working-class realignment" behind Trump restrictionism was said to be happening. 3/ newrepublic.com/article/2160... 6683103
E.J. Fagan @ejfagan.com · 14hWe may have to name our upcoming daughter Ben Rice. I don't make the rules. 040
E.J. Fagan @ejfagan.com · 15hSecond political ad is for next year's mayoral race, Alexi Giannoulias against Flock cameras. 000
Reposted by E.J. FaganPassanthallich @passanthalbot.bsky.social · 15h@JeffPassan tweeted The Red Sox pulled Payton Tolle to give Ben Rice a different look. The look Erik Miller gave him was a middle-middle fastball. t.co/sSB4CjDtc6x.comTweet@JeffPassan tweeted The Red Sox pulled Payton Tolle to give Ben Rice a different look. The look Erik Miller gave him was a middle-middle fastball. https://t.co/sSB4CjDtc6 031
E.J. Fagan @ejfagan.com · 16hMy first political ad of the MLB season (Broadcast NBC Chicago) is just composed of clips of Trump saying that he's on the ballot. 001
E.J. Fagan @ejfagan.com · 17hPardon me when I flip into nervous wreck mode because baseball decided that a best of three series is a good idea. 010
Reposted by E.J. FaganJustin Hendrix @justinhendrix.bsky.social · 20hUnited States President Donald Trump issues executive order instructing federal government agencies to "use the terms 'Super Intelligence' and 'SI' in place of 'Artificial Intelligence' and 'AI' and will not acknowledge the usage of 'Artificial Intelligence' and 'AI' in any applicable setting."whitehouse.govInaugurating The Era Of Super IntelligenceBy the authority vested in me as President by the Constitution and the laws of the United States of America, it is hereby ordered: Section 1. Every child deserves a safe and nurturing home where they ... 304483147
Reposted by E.J. Faganferalhyrax.bsky.social @feralhyrax.bsky.social · 19hEagle marriage sounds nice. Live apart, no unwanted contact, fresh caught fish for life. Imagine introducing them at dinner parties... "This is my partner, *high pitched shriek*. Yes...the one perched up on the pergola. We brought the salmon." Great idea from @faineg.com 2297
E.J. Fagan @ejfagan.com · 23hDems need to win PA by around 9 points to flip its Senate (~D+11 nationally). In that situation, they likely also take the state legislatures of WI, MI, AZ and NV Gov. Dems would have the votes to push the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact over the line and eliminate the Electoral College. 1323538
Reposted by E.J. FaganMary Joy @maryjoy.bsky.social · 29/09/2026I am not sure why they are so dark as attachments - they aren't like that on my screen. Ok, turning them into screenshots works. 042
E.J. Fagan @ejfagan.com · 29/09/2026Whoa. Big jump in the @fiftyplusone.news odds of Democrats taking the Senate. The left tails are starting to get fatter too. 051
Reposted by E.J. FaganMichael McDonald @electproject.bsky.social · 29/09/2026#earlyvote morning update 9/29: over half a million people have voted in the 2026 general election 🥳🎉 election.lab.ufl.edu/early-vote/2... 13916
Reposted by E.J. FaganTom Bonier @tbonier.bsky.social · 29/09/2026Last week I took a look at trends in Gen Z voter registration, finding that since Trump took office last January, Dems have made massive gains with young voters across the country. Now I'll update that analysis with some breakdowns by race/ethnicity. 37918
Reposted by E.J. FaganAdam Serwer @adamserwer.bsky.social · 28/09/2026Can you tell texas republicans are not used to competitive races bsky.app/profile/head... 822503405
E.J. Fagan @ejfagan.com · 28/09/2026Internal poll way too high undecided yadayada, but this is also a Trump +20 district. 052
Reposted by E.J. FaganFaine Greenwood @faineg.com · 27/09/2026Let us also remember this social milieu revolving around AI apparently aren’t great at age verification for events, considering a 13 year old claims he was able to get into AI group house parties: bsky.app/profile/fain... 542037
Reposted by E.J. FaganFaine Greenwood @faineg.com · 27/09/2026Let’s also remember that this is the same group of organizers in the Silicon Valley AI scene who are also involved with throwing “consensual non-consent” events - IE, simulated rape. Which whistleblowers like Sonia Joseph have cited as creating a “coercive climate” for female AI researchers. 141125121
Reposted by E.J. FaganPassanthallich @passanthalbot.bsky.social · 27/09/2026@JonHeyman tweeted They finally found a way to prevent Pete from playing 162 081
Reposted by E.J. FaganFaine Greenwood @faineg.com · 27/09/2026Women trying to succeed in Silicon Valley AI and effective altruist spaces are reporting feeling serious social pressure to attend sex parties - where people have reported being sexually assaulted, like below. Events like Aella’s “Slutcon,” which is happening again this weekend. 20643151105
E.J. Fagan @ejfagan.com · 25/09/2026Black are shows that I've seen most or all of. Red is my personal top 10. 010
E.J. Fagan @ejfagan.com · 25/09/2026In the short term, this is really good news for Democrats. If they are D+10 or whatever but less concentrated in blue states, the extra votes come from red states. Places like KS or TX might be more competitive than we think. Gerrymanders might break if the vote redistributes like they did in 2018.natesilver.netThe blue wave is mostly in red states. That's a little weird.Still Counting EP3. Plus some quick thoughts on that NYT poll in Maine. 130
E.J. Fagan @ejfagan.com · 25/09/2026Just a bizarre top end of the list. Parks and Rec at #50, 30 Rock as the best comedy of the 21st century at #8? Fleabag at #5? Game of Thrones at #6? Girls at #13? White Lotus at #21? Black Mirror at #26? And I loved Succession, but #4? 19719010
Reposted by E.J. FaganTaniel @taniel.bsky.social · 24/09/2026The Texas LG talked about private polling at a Texas fundraiser today. He specifically said 2 Texas state senators were in dead heat in GOP polling—both extraordinarily red districts. One district that voted for Trump by 20%, another for Trump by 25%. via quorumreport.com/quorum_repor... 1234570
Reposted by E.J. FaganDavid Wessel @davidmwessel.bsky.social · 24/09/2026New from Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh: The AI build-out is huge and financed with an enormous amount of leverage. Firm revenues will have to continue to growth very rapidly to service all this debt, some of which doesn't show up on hyperscaler balance sheets. www.brookings.edu/wp-content/u... 3289
Reposted by E.J. FaganJonathan Cohn @jonathancohn.bsky.social · 23/09/2026A Hitler-loving attorney representing the Hitler-loving president in a lawsuit accusing a university of antisemitism. Got it. www.bostonglobe.com/2025/09/02/m...bostonglobe.comDOJ lawyer in Harvard case once wrote a paper from Hitler’s perspective - The Boston GlobeMichael Velchik once also told a peer that "Mein Kampf" was among his favorite recent reads. 55422
Reposted by E.J. FaganMike Zaccardi, CFA, CMT @mikezaccardi.bsky.social · 23/09/202630yr yield touched its highest level since June 2004 today.. 5.424% 823561
Reposted by E.J. FaganDanbischof @danbischof.bsky.social · 23/09/2026📄 New working paper w. Alex De Juan, @felixhaass.bsky.social & Henry Thomson: We study Weimar Germany in 1932 to ask whether far right electoral success pacifies extremist movements - or can fuel violence when mandates do not translate into power. osf.io/preprints/so... 14522
Reposted by E.J. FaganGeoboo Song (송거부) @gbsong.bsky.social · 09/09/2026We are hiring 4 TT APs. See the links below! Public Administration: uasys.wd5.myworkdayjobs.com/en-US/UAF_Ex... Public Law: uasys.wd5.myworkdayjobs.com/en-US/UAF_Ex... CP/IR (Populism): uasys.wd5.myworkdayjobs.com/en-US/UAF_Ex... CP/IR (NGOs/MENA): uasys.wd5.myworkdayjobs.com/en-US/UAF_Ex... 022
Reposted by E.J. FaganDrew Engelhardt @amengel.bsky.social · 22/09/2026Interesting hypotheticals here from a recent YouGov survey in @dhmontgomery.com's Surveyor newsletter. The 10 point "not sure" range for the DSA/MAGA split is I think important to keep in mind alongside the actual choice splits. yougovamerica.substack.com/p/democrats-... 185
E.J. Fagan @ejfagan.com · 22/09/2026Whoa! The relationship change in between primary turnout and change in vote share is super-duper close. Those D+14 polls don't look crazy given these data. 0267
Reposted by E.J. FaganThe Downballot @the-downballot.com · 22/09/2026In primaries this year, Democratic turnout utterly dwarfed Republican turnout. But does it mean anything for November? It turns out the answer is very much yes. A new analysis from @donnermaps.bsky.social suggests that Dems are on track for a 13-point blowout in the House vote. Here's why.the-downballot.comMassive primary turnout points to biggest year for Democrats since WatergateThere’s a remarkably close correlation between the primary vote and the House popular vote 13401129
E.J. Fagan @ejfagan.com · 22/09/2026I don't think that Utah is going to be a purple state any time soon, but if Salt Lake City keeps growing so fast, it could be competitive quickly. If Spencer Cox were a typical MAGA candidate, the Governor race would be real competitive this year. 010
E.J. Fagan @ejfagan.com · 22/09/2026New high for Democrats in the @fiftyplusone.news model. Median outcome is now 52-48 Dem Senate, but a 53-47 or better Senate is just as likely as the Republicans holding the chamber. 1147
Reposted by E.J. FaganBrandi Bennett @bbennettesq.bsky.social · 22/09/2026I have clients worried about bullshit age verification laws for cartoon drawings with better processes for screening users for age than these tech frats. 04012
Reposted by E.J. FaganSimon Rosenberg @simonwdc.bsky.social · 21/09/2026NBC News poll finds big jump in D voter intent to vote early & drop in intent to vote by mail: - 23% intend to vote by mail, down from 34% in '24 - 36% intend to vote early in person, up fr 30% in '24 - 36% intend to vote in person on Election Day, same as 35% in '24 👇 www.axios.com/2026/09/20/m...axios.comMore Democrats plan to vote in person in midtermsThe result marks a significant shift from the 2024 election. 36715188
E.J. Fagan @ejfagan.com · 21/09/2026Updating my slides. This figure on the growth if solar energy will never cease to amaze me. 2254
Reposted by E.J. FaganAaron Reichlin-Melnick @reichlinmelnick.bsky.social · 21/09/2026NEW: @apnews.com confirms that ICE has begun electronically "disappearing" people in the agency's custody who have final orders of removal. As of last week, anyone jailed by ICE with a final order of removal will NOT appear in the ICE Online Detainee Locator System, making them effectively vanish.apnews.comAP Exclusive: ICE hides locations of thousands of detainees with final removal ordersU.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement has stopped publicly revealing where it is holding most detainees who are subject to final deportation orders, in a move that has made it harder for lawyers an... 18945902943
E.J. Fagan @ejfagan.com · 21/09/2026Mississippi's "miracle" reading results appear to be driven by testing effects. When the NAEP exam became high stakes (pass or retained), more students got accommodations and way more students who failed got exemptions. The test pass rate hasn't increased since 2019. www.skeptic.com/article/miss...skeptic.comThe Mississippi Miracle: Smoke and Mirrors vs. RealityMississippi’s test scores have soared, but is it a genuine education breakthrough or statistical sleight of hand? Two researchers expose seven inconvenient truths behind the celebrated “Mississippi Mi... 153
Reposted by E.J. FaganScott Nover @scottnover.bsky.social · 21/09/2026BREAKING: TV pool will not be providing coverage of presidential events until further notice b/c of CNN's ban, pool chair and FOX News Washington Bureau Chief Bryan Boughton said. It's effectively a boycott by the fellow members — ABC, CBS, NBC and FOX: www.washingtonpost.com/business/202... 805149273701
E.J. Fagan @ejfagan.com · 20/09/2026In addition to the bigger picture stuff, Democrats should include a few smaller but tangible affordability policies. Stuff like price controls for key fobs, recurring subscription price increases, etc. www.politico.com/news/2026/06...politico.comHakeem Jeffries says Democrats will prioritize affordability. Not all of his members agree.Even as inflation rises, some insist the Democratic agenda should put other fundamentals front and center. 121
Reposted by E.J. FaganGarrett M. Graff @vermontgmg.bsky.social · 20/09/2026Scammers gonna scam. Trump understands that courts give him huge leeway if he hand-waves “national security,” eg his ballroom, and so now he’s trying to pretend there’s a security imperative for his arch. 54670168
Reposted by E.J. FaganSpencer Ackerman @attackerman.bsky.social · 20/09/2026It’s not “third-country deportation,” it’s an extraordinary rendition, complete with torture and enforced silence by the “host” country’s thugs. And it’s a direct consequence of never imposing punishment on the CIA for doing this during the War on Terror.nytimes.comA Central African Hotel Has Become a Nightmare Prison for U.S. DeporteesWitnesses say men were hooded and beaten in Equatorial Guinea. The autocratic government there is a partner in President Trump’s deportation program. 3225311032