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Simon

@analytic.football
1.7K followers 357 following 375 posts

Stat nerdery, #lufc and miscellany Football team ratings model: analytic.football I chat about FPL @analyticf.pl

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Parody Nigel Farage @parodypm.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
When I said they were Iranians arriving in small boats, I meant British nationals living in London.
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Tommy @tommy-lufc.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
Just want it on record that regardless of what he achieved in a Leeds shirt or his ability as a footballer, Manor Solomon is a dreadful prick & he can fuck off. #lufc
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Ben Ansell @benansell.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
Good thing that this couldn’t have been predicted almost a year ago <runs bitter victory lap> and the government didn’t just blithely carry on doing the same thing. www.prospectmagazine.co.uk/politics/718...
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Jonathan Portes @jdportes.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
Rayner is correct: these proposals are economically damaging and politically counterproductive. Pretty clear that view is now almost universal in the Cabinet/Labour Party and the informed public. www.thetimes.com/uk/politics/...
thetimes.com
Angela Rayner condemns Labour’s migrant visa crackdown
Speaking before the party conference, the housing secretary says Shabana Mahmood’s immigration plans would affect care workers
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Dr Stylite @columnist.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
It’s not exactly Proust is it
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Simon @analytic.football · 20/09/2026
They were going to join the super league 😭
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Nathan Bulmer @natemorebikes.bsky.social · 18/09/2026
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rev. howard arson @theophite.bsky.social · 17/09/2026
i think that one major thing that laypeople need to understand is the near-total disanalogy between programming and machine learning
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Grace Robertson 🏳️‍⚧️ @graceonfootball.com · 17/09/2026
i feel really strongly that the jj gabriel stuff should not be in the media at all. he is a child.
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Metro North Capital @metronorthcapital.bsky.social · 10/09/2026
I’ve seen this before.
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Will Jennings📉🗳️ @drjennings.bsky.social · 09/09/2026
Surprising this story isn't getting more coverage...
portsmouth.co.uk
Protestors confuse Pakistan cricket team for migrants after gathering at hotel
Misinformation caused groups of people to gather at The Marriott Hotel
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Sam Freedman @samfr.bsky.social · 08/09/2026
One reason England does so well is our second generation immigrants outperform their peers which is not true in most OECD countries. We are also very good at integration. And it's v sad that this is never acknowledge in debates on immigration.
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Simon @analytic.football · 08/09/2026
analytic.football is now using Opta data as the xG input, as the last bastion of only-cheaply-paywalled Statsbomb xG seems to be gone It meant a full retune, and the finishing module got a couple of upgrades (handling conditionality of rebounds better). New ratings on the left.
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SE Gyges @segyges.bsky.social · 07/09/2026
you know what, challenge accepted. quotes that express ideas that are challenged or recontextualized by LLMs 🧵 "When I think in words, I don’t have ‘meanings’ in my mind in addition to the verbal expressions; rather, language itself is the vehicle of thought" -- Wittgenstein
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John Oxley @joxley.jmoxley.co.uk · 06/09/2026
So in one week: 1) Reform get stung for dodgy finances, and the regulators play pass the parcel about enforcement 2) Farage announces plans to largely dismantle independent scrutiny of govt, and barely any press discussion of it 3) Masked thugs blockade a port, with narry a word from senior govt
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The Empty City @davidallengreen.bsky.social · 02/09/2026
To keep translating the Odyssey but never completing it to one's satisfaction seems rather apt.
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Simon @analytic.football · 01/09/2026
If we get Bahoya I think we ended up close to here. Few differences: - Kept 4 CBs not 5, sold Struijk with a first team LCB not RCB - Moved Stach to CM and signed a RW (Wilson) instead - Darlow chose to go and replaced with Zetterer - Didn't get another 9 No complaints with the first 3 #lufc
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Jonathan Portes @jdportes.bsky.social · 31/08/2026
Mahmood's proposals would force medium-skilled & care workers to leave the UK & would deter high skill workers from coming in future. This would widen the deficit/fiscal home. Would be deliberate economic and political self-harm for Burnham/Healey to proceed with them. inews.co.uk/news/politic...
inews.co.uk
Mahmood's 'hardline' immigration reforms hit by growing rebellion
More Labour MPs to publicly oppose Home Secretary's changes to indefinite leave to remain
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Simon @analytic.football · 23/08/2026
Hull only 8 points from matching Derby's record but they only get to play Manchester United one more time so it's touch and go
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Simon @analytic.football · 21/08/2026
We are under an hour away from kick off so it really is "just in time" for the final projections. A final few small bug fixes, improvements to the Monte Carlo uncertainty layer and getting the coefficients tuned to the nth decimal, we land here. Some comments below 👇
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Dr Dean Burnett @drdeanburnett.bsky.social · 19/08/2026
A Review of the Guardian’s Review of Channel 4’s ‘The Great ADHD Myth?’ theneuroscienceofeve... I reviewed the Guardian's review of The Great ADHD Myth, and found it... well, lacking doesn't really do it justice. #ADHD #Channel4 #Guardian #Neurodivergence
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Simon @analytic.football · 15/08/2026
Championship projections are also live (for the first time Leeds aren't in it 🫣) and this was the state before any matches were played Bolton's win against Preston a nice early swing for them
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Sam Freedman @samfr.bsky.social · 09/08/2026
New post out: "The myth of the 'Boriswave'" The online right claim that the immigrants who arrived between 21-24 will bankrupt the country. This isn't remotely true but they've created a mainstream panic that could lead us down a dangerous path. (£/free trial) samf.substack.com/p/the-myth-o...
samf.substack.com
The myth of the "Boriswave"
Over summer 2024 anonymous right-wing accounts on twitter, who support Reform or more extreme ethnonationalist parties, started using the term “Boriswave” to describe the brief but sharp rise in net m...
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Simon @analytic.football · 08/08/2026
If you tried this before and got a 502 bad gateway, I've fixed what was making the app crash so happy exploring once again
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Simon @analytic.football · 07/08/2026
New season means a new design for analytic.football, so here's a little rundown of what you can do And of course, the projections
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Simon @analytic.football · 03/08/2026
Ah, well, nevertheless. Happy to see the club are targeting the position rather than just the Brandt opportunity, let's see what we end up with
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Simon @analytic.football · 29/07/2026
Ridiculous from channel 4
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Simon @analytic.football · 29/07/2026
Brandt would be a quality addition. The "he didn't sign immediately so we shouldn't sign him" never made any sense to me. We wouldn't get his best years, but even with some wage overpay in the out years it only adds up to a small effective transfer fee in terms of total cost. Fingers crossed #lufc
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Theo Priestley @theopriestley.net · 28/07/2026
Fucking hell as if receiving automated rejection letters for jobs wasn't bad enough.
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aecides.bsky.social @aecides.bsky.social · 26/07/2026
Conflating 5 million of bribes with not filling out a form is like running over a child because you were on your phone while driving and saying "Well look, if the worst thing I've ever done is check my text messages, I can live with that.".
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Adam Tranter @adamtranter.bsky.social · 25/07/2026
Cities dismantled their tram networks to become “motor cities of the future”. The result? You could travel further within 30 mins via public transport in 1957 than you can in 2026. Cities are seeking billions to rebuild networks. Incredible piece of work this.
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Sunder Katwala (sundersays) @sundersays.bsky.social · 23/07/2026
The government will take a £12 billion hit on the public finances if/when it belatedly reduces the current [unrealistically high] OBR projection of net migration averaging 235k for next 3 years to about 130-150k. (But it could double that cost if it wants to stay closer to zero net migration).
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Ian Dunt @iandunt.bsky.social · 23/07/2026
It's funny how no-one ever asks where the money is coming from when you announce a cut in immigration.
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Simon @analytic.football · 23/07/2026
Trafford Bombay, amazing. Get it done #lufc
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Saloni @scientificdiscovery.dev · 20/07/2026
Can't believe he literally said
static.klipy.com
Simpsons: Leonardo Nimoy's Work is Done
Alt: Simpsons: Leonardo Nimoy saying My Work is Done Here
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Adam Bienkov @adambienkov.bsky.social · 19/07/2026
"Overall carbon emissions have increased" in the UK, because of Net Zero, Kemi Badenoch repeatedly tells the BBC, to no pushback. Just completely untrue
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Simon @analytic.football · 18/07/2026
Lol, lmao even
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Simon @analytic.football · 28/06/2026
People really out here claiming short corners are automatically a bad tactic because you can potentially be found offside This is why no one should run forwards off the ball in football
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Simon @analytic.football · 22/06/2026
Absolute snip if we can get him for something around that price #lufc
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Owen @problemsdog.bsky.social · 22/06/2026
Wow that is not the announcement I was expecting but good on him
Guardian liveblog screenshot:

“Keir Starmer is coming out.
There is loud applause from his staff and supporters.
He looks miserable.”
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Simon @analytic.football · 04/06/2026
Brilliant news and the cornerstone to everything this summer
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Daniel Sugarman @danielsugarman.bsky.social · 01/06/2026
The British government will have been asked if someone who has made a series of highly controversial statements about Hamas & Hezbollah - both proscribed terrorist organisations - should be welcome here. And reached the obvious conclusion that he shouldn't. www.jewishnews.co.uk/hasan-piker-...
jewishnews.co.uk
Hasan Piker banned from entering the UK
The far-left commentator, as well as his uncle Cenk Uygur, had their visas cancelled by the British government. Both blamed Israel for the cancellation.
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Amy Borrett @amyborrett.ft.com · 29/05/2026
🚨Elon Musk has boosted the public profile of Restore Britain leader Rupert Lowe on X, pulling Britain’s political discourse towards extreme content and amplifying his influence ahead of a knife-edge election in Makerfield More @FT: as.ft.com/r/80f4639f-0...
Dot plot of X posts with at least 2mn views since Restore Britain launched showing Rupert Lowe has far more viral posts than Farage despite having a third of the followersLine chart of cumulative earnings from X showing Rupert Lowe has earned more than £72,000 from his X posts
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Simon @analytic.football · 22/05/2026
On Slot: they are worse than any point in the previous 8 years, comparisons to previous Klopp dips just don't hold up. Attack has been getting worse since the moment he walked in the door and I don't believe he's *the* elite defensive guy to compensate Imo Liverpool would be dummies to keep him
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Simon @analytic.football · 21/05/2026
Congratulations your whole political strategy involves going after the people who will never vote for you and in doing so become unpopular with those who might
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Jonathan Portes @jdportes.bsky.social · 20/05/2026
- Subsidising consumption in the face of a supply shock - reducing incentives to drive less/switch to EVs - using up limited fiscal space to help better-off drivers rather than the most vulnerable. Hard to think of a worse policy right now.
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Maria Popova @popovaprof.bsky.social · 17/05/2026
Listen to this carefully. He admits what the Ru always knew—no one threatens Ru’s existence because Ru is a nuclear power. “Security concerns” was always a lie Ru managed to sell to a bunch of Westerners. All that russia needs to do to avoid war and destruction is to stay in its frigging borders!
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Jim Pickard @pickardje.bsky.social · 14/05/2026
crucial context: Peter Mandelson was sacked from the first New Labour government for having a £373,000 *loan* (not a gift) from a Labour colleague (Geoffrey Robinson) to buy a house
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Matthew Holehouse @matthewholehouse.bsky.social · 14/05/2026
That's an awful lot of self-congratulation for a fall in waiting lists from 7.6m to 7.1m in two years.
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Simon @analytic.football · 12/05/2026
Now that we're staying up, going to think out loud about the squad needs and decisions for this summer. Let's start with the obvious, we release Byram and Meslier, then if we can we renew Ampadu + Struijk, and sell James + Piroe. We send back Buonanotte, and try to shift those out on loan.
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