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Simon

@analytic.football
1.7K followers 357 following 380 posts

Stat nerdery, #lufc and miscellany Football team ratings model: analytic.football I chat about FPL @analyticf.pl

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Simon @analytic.football · 6h
Piracy is a moral obligation
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Jason Sinclair @jsinclair.bsky.social · 06/10/2026
This is very good from Rob Rinder. The comments are a complete binfire, not sure why there are so many horseshoe Greens on a Nazi's site, but there we are.
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Simon @analytic.football · 06/10/2026
Putting a giant umbrella over your stadium, only in Manchester
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Simon @analytic.football · 06/10/2026
Looks shit without it, even
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David Roberts @volts.wtf · 05/10/2026
Holy shit.
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Jan Philipp Albrecht @janalbrecht.bsky.social · 04/10/2026
It is important that the German Greens directly reject the UK Green Party’s resolution titled "Zionism is Racism" and welcome the suspension of its voting rights within the European Green Party. It‘s urgently necessary for the @europeangreens.eu to distance itself from the UK Green Party’s position.
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Ian Dunt @iandunt.bsky.social · 04/10/2026
If that's all they wanted to say, they would simply say it. But they don't. They want to say something else. And that's why it's worded in the way it is.
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Ian Dunt @iandunt.bsky.social · 04/10/2026
It is also perfectly possible to make the case that Zionism inevitably leads to the kind of behaviour from the Israeli government which we see today. Those positions are valid and respectable.
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Ian Dunt @iandunt.bsky.social · 04/10/2026
The thing that gets me about these lurid anti-Zionist statements, like the one the Greens just passed, is that it is *so fucking easy* to criticise the Israeli government without engaging in that type of language.
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Marc Blackburn @marcyeboah.bsky.social · 03/10/2026
You can now play your own Man City game on the interweb leedsthat.com/shampain?fbc...
leedsthat.com
Sham Pain Super Nova
Disguise £830.69m of owner money as "sponsorship" before the Independent Commission catches you. A parody game from the Leeds, That! podcast.
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John Muller @johnspacemuller.com · 03/10/2026
Time to play my favorite game, Soccer or Politics?
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Henry Mance @henrymance.ft.com · 02/10/2026
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Stephen Bush @stephenkb.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
Badenoch still doesn’t grasp the impact of a war she would have joined: 🥶
ft.com
US deploys thousands of troops to Middle East as Donald Trump weighs strikes on Iran
Aircraft carrier USS Theodore Roosevelt expected to arrive in the region by the end of November, a US official says
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Simon @analytic.football · 01/10/2026
I think totally reasonable to count all of 43 in early, and all of 46 in mid if you want to make it 50% more "normal human"
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Simon @analytic.football · 01/10/2026
Imo it's simple for every decade, 10 divided by 3, so: 40th birthday - 43 1⁄3: early 43 1⁄3 - 46 2⁄3: mid 46 2⁄3 - 50th birthday: late
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Parody Nigel Farage @parodypm.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
When I said they were Iranians arriving in small boats, I meant British nationals living in London.
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Tommy @tommy-lufc.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
Just want it on record that regardless of what he achieved in a Leeds shirt or his ability as a footballer, Manor Solomon is a dreadful prick & he can fuck off. #lufc
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Ben Ansell @benansell.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
Good thing that this couldn’t have been predicted almost a year ago <runs bitter victory lap> and the government didn’t just blithely carry on doing the same thing. www.prospectmagazine.co.uk/politics/718...
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Jonathan Portes @jdportes.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
Rayner is correct: these proposals are economically damaging and politically counterproductive. Pretty clear that view is now almost universal in the Cabinet/Labour Party and the informed public. www.thetimes.com/uk/politics/...
thetimes.com
Angela Rayner condemns Labour’s migrant visa crackdown
Speaking before the party conference, the housing secretary says Shabana Mahmood’s immigration plans would affect care workers
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Dr Stylite @columnist.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
It’s not exactly Proust is it
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Simon @analytic.football · 20/09/2026
They were going to join the super league 😭
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Nathan Bulmer @natemorebikes.bsky.social · 18/09/2026
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rev. howard arson @theophite.bsky.social · 17/09/2026
i think that one major thing that laypeople need to understand is the near-total disanalogy between programming and machine learning
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Grace Robertson 🏳️‍⚧️ @graceonfootball.com · 17/09/2026
i feel really strongly that the jj gabriel stuff should not be in the media at all. he is a child.
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Simon @analytic.football · 16/09/2026
Do we have a freedom of movement agreement with Piddington or are they now confined to their village?
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Metro North Capital @metronorthcapital.bsky.social · 10/09/2026
I’ve seen this before.
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Will Jennings📉🗳️ @drjennings.bsky.social · 09/09/2026
Surprising this story isn't getting more coverage...
portsmouth.co.uk
Protestors confuse Pakistan cricket team for migrants after gathering at hotel
Misinformation caused groups of people to gather at The Marriott Hotel
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Sam Freedman @samfr.bsky.social · 08/09/2026
One reason England does so well is our second generation immigrants outperform their peers which is not true in most OECD countries. We are also very good at integration. And it's v sad that this is never acknowledge in debates on immigration.
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Simon @analytic.football · 08/09/2026
analytic.football is now using Opta data as the xG input, as the last bastion of only-cheaply-paywalled Statsbomb xG seems to be gone It meant a full retune, and the finishing module got a couple of upgrades (handling conditionality of rebounds better). New ratings on the left.
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SE Gyges @segyges.bsky.social · 07/09/2026
you know what, challenge accepted. quotes that express ideas that are challenged or recontextualized by LLMs 🧵 "When I think in words, I don’t have ‘meanings’ in my mind in addition to the verbal expressions; rather, language itself is the vehicle of thought" -- Wittgenstein
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John Oxley @joxley.jmoxley.co.uk · 06/09/2026
So in one week: 1) Reform get stung for dodgy finances, and the regulators play pass the parcel about enforcement 2) Farage announces plans to largely dismantle independent scrutiny of govt, and barely any press discussion of it 3) Masked thugs blockade a port, with narry a word from senior govt
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The Empty City @davidallengreen.bsky.social · 02/09/2026
To keep translating the Odyssey but never completing it to one's satisfaction seems rather apt.
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Simon @analytic.football · 01/09/2026
I wasn't counting the ones who weren't part of the squad at the end of last season...they get a generic mention as a group
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Simon @analytic.football · 01/09/2026
Looking at the window as a whole though, every other department bar CM (no change) is better. The first team, age profile and squad depth are all improved throughout, and we also managed to clear out a lot of the players not involved last season All in all, assuming Bahoya and no more, it's an 8?
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Simon @analytic.football · 01/09/2026
The lack of 9 is the glaring hole, and it does leave open a vulnerability if DCL is injured for a significant period. I don't buy that we are significantly weaker with the sale of Piroe, Farke would shuffle relentlessly to avoid playing him anyway. But ideally we wouldn't run this risk back again
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Simon @analytic.football · 01/09/2026
If we get Bahoya I think we ended up close to here. Few differences: - Kept 4 CBs not 5, sold Struijk with a first team LCB not RCB - Moved Stach to CM and signed a RW (Wilson) instead - Darlow chose to go and replaced with Zetterer - Didn't get another 9 No complaints with the first 3 #lufc
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Jonathan Portes @jdportes.bsky.social · 31/08/2026
Mahmood's proposals would force medium-skilled & care workers to leave the UK & would deter high skill workers from coming in future. This would widen the deficit/fiscal home. Would be deliberate economic and political self-harm for Burnham/Healey to proceed with them. inews.co.uk/news/politic...
inews.co.uk
Mahmood's 'hardline' immigration reforms hit by growing rebellion
More Labour MPs to publicly oppose Home Secretary's changes to indefinite leave to remain
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Simon @analytic.football · 31/08/2026
Daniel just straight forgot about Buonanotte
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Simon @analytic.football · 23/08/2026
Hull only 8 points from matching Derby's record but they only get to play Manchester United one more time so it's touch and go
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Simon @analytic.football · 21/08/2026
MU/Chelsea it is gonna take some more convincing to get on the hype train. I think that's fair. Model doesn't know Newcastle sold all their squad yet, nor that Leeds have the best GK that ever lived.
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Simon @analytic.football · 21/08/2026
Comparing with @elevenify.com and @solioanalytics.com - my model is lower on Liverpool than those 2, and I would expect some bounce back pretty quickly. Fulham/Palace other place with consensus scepticism. Think Fulham more at risk of age, squad degrading & manager downgrade.
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Simon @analytic.football · 21/08/2026
The model doesn't incorporate any off-season information, outside of spread market totals for promoted teams. It handles the season boundary by increasing uncertainty in the model, it will be more responsive to the early season games, but doesn't shift pre-season
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Simon @analytic.football · 21/08/2026
We are under an hour away from kick off so it really is "just in time" for the final projections. A final few small bug fixes, improvements to the Monte Carlo uncertainty layer and getting the coefficients tuned to the nth decimal, we land here. Some comments below 👇
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Simon @analytic.football · 21/08/2026
New stadium is definitely a big part of it (~£80m), but growth in commercial revenue last 10 years is the undertold story
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Dr Dean Burnett @drdeanburnett.bsky.social · 19/08/2026
A Review of the Guardian’s Review of Channel 4’s ‘The Great ADHD Myth?’ theneuroscienceofeve... I reviewed the Guardian's review of The Great ADHD Myth, and found it... well, lacking doesn't really do it justice. #ADHD #Channel4 #Guardian #Neurodivergence
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Simon @analytic.football · 15/08/2026
Championship projections are also live (for the first time Leeds aren't in it 🫣) and this was the state before any matches were played Bolton's win against Preston a nice early swing for them
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Simon @analytic.football · 13/08/2026
Big q to me is why anyone is using Fable
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Simon @analytic.football · 13/08/2026
Because Opus 5 is a more capable, cheaper, more widely available model...they ate their own lunch
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Sam Freedman @samfr.bsky.social · 09/08/2026
New post out: "The myth of the 'Boriswave'" The online right claim that the immigrants who arrived between 21-24 will bankrupt the country. This isn't remotely true but they've created a mainstream panic that could lead us down a dangerous path. (£/free trial) samf.substack.com/p/the-myth-o...
samf.substack.com
The myth of the "Boriswave"
Over summer 2024 anonymous right-wing accounts on twitter, who support Reform or more extreme ethnonationalist parties, started using the term “Boriswave” to describe the brief but sharp rise in net m...
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Simon @analytic.football · 08/08/2026
Hard to overstate the level of parity 3-7, but yeah, the model likes Brighton!
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