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Talbot Andrews

@talbotmandrews.bsky.social
1.8K followers 703 following 47 posts

Assistant Professor at Cornell. I study disasters, public opinion, political economy, and climate change 🌲Oregonian🌲

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Reposted by Talbot Andrews
Noah Zucker @noahzucker.com · 23/09/2026
🚨 Workforces exposed to globalization and decarbonization are often overwhelmingly male. New article at @ajpseditor.bsky.social with @rickyclark.bsky.social and @rkhoban.bsky.social asks how layoffs of these men shape voting: onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...
AJPS article: "Breadwinner Backlash." Abstract: Low-skilled men have long been vulnerable to globalization, decarbonization, and other forms of economic disruption. When shocks are realized, women often increase their paid labor to compensate for men's loss of income. We study how layoffs of low-skilled men and concurrent shifts in workforce composition toward women affect voting. We theorize that this labor market rebalancing produces “nostalgic” coalitions of men and women that seek a return to male-breadwinner family models. Such attitudes fuel right-wing movements that pledge to protect conservative gender roles. Evidence from local labor markets and voting in the United States over the last two decades, as well as a longitudinal study tracking individual Americans over several decades, support this theory. These findings contribute a new gender-based account of the globalization backlash.
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Jonathan Ladd @jonathanmladd.com · 05/09/2026
I was lucky enough to be a small part of a truly outstanding APSA panel on Thursday afternoon on "Support for Democratic Norms." I got to learn about work by @annamikk.bsky.social, @erincikanek.bsky.social, and a series of others not on BlueSky. Such smart, careful work on an essential topic. /1
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American Political Science Review @apsrjournal.bsky.social · 04/09/2026
From our FirstView: "Are Voters Myopic or Looking for Improvement?" by Markus Prior and Talbot M. Andrews @talbotmandrews.bsky.social. doi.org/10.1017/S000...
doi.org
Are Voters Myopic or Looking for Improvement? | American Political Science Review | Cambridge Core
Are Voters Myopic or Looking for Improvement?
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Cambridge University Press Political Science & IR @cambup-polsci.cambridge.org · 01/09/2026
#OpenAccess from @apsrjournal.bsky.social - Are Voters Myopic or Looking for Improvement? - cup.org/4gvG85v - MARKUS PRIOR & @talbotmandrews.bsky.social #FirstView
A graphic with a green and blue background. The top green section displays the text "#OpenAccess" in white. The bottom blue section shows the text "American Political Science Review" in white.
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Talbot Andrews @talbotmandrews.bsky.social · 01/09/2026
Are voters myopic? In our newest publication, Markus Prior and I find that what looks like short-sightedness in retrospection may actually be a genuine preference for improvement over time. Read more in the @apsrjournal.bsky.social: www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
cambridge.org
Are Voters Myopic or Looking for Improvement? | American Political Science Review | Cambridge Core
Are Voters Myopic or Looking for Improvement?
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Andrew Rumbach @andrewrumbach.bsky.social · 31/08/2026
Disaster relief is often concentrated in the early days after disasters, but the financial stress can last for months or years. In our newest research article, we share findings from in-depth interviews with 20 families impacted by Hurricane Helene: www.urban.org/research/pub...
urban.org
Households Are Struggling to Recover Financially After Hurricane Helene. Here’s Why.
First-hand accounts from households affected by Hurricane Helene illustrate that postdisaster financial recovery is a long, uncertain process.
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Matt Graham @mattgraham.bsky.social · 31/08/2026
🚨NEW PAPER🚨 Covariate adjustment is a valuable tool for analyzing experiments but is vulnerable to abuse. We assess practice in political science and recommend some good practices. Coming soon to the Journal of Experimental Political Science. Preprint: osf.io/cdmsx_v1
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Daniel de Kadt @dandekadt.bsky.social · 28/08/2026
upstate NY is where it's at right now btw
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Talbot Andrews @talbotmandrews.bsky.social · 27/08/2026
Come be my colleague! We're hiring in American politics, at the intersection of public law and political economy. More info is here: academicjobsonline.org/ajo/jobs/32519
academicjobsonline.org
Cornell University, Government Department
Job #AJO32519, American Politics Assistant Professor, Government Department, Cornell University, Ithaca, New York, US
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The New York Times @nytimes.com · 27/08/2026
After 17 years of teaching science at West Point, a professor says he was suddenly ordered last year to cut from his curriculum information about the human causes of climate change, according to a new lawsuit filed against the U.S. Military Academy.
nyti.ms
West Point Climate Professor Says He Was Fired for Refusing to ‘Defy Science’
Dr. Adam Kalkstein is suing the U. S. Military Academy, where he was a professor of geography and the only climate scientist, after being fired.
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Andrew Trexler @atrexler.com · 26/08/2026
UW-Madison Poli Sci has THREE searches for TT assistant professors: Environmental politics: go.wisc.edu/1gk366 Chinese politics: go.wisc.edu/847082 American political thought: go.wisc.edu/lfwg6o I am not on any of the search committees, but happy to chat about the dept/UW/Madison/etc at APSA!
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Adam Bonica @adambonica.bsky.social · 16/08/2026
The fundraising texts you delete are working on someone. It’s infuriating and heartbreaking. An 85yo in Ohio gave more than double the value of his home. A 91yo in an Indianapolis senior facility gave 25K times. The DCCC/DSCC don’t just tolerate the spammers who exploit seniors. They take part.
data4democracy.substack.com
Hook and Squeeze
How Democratic consultants, committees, and party leaders built a fundraising spam pipeline that funnels money from a captive pool of elderly donors into their own operations.
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Briony Latter @brionylatter.bsky.social · 04/08/2026
⭐ New paper in @natclimate.nature.com: Social influence shapes climate attitudes and action ⭐ Excited to share this from @samhampton.bsky.social, me & @lwhitmarsh.bsky.social, bringing together evidence on how influence operates in the context of climate action. www.nature.com/articles/s41... 1/
nature.com
Social influence shapes climate attitudes and action - Nature Climate Change
Individuals and groups shape others’ attitudes and actions through social influence. This Perspective articulates a research agenda of social influence for climate action, synthesizes existing evidenc...
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Dan Visioni @danvisioni.bsky.social · 30/07/2026
With Ryan O'Loughin from CUNY, we have a paper out today in the European Journal for Philosophy of Science where we ask: "When are small-scale field experiments in solar geoengineering worth pursuing?" link.springer.com/article/10.1...
link.springer.com
When are small-scale field experiments in solar geoengineering worth pursuing? - European Journal for Philosophy of Science
We propose a set of heuristics—scientific rigor, safety, usefulness, engagement, and transparency—for assessing the pursuitworthiness of small-scale field experiments in solar geoengineering research....
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Amanda Weiss @amandaweiss.bsky.social · 28/07/2026
I'm so proud of this paper that @nottone.bsky.social and I did on prisons... massive data collection! the political economy of criminal legal system! jackknife standard errors!
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David Roberts @volts.wtf · 16/07/2026
From the National Academies, a comprehensive assessment of the science of "extreme event attribution," ie, tracing extreme weather events to climate change.
nationalacademies.org
Attribution of Extreme Weather and Climate Events and Their Impacts 2026
Decades of data and research indicate that human-caused climate change is altering the frequency and intensity of several types of extreme events, such as...
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American Political Science Review @apsrjournal.bsky.social · 14/07/2026
From our FirstView: New Evidence and Design Considerations for Repeated Measure Experiments in Survey Research by @dianamejordan.bsky.social, TRENT OLLERENSHAW and @atrexler.com. doi.org/10.1017/S000....
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Ricky Clark @rickyclark.bsky.social · 14/07/2026
I’m chairing this search. Please apply, and don’t hesitate to reach out to me with questions!
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John V. Kane @uptonorwell.bsky.social · 13/07/2026
🥹IT'S REAL!!! I can hold it in my hand! My best attempt to explain the logic of quantitative social-scientific research--I truly hope folks enjoy it! It's officially out Aug 4th, but can be pre-ordered at @ucpress.bsky.social now *at 30% off* with discount code 𝐔𝐂𝐏𝐒𝐀𝐕𝐄𝟑𝟎. 👍
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Guy Grossman @guygrossman.bsky.social · 08/07/2026
Please share info on the short workshop below with anyone you think might benefit. Thanks!
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David Roberts @volts.wtf · 27/06/2026
This is just one guy's experience, but I have now seen several dozen posts angrily defending air conditioning and zero (0) posts from people who are against it. Where are all these anti-AC folks we're supposed to be mad at? Seriously asking.
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Ariel Edwards-Levy @aedwardslevy.bsky.social · 24/06/2026
TY to Verasight for letting me run this fun little question on whether people treat "polls" and "surveys" differently (people in the industry would use the words synonymously, but I've seen some qual to suggest that people who differentiate prefer "survey." reports.verasight.io/reports/aapo...
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Leah Stokes @leahstokes.bsky.social · 23/06/2026
Excited to share the cover and an early endorsement from @rebeccasolnit.bsky.social for my forthcoming book, "The Carbon Wave." It's out Sept. 1! Preorders help the book travel further. The book is on sale this week with free shipping at Bookshop. Order your copy today! bookshop.org/p/books/the-...
Cover of the book "The Carbon Wave" with an endorsement by Rebecca Solnit: "The most thrilling policy narrative you'll ever read."
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Aoḋán Ó Conġaile @tinydonkey.bsky.social · 04/06/2026
If other news was reported like climate change:
A picture of a couple driving and laughing with the text "road fatalities highest in ten years"
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American Political Science Review @apsrjournal.bsky.social · 04/06/2026
From our May Issue: What Happens When You Can’t Check the Box? Categorization Threat and Public Opinion among Middle Eastern and North African Americans by @asdurso.bsky.social. doi.org/10.1017/S000....
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ISPP @polpsyispp.bsky.social · 03/06/2026
Congratulations to Leonie Huddy of Stony Brook University on receiving the 2026 Harold Lasswell Award for Distinguished Scientific Contributions. Read more about Leonie and all ISPP award winners here: bit.ly/4vMtt2X #ISPP #PoliticalPsychology #LasswellAward
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American Journal of Political Science (AJPS) @ajpseditor.bsky.social · 11/05/2026
Climate exposure drives firm political behavior: Evidence from earnings calls and lobbying data by Christian Baehr, Fiona Bare, and Vincent Heddesheimer is now available in Early View. @vheddesheimer.bsky.social ajps.org/2026/05/11/c...
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APSA @apsa.bsky.social · 30/04/2026
Read this #OpenAccess article by Amanda Sahar d’Urso in American Political Science Review, "What Happens When You Can’t Check the Box? Categorization Threat and Public Opinion among Middle Eastern and North African Americans"
politicalsciencenow.com
What Happens When You Can’t Check the Box? Categorization Threat and Public Opinion among Middle Eastern and North African Americans
What Happens When You Can’t Check the Box? Categorization Threat and Public Opinion among Middle Eastern and North African Americans By Amanda Sahar d’Urso, Georgetown University Middle Eastern and North African (MENA) Americans are politically visible yet institutionally invisible, long categorized as “white” by the U.S. government despite neither self-categorizing nor racially assigned as such. Most forms—across public and private sectors—still lack a “MENA” category option.
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Andrew Trexler @atrexler.com · 24/04/2026
Thrilled to announce my paper with @dianamejordan.bsky.social & sky-less Trent Ollerenshaw is now published open-access at @apsrjournal.bsky.social. In a (very) large replication & extension, we show that design effects of repeated measure experiments are nonzero but typically small. Thread:
Abstract for "New Evidence and Design Considerations for Repeated Measure Experiments in Survey Research" by Diana Jordan, Trent Ollerenshaw, and Andrew Trexler, published in the American Political Science Review. The abstract text reads: "We re-examine recent influential claims that repeated measure experimental designs offer large precision gains without biasing treatment effect estimates in survey research. We test these claims by experimentally varying the design of six classic political science experiments across three distinct large samples of U.S. adults (total N = 13,163). In contrast to prior evidence, we observe consistent attenuation of treatment effects in repeated measure designs. However, we show in simulations that this average design effect is small enough, and the precision gains large enough, that we recommend repeated measure designs for broad application—though (large-N) post-only designs may be preferable when research priorities include estimating the precise magnitude of a treatment effect. We additionally explore how several design considerations affect the bias-precision trade-off, such as within-subject versus between-groups designs, the relative separation of repeated measures within single surveys, and differences in respondent characteristics across sample types."
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Emily Thorson @emilythorson.bsky.social · 21/04/2026
I put together this "experiment checklist" for the grad students in my experiments class -- practical advice for experimental design. www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/lwbco...
dropbox.com
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Melissa Baker @melissabaker.bsky.social · 17/04/2026
For folks headed to MPSA next week, the Association for Politics and the Life Sciences is hosting an open conference within a conference! Friday afternoon in Monroe, free food & drinks, & the events are a typical research panel (1:15) & a roundtable (3:20) on doing research during -these times-.
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Gloria Gennaro @gloriagennaro.bsky.social · 08/04/2026
New paper out in @thejop.bsky.social : "Immigration, Public Housing, and Support for the French National Front." How does expanding public housing affect far-right support? The answer depends heavily on local conditions, and specifically on local immigrant shares. Paper: doi.org/10.1086/736361
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Talbot Andrews @talbotmandrews.bsky.social · 06/04/2026
Now more than ever we encounter each other's emotions about politics, on social media and in the news. When do we take strangers' emotional expression seriously, and when do we dismiss it as inappropriate or even insincere? You can find out now in our Cambridge Element!
nam12.safelinks.protection.outlook.com
Emotions on Our Screens
Cambridge Core - Politics: General Interest - Emotions on Our Screens
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Talbot Andrews @talbotmandrews.bsky.social · 27/03/2026
Do you need to measure precise preferences for visual outcomes with very little survey space? Markus Prior, Justin Curl, and I have some solutions for you! Now officially published in @polanalysis.bsky.social doi.org/10.1017/pan....
doi.org
Meaning Beyond Numbers: Introducing the Plot Staircase to Measure Graphical Preferences | Political Analysis | Cambridge Core
Meaning Beyond Numbers: Introducing the Plot Staircase to Measure Graphical Preferences - Volume 34 Issue 2
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Amanda Sahar d’Urso @asdurso.bsky.social · 25/03/2026
ICYMI my solo article on MENA identity. When MENA Americans aren’t given a “MENA” option on forms, they answer identity-related questions on politics more strongly (eg higher end of the scale) than if“MENA” had been added. Having the group label or not changes the average response!
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Liam F. Beiser-McGrath @liambeisermcgrath.bsky.social · 18/03/2026
New paper out in Ecological Economics with @gonzalezrostani.bsky.social and @aklin.bsky.social! We look at how long-term labor market risk from automation shapes people's environmental attitudes and climate policy preferences 🧵
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Edward Goldring @edwardgoldring.bsky.social · 17/03/2026
My book - “Purges” - has a release date (August 15) and a front cover. I started work on this as my PhD dissertation at the end of 2017 - excited for it to finally be coming out! www.cornellpress.cornell.edu/book/9781501...
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Talbot Andrews @talbotmandrews.bsky.social · 15/03/2026
We’re so excited to read your great experimental work!
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Chagai Weiss @chagaiweiss.bsky.social · 15/03/2026
⏳One month left to nominate papers for APSA's Experimental Research Section’s Best Paper Award! We’re excited to read creative experimental work tackling big political questions. Self-nominations welcome (and discussants, please nominate your panelists)!
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Brendan Nyhan @brendannyhan.bsky.social · 08/03/2026
The sky is not falling; high-quality platforms (Prolific, Verasight, CR Connect) have low rates of apparent bots. osf.io/preprints/ps... But also not zero; vigilance is very much needed!
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Mark Lubell @envpolicycenter.bsky.social · 04/03/2026
New paper out today suggests sea level rise may be substantially worse than we thought due to underestimates in models. What do all you slr modelers out there think of this paper??? www.nature.com/articles/s41...
nature.com
Sea level much higher than assumed in most coastal hazard assessments - Nature
Meta-analyses on a global scale show that the measured coastal mean sea level is higher than assumed in most coastal hazard assessments.
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Erin C. @erincikanek.bsky.social · 03/03/2026
I wrote something. I hope it can be the start of more conversations about AI and the choices we all have to make. erincikanek.com/the-rumors-o...
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Alexander Kustov @akoustov.bsky.social · 25/02/2026
🚨 Please share widely! 🚨 I'm hiring a postdoc (from Aug 1) to help build a new research program on politically sustainable immigration policies at Notre Dame. Looking for a social scientist with strong quant skills, familiarity with new computational tools, and interest in public-facing research.
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Andrew Trexler @atrexler.com · 12/02/2026
Very excited to see this out at @bjpols.bsky.social! In this article, I show that contemporary political news coverage makes it challenging for readers to learn information that is helpful for democratic accountability, even for very politically engaged audiences. A brief summary:
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Princeton University Press @princetonupress.bsky.social · 29/01/2026
This Saturday (Jan 31) at 2:00 pm EST, see @smettler.bsky.social, co-author of Rural Versus Urban, give a lecture as part of the National Writers Series! She will discuss her book and how the urban-rural divide drives partisan polarization. Get tickets for this hybrid event here: buff.ly/2QZ3VnT
Rural Versus Urban: The Growing Divide That Threatens Democracy by Suzanne Mettler and Trevor E. BrownSuzanne Mettler
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Miranda Yaver @mirandayaver.bsky.social · 28/01/2026
Big congrats to @povertyscholar.bsky.social and @profsorelle.bsky.social on the publication of this important new book, which I cannot wait to read!
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Alex Coppock @aecoppock.bsky.social · 27/01/2026
🎺 Call for proposals 🎺 1️⃣ replicate an existing experiment 2️⃣ run a novel experiment on repdata.com 3️⃣ coauthor with Mary McGrath and me to meta-analyze the replications and existing studies 4️⃣ publish your study details: alexandercoppock.com/replication_... applications open Feb 1 please repost!
Call for Proposals: Data Collection for
Replication+Novel Political Science Survey Experiments
Alexander Coppock and Mary McGrath
January 27, 2026
We invite proposals for a survey experiment replication+novel design competition. Se-
lected replication+novel design survey experiments will be conducted on large samples of
American respondents, quota sampled to match U.S. Census margins and filtered for quality
and attention by the survey sample provider Rep Data (repdata.com).
Each proposal consists of two parts: (1) a replication study of an existing, previously
published survey experiment, and (2) a novel experimental design on a topic of the authors’
choosing.
The replication studies and reanalyses of the existing studies will be combined into a
meta-paper to be co-authored by all authors of accepted proposals along with the princi-
pal investigators (Coppock and McGrath). As a condition for acceptance, authors commit
to sharing the data and producing a write-up of the findings from their novel design for
submission to a scholarly journal, and public posting of a working paper pre-publication.
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Amanda Weiss @amandaweiss.bsky.social · 10/12/2025
Ahem. Political science is the *best* science. In all seriousness: Political scientists use the scientific method. And it's not like the political world is mystical/made-up. Assuming a closed physical universe, human behavior has some explanation - it's just hard to identify.* *In all senses
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andyguess @andyguess.com · 09/12/2025
The Center for Information Technology Policy at Princeton invites applications for a Postdoctoral Fellow to work with an interdisciplinary team (me, @bstewart.bsky.social, and @manoelhortaribeiro.bsky.social). Link: puwebp.princeton.edu/AcadHire/app... Please apply by THIS SUNDAY, Dec. 14!
We are seeking a Fellow to lead cutting-edge research on short-form video content and its societal implications.

Bridging the gap between computer vision, causal inference, and computational social science, the Fellow will focus on the large-scale analysis of TikTok data (using an existing, massive dataset).

The position involves developing novel multimodal methods to understand how short-form algorithmic content shapes public opinion, political polarization, and online culture.

This is a unique opportunity to work at the forefront of the field, combining rigorous social science research designs with state-of-the-art computational techniques.
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Political Analysis @polanalysis.bsky.social · 02/12/2025
Currently in FirstView: In “Meaning Beyond Numbers: Introducing the Plot Staircase to Measure Graphical Preferences,” @talbotmandrews.bsky.social, Justin Curl, and Markus Prior examine how visual characteristics influence preferences. They find that people prefer increasing trends.
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