Amanda Weiss @amandaweiss.bsky.social · 01/10/2026I want to make a joke about why anyone would choose to be a sprinter when clearly that's not our species comparative advantage, but uh... I'm en route to Louisiana for my dad's track meet and his primary event is the 200-meter. 1152
Amanda Weiss @amandaweiss.bsky.social · 26/09/2026I was just canvassed about turning out to vote!!! Love this for me. In fact, I may have been more enthusiastic about the conversation than the volunteer from the NYS Dems... 050
Amanda Weiss @amandaweiss.bsky.social · 18/09/2026Nick Ottone @nottone.bsky.social's handle did not link properly, but huge shout-out to the best coauthor ever :) 041
Amanda Weiss @amandaweiss.bsky.social · 18/09/2026🚨 New Working Paper! 🚨 Do voters *like* local prisons? Are prisons that good for the economy? After years of data collection (+ using a novel estimator?!), @nottone & I find new prisons: • Reduce Republican incumbent vote shares 1-3pp • Decrease per cap. incomes >$2,500 osf.io/dnwke 🧵👇 23015
Amanda Weiss @amandaweiss.bsky.social · 17/09/2026Did @bsky.app introduce the thread length counter so that we could all see just how many ways @kevinmkruse.bsky.social had found to roast His Man? 62158
Amanda Weiss @amandaweiss.bsky.social · 14/09/2026I feel like my Bluesky content is very anti-AI. I am actually not globally opposed to AI! Just sometimes people adopt a new method and forget that new methods create new problems. (You know. Like when we all got excited about modern DID point estimation and forgot to think about inference.) 050
Amanda Weiss @amandaweiss.bsky.social · 14/09/2026Yet another reason to be REALLY, REALLY CAREFUL about using AI to label and analyze qualitative data. 092
Amanda Weiss @amandaweiss.bsky.social · 07/09/2026This is, in fact, a real email that we received. 051
Amanda Weiss @amandaweiss.bsky.social · 30/08/2026Okay, for context, the dog is very entertaining. I too have to resist being entertained when such a big noise emerges from such a small creature. But still. Deer are not supposed to be entertained by nominal predators. 040
Amanda Weiss @amandaweiss.bsky.social · 30/08/2026I am from Indiana, which has a lot of deer. Upstate NY deer are on a whole different level. I was walking the dog and we saw a deer. The dog started barking at the deer. And the deer CAME CLOSER. I think it was ENTERTAINED. And, sure, the dog is not very scary. But the deer is a WILD ANIMAL. 050
Amanda Weiss @amandaweiss.bsky.social · 28/08/2026So this is an example of why I am skeptical of AI for peer review. It's like improv where the answer is always "Yes, and..." Chat responses are - beyond just being positive(!) - natively structured by existing claims. 163
Amanda Weiss @amandaweiss.bsky.social · 27/08/2026We *are* quite delightful. But actually though - lovely faculty community, great students, gorgeous gorges... What more could any prospective assistant professor of public law want? academicjobsonline.org/ajo/jobs/32519static.klipy.comMoira Rose: Won't You Join Me? (Schitt's Creek)ALT: Moira Rose: Won't You Join Me? (Schitt's Creek) 042
Amanda Weiss @amandaweiss.bsky.social · 27/08/2026You know, I always thought that I was a Reviewer No. 1... But my last two reviews were each like 5 pages single-spaced (I *am* now on the record saying I like reviewing 😬). I'm starting to worry that I am Reviewer No. 2. 130
Amanda Weiss @amandaweiss.bsky.social · 27/08/2026Ofc I say this and personally put WAY too much effort into reviews. And then I die inside when my papers spend six months under review or get torpedoed because someone was not on board with my type of paper existing or are evaluated by someone who doesn't know how math works. So there's that... 151
Amanda Weiss @amandaweiss.bsky.social · 22/08/2026Optimist: The cup is half full. Pessimist: The cup is half-empty. Political methodologist: The cup is the convex hull of the treated group's covariate values. 020
Amanda Weiss @amandaweiss.bsky.social · 20/08/2026As a practicing political methodologist, I maintain a list of well-identified causes of Republican electoral success. The list includes: * Racist backlash. * Eating chips rather than Cheez-Its at your election night watch party. * David Froomkin predicting a Democratic landslide. 062
Amanda Weiss @amandaweiss.bsky.social · 04/08/2026This exactly. In fully-automated luxury gay space communism, you will be able to *choose* between making spreadsheets with your artist commune polycule and being down bad in your castle. 0223
Amanda Weiss @amandaweiss.bsky.social · 28/07/2026Also I'm SO PUMPED to be a non-presenting coauthor. 🙏 I like the sound of my voice as much as the next academic, but I did 5 conference presentations on other papers earlier this summer and I am now in my couch potato era. Until APSA. 040
Amanda Weiss @amandaweiss.bsky.social · 28/07/2026I'm so proud of this paper that @nottone.bsky.social and I did on prisons... massive data collection! the political economy of criminal legal system! jackknife standard errors! 071
Reposted by Amanda WeissNick Ottone @nottone.bsky.social · 27/07/2026I’m looking forward to presenting really exciting work (co-authored w/ @amandaweiss.bsky.social) and learn about other great work at @cape-team.bsky.social Annual Research Conference — mine’s tomorrow, 1:30pm ET It’s virtual and everyone is welcome — register here: yale.zoom.us/meeting/regi...yale.zoom.usWelcome! You are invited to join a meeting: The 2026 APE Research Conference . After registering, you will receive a confirmation email about joining the meeting.To register for the 2026 APE Annual Research Conference, please complete the form below. You will receive a unique link which you will use to log in for the duration of the conference. The first day... 041
Amanda Weiss @amandaweiss.bsky.social · 30/06/2026The Overton window has always struck me as conceptually under-determined. But how else to describe elite movement on court packing? In fact, court packing has made me shift my Overton window on the Overton window. 2343
Amanda Weiss @amandaweiss.bsky.social · 16/05/2026I'm lucky to have such an accomplished coauthor. 😉😊 Congratulations @nottone.bsky.social!!!! 020
Amanda Weiss @amandaweiss.bsky.social · 06/05/2026Hell yeah! Though after spending 5 minutes explaining what a blue book is to my students, I discovered that Cornell's blue books are custom-branded and actually white... 040
Amanda Weiss @amandaweiss.bsky.social · 04/05/2026I'm a quant methods professor and a millennial, I need someone to save me from myself. 041
Amanda Weiss @amandaweiss.bsky.social · 04/05/2026Y'ALL I was reading up on the history of the Kitagawa-Oaxaca-Blinder decomposition, which is already wild. Then I discovered that THIS is how young Evelyn became Mrs. Kitagawa (even before becoming Dr. Kitagawa). 1367
Amanda Weiss @amandaweiss.bsky.social · 30/04/2026This is a highly specific response and I'm cackling. Also I'm amazed that one of Edith Wharton's non-Age of Innocence works was assigned in the course of anyone's schooling... 030
Amanda Weiss @amandaweiss.bsky.social · 13/04/2026I had a lot of fun the other day giving a workshop on the modern DID revolution at Syracuse University's Maxwell School — thank you @adam42smith.bsky.social for hosting! I have posted the slides to my website at amandakweiss.com/did if anyone is interested.amandakweiss.comDID Workshop Resources — Amanda Weiss 1217
Amanda Weiss @amandaweiss.bsky.social · 31/03/2026I made an over-engineered Qualtrics survey to handle my wedding RSVPs (name look-up, custom font packs, etc.) Now I'm like, Should I think of a survey experiment to run on family and friends?! 4130
Amanda Weiss @amandaweiss.bsky.social · 28/03/2026I just found out, via reviewer request, about AJPS' new submissions stream for reanalyses. I'm intrigued. Philosophers have written about creating groups of dedicated replication scientists (see, e.g., work by Felipe Romero) and I've wondered about how that model would work in poli sci. 150
Reposted by Amanda WeissOlúfẹ́mi O. Táíwò @olufemiotaiwo.bsky.social · 21/02/2026i've decided not to listen to the audio of a teacher reporting a kindergartender because frankly I don't want to become the person that that event would turn me into. but one thing I hope we are collectively coming to grips with is what it meant that we have lived among such people this whole time 216103512754
Amanda Weiss @amandaweiss.bsky.social · 01/02/2026As a newly-minted BA, I got a job offer to tutor the child of a billionaire and his wife. (Which I turned down. In the interview, the wife asked if I was Jewish, then said "but you look Asian!" She also told me that my hourly rate was too high.) That couple has been in every Epstein files wave. 2547
Amanda Weiss @amandaweiss.bsky.social · 24/12/2025It seems like an expression of privilege, naivete, or inhumanity to say that COVID mitigation was not worth it. Lockdowns have consequences and implementation sucked. I'm teaching that generation now. But also - more than 1 million Americans died. 2329
Amanda Weiss @amandaweiss.bsky.social · 21/12/2025Designing survey recruitment materials right now and I feel like a walking/talking "Graphic Design Is My Passion" meme... 030
Amanda Weiss @amandaweiss.bsky.social · 10/12/2025Ahem. Political science is the *best* science. In all seriousness: Political scientists use the scientific method. And it's not like the political world is mystical/made-up. Assuming a closed physical universe, human behavior has some explanation - it's just hard to identify.* *In all senses 7609
Amanda Weiss @amandaweiss.bsky.social · 03/12/2025I just learned that Cornell Govt grad students will lead a jeopardy game, featuring faculty trivia, at the end-of-semester party. Learning this is how I also learned that Yale Poli Sci was probably unusual for having a student-written skit full-on *roasting* faculty at the department party... 140
Amanda Weiss @amandaweiss.bsky.social · 03/12/2025Cool post! IMO the point recalls the effects-of-causes/ causes-of-effects debate. E.g., some real-world RCTs do not aim to test a scalable intervention, but instead to test a theorized causal relationship. These studies are causal, but they seem distinct from the credibility revolution idea. 130
Amanda Weiss @amandaweiss.bsky.social · 19/11/2025This is an absolute crisis time for quantitative research on opinion and pol behavior. If online survey pools are wrecked, the big surveys like the ANES are losing NSF funding, and the quality/availability of administrative datasets is falling off... well, that's a lot of the field. 150
Amanda Weiss @amandaweiss.bsky.social · 13/11/2025@maxkagan.bsky.social I just dug into the politicsatwork.org site and it's so cool! Political scientists have been letting sociologists dominate workplace research for far too long...politicsatwork.orgPolitics at WorkExplore workplace partisanship and turnout across employers and metros. 120
Reposted by Amanda WeissAdam Bonica @adambonica.bsky.social · 10/11/2025I struggle to understand people who hoard power just to refuse to ever use it. 9877
Amanda Weiss @amandaweiss.bsky.social · 02/11/2025Just realized, while prepping slides for tomorrow, that at least 80% of this observational causal inference course is me pointing at a graph and going "This... is bad." 291
Amanda Weiss @amandaweiss.bsky.social · 29/10/2025My parents recently got a kitten (very exciting!) Each of them is spelling the kitten's name a different way. The kitten has been home for 2 weeks and I am *so curious* to see whose spelling wins. 130
Amanda Weiss @amandaweiss.bsky.social · 29/10/2025@dfroomkin.bsky.social Is your book in need of an epigraph? 110
Amanda Weiss @amandaweiss.bsky.social · 27/10/2025This is such a weird side effect of de-stigmatizing federal benefits. We want to normalize folks using an EBT card to access CalFresh. But we kind of need folks to be policy demanders for their welfare programs. 031
Amanda Weiss @amandaweiss.bsky.social · 20/10/2025The fact that Medicaid expansion is The No. 1 Diff-in-Diff really blinded me to how little attention Medicaid expansion actually gets. 021
Amanda Weiss @amandaweiss.bsky.social · 15/10/2025One of my students who went home for fall break brought back local candies for me as a present. I'm staunchly opposed to clientelism but also 🥹🥹🥹 010
Amanda Weiss @amandaweiss.bsky.social · 15/10/2025The real reason we can't shrink PhD cohorts. Gotta keep the husbands of doctors/lawyers/executives/etc. busy somehow. 050
Amanda Weiss @amandaweiss.bsky.social · 10/10/2025I would be all about a grout robot. But to this day, my parents like to lecture about how something is lost when we don't do our own cleaning & driveway repairs (big Midwest energy!) And I think that's why AI skepticism is rare. Different people want to eliminate different kinds of labor. 120
Amanda Weiss @amandaweiss.bsky.social · 29/09/2025I wonder if these types of labels serve as an information treatment for Americans. In general, economic voting does not depend on accurate blame attributions - just people taking out grumpiness on incumbents. But does anything change if Trump voters connect higher prices to tariffs? 120