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Spenser A. Warren

@spenserawarren.bsky.social
815 followers 433 following 215 posts

Stanton Nuclear Security Fellow, Harvard's Belfer Center | Formerly UC IGCC | PhD, Indiana University | Michigan State Alum | Work on nuclear weapons, emerging tech, Russia, international security | Also football and Star Wars

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Spenser A. Warren @spenserawarren.bsky.social · 11/10/2026
Fall hike at Mount Wachusett
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Ankit Panda @nktpnd.bsky.social · 09/10/2026
This is something @claroche.bsky.social and I discussed in our recent piece on the limitations of the AI-nuclear analogy. Governments should be similarly preparing. www.foreignaffairs.com/united-state...
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Samuel Bendett @sambendett.bsky.social · 09/10/2026
understandingwar.org/research/geo...
understandingwar.org
Russia Is Integrating AI Models into Its Cognitive Warfare Campaign Against Ukraine
Russian sources are relying on AI-generated videos to assert territorial control over areas of Ukraine that they have not seized.
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Elizabeth Jacobs, PhD @elizabethjacobs.bsky.social · 08/10/2026
The argument has been made that this unethical study is “just following the standard of care in G-B”. But the research team HAS the vaccine and the ability to administer the birth dose. We know what will happen when they withhold it. Infants will be infected with Hepatitis B.
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The Spaceshipper 🚀 @thespaceshipper.com · 07/10/2026
According to MIT News, Margaret Hamilton died at the age of 90. "A profoundly influential computer scientist best known for leading the software engineering team at MIT’s Instrumentation Lab during NASA’s Apollo program". This famous photo 🔽 inspired the For All Mankind character Margo Madison.
Margaret Hamilton, but the famous 1969 photo that inspired the For All Mankind character Margo Madison is in the quoted post.
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Spenser A. Warren @spenserawarren.bsky.social · 07/10/2026
Barbell lunges. I broke my ankle playing football and I can't lunge without a free hand in case my ankle is too unstable and gives out. Purely psychological; physically speaking, I am perfectly capable of doing it. For one that isn't mental: seated leg curls. I force myself to do them twice a week.
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paulusthewoodgnome @paulusthewoodgnome.bsky.social · 06/10/2026
"I'm not a defence expert." Even by Kemi Badenoch's lamentable standards, this is agonising. Just give thanks she will never, ever be Prime Minister. 🙏 #politicslive
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🇵🇸Martin “Doomsday” Pfeiffer🖖🏳️‍🌈 @nuclearanthro.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
UNM has a tenure track posting in Anthropology for an archaeologist to be a “core faculty member” at the Center for Stable Isotopes. Application access is thru unmjobs.unm.edu posting #38046 #AnthroSky #PhDLife #AnthroJob
The UNM Department of Anthropology invites applications for a full-time, tenure-track position as an Assistant Professor of Archaeology to begin in August 2027. We seek to hire an integrative archaeologist with a focus in the analysis of stable isotopes to address anthropological questions, including but not limited to the reconstruction past human habitats, diets, modifications of the environment, or responses to climate change. Research foci should complement, and not duplicate, existing specializations in our program. UNM Archaeology has long been a leader in theoretically informed, question-driven, and methodologically sophisticated anthropological archaeological research addressing long-term perspectives on the human experience across the globe. The successful candidate will add to Archaeology's record of innovative, collaborative, and ground-breaking research on cultural dynamics and past human-environment interactions.
The successful candidate will have the opportunity to become a core faculty member in the UNM Center for Stable Isotopes (CSI), an interdisciplinary research and analytical facility supporting stable isotope research across Anthropology, Biology, Earth and Planetary Sciences, Chemistry, and the Biomedical Sciences. The candidate will collaborate with faculty and students across these disciplines and help train early career scientists in stable isotope methods.
The position offers opportunities to expand CSt's state-of-the-art analytical capacity through the development of new methods and capabilities. We seek a scientist who thrives in the laboratory and is committed to instrument development, calibration, quality control, operation, maintenance, and troubleshooting. The successful candidate will also have opportunities to contribute to our two-week summer training course, IsoCamp (isocamp.org), and to pursue a leadership role within CSl.
CSI is a student-centered facility that provides broad access to instrumentation as well as hands-on traini…
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Spenser A. Warren @spenserawarren.bsky.social · 06/10/2026
Photo credits: Yu Bin Kim (L) and I'm not 100% sure but based on the angle I'm 95% sure it was @areddie.bsky.social (R)
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Spenser A. Warren @spenserawarren.bsky.social · 06/10/2026
Had a great time at IS-ISSS in LA this weekend. I presented a coauthored (and early stage) paper on debates within the US around damage limitation and participated in a great roundtable on emerging technology and strategic stability with @lrand11.bsky.social, Cameron Tracy, and Christopher Lawrence.
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Gregory Koblentz @gregkoblentz.bsky.social · 06/10/2026
This is the best locally sourced reporting I've found today on the plague case in Irkutsk, Russia @meduza.io meduza.io/en/feature/2...
meduza.io
A 28-year-old plague researcher died in Russia. Authorities have imposed a quarantine but deny any threat of plague, and locals are struggling to make sense of it. — Meduza
Darya Shipilova, a 28-year-old employee of a plague research institute, died overnight on October 1–2 in Shelekhov, a city just outside Irkutsk. Authorities then isolated about 200 people who had been...
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Brian Taylor @bdtaylor-su.bsky.social · 06/10/2026
static.klipy.com
Ice Cube Driving a Convertible
ALT: Ice Cube Driving a Convertible
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Gerald C Brown @geraldcbrown.bsky.social · 06/10/2026
If true and acted upon, reciprocal site visits would be a huge step forward in providing a mutually beneficial arrangement that limits risk between the US and China by improving transparency and predictability.
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Cheryl Rofer @cherylrofer.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
The Russian authorities seem to be acting responsibly, isolating people who may have been exposed and notifying the rest of the world. Don't freak out.
rferl.org
Siberian Anti-Plague Institute Staff Isolated After Worker's Death
The United States is monitoring reports of a suspected case of pneumonic plague in Russia after the death of a 28-year-old laboratory worker in the Siberian region of Irkutsk, as some US political fig...
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Cheryl Rofer @cherylrofer.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
Just saying... Plague is a disease that is endemic in Asia, the western United States, and other places. We know how to treat it with antibiotics. It is not extraordinarily transmissible. There are 1000 to 2000 cases a year across the world, maybe 10 in the US.
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Dustin A. Chacón @lingdustin.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
I've heard people make claims that AI would lead to a new Renaissance, but I didn't imagine it'd happen like this:
Screenshot of a Tweet from Pope Leo XIV. It reads: 

"In this era of artificial intelligence, it is becoming urgen to distinguish human art from what machines produce. There is an ontological difference, even before an aesthetic one, between art and what a machine can generate through statistical calculation based on millions of images created by others. Algorithms lack the spark of humanity. For this reason, the Church wishes to renew an alliance with artists and cultural institutions to safeguard our humanity."
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Spenser A. Warren @spenserawarren.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
And finally for anyone interested in emerging technologies and international security, come see our roundtable chaired by @areddie.bsky.social and featuring @lrand11.bsky.social, Cameron Tracy, Christopher Lawrence, and Daniel Kroth.
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Spenser A. Warren @spenserawarren.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
Then at 3:45, join us for three great papers (plus the one I'm presenting) at our panel on Nuclear Strategy and Strategic Stability. (note the page break cutting off the fourth contribution)
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Spenser A. Warren @spenserawarren.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
For anyone traveling to LA for IS-ISSS this year and looking for panels to attend Sunday afternoon, I have three that I would "recommend" (translation: shamelessly promote). First up at 2 is a panel on Deterrence, Reassurance, and Alliance Credibility featuring five interesting papers.
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Jon B. Wolfsthal @jonatomic.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
Fire Point is also developing a larger ballistic missile, the FP-9, that would be able to reach Moscow and strategic defense industry targets. Ukraine says that missile . . . is expected to be ready later this year. www.nytimes.com/2026/10/02/w...
nytimes.com
Ukraine Reports First Combat Use of Its Own Ballistic Missile
While the missile fired on Thursday has a limited range, Kyiv is developing a larger weapon that could strike Moscow.
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Rex Huppke @rexhuppke.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
This post turned into a column: www.usatoday.com/story/opinio...
usatoday.com
Christa Pike's botched execution is a moral stain on America | Opinion
I understand the shock over Tennessee's botched execution of convicted murderer Christa Pike. But it never should have happened in the first place.
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Zachary Shirkey @zachary-shirkey.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
Your regular reminder that Michigan hasn’t had the death penalty since 1846–the first English-speaking jurisdiction in the world to ban it. This is a huge source of pride for me in my home state. You’ll also note, Michigan has been just fine without it. www.michbar.org/programs/mil...
michbar.org
Michigan Legal Milestones: 41. First to Abolish the Death Penalty
The State Bar of Michigan shall aid in promoting improvements in the administration of justice and advancements in jurisprudence, in improving relations between the legal profession and the public, an...
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Gregory Koblentz @gregkoblentz.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
The US is refusing to pay its annual dues to the OPCW. A bipartisan group of nonpro and natsec experts have called upon @state-department.bsky.social to fund the global CW watchdog immediately. @armscontrolnow.bsky.social @nukesofhazard.bsky.social armscontrolcenter.org/time-to-fund...
armscontrolcenter.org
Time To Fund the OPCW - Center for Arms Control and Non-Proliferation
By John Erath Since 1993, chemical weapons have killed thousands, with many times more affected, often suffering for years. This despite the Chemical Weapons Convention ban on such activity and a gene...
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Zachary Shirkey @zachary-shirkey.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
(And of course veterans getting education post service). Most political scientists I know really like teaching officers. They are great, dedicated students. Officers become better at their mission through rigorous education. There is no tension i’ve seen.
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Zachary Shirkey @zachary-shirkey.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
As an international relations professor in NYC, let me say that regular interaction btw civilian academics and the US Army is routine. Civilians teaching at West Point. Active duty officers getting graduate education in civilian universities. Retiring officers getting PhDs so they can teach at WP.
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Spenser A. Warren @spenserawarren.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
North Pack Monadnock yesterday.
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thinkingbayonet.bsky.social @thinkingbayonet.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
Fantastic question and the answer is Cajun Bobby
static.klipy.com
Bobby Hill: This Flower Is Wilting - King Of The Hill
ALT: Bobby Hill: This Flower Is Wilting - King Of The Hill
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Paul Poast @profpaulpoast.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
Below is my syllabus "AI Statement". Reliance on LLMs is incompatible with "cultivating the embrace of geeking out"
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The Great Pumpkin Papers 🎃🎃🎃 @professormusgrave.bsky.social · 11/09/2026
It 100% happened and was real to the point it quickly felt weirdly oppressive on its own terms, but we have literal numbers for this! Dubya had approval ratings in the 90s!
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Spenser A. Warren @spenserawarren.bsky.social · 08/09/2026
I can now claim that a Detroit Lion once liked a dumb joke I made about Conrad's on Twitter. www.detroitnews.com/story/sports...
detroitnews.com
Lions sign Joe Bachie from practice squad; one 53-man spot remains open
The Detroit Lions entered Monday, Sept. 7, with two openings on their 53-man roster. After promoting former MSU LB Joe Bachie, only one remains.
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Pavel Podvig @russianforces.org · 07/09/2026
Russia apparently planned to launch an ICBM from Dombarovskiy during the 3-5 September window. By all indications it was the Avangard glider. The test appears to have been cancelled. Website: russianforces.org/blog/2026/09..., Substack: russianforces.substack.com/p/attempted-...
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Spenser A. Warren @spenserawarren.bsky.social · 06/09/2026
Heck, relatedly: we beat Toledo by 10 whole points and I was still upset with that result and complained to multiple sets of colleagues about it before and after a panel at an academic conference yesterday.
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Spenser A. Warren @spenserawarren.bsky.social · 06/09/2026
If you told me a team from Michigan beat WMU by one controversially and their fans excitedly stormed the field, I would have guessed it was a rare FBS-D2 game against Ferris State, not the self-proclaimed "victors and best."
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Spenser A. Warren @spenserawarren.bsky.social · 03/09/2026
In 6th grade I had to play flag football because I was over the weight limit for the tackle league. The only time I lost a block (or got blocked) was when playing one specific other big kid. Coaches never figured out why. Six years later, he was a preferred walk-on as a C/G at Michigan.
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Bradley P. Moss @bradmossesq.bsky.social · 28/08/2026
These people had protected status. They lived here legally. They worked, they paid taxes. They made lives. Raised families. Now we’ve dehumanized them. Ripped away that protection and told them to get out. This is a stain on the soul of this Nation.
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David Dixon @dixondaver.bsky.social · 26/08/2026
Parton ("9 to 5," 1980) provides a more trenchant critique of capital than does Marx ("Das Kapital," 1867) because as a researcher, Parton correctly frames the problem of capital as exacerbating but not supplanting other pre-existing human dynamics such as gender roles. In this essay, I will
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Tom @taschoene.bsky.social · 26/08/2026
I used to walk past a quote from her every day in one of the most unlikely places — the Office of Naval Intelligence. The quote: “If your actions inspire others to dream more, learn more, and become more, you are a leader.” She did and she was. The story of how it got there is kinda surreal.
dailykos.com
Dolly Parton’s Words to Receive a Biblical Level of Reverence from Naval Intelligence Facility
See how a Dolly Parton quote got mistaken for John Quincy Adams before being set straight at a military site. Learn more inside!
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Foreign Affairs @foreignaffairs.com · 25/08/2026
“For thinkers on the New Right, the West is defined by a specific geographic territory, a shared ancestry, and Christianity.” Read Leonard Schuette on the New Right’s logic of civilizationism—and how it could inform Washington’s next grand strategy:
foreignaffairs.com
The New Right’s Grand Strategy After Trump
Civilizationism would upend America’s role in the world.
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Library of Congress @librarycongress.bsky.social · 25/08/2026
The Library is devastated to learn of the passing of Dolly Parton, a music legend and titan of children's literacy. Her Imagination Library program has earned multiple Library Literacy Awards and, in 2018, she visited us to donate its 100 millionth book to our collection and host a story time. 🦋❤️
Dolly Parton reads to children in the Library’s Great Hall in 2018. Photo by Shawn Miller.
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Ankit Panda @nktpnd.bsky.social · 25/08/2026
My thesis on every South Asian crisis of note is that we learn almost nothing contemporaneously and much after the fact. This little disclosure from India that a loitering munition hit Kirana Hills seems to keep with that: www.ndtv.com/india-news/o...
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Matthew Bunn @matthew-bunn.bsky.social · 25/08/2026
This is a great idea—a weekly gov’t/industry risk assessment meeting developing actionable ideas, reporting to a White House official with power to act on them. Things are moving fast and the response has to keep up.
nytimes.com
Opinion | We Know the Risks of A.I. We Need to Act. (Gift Article)
A.I. could turn one of our country’s worst habits into a national security crisis.
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Samuel Bendett @sambendett.bsky.social · 25/08/2026
Check out this highly relevant WarOnTheRocks article on the Russian military promotions from my CNA colleagues @russmil.bsky.social @gabrielairosa.bsky.social Julian Waller and Cornell Overfield. warontherocks.com/russias-next...
warontherocks.com
Russia’s Next Top General: Promotions in Russian Military Leadership
Judged by the initial strategic goals set by Russian President Vladimir Putin in 2022, Russia’s military lost its war against Ukraine some time ago. Yet
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James Cameron @jjjcameron.bsky.social · 24/08/2026
If this happens then RIP Forward Deterrence, I guess.
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Stephen Schwartz @atomicanalyst.bsky.social · 22/08/2026
On April 11, 2024, soon after Annie Jacobsen’s “Nuclear War: A Scenario” was published, I replied to her tweet about an excerpt of it in TIME, pointing out several significant factual errors (including about the origin of the “Football”). She DM’d me, asking for “a brief discussion,” adding …
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LizW @cave-malum.bsky.social · 20/08/2026
This is appalling. Records from the Congressionally Directed Medical Research Programs are posted online via the DTIC. Records include clinical trial awards and annual and final reports. These records are crucial for oversight of research w/vulnerable subjects, e.g. autistic kids.
cdmrp.health.mil
Congressionally Directed Medical Research Programs
The Congressionally Directed Medical Research Programs transforms health care through innovative and impactful research by responsibly managing collaborative research that discovers, develops, and del...
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Spenser A. Warren @spenserawarren.bsky.social · 21/08/2026
Also all of the good important points made by others about transparency and access for people doing gov't-supporting work and research and the impact on quality scholarship in security studies, etc., which are actually more important but currently less salient to my grumpy self updating Paper 1.
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Spenser A. Warren @spenserawarren.bsky.social · 21/08/2026
Here's a fun update on my attempts to get papers ready for APSA... Paper 1 that draws heavily from unclassified reports from across DOD? Yeah those were mostly on DTIC. Paper 2 that relies on FRUS? Yeah that's supposed to have a Reagan case study but most of those volumes still aren't cleared.
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Dan Kaszeta FRHistS @dankaszeta.bsky.social · 20/08/2026
The closure of public access to DTIC is actually very bad for people working in defence and military affairs in many different disciplines.
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SMH Historians @smh-historians.bsky.social · 20/08/2026
The Board of Trustees of the Society for Military History has approved the following statement of protest regarding the recent closure of public access to the Defense Technical Information Center (DTIC).
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Jeffrey Lewis @armscontrolwonk.bsky.social · 20/08/2026
Trump says North Korea has "57 very powerful nuclear weapons." 57 is an oddly specific number. A short 🧵on why the real number is almost certainly higher.
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