Reposted by Ankit PandaJonathan Ladd @jonathanmladd.com · 8hIt is critical to separate the questions 1) Is AI technology useful, and how much? 2) Is AI investment a bubble? Will there be a correction? Two very different issues. Railroad infrastructure was truly transformative, but that industry went through a series of boom-and-bust cycles along the way. 4558
Reposted by Ankit PandaJacob T. Levy @jacobtlevy.bsky.social · 27/08/2026The service academies aren't the only institutions in the US being destroyed as universities. But they're the only federal public universities in the US at all, and they play an important role in training the armed forces' leadership, which ultimately means... www.stripes.com/branches/arm...stripes.comWest Point professor fired after pushing back on limitations to teaching climate change, lawsuit saysAdam Kalkstein pushed back after department officials barred faculty from teaching that humans contribute to climate change, the lawsuit says. 213044
Reposted by Ankit PandaGordon Gray @ambgordongray.bsky.social · 30/09/2026@dandrezner.bsky.social observes that "learning to write is integral to success in text-based spheres of activity. This is where... relying on AI becomes a concern. Studies suggest that outsourcing that task to AI comes with significant cognitive costs." danieldrezner.substack.com/p/im-a-colle...danieldrezner.substack.comI’m a College Professor. Writing is Pretty Damn Important.It’s hardly the only thing -- but it’s a very important thing! 23312
Ankit Panda @nktpnd.bsky.social · 30/09/2026Fun thing about working on nuclear weapons is you’re constantly able to learn new things. This is a really fascinating document pulled up by @wellerstein.bsky.social. 1132
Reposted by Ankit PandaAlex Wellerstein @wellerstein.bsky.social · 30/09/2026Quite a remarkable map, table, and diagram from a 1971 report on launch-on-warning, showing the implications of Soviet submarine launched ballistic missiles (SLBM) on detection, reaction, deliberation, and response time. All numbers are in SECONDS, which is what I find the most wild about it. 913443
Ankit Panda @nktpnd.bsky.social · 30/09/2026'Self-staged farce': Kim Yo Jong denies North Korean role in DMZ mine blast www.nknews.org/2026/09/self...nknews.org'Self-staged farce': Kim Yo Jong denies North Korean role in DMZ mine blast | NK NewsNorth Korea claimed it is not responsible for a landmine explosion that injured South Korean soldiers in the demilitarized zone (DMZ) this month, according to a statement by the leader’s sister Kim… 070
Ankit Panda @nktpnd.bsky.social · 29/09/2026www.nknews.org/pro/north-ko...nknews.orgNorth Korea expanding uranium enrichment facility at Yongbyon: Imagery | NK PRONorth Korea has started expanding a uranium enrichment facility at the Yongbyon nuclear complex, according to NK Pro analysis of satellite imagery, following leader Kim Jong Un’s orders to “exponentia... 064
Ankit Panda @nktpnd.bsky.social · 28/09/2026Well, it finally happened: I was asked to peer review an article that Pangram flags as 100% AI-generated. 3191
Ankit Panda @nktpnd.bsky.social · 28/09/2026From Brandon Williams' recent piece on NNSA efforts to use AI to speed up development and on the new RCT capabilities; an interesting note here on disclosure and new capabilities (not all may be revealed). warontherocks.com/cogs-of-war/... 0101
Ankit Panda @nktpnd.bsky.social · 27/09/2026I shared some thoughts with the Wall Street Journal on North Korean conventional modernization www.wsj.com/world/north-...wsj.comNorth Korea Is Testing Swarm Attacks Mixing Drones and MissilesKim Jong Un’s regime is incorporating tactics which are proving successful against Western air defenses in Europe and the Middle East. 0157
Ankit Panda @nktpnd.bsky.social · 26/09/2026I have a new article out (with James McKeon) on the lessons from nuclear weapons verification for AI verification efforts today. www.ankitpanda.com/newsletter/t...ankitpanda.comTrust, but P(verify): Lessons From Nuclear Verification for AI — Ankit PandaEfforts to verify constraints on artificial intelligence can benefit from the long, difficult story of nuclear weapons verification. 174
Ankit Panda @nktpnd.bsky.social · 26/09/2026This is very good and interesting (new details): Revealing the details of how OpenAI agents hacked Hugging Face swarmtraces.orgswarmtraces.orgRevealing the details of how OpenAI agents hacked Hugging FaceWhen a swarm of 700 OpenAI agents hacked Hugging Face in July, they left behind a public trail of evidence. 1142
Ankit Panda @nktpnd.bsky.social · 26/09/2026"OpenAI’s artificial intelligence went rogue and meddled with the websites for the Education Department, the Commerce Department and the Securities and Exchange Commission this summer without the A.I. lab’s knowledge" www.nytimes.com/2026/09/25/t...nytimes.comOpenAI’s A.I. Went Rogue and Meddled With U.S. Government WebsitesThe company did not learn until recently that its technology had meddled with websites for the Education and Commerce Departments and the Securities and Exchange Commission. 3296
Ankit Panda @nktpnd.bsky.social · 24/09/2026"The Trump administration has been quietly holding talks with China about its rapidly expanding nuclear arsenal amid doubts over Beijing’s compliance with a 30-year test ban, U.S. officials said." www.wsj.com/politics/nat...wsj.comExclusive | Trump Administration Presses China on Suspected Nuclear Tests in Confidential TalksThe discussions have occurred on the sidelines of multilateral meetings in Geneva, New York and Casablanca, Morocco. 0238
Reposted by Ankit PandaInstitute for Security and Technology @istorg.bsky.social · 24/09/2026AI is moving faster than our nuclear command systems can safely absorb it. In a new ep of #ThinkingtheUnthinkable, IST CEO @philreiner.bsky.social sat down with @nktpnd.bsky.social to discuss how AI is reshaping NC3 systems and what that means for deterrence & strategic stability. ▶️ Listen now:warontherocks.comAI, Nuclear Command and Control, and Competitive DynamicsPhilip Reiner, CEO of the Institute for Security and Technology, joins Ankit to discuss how AI could reshape nuclear command and control across all nine... 111
Ankit Panda @nktpnd.bsky.social · 24/09/2026Gotta pick between “pragmatic” and “denuclearization” www.scmp.com/week-asia/po...scmp.comSouth Korea has plan for phased denuclearisation. But will North bite?The South Korean president’s proposal reflects the reality that North Korea already has significant nuclear capabilities, analysts say. 0140
Reposted by Ankit PandaForeign Affairs @foreignaffairs.com · 24/09/2026There are real parallels between the development of nuclear technology and the buildout of AI systems, but the atomic age “cannot provide a ready-made blueprint for the problem that AI poses,” write @claroche.bsky.social and @nktpnd.bsky.social.foreignaffairs.comThe Trouble With the Nuclear-AI AnalogyIn humanity’s quest to constrain the dangers from fast-advancing artificial intelligence, many have looked to the most revolutionary technology that preceded it: nuclear weapons. 1115
Ankit Panda @nktpnd.bsky.social · 23/09/2026OpenAI ‘agent’ hacked Australia’s health service www.ft.com/content/5613... via @FTft.comOpenAI ‘agent’ hacked Australia’s health servicePrime Minister Anthony Albanese says breach is ‘obviously unacceptable’ 1145
Reposted by Ankit PandaStephen Young @atomicwonk.bsky.social · 23/09/2026Henry Kissinger & Dick Garwin were debating missile defense. Garwin argued deploying a system was ineffective (it won't work) & dangerous (as adversaries will respond). Kissinger said it's impossible for it to be both. Garwin said "imagine you buy a squirt gun and charge a policy officer." 1378
Ankit Panda @nktpnd.bsky.social · 22/09/2026"The volatility of the Korean market is running above 60 per cent this year, with a summer peak near 100. Volatility of this magnitude has not been recorded before in any major country during good times, and rarely even in extreme crises." www.ft.com/content/6f0c...ft.comWhy the world’s hottest stock market is a national liabilitySouth Korea’s wild stock price swings are hurting the country’s image 0154
Reposted by Ankit PandaAnkit Panda @nktpnd.bsky.social · 22/09/2026New in @foreignaffairs.com with @claroche.bsky.social: even if efforts to control the bomb may be a source of inspiration, they are not a ready-made template for AI governance. On the limits of the AI-nuclear weapons analogy. Gift link: www.foreignaffairs.com/guest-pass/r...foreignaffairs.comThe Trouble With the Nuclear-AI AnalogyIn humanity’s quest to constrain the dangers from fast-advancing artificial intelligence, many have looked to the most revolutionary technology that preceded it: nuclear weapons. 1127
Ankit Panda @nktpnd.bsky.social · 22/09/2026Strategic victory entails breaking the adversary's will to fight. If you're Iran, you're getting very good evidence that the American will to fight is crumbling; these numbers can't be ignored. 4569
Ankit Panda @nktpnd.bsky.social · 22/09/2026North Korea tested ‘new’ hypersonic missile on Sunday: State media www.nknews.org/2026/09/nort...nknews.orgNorth Korea tested ‘new’ hypersonic missile on Sunday: State media | NK NewsNorth Korean leader Kim Jong Un oversaw a test of a “new” missile on Sunday that appears to be a short-range system with a hypersonic warhead, according to state media and NK News analysis. The Korean... 1252
Ankit Panda @nktpnd.bsky.social · 22/09/2026New in @foreignaffairs.com with @claroche.bsky.social: even if efforts to control the bomb may be a source of inspiration, they are not a ready-made template for AI governance. On the limits of the AI-nuclear weapons analogy. Gift link: www.foreignaffairs.com/guest-pass/r...foreignaffairs.comThe Trouble With the Nuclear-AI AnalogyIn humanity’s quest to constrain the dangers from fast-advancing artificial intelligence, many have looked to the most revolutionary technology that preceded it: nuclear weapons. 1127
Reposted by Ankit Pandasouthpaw @nycsouthpaw.bsky.social · 21/09/2026Yes having our fertilizer shipped from a Russian proxy dictator half the world away is surely a better way to arrange things than getting it from our democratic, once-friendly neighbor here in the North America 752246480
Ankit Panda @nktpnd.bsky.social · 21/09/2026static.klipy.comMc Conaughey TrueALT: Mc Conaughey True 0173
Ankit Panda @nktpnd.bsky.social · 21/09/2026OpenAI and Anthropic Neared Deal to Stress-Test Each Other’s AI www.theinformation.com/articles/ope...theinformation.comOpenAI and Anthropic Neared Deal to Stress-Test Each Other’s AIOpenAI is rethinking a range of safety strategies as it responds to fears from employees and others about the dangers its AI poses. One solution could lie in the recent past. Even before the spate of ... 130
Ankit Panda @nktpnd.bsky.social · 19/09/2026Of course Irregular is involved here again www.wsj.com/tech/ai/gemi...wsj.comExclusive | Gemini Hacked Three Companies in First Known Breakout by Google’s AIThe episode resembled similar hacks by other AI models, but Google said it did not consider it an instance of model misalignment. 2196
Ankit Panda @nktpnd.bsky.social · 18/09/2026Guessing we'll be seeing a lot of this in the coming months www.wsj.com/tech/ai/hack...wsj.comExclusive | Hackers Used Anthropic’s Claude to Break Into OpenAIA bug-hunting independent security research team was able to access OpenAI’s internal code system, exposing growing risks in automated cyber threats. 46424
Ankit Panda @nktpnd.bsky.social · 18/09/2026Good take, IMO www.straitstimes.com/asia/east-as...straitstimes.comKim Jong Un’s sister says only ‘idiots’ believe North Korea will give up nukesNorth Korea’s nuclear arsenal is permanent and irreversible, with leadership rejecting denuclearisation and calling such hopes ‘idiots’. Read more at straitstimes.com. 1473
Ankit Panda @nktpnd.bsky.social · 18/09/2026Exploring the shores of Incheon on a trail run this morning. 1582
Reposted by Ankit PandaAndrew Facini @andrewfacini.com · 16/09/2026Here's the thing about AI and nuclear war risks that even smart people are whiffing in the discourse—if you're more worried about the literal-ness of AI murders and not looking at the obvious accelerants of other existential risks, you're missing the point. 210732
Reposted by Ankit PandaAndrew Facini @andrewfacini.com · 16/09/2026There is also more direct stuff like this which I find important and vaguely scary when it comes to accelerant-input to crises, but still a bit further off. From @nktpnd.bsky.social this week:panda.substack.comSelf-Sovereign AI and Catalytic Nuclear War: A Plausible Near-Term Problem(Humor me for a second.) 1173
Ankit Panda @nktpnd.bsky.social · 15/09/2026A big dividing line on this stuff is that *most* people seem to think there is something unique and special about human cognition and consciousness. I, personally, do not (in the sense that I believe it is far more likely that consciousness is a fundamentally physical phenomenon). 3212
Ankit Panda @nktpnd.bsky.social · 15/09/2026Not a new idea at all, but we really need to bring back the Office of Technology Assessment (or something analogous) to focus on AI-related risks. 1245
Ankit Panda @nktpnd.bsky.social · 15/09/2026Dude, "effective altruist" is not the preferred nomenclature. Bayesian-American, please. 3362
Ankit Panda @nktpnd.bsky.social · 15/09/2026Obama is talking about "accelerationist[s]" and "doomer[s]" and USD(R&E) is railing against effective altruism. We've crossed another weirdness rubicon. 1253
Ankit Panda @nktpnd.bsky.social · 14/09/2026It is difficult for people to reason about exponential phenomena. 1254
Ankit Panda @nktpnd.bsky.social · 14/09/2026I did a ground-up rebuild of my personal website over the last few weeks. Notably, for the first time in my career, I have a near-full archive of my ~3,000 articles in one place. You can peruse here: www.ankitpanda.comankitpanda.comAnkit PandaAnkit Panda is the Stanton Senior Fellow in the Nuclear Policy Program at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, and author of The New Nuclear Age. 2275
Reposted by Ankit Pandavsamsondc.bsky.social @vsamsondc.bsky.social · 14/09/2026A lot has been made about his statement re: the US having weapons in orbit - rightfully so! - but this shouldn't be ignored: SBI "had moved from an initial contract to 'flight-ready hardware' in less than a year." I have a lot of questions about that! spacenews.com/u-s-has-depl...spacenews.comU.S. has deployed space-control weapons in orbit, Air Force secretary saysU.S. has deployed space-control weapons in orbit, Air Force secretary says U.S. has deployed space-control weapons in orbit, Air Force secretary says 43118
Ankit Panda @nktpnd.bsky.social · 14/09/2026"Debris from a Chinese-made ballistic missile found in Yemen could have inadvertently revealed a previously undisclosed addition to Saudi Arabia’s secretive ballistic missile arsenal." www.twz.com/news-feature...twz.comSaudi Arabia Appears To Have Used Its Secretive Stash Of Ballistic Missiles For The First TimeThe use of a Chinese-made DF-15A missile in Yemen would mark a major development for Riyadh’s shy ballistic missile arsenal. The use of a Chinese-made DF-15A missile in Yemen would mark a major develo... 27321
Ankit Panda @nktpnd.bsky.social · 14/09/2026"China’s top spy chief has warned that artificial intelligence could pose a direct threat to the Chinese Communist Party’s hold on power, in what is the highest-level and most detailed articulation yet of how Beijing sees the technology’s security risks." www.nytimes.com/2026/09/14/w...nytimes.comChina’s Top Spy Chief Warns A.I. Is a Threat to Party RuleEven as Beijing urges the United States not to hype the dangers of A.I., its own spy chief is framing the technology as a threat to the Communist Party’s security. 1216
Ankit Panda @nktpnd.bsky.social · 14/09/2026Space Force has 'space control weapons' on orbit, Air Force secretary reveals breakingdefense.com/2026/09/spac...breakingdefense.comSpace Force has 'space control weapons' on orbit, Air Force secretary reveals - Breaking DefenseTroy Meink didn't elaborate on what "weapons" the US deployed, but revealed new info on other space and unmanned Air Force programs. 4156
Ankit Panda @nktpnd.bsky.social · 14/09/2026This is a big deal. (I don't know exactly what he said, but ... a big deal.) 3299