iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

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Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham @paulgp.com · 04/10/2026

Did a (very scientific, much unbiased) poll of the audience at the <<Empirical Methods in the Age of AI>> conference I just attended. Here were the results! hai.stanford.edu/events/empir...

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Kieran Healy @kjhealy.co · 01/10/2026

Here’s the monthly data with a 12-month trailing average, so we don’t “look ahead” of the time series. We can see that visits from Canada are substantially down. Like, a *lot*. And if we looked at the French series by itself we’d see something too. But it’s not on the scale of Covid. Yet.

Smoothed monthly graph shows Canada has dropped in visits substantially, but not to the extent we saw in Covid

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Leah Stokes @leahstokes.bsky.social · 01/10/2026

My book, *The Carbon Wave*, is the #1 new release in Environmental Policy! Thanks to everyone who has picked up a copy so far. My deepest hope is that this book will catalyze a lot of new climate action, so thanks for sharing it with others. Really appreciate all the support!

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Adolfo Neto @adolfoneto.elixiremfoco.com · 21/09/2026

N. Katherine Hayles says LLMs are hideously innefficent. www.instagram.com/reels/Ddeogb...

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Kieran Healy @kjhealy.co · 18/09/2026

This is the far more likely pathway for how AI will end us all, btw. Not via some superintelligent swarm of paperclip maximizers, but by a cascading sequence of dumb fuckups driven by human beings who have arranged things to be fast-moving and catastrophically fragile while also being really lazy.

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Casey Newton @caseynewton.bsky.social · 18/09/2026

Terrifying

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Manon Jacob @manonjacob.bsky.social · 17/09/2026

🪫Not Death with a Norwegian accent commenting on mass programmed obsolescence... I just love everything about this.

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Dr. Jonathan Foley @globalecoguy.bsky.social · 09/09/2026

Climate scientist here. 👋 We are NOT fucked. BUT we are behind where we should be. The good news is that we have the solutions we need to stop climate change. We just need to get busy deploying them! And here’s the proof. Almost 120 solutions, with more coming. drawdown.org/explorer

drawdown.org

Drawdown Explorer™

We know what we need to do: stop climate change as quickly as possible. Now, with the Drawdown Explorer, we know how to do it.

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Michael Mazengarb @michaelmazengarb.bsky.social · 02/09/2026

When the Paris Agreement goals was negotiated in 2016, targets were set based on what was feasible at the time. A stark takeaway from today's UNEP 'overshoot' report is that we fucked it up. We didn't do the things we needed to do. We wasted a decade and the consequences are coming.

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Sung Kim @sungkim.bsky.social · 30/08/2026

Someone should create an AI movie of this incident. www.dwarkesh.com/p/openai-hug...

dwarkesh.com

The Rise and Fall of Agent Civilizations

The whole OpenAI/Hugging Face story in plain English

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Dr. Aaron Thierry @thierryaaron.bsky.social · 10/08/2026

European summers aren't what they used to be! Grey curve is the climate of 1950-90. Every coloured line is a summer since 1991. Every one since 2005 sits beyond the 95th percentile of the curve. This isn't a shifting #climate. It's already a new one! 🤯🥵 Plot inspired by Barriopedro et al. 2011

Distribution of European summer temperature anomalies, June to August, over 25°W-40°E, 35-70°N, land only, the region used by Barriopedro et al., relative to 1961-1990, from ERA5. Grey bars show the 41 summers from 1950 to 1990, with a normal curve fitted through them, centred near zero. Coloured vertical lines show every summer from 1991 to 2025, shaded yellow through dark red by year, and almost all of them fall to the right of the grey distribution. The ten warmest are labelled, with 2024 furthest right at 2.74°C and 2022 next at 2.54°C. A dotted line marks the 95th percentile of the 1950-1990 distribution at 0.76°C.

Both run long, which is fine, since alt text has no practical limit and screen reader users benefit from the detail.

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Dr. Aaron Thierry @thierryaaron.bsky.social · 03/08/2026

A first year above 2C in the mid-2030s now looks plausible. 0.5C was first passed in 1980, 1.0C in 2010 and 1.5C in 2024. The 15-year trend runs at 0.42C per decade. The 2026 and 2027 points for the current El Nino are estimates. We're not remotely ready!

Line chart titled "A first year above 2 C in the mid-2030s looks increasingly plausible". It shows global mean surface temperature from 1940 to 2050 as the annual anomaly against the 1850 to 1900 baseline, in degrees C. Data is ERA5 from Copernicus, running to 31 July 2026.

A thin gold line shows individual years, wobbling around a thick dark blue smoothed trend. Both sit near 0.2 C through the 1940s to the early 1970s, then climb steadily from the mid-1970s onward.

Three red dots mark the first year each threshold was passed. 0.5 C in 1980, 1.0 C in 2010 and 1.5 C in 2024. Labels beneath note the gap of 30 years between the first two and 14 years between the second and third. Everything above 1.5 C is shaded pink.

Two dashed lines run forward from 2025. A blue line follows the 15-year trend of 0.42 C per decade and reaches 2 C in 2037. A fainter grey line follows the 30-year trend of 0.27 C per decade and reaches 2 C in 2044.

Two orange circles mark estimates for the developing El Niño, at about 1.5 C for 2026 and about 1.7 C for 2027.

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Dr. Aaron Thierry @thierryaaron.bsky.social · 02/08/2026

Gro Harlem Brundtland, the Norwegian PM who defined 'sustainable development' in 1987, led the country through its oil boom. In May 2026 Norway 🇳🇴 opened 70 new exploration blocks, 38 in the Arctic Barents Sea. It plans to keep producing for decades, even as the planet burns 🔥

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Ketan Joshi @ketanjoshi.co · 25/07/2026

This is a clip of me talking about how nice wind turbines are I am a Fan Boy fanboy. I have nothing to add

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ArtButMakeItSports @artbutmakeitsports.bsky.social · 19/07/2026

Mephisto, by Joaquín Espalter y Rull, 1872, 📸 by Dan Mullan

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Brent Toderian @brenttoderian.bsky.social · 28/06/2026

“Copenhagen reported that 62% of its residents are now commuting to work or school by bike — an increase from 52% in 2015 & 36% in 2012, when the City Council launched a 14-year-plan to improve the quality, safety & comfort of cycling.” #Copenhagen chose. They keep choosing even better every year.

latimes.com

Copenhagen has taken bicycle commuting to a whole new level

Cycling has been a part of that good life in Copenhagen for decades. In recent years, it has enjoyed yet another unfathomable surge in popularity — taken to the next level thanks to constantly improvi...

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Ed Hawkins @edhawkins.org · 23/06/2026

Happy birthday to the heatwave of 1976 which began today 50 years ago, peaking at 35.9°C. If a comparable heatwave happened in the current climate it would be 3-4°C hotter, peaking at 38-39°C. And the actual forecast is for temperatures of 38-39°C in the next few days with a red heatwave warning.

The summer of 1976 translated into a warmer climate.

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Katharine Hayhoe @katharinehayhoe.com · 30/05/2026

I’m a climate scientist. Let me fix this headline. “Nearly a century ago, scientists showed that burning fossil fuels warms the planet. Today, we know human emissions account for over 100% of the warming. Yet dark money and disinformation still work to keep Americans addicted to fossil fuels.”

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Laura Bassett @lebassett.bsky.social · 30/05/2026

Their new girlfriend is women

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Sanho Tree @sanho.bsky.social · 25/04/2026

They are coming to drive your electricity prices through the roof, destroy your environment, pervert your politics, enrich billionaires, take your jobs, and make you pay for the privilege. What’s not to love? ¯\_(ツ)_/¯

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David Ho @davidho.bsky.social · 25/05/2026

Think of CO₂ removal like a time machine. How far back does planting 100 million trees take us? One mature tree takes up ~25 kg of CO₂/year, so 100 million trees will take up 2.5 MtCO₂. That's a time machine that takes us back ~33 minutes in a year. Nature will not save us from fossil fuel CO₂.

static.klipy.com

DeLorean Time Travel: Back To The Future

Alt: DeLorean Time Travel: Back To The Future

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The War on Cars @thewaroncars.bsky.social · 25/05/2026

- MTA bus speeds in & around the decongestion zone increased 2.3%, reversing years of decline & delivering more reliable trips. - Ridership grew on routes through the decongestion zone: subway trips +9%, local/select bus +8.4%, express bus +7.8%. - Greenhouse gas emissions in the zone fell ~6.1%

fastcompany.com

One major decongestion experiment is surprising the haters

The early data is in, and it’s impressive.

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Aaron Rupar @atrupar.com · 22/05/2026

Landry: "Greenland needs a deal. Greenland could be exporting 2 million barrels of oil a day right now. Think about what kind of pressure that would relieve in the Strait of Hormuz, what kind of leverage that would give America. It's time for the Danes to come to the table and let's get a deal done"

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Adam Scharpf @ascharpf.bsky.social · 19/05/2026

Thrilled to see Making a Career in Dictatorship featured in The New York Times @nytimes.com My favorite line: “[The book] reads like what you might get if you crossed Hannah Arendt’s ideas about the ‘banality of evil’ with a business school guide on how to get the most out of low performers.”

nytimes.com

Actually, Democracy Dies in H.R.

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John Bistline @bistline.bsky.social · 08/05/2026

Projected increase in household energy costs from curtailing IRA's power sector credits: ~$55-640/year in 2035. States matter more than the national number.

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Jon Corsiglia (he/him/el) | Eco-Economy Insider @ecoeconomyinsider.com · 04/05/2026

The Iran war just did what a decade of climate policy couldn’t: made fossil fuels look economically unreliable. The IEA calls it the “largest supply disruption in the history of the global oil market.” Oil demand (forecast to grow in 2026) is now projected to contract by 80,000 barrels/day. 1/5

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Dmitry Grozoubinski @explaintrade.com · 28/04/2026

1/ So angry. First, this is what "elections have consequences" really looks like. In addition to big stuff like wars and Liberation Day tariffs, the whole vast US machinery of state is now working everywhere, on everything, to make the world worse in every way. Thanks guys.

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Auke Hoekstra @aukehoekstra.bsky.social · 27/04/2026

Pretty clear way to show it and looks about right: internal combustion cars really don't have a snowball's chance in hell agains electric cars.

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Jan Rosenow @janrosenow.bsky.social · 25/04/2026

Denmark's coal-to-wind transition is one of the most dramatic energy transformations of the past three decades. In 1990, coal provided 90% of Danish electricity. Today it is under 3%. Wind now covers roughly 60% of electricity generation. The last coal plant is scheduled to close by 2028.

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Brendan Nyhan @brendannyhan.bsky.social · 23/04/2026

Journal editors - the status quo on preregistration is not working! You need to check submissions vs. preregistrations before sending articles out for review. *56%* of experiments I reviewed in last year have severe problems with non-disclosure, undocumented deviations, & more - see Claude summary ↓

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Maja Göpel @beyond-ideology.bsky.social · 22/04/2026

„For every pound spent on net zero, the benefits would outweigh the cost by between 2.2 and 4.1 times, the body said.“ www.ft.com/content/d163...

ft.com

Net zero will cost less than fossil fuel price rise, UK climate adviser says

Climate Change Committee report comes after days of turbulence in global energy markets

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Emil Hvitfeldt @emilhvitfeldt.bsky.social · 13/04/2026

I'm back with another quarto extension, now presenting quarto-timelines! Customizable timelines in html and revealjs slides, different layout and fragment support included emilhvitfeldt.com/post/quarto-... #quarto

emilhvitfeldt.com

Announcing quarto-timeline

quarto-timeline is a new Quarto extension that helps you make timeline visualizations.

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Ed Maibach @maibached.bsky.social · 13/04/2026

The worldwide clean energy revolution is unstoppable. The real question now is can we stop Big Oil CEOs before they destroy everything we love and destroy our children and grandchildren’s futures? Our health and our climate have a common enemy: fossil fuels. @gchalliance.bsky.social

reuters.com

Exclusive: Renewables grew to almost 50% of global electricity capacity in 2025 after solar boost

Renewable power made up almost 50% of the world’s electricity capacity last year after a record ‌increase in solar installations, data from the International Renewable Energy Agency shared exclusively...

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Jay Van Bavel, PhD @jayvanbavel.bsky.social · 10/04/2026

When people use AI for writing assistance, it can shift their political attitudes by autocompleting sentences in biased ways. Yet people are often unaware of the AI bias & it's influence This is not merely about the facts presented, but how autocomplete worlds www.science.org/doi/10.1126/...

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Andrew Gordon @andrewgordon.bsky.social · 01/04/2026

So are AI agents infiltrating surveys? Not really. Meaningful detections were almost exclusively on MTurk (11-16%). Every other platform: at or below 1% for our primary detection flag [5/9]

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Niki Hubbard, PhD 🐙🦀 @nikihubbard.bsky.social · 30/03/2026

Once upon a time I just admired nudis and sea slugs. But it was not enough. Now apparently I'm creating an R package to celebrate their colour palettes? 😅 First up, my Sydney fave, Hypselodoris bennetti. #rstats #nudibranch #dataviz 🦑🐙🧪 #marinelife #invertebrates

Close up with a beautiful nudibranch on a rocky reef. The lower half of the image is a palette of swatches made from the nudi's vibrant colours.

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Rachit Dubey @rachitdubey.bsky.social · 07/04/2026

🚨New preprint and our results are rather concerning.. We find the "boiling frog" equivalent of AI use. Using large-scale RCTs, we provide *casual* evidence that AI assistance reduces persistence and hurts independent performance. And these effects emerge after just 10–15 minutes of AI use! 1/

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Carlos Scheidegger @cscheid.net · 06/04/2026

And another Quarto announcement; I've alluded to it before, but we're making it "official". We've started work on Quarto 2. The blog post has an overview: quarto.org/docs/blog/po... We'll share more in future blog posts, but here's what you can expect from the Quarto 2 dev effort: (1/)

quarto.org

What’s next: Quarto 2 – Quarto

We’ve started working on quarto-dev/q2, a full rewrite of Quarto in Rust.

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Bastian Herre @bastianherre.bsky.social · 18/03/2026

New data from V-Dem, which tracks democracy worldwide, points to a sharp decline in US democracy in 2025. Checks on the government and the freedom of expression have especially declined. But the data also points to what could halt and reverse the decline. Here’s what the data shows. 🧵

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Olúfẹ́mi O. Táíwò @olufemiotaiwo.bsky.social · 15/03/2026

this is in no sense how it should have happened. but it is precisely because we find ourselves in a situation that requires war, death, and destruction to get well positioned political actors behind accelerating energy transition that we should demolish fossil capital as decisively as we can

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Jake Grumbach @jakemgrumbach.bsky.social · 14/03/2026

I can’t get over how Cultural Revolution the DOGE story is, these young people doing crimes they didn’t understand on behalf of a political leader

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Kevin M. Kruse @kevinmkruse.bsky.social · 20/02/2026

Just to keep it straight ... It's Trump's Secretary of Homeland Security who's allegedly having a barely concealed affair with her married aide who tried to fire a Coast Guard pilot for not turning their luxury jet around mid-flight to go back and get her blankie ...

wsj.com

A Pilot Fired Over Kristi Noem’s Missing Blanket and the Constant Chaos Inside DHS

Secretary faces fire for confrontational immigration crackdown and self-promotional style; White House to wind down Minnesota operations.

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The Empty City @davidallengreen.bsky.social · 17/02/2026

Powerful stuff.

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Ryan Briggs @ryancbriggs.net · 11/02/2026

It's ironic to see a discipline care **so much** about unbiasedness (causal inference!) at the level of a single test but then have a research production system and culture that is basically a ferocious bias generation machine. This is not good.

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Josh McCrain @joshmccrain.bsky.social · 12/02/2026

So little discussion of Claude code on here. We are experiencing an unprecedented shock to how empirical research is done and it's going to primarily affect grad students

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Leah McElrath @leahmcelrath.bsky.social · 04/02/2026

⚠️ The CIA World Factbook has been shut down. (link: www.cia.gov/stories/stor...)

CIA
STORIES -
SPOTLIGHTING
THE WORLD FACT-BOOK AS WE BID A FOND FAREWELL
February 4, 2026

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Davis Vaughan @davisvaughan.bsky.social · 04/02/2026

dplyr 1.2.0 is out now and we are SO excited! - `filter_out()` for dropping rows - `recode_values()`, `replace_values()`, and `replace_when()` that join `case_when()` as a complete family of recoding/replacing tools These are huge quality of life wins for #rstats! tidyverse.org/blog/2026/02...

tidyverse.org

dplyr 1.2.0

dplyr 1.2.0 fills in some important gaps in dplyr's API: we've added a new complement to `filter()` focused on dropping rows, and we've expanded the `case_when()` family with three new recoding and re...

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