Bastian Herre @bastianherre.bsky.social · 18hTwo leading scholars of democracy argue that the US is not a democracy anymore, because the Trump government has been systematically using the state to tilt the political playing field against its opponents. But they also think it’s not going to last because civil society in the US is very strong. 130
Bastian Herre @bastianherre.bsky.social · 01/10/2026The last two decades haven't been good for democracy in Eastern Europe. Fewer liberal democracies, and fewer democracies overall. 392
Reposted by Bastian HerreBritish Journal of Political Science @bjpols.bsky.social · 30/09/2026From July 2026 - Democratic Satisfaction and the Public Sphere - cup.org/4yP5gv2 "This article identifies three features of national public spheres – pluralism, information, and respect..." - @agustingoenaga.bsky.social #OpenAccess 098
Reposted by Bastian HerreGabriela Greilinger @gabrielagreilinger.com · 30/09/2026Excited to share our new working paper with @benyoel.bsky.social: we analyse public opinion dynamics around the consequential election in Hungary last April and specifically look at (anti-)democratic attitudes in the aftermath of Orbán's defeat. Available here: papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....papers.ssrn.comDemocratic Attitudes When Backsliding Reverses: Evidence from HungaryIncreasingly, opposition actors in settings undergoing democratic backsliding have been able to unseat anti-democratic incumbents. But unseating an anti-democra 12311
Bastian Herre @bastianherre.bsky.social · 30/09/2026Striking to see the increase in tourism to Albania: In 2007, the country saw about one million visits. In 2024, it was more than ten times that: 11.5 million visits. 131
Reposted by Bastian HerreAudrey Alejandro @audreyalejandro.bsky.social · 09/09/2026How state-centric is conflict studies? In this new article in International Studies Perspectives 🎉, I systematically examine how 12 major conflict event datasets embed state-centrism through their inclusion criteria, classifications, and documentation. academic.oup.com/isp/advance-... 1124
Reposted by Bastian HerreHaakon Gjerløw @haakongjerlw.bsky.social · 29/09/2026✌️ Next week, this year's recipient of the Nobel Peace Prize will be announced in Oslo ✍️ Thanks to The Guardian for inviting me to share my thoughts on potential awardees and why I believe the more war there is, the more the Nobel Peace Prize matters www.theguardian.com/commentisfre...theguardian.comForget the famous names. Here is who actually deserves this year’s Nobel peace prize | Haakon GjerløwThe betting markets favour the US president and Volodymyr Zelenskyy. But the most vital work to secure peace is being done by those far from the spotlight, says Haakon Gjerløw, acting director of the ... 0116
Bastian Herre @bastianherre.bsky.social · 14/09/2026Tomorrow is International #DemocracyDay. So let’s check in on the development and state of democracy worldwide. The world has become much more democratic over the last centuries. But some of this progress has recently been reversed. A thread with some key charts: 1138
Reposted by Bastian HerreGood Authority @goodauth.bsky.social · 04/08/2026Africans want freedoms their governments aren’t delivering. A new Afrobarometer report details how civic rights and media freedom fall short of citizens’ demands. goodauthority.org/news/african...goodauthority.orgAfricans want freedoms their governments aren’t deliveringA new Afrobarometer report details how civic rights and media freedom fall short of citizens’ demands. 041
Reposted by Bastian HerreAla Alrababah @aalrababah.bsky.social · 08/09/2026How do refugee crises end? In Dec. 2024, Syrian dictator Assad fled to Russia, ending a regime that displaced millions Would Syrians go back now the regime fell? Our paper tests this with original panel data (2019-2026), ~3k Syrian refugees, spanning fall of Assad osf.io/preprints/so... 🧵 1/8 15423
Bastian Herre @bastianherre.bsky.social · 24/08/2026New article by me, @eortizospina.bsky.social, and @lcsrg.me! How elections spread, voting rights expanded, and political competition developed over the last 200 years — and billions of people won more of a say in the important decisions that affect their lives. ourworldindata.org/the-rise-of-...ourworldindata.orgThe rise of electoral democracyHow elections spread, voting rights expanded, and political competition developed around the world over the last two centuries. 065
Reposted by Bastian HerreOur World in Data @ourworldindata.org · 24/08/2026📝 New article on Our World in Data: The rise of electoral democracy. Most people around the world think democracy is a good way to run a country, but they are often dissatisfied with how it is working in practice and are concerned about where it is heading. 2408
Reposted by Bastian HerreCenter for Global Development @cgdev.org · 23/07/2026As aid budgets shrink, @rglenner.bsky.social and Dean Karlan argue it's time to radically simplify aid. Focus on a small number of interventions rigorously proven to work, deliver them at scale, and avoid layering projects with multiple untested objectives. go.cgdev.org/3RPtsN6cgdev.orgWe Advised Different Governments on Aid Spending. Now We’re Calling for Radical SimplificationSmarter aid won’t undo the damage of cuts. Improving service delivery won’t solve the macroeconomic constraints to inclusive growth. But if we focus on what works and keep it simple, we can still make... 042
Reposted by Bastian HerreVictor Araújo @victoraraujo.bsky.social · 23/07/2026📄 New pre-print on SSRN New evidence on a timely question: Does holding anti-democratic leaders legally accountable produce democratic backlash? Contrary to widespread concerns, I find no evidence that accountability increased affective polarisation or reduced support for democracy. 🧵👇papers.ssrn.comDoes Holding Anti-Democratic Leaders Accountable Backfire? Evidence from Bolsonaro's Arrest in BrazilWhether holding anti-democratic leaders accountable strengthens or weakens democracy remains one of the unresolved questions in contemporary debates about democ 33418
Reposted by Bastian HerreRuxandra Teslo @ruxandrabio.bsky.social · 22/07/2026In certain tech circles, it has become low-status to suggest that AGI won't automatically solve everything. I think models will continue to get smarter, but intelligence is often not the main bottleneck to physical world change. More 👇 www.writingruxandrabio.com/p/intelligen...writingruxandrabio.comIntelligence is not the main bottleneckConfessions of a naive hamster: why the smartest people in the room keep missing that intelligence is often not the main bottleneck in the real world 093
Bastian Herre @bastianherre.bsky.social · 16/07/2026What are the largest cities in the world? That's a question that isn't easy to answer, because countries define "city" quite differently. But now there is new data from the European Commission that uses satellites to make countries comparable. Turns out the largest city in the world is Jakarta! 291
Reposted by Bastian HerreWerner Krause @krausewe.bsky.social · 13/07/2026New working paper w/ @denis-cohen.bsky.social @rantuna.bsky.social & @turnbulldugarte.com! *Does publicly refusing to cooperate with the far right only strengthen it?* A widespread belief says yes. In this paper, we test it based on a natural experiment from Spain. tinyurl.com/5azkfnas [1/6] 114059
Reposted by Bastian HerreJana Tauschinski @janatausch.bsky.social · 13/07/2026Spent the past two weeks making graphics about sweltering night-time temperatures while struggling to sleep because of those same hot nights... NEW: Tropical nights come to Europe w @attractamooney.bsky.social and @nassosstylianou.bsky.social as.ft.com/r/4929ae6c-e... 59935
Reposted by Bastian HerreOur World in Data @ourworldindata.org · 09/07/2026Until the middle of the 20th century, few countries had political leaders that were women. These were monarchs, who rose to their positions because of their royal lineage. 45415
Bastian Herre @bastianherre.bsky.social · 09/07/2026I was surprised to see that China has only 1.6 million immigrants. That's close to the number of immigrants in Ireland or New Zealand. And those countries' entire populations are less than 1% of China's. Even Japan (which in my mind was the big low-immigration country) has more than twice as many. 052
Bastian Herre @bastianherre.bsky.social · 18/06/2026In recent years, much of the most popular music and TV in many countries has been made at home, and not in the US: www.economist.com/briefing/202...economist.comForget the World Cup. Culture is becoming more fragmentedFarewell to the monoculture 020
Reposted by Bastian HerreSaad Gulzar سعد گلزار @saadgulzar.bsky.social · 17/06/2026New in the Annual Review of Political Science (2026), with @kathrynbaragwanath.bsky.social : "Democracy and the Environment." We survey decades of work asking whether democracy produces better environmental outcomes. Link to open access paper: doi.org/10.1146/annu...doi.orgDemocracy and the EnvironmentWe survey research on the relationship between democracy and the environment. The first part of our review examines how democratic systems influence environmental outcomes. Scholars have found, at bes... 1189
Reposted by Bastian HerreR. Daniel Kelemen @rdanielkelemen.bsky.social · 15/06/2026@dziblatt.bsky.social and I in @foreignaffairs.com on the real lessons from Hungary www.foreignaffairs.com/hungary/how-...foreignaffairs.comHow to Beat an AutocratThe real lessons of Orban’s defeat. 1178
Reposted by Bastian HerreThe WhoGov Project @whogov.bsky.social · 13/06/2026Governments around most of the world are, on average, getting older. The trend is starkest in Africa, but it is also clear in the Americas and Asia. The exception is Europe, where we saw a drop after the collapse of the Soviet Union, and then stabilization at just above 50 years of age. 0124
Reposted by Bastian HerreDeena Mousa @deenamousa.com · 04/06/2026We've gotten used to technology being democratizing but, unfortunately, it seems unlikely AI will be a leapfrog miracle story. New post out now on why: newsletter.deenamousa.com/p/ai-wont-b... 243
Reposted by Bastian HerreOur World in Data @ourworldindata.org · 11/06/2026How can we measure the state of democracy around the world? Measuring democracy is challenging. It has many dimensions, and researchers assess them in different ways. No single source of data captures the full picture, so we present data from several of them. 25416
Bastian Herre @bastianherre.bsky.social · 10/06/2026Many maps offer snapshots of how the world looked at one point in time. But few track changes over time. That’s why I like the CShapes data so much: it identifies all independent states, their dependent territories, borders, and capitals for each year between 1886 and 2019. 130
Bastian Herre @bastianherre.bsky.social · 09/06/2026I agree with @charlesjkenny.bsky.social, @ianmitchell1.bsky.social, and Euan Ritchie that the OECD should not expand its eligibility for foreign aid to some high-income countries, and should instead target aid to poorer countries, where it’s needed most: www.cgdev.org/blog/when-co...cgdev.orgWhen Is a Country Too Rich for Aid? Rethinking ODA EligibilityThe OECD’s Development Assistance Committee is discussing changes to the rules on which countries are eligible to receive ODA. Any line that the OECD picks will be arbitrary, because there is no clear... 020
Reposted by Bastian HerreWerner Krause @krausewe.bsky.social · 09/06/2026New paper out in the @thejop.bsky.social (w/ @christinagahn.bsky.social) Do opinion polls shape election results? Using both cross-national data and a survey experiment, the answer we find is yes - though it depends on how we communicate polling results. www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/... 320899
Reposted by Bastian HerreDanbischof @danbischof.bsky.social · 08/06/2026🚨 What happens with voters when politicians use simpler language? New @thejop.bsky.social paper with @rsenninger.bsky.social: simple language changes not just what citizens understand, but who they think politicians are. www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/...journals.uchicago.eduCan Simple Language Affect Voters’ Political Knowledge and Their Beliefs About Politicians? | The Journal of Politics: Vol 0, No 0How does the level of sophistication in political messages affect citizens? While research has examined how politicians use this element to distinguish themselves, little is known about how it resonat... 513952
Reposted by Bastian HerreAxel Dreher @adreher.bsky.social · 03/06/2026What happened after the USAID shutdown? New GODAD paper by Marcella Nicolini and Fabio Sabatini: exposed African regions saw falling nightlights and rising acute food insecurity, especially where vulnerability was high and institutions weaker. godad.me godad.uni-goettingen.de/uploads/GODA...godad.meGODADGeocoded Official Development Assistance Dataset 26222
Bastian Herre @bastianherre.bsky.social · 03/06/2026What's the best chart making the case for democracy? The one below is a strong contender for me: there have been very few famines under democratic rule. But I would be curious to hear about others! 2133
Bastian Herre @bastianherre.bsky.social · 02/06/2026This is a very nice article that shows that in recent cases of democratic erosion, people were often still able to stop it through elections: www.journalofdemocracy.org/online-exclu...journalofdemocracy.orgHow Aspiring Autocrats Exit | Journal of DemocracyViktor Orbán election defeat last month stunned many people. But in truth it’s not uncommon for would-be autocrats to lose at the ballot box. It’s a more hopeful picture than many people realize. 011
Reposted by Bastian HerreAmelia Malpas @malpas.bsky.social · 31/05/2026I'm working on a project on cross-national young gender gap that shows dif patterns. The below w ESS & CSES data show 1. Dif in ideology (id=standardized by country) btwn young men & women, where x is year & y is standard deviations 2. Young men & women ideology relative to other age-gender groups 65820
Reposted by Bastian HerreMarkus Wagner @markuswagner.bsky.social · 30/05/2026A great overview of the accommodation question by Hanno Hilbig, worth your time! 03515
Reposted by Bastian HerreSvend-Erik Skaaning @skaaning.bsky.social · 28/05/2026New book on democracy. #OpenAccess Seven Myths about Democracy by Jørgen Møller & Svend-Erik Skaaning, Routledge taylorfrancis.com/books/oa-mon.... Challenges (full or partial) misunderstandings about the meaning, trajectory, causes, and consequences of democracy.taylorfrancis.comSeven Myths about Democracy | Jørgen Møller, Svend-Erik Skaaning | TayThis timely book challenges seven widespread misconceptions about democracy that continue to shape public and academic debates about its past, present, and 23918
Reposted by Bastian HerreMelanie Sauter @melinscribe.bsky.social · 26/05/20261/ With the DR Congo facing another Ebola outbreak, I’ve been reflecting on research I published on the 2018–2020 outbreak, one of the most violent public health emergencies for healthcare workers. Key lesson: Public health emergencies become far more dangerous when they are politicized. 1114
Reposted by Bastian HerreDan Altman @daltmanir.bsky.social · 15/05/2026Although conquests of entire countries declined after WWII, conquest remained prevalent because attempts to conquer parts of countries did not decline. And the international community rarely intervened to defeat these conquest attempts. 151
Bastian Herre @bastianherre.bsky.social · 12/05/2026It's often assumed that government ideology matters only in rich democracies. My new article suggests that's not the case: in a global analysis, leftist governments intervene more in markets than rightist governments. Who governs really matters, also in other parts of the world. shorturl.at/vAloy 010
Bastian Herre @bastianherre.bsky.social · 11/05/2026Without reliable data, it can be difficult to make political decisions. But while rich countries have up-to-date surveys on poverty, health, etc., those in poorer countries are years, if not decades, old. And that's where the data is especially needed. data360.worldbank.org/en/int/atlas... 182
Reposted by Bastian HerreLauren Gilbert @lgilbert.co · 17/04/2026We've launched In Development! It is aiming to be the New Yorker for global development. We want to promote discourse on development without dogma - stories doing deep-dives into pressing development issues, backed up by evidence, argument, and experience. Subscribe here: indevelopmentmag.comindevelopmentmag.comIn Developmentevidence and argument for a developing world 14625
Bastian Herre @bastianherre.bsky.social · 27/04/2026More than 40% of countries have now been led by a woman — up from just over 10% in 1990. Almost all of this rise has happened in democracies. 051
Reposted by Bastian HerreSIPRI.bsky.social @sipri.org · 27/04/2026Global military expenditure reached $2,887 billion in 2025, marking the 11th consecutive annual increase. The global military burden rose to 2.5% of GDP, its highest level since 2009. Press release ➡️ bit.ly/3QWVcOW #MilitarySpending #DefenceBudget #GlobalSecurity #NATO #MilitarySpending #GDAMS 1138
Bastian Herre @bastianherre.bsky.social · 21/04/2026This is a chart I find genuinely shocking every time I see it: In 2025, barely any countries were led by women. For every woman, there were more than 9 men. The world still has far to go towards full equality. 031
Reposted by Bastian HerreOur World in Data @ourworldindata.org · 13/04/2026On any average day, 165,000 people die globally. That’s 60 million a year. What do they die from? 🔧📊 We built a new interactive tool that lets you answer this question, with data for every country. Globally, 75% of deaths are from non-communicable diseases (NCDs). Heart disease alone is 1 in 3. 18024
Reposted by Bastian HerreTuna @antea04.bsky.social · 10/04/2026I'm a data scientist @ourworldindata.org and I need help from a botanist or someone local to Kyoto, Japan! 🌸 We present one of the world’s longest climate records: 1,200 years of peak cherry blossom dates in Kyoto. The researcher who maintained it, Prof. Yasuyuki Aono, sadly passed away last year. 12460285
Reposted by Bastian HerreJan Rosenow @janrosenow.bsky.social · 26/03/2026Pakistan's solar revolution: from 0% to 25% in a decade. 2021: 4% 2022: 7% 2023: 10% 2024: 14% 2025: 25% Solar is now Pakistan's #1 electricity source. Not driven by policy — driven by consumers. 7403121
Reposted by Bastian HerreRay Douglas @raydouglas.bsky.social · 23/03/2026🇺🇸 Traders placed $580mn oil bet ahead of Donald Trump’s social media post on Iran talks “My gut from watching markets for the last 25 years is this is really abnormal,” said a portfolio manager FT www.ft.com/content/1171... 57444
Bastian Herre @bastianherre.bsky.social · 20/03/2026In Cuba, the lights are literally going out. The current US blockade has cut its supply of oil, which the island relies heavily on for energy. The results are blackouts, spoiled food, outages to running water, and delays in medical operations. www.nytimes.com/interactive/...nytimes.comMapping Cuba’s BlackoutsCuba is facing a historic electricity crisis. Blackouts have gotten worse, and on some days the entire island is plunged into near total darkness. 030
Reposted by Bastian HerreYana Gorokhovskaia @ygorokho.bsky.social · 19/03/2026📣Freedom in the World 2026 is now out! freedomhouse.org/report/freed... tl;dr: - Global freedom declined in 2025 & every year since 2005 - 20 yrs of backsliding has transformed the world: more autocrats, fewer democratizing states - Freedom deteriorated in the US last year & over the last 20freedomhouse.orgThe Growing Shadow of AutocracyGlobal freedom declined for the 20th consecutive year in 2025. But even in this especially challenging moment, there are reasons for optimism. 186