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🇨🇦NG 呙徐楠PhD

@powerguo.bsky.social
268 followers 180 following 776 posts

🇨🇦 CMU + U Waterloo Alum Public Health Researcher Canadian living in the US. Things are uhh complicated

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Reposted by 🇨🇦NG 呙徐楠PhD
public health guy @publichealthguy1.bsky.social · 58m
@helenbranswell.bsky.social was probably the only person on here who each year closely tracked/posted US pediatric flu deaths—always covering every change for past seasons, too. these threads never got much notice or attention, but she kept writing them because she believed they should be reported.
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Sharon 🪳🌹 @sharonk.bsky.social · 4h
cash for carbon clunkers
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Michael Hobbes @michaelhobbes.bsky.social · 7h
Can't believe Jean Twenge, the woman who has dedicated her career to manipulating data about teen mental health, would manipulate data about teen sexuality.
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Christopher Julian @chrisajulian.bsky.social · 09/10/2026
I reanalyzed the CDC data behind the LGB “free fall” headline. It rests on a change in bisexual identification among one grade, in one wave, of one survey. Gay or lesbian identification did not change significantly. Calling it a "free fall" is sensational and just gives bad actors talking points.
Six small line charts showing the percent of U.S. high school students choosing each sexual identity response option by grade (9th to 12th), 2015 to 2025, with 95% confidence intervals. Heterosexual falls from about 85 to 90 percent before 2021 to about 73 percent in 2021 and 2023, then rises to about 78 to 80 percent in 2025. Gay or lesbian stays between about 2 and 5 percent throughout. Bisexual rises to about 12 percent in 2021 in every grade, then among 9th graders falls to about 7 percent in 2025, its 2019 level, while other grades stay near 10 percent. “Some other way,” added in 2021, falls from about 4 percent to about 2.5 percent. “Not sure” stays near 3 to 5 percent. A dotted line marks 2021, when CDC changed the response options.
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lauren @lauren.rotatingsandwiches.com · 9h
in an alternate universe where storefront space remained cheap and wealthy people were taxed at a sane rate this man is a moderately successful trading card game store manager and outside the handful of shop regulars he subjects to his petty tyrannies he's leaving everyone else well enough alone
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Adam Serwer @adamserwer.bsky.social · 22h
Trump's opponents cannot simply wave away that existence; this does not mean he is more popular than he appears to be, but it does mean that he has support that is genuine, committed, and non-artificial, and there is no easy answer to that problem other than denying them power through politics
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Adam Serwer @adamserwer.bsky.social · 22h
So much of the Internet now is fake. But Trump's support is not fake. It may be exaggerated, it may be shrinking, but it is not an internet-generated mirage like an AI image of a man drop kicking an alligator in a florida swamp
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LegalEagle @legaleagle.tv · 22h
I'll be the first to admit it's a real failure of the judiciary that after six years of the Trump Administration, Judges aren't moving straight to contempt hearings.
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Sky Marchini @sky.skymarchini.net · 12/10/2026
I’m sure that Peter thiel’s forms are all above board.
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Boo!-per Lund @cooperlund.online · 12/10/2026
Getting into a PR war with a toy store in Brooklyn for not selling you a bird because you’re "only daytime TV famous" is a 30 Rock plotline that works for both Jenna and Tracy
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Ilhan Omar @ilhanmn.bsky.social · 12/10/2026
I’m ok. Make no mistake: this is an attempt to target political enemies and weaponize federal law enforcement. For ten years, Trump has targeted me with baseless lies and smear campaigns. This is just the latest escalation in his campaign of political intimidation. I will not be silenced.
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Mike Black @mikeblack114.bsky.social · 12/10/2026
lots of possible ~lawfare~ options, but they all start with that fundamental question, which I think is a more important discussion than the mechanics of how to do it
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Mike Black @mikeblack114.bsky.social · 12/10/2026
the rest of it is a fundamental political question of "are you willing to use the power of the state to destroy his wealth/power or not," there's no easy cheat code for that one
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Mike Black @mikeblack114.bsky.social · 12/10/2026
Nationalization is a can of worms you don't want to open (the DPA doesn't provide that authority and tbh I don't think there's really an authority to do so), but you don't need to because tools already exist to force compliance with spacex national security business that he will be unable to meet
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Mike Black @mikeblack114.bsky.social · 12/10/2026
the actual realistic answer is rigorous NISPOM and DFARS clause 252.226-7003 enforcement the non-national security stuff is a political problem of dealing with a notional trillionaire generally, but the DoD stuff is pretty straightforward
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Casaubon @zas.bsky.social · 12/10/2026
The Gruber article makes me v sad and I think the core of a lot of people's denial about X is this idea that surely it is more likely that X is fine than that the state of affairs in our world and information environments is so fallen that the largest text based public square is run by and for nazis
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Mina Kimes @minakimes.bsky.social · 12/10/2026
so cheerful and inclusive!!!
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Jake Grumbach @jakemgrumbach.bsky.social · 12/10/2026
Economists really need to get off twitter. EconTwitter is now just like “bad instruments are DEI and women ate stupid” interspersed with a few good economists talking about the latest Claude update
Labrador Skeptic & @SaysSimulation
X.com
This is a perfect example of DEl in the wild.
Women gets Harvard PhD, Princeton postdoc, NY Fed job. Impeccable credentials - on paper.
Writes post demonstrating that she doesn't under the basics of causality & statistics. There's also a very strong urban class component
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Natalia Emanuel * @NataliaHEmanuel • 2d
Coffee shops boost innovation. 10% more
Starbucks in an area -> 3-4% more inventions.
People gather over a cuppa. They share ideas, discuss how to untangle a knotty problem, help se...
log (Starbucks + 1)
County & Year FEs
Local Time-Varying Controls
Num. Counties * Years
Num. Counties
Num. Instruments
Adj. r2
Kleibergen-Paap Wald F-stat
Mean of Dep. Var.
(1)
1.319***
(0.231)
No
No
61480
3074
200
0.174
3.099
1.260
log(Patents)
(2)
0.419***
(0.0584)
Yes
No
61480
3074
200
-0.0141
1.616
1.260
(3)
0.370***
(0.0718)
Yes Yes
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2572
200
-0.0253
3.483
1.844
:Demosthenes Twin @DemosthenesT....9h X
Women really are retarded. This one has a phd from Harvard and still can't grasp simple concepts. She actually posted this thinking she was clever. A dimwit can see the glaring error of her simple thoughts.

(1)
log(Pate.
(2)
cks + 1)
1.319***
0.419**
(0.231)
(0.0584
Year FEs
No
Yes
-Varying Controls
No
No
aties * Years
61480
61480
aties
3074
3074
'uments
200
200

0.174
-0.0141
•Paap Wald F-stat
3.099
1.616
o. Var.
1.260
1.260
Natalia Emanuel @ @NataliaHE... • 2d
Coffee shops boost innovation. 10% more
Starbucks in an area --> 3-4% more inventions. ...Alpha Numer0@@alpha_numer0.thg
These are what you call middle-upper class townies. They look great on paper, seem competent when you talk to them, but have no idea how the world works or any real common sense as to how things relate to other things, with no real beliefs of their own to boot.
I see these types of women in software all the time - many of them were shoe-horned into their roles by a system that wanted to "promote women" at any cost, and really are not good at this kind of stuff or have any actual interest in improving the products they work on.
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3114 il 61只企
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🇨🇦NG 呙徐楠PhD @powerguo.bsky.social · 10/10/2026
Evergreen post of the season bsky.app/profile/powe...
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Boo!-per Lund @cooperlund.online · 10/10/2026
Like, you’re acting like someone with a five year old old is such a risk that you have to smash his window and just grab him? The fuck is wrong with your assessment of the situation? Similarly every cop acts like a simple traffic stop is life and death and will draw at any moment.
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Boo!-per Lund @cooperlund.online · 10/10/2026
One thing that I keep thinking about with policing overall, and this is a particularly egregious version of it, is that cops generally don’t have any sense of risk modulation. Either they act like there’s no risk or that there’s extreme risk and that assessment can change in a split second.
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Chatham Harrison dba TRUMP DELENDUS EST @chathamharrison.bsky.social · 10/10/2026
This is specifically the product of training or lack thereof, because hard training is the only thing that can prevent this, which is basically a panic response.
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Buttadeus @thewanderingjew.bsky.social · 09/10/2026
Open the schools. 32k likes
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Jake Grumbach @jakemgrumbach.bsky.social · 09/10/2026
A real welfare state and universal health care require broad taxation, including the middle class. But high end wealth taxation is the kind of tax that protects democracy and the rule of law, and prevents aristocratic dynasties. It keeps us human.
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Materialist Gnostic @walmsley.bsky.social · 09/10/2026
I really hate this sort of take. someone saying "we're better than this" is speaking aspirationally! you are not clever for insisting we aren't, you are giving people an excuse not to try to be.
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Paul Bernal @paulbernal.bsky.social · 09/10/2026
Fuck. Off.
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Kate Duguid @kateduguid.bsky.social · 09/10/2026
This is how the U.S. is choosing to treat vulnerable children
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Tim Marchman @timmarchman.bsky.social · 09/10/2026
NEW: The ICE agent seen wearing a hi-vis vest and waving around an AR-style rifle at the scene of the shooting in New York was a supervisor named Brenden Cuni, who has a history of alleged violence and lying in court. @dmehro.bsky.social, @awinston.bsky.social, and @regret.bsky.social report:
wired.com
ICE Agent at NYC Shooting Has History of Alleged Violence and Illegal Arrests
Brenden Cuni, an ICE supervisor, has been accused of excessive force and tackling a pregnant woman to the ground. Several of his arrests were later found to be unlawful in federal court.
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🇨🇦NG 呙徐楠PhD @powerguo.bsky.social · 09/10/2026
I just showed this to my former figure skater wife and she just kept on yelling "why isn't he doing power pulls???"
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Brandon Friedman @brandonfriedman.bsky.social · 09/10/2026
This is Nazi rhetoric, full stop. It's not only a call to instigate a race war in the United States, but it's reminiscent of historic European justifications used to incite pogroms against Jews. People who say things like this are incredibly dangerous, as there is nothing they won't eventually do.
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Andy Craig @andycraig.bsky.social · 09/10/2026
Hegseth got the job not because of his clown antics on Fox News but because during the first term he made it his personal crusade to get Trump to pardon war criminals who had murdered civilians and desecrated corpses. That’s who he is and it’s what Trump hired him to be.
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John Moe @johnmoe.bsky.social · 08/10/2026
As completely deranged and fucked up and wrong as he is, I gotta say it is stressful to have the damn president of the United States constantly attacking my state of Minnesota, sending violence, calling for violence, putting all lives at risk, killing our neighbors. Like it really takes a toll.
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🇨🇦NG 呙徐楠PhD @powerguo.bsky.social · 08/10/2026
I do remember the CBP agents at the Bellingham border crossing bitching at the Canadians working at MSFT and accusing MSFT of committing fraud. It’s like I’m sure they would love to hire your nephew and not pay the legal fees for an immigration law firm, but too bad he barely knows how to use word
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🇨🇦NG 呙徐楠PhD @powerguo.bsky.social · 08/10/2026
“It suggest to me that they're saying that they think Zionists should be "dealt with" the same way the Nazis wanted to "deal with" Jews.” Uhhh you see how that’s still bad right?
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🇨🇦NG 呙徐楠PhD @powerguo.bsky.social · 08/10/2026
All this to say, I wouldn’t be surprised if they just grok’d who committed most fraud and it picked all the people bitching about MSFT and H1B from various tech subreddits and just took it as fact
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🇨🇦NG 呙徐楠PhD @powerguo.bsky.social · 08/10/2026
MSFT doesn’t even use the most H1B slots in the city, with Amazon employing almost 3x of H1Bs. www.forbes.com/sites/stuart...
forbes.com
Top U.S. Technology Companies Dominate H-1B Visa List In 2025
With sizable investments at stake in artificial intelligence, America’s leading technology companies are snapping up foreign-born talent.
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🇨🇦NG 呙徐楠PhD @powerguo.bsky.social · 08/10/2026
Having been employed by MSFT on both a TN and H1B, and knowing what the process was like from the inside, there is just as much likelihood of widespread fraud as Trump having the highest IQ of all past presidents
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Boo!-per Lund @cooperlund.online · 08/10/2026
I feel so bad for my Jewish friends who care about Palestinians and are going to have to answer for what a couple hundred dumb, loud assholes did for attention from their relatives for months
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Jane Coaston @janecoaston.bsky.social · 07/10/2026
I'm not saying some of these folks are feds, but I'm not not saying some of these folks are feds
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Melissa Gira Grant @melissagiragrant.com · 07/10/2026
reading this, recalling how quickly the killing of Minnesota Rep. Melissa Hortman slipped out of the news
phoenixnewtimes.com
Congressional candidate is raped while repairing her campaign signs
Embarrassed, she initially didn’t want to report attack. Maricopa County Sheriff’s Office's investigation is ongoing.
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public health guy @publichealthguy1.bsky.social · 07/10/2026
oh my GOD
phoenixnewtimes.com
Congressional candidate is raped while repairing her campaign signs
Embarrassed, she initially didn’t want to report attack. Maricopa County Sheriff’s Office's investigation is ongoing.
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Rotating Handles @davidhdaw.bsky.social · 07/10/2026
"Data Centers are basically fine as long as they follow regulations so we'd better make damn sure they follow regulations. BONUS: This fucks Elon." Is a pitch I could really get behind.
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William B. Fuckley @opinionhaver.bsky.social · 06/10/2026
One of the reasons that it’s vital blue cities unfuck their housing supply is that sanctuary cities probably aren’t viable long term politically otherwise. Need housing to be cheap/abundant if you don’t want there to be blowback from ICE/shithead county sheriffs funneling precarious people to you
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ProPublica @propublica.org · 06/10/2026
The government *still* isn’t tracking how often immigration agents detain U.S. citizens. We are. 500+ Americans have been handcuffed, held at gunpoint or held against their will in Trump’s second term. Our tally is almost certainly an undercount. THREAD (content warning: violence) ⬇️
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Christopher Hale @christopherjhale.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
Pope Leo XIV’s top ally in Washington Cardinal Robert McElroy has told Catholics to convert the politicians who tolerate Trump’s war on immigrants “or replace them.” He was met with a standing ovation.
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Jesse Hawken @jessehawken.bsky.social · 06/10/2026
“from what I understand” (a documentary about Rene Levesque I saw 45 years ago)
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George Pearkes @peark.es · 05/10/2026
An uncanny ability to be wrong in every possible domain.
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Butt Praxis @buttpraxis.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
I will vote, make calls, knock doors, take up arms for whoever destroys the online gambling industry
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Glonzo In Exile 🇨🇦🇬🇱🇨🇦🇬🇱 @glonzo-in-exile.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
Voters having the memory of a goldfish when it comes to the horror of right wing authoritarianism is super not good
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