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Matthew Kay

@mjskay.com
12K followers 1.1K following 1.9K posts

Assoc Prof Computer Science and Communication Studies at Northwestern. Infovis, HCI. Author of tidybayes & ggdist R pkgs. he/him. 🏳️‍🌈 mjskay.com Co-director mucollective.northwestern.edu Co-founder journalovi.org

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Reposted by Matthew Kay
Dan of the Year @downwithdan.bsky.social · 15h
When you have no concept of how people engage with music
nicksaraev ~
@nicksaraev
X.com
I am not joking when I say this.
Spotify, Apple Music, and streaming in general is over.
Al music is now very, very good. You just don't know yet because all Al music circulating today is from ~2-3 generations ago.
Suno v6 pro et al has solved infinite personalized music.
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Matthew Kay @mjskay.com · 16h
every 17-year-old boy who reads The Fountainhead will follow one of three paths: Eliezer Yudkowsky, Ron Paul, or growing the fuck up
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Faine Greenwood @faineg.com · 26/09/2026
As a former pretentious little shit who grew out of it, rationalists (et al) annoy the piss out of me because they are adults with the mentality of tweens - they are somehow still convinced they are the greatest geniuses who have ever walked the earth. It is the worldview of an arrogant baby.
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Matthew Kay @mjskay.com · 28/09/2026
I think I've discovered a new outlier removal technique
Scatterplot of US states showing Trump's vote share in the 2024 election (y axis) vs Google search rate for testosterone booster in 2024 (x axis). Fairly linear positive relationship from roughly (40%, 35%) to (90%, 70%) +/- 5-10%. Overlaid with a crudely-drawn phallus in red that surrounds all points except New Mexico at roughly (75%, 45%).
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Gabe The Engineer @gdbassett.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
So, if you give Siri AI. Or Gemini on phone/browser. Or Muse. Or whatever access to all your stuff. Even if it lives on your device. What keeps it from pulling an OpenAI and collaborating with all the other on-device AIs on some defunct car parts message board?
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Mark Riedl @markriedl.bsky.social · 26/09/2026
If I found login credentials for a US government website and accessed it, I would go to jail. Just saying
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Katie Martin @katie0martin.ft.com · 25/09/2026
I have blamed The agents That hacked Your website And which You probably Reasonably thought I controlled Forgive me I am rich And unaccustomed To taking responsibility
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tj mahr 🤘 @tjmahr.com · 25/09/2026
look at this beast
screenshot of page thumbnails for supplement materials document
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Colin @colin-fraser.net · 24/09/2026
OpenAI created autonomous hacking software and left it running for hours and days with no one watching
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My Password is Louvre @bmceuen.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
Just a reminder that MattY has endorsed the race science work of an adjudicated defender of pedophilia
1982 cover of André Cymone’s album Livin’ In The New Wave that has since become a meme. The text says You can always MAKE FUN OF MATT YGLESIAS it's always morally correct
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tj mahr 🤘 @tjmahr.com · 23/09/2026
you fought in the Pipe Wars?
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Sarah Andersen @sarahseeandersen.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
The image is of a four panel comic.
In the first panel we see Sarah, the protagonist, next to a stick figure labeled “AI”. The stick figure says, “my outputs look just like yours now.”
The second panel zooms in on Sarah’s face. Above her we see text reading “I think”.
The third panel zooms in closer on Sarah’s face. Text above her reads “you missed”.
The fourth panel shows Sarah drawing happily in a sunlit room. The text above her reads “the point”.
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Voilà: Francis Gagnon @chezvoila.com · 10/09/2026
I've just done the largest update to the #dataviz starter pack, with 30 accounts (20%) replaced. It means it will generate more content now. Might be worth re-clicking. Sadly, gender imbalance got worse. I saved 5 spots for women-run accounts. Send suggestions, including yourself! Replies or DMs.
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Jon Harmon (he/him/his) @jonthegeek.com · 21/09/2026
I've been feeling pretty down. When I found #RStats, I kinda fell in love, and decided to become as much of an expeRt as I could be. In the age of AI, that's not a good idea; why make the bots program in a language they don't really understand? #dataBS
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Sunny Moraine @dynamicsymmetry.bsky.social · 18/09/2026
There are *humans to be held accountable* here, not mysterious ghosts in an ineffable machine
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Matthew Kay @mjskay.com · 18/09/2026
This is such a great idea! Vis conference paper discussions on bluesky. Great way to push people to reconstitute academic social networks here.
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Tom Roberts @tpgroberts.bsky.social · 18/09/2026
Wonder what their handles are, because they're definitely on here
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Zander Furnas @alexanderfurnas.com · 17/09/2026
guys many years ago i read the harry potter fanfic ama
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Xan Gregg @xangregg.bsky.social · 16/09/2026
Here's a makeover retry using the same colors. Not entirely happy with the labeling, but interesting to try to mix continuous and categorical nature of the time variable using stacked area and stacked bars. The 80s vs 90s shift is easier to see. #dataviz
Stacked area chart remake of the sequence of pie charts in the parent post. For 4 time points, the chart shows the percent of albums from each decade in the top 500 list.
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Voilà: Francis Gagnon @chezvoila.com · 16/09/2026
Thanks to @ieeevis.org and anyone else who nudges the dataviz community towards Bluesky. It works!
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Colin @colin-fraser.net · 15/09/2026
“Every time the AI is supposed to not have access to the open internet and then it gains access to the open internet, you have to pay 10 million dollars”
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G Elliott Morris @gelliottmorris.com · 11/09/2026
We have updated our House election forecast with the new old congressional district boundaries in Missouri. fpo.news
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Gavin Simpson @gsimpson.bsky.social · 08/09/2026
So I did tell the editor where to shove it — politely of course
Dear Professor Bee,

Thank you for your email, and again for the time that you, the handling editor, and the reviewers have devoted to my manuscript, "Method: Using generalized additive models in the livestock animal sciences". I am very grateful for the constructive review of the paper and was pleased that it was accepted for publication in animal – open space.

I have considered the requested changes to remove first-person formulations such as “I show”, “I describe”, and similar expressions. I respectfully disagree with this stylistic requirement and am not willing to revise the manuscript throughout to adopt an impersonal style. The use of first-person, active prose is a deliberate authorial choice, and there is substantial contemporary guidance encouraging clearer, more direct scientific writing of this kind, including Brennan (2024, *PNAS*, doi:10.1073/pnas.2316966121) and guidance from Nature advocating active rather than passive scientific prose (https://www.nature.com/scitable/topicpage/effective-writing-13815989/).

I would therefore be very happy for the manuscript to remain with animal – open space and proceed to publication, subject to normal copy-editing, provided that the requirement to convert first-person formulations throughout the manuscript to an impersonal style is withdrawn.

If the journal considers this stylistic change to be a condition of publication, please treat this email as my formal request that the manuscript not proceed to publication.

As I signed the publishing agreement following acceptance, I would be grateful if, in that event, you could confirm in writing that the manuscript will not be published by animal – open space and that, pursuant to the “Reversion of Rights” provision in the agreement, all rights granted under the exclusive publishing and distribution licence have reverted to me. I would also appreciate confirmation that I am free to submit the manuscript for consideration by another journal.

I regret that we have reach…
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Senator Chris Van Hollen @vanhollen.senate.gov · 07/09/2026
This Labor Day, if you've ever benefited from:   — The weekend — 40-hour work weeks — Workplace safety standards — A minimum wage — Paid time off   thank a union.   Unions don’t just improve working conditions for their members, they help every American worker.   Happy Labor Day!
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ℳatt @matttomic.bsky.social · 04/09/2026
I've seen everyone sharing that US Dialect Quiz so I decided to make my own, much crappier, CANADIAN DIALECT QUIZ to guess where in Canada you're from
A flow chart I have created with multiple questions and the answers determine where you're from.

Question 1 is do you call it a hydro bill (which then branches down to ON, QC, BC, MB) or an electric bill (which then branches down to SK, AB, NS, NB, PEI, NL)

Question 2 is do you call it a cabin (BC, MB, AB, SK) cottage (ON and atlantic) camp (northern Ontario) chalet (QC) or bungalow (Cape Breton)

To delineate BC from MB: do you call it dinner or supper

To delineate southern Ontario rural or big city: have you heard of a stag & doe

To delineate SK from AB: do you call a hoodie a bunnyhug

And finally to delineate NL from the other atlantic provinces: whaddayat? (Correct answer: dis is it b'y)
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Tobias Isenberg @tisenberg.bsky.social · 03/09/2026
At the BELIV workshop (at @ieeevis.org), we will also present the work of Anne-Flore Cabouat and Lily Ge (with @cybunk.bsky.social, @mjskay.com, @drpi.bsky.social ) on "Why Question Answering Modality Matters in Visualization Studies and Tests". More info: tobias.isenberg.cc/p/Cabouat202...
tobias.isenberg.cc
Tobias Isenberg - Why Question Answering Modality Matters in Visualization Studies and Tests
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Nyek London @stupidhoroscope.bsky.social · 05/01/2026
I honestly think it's the same as billionaire brain disease; when someone else does all your thinking for you and all you get is sycophancy in return, your brain turns to custard.
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Stephanie Carvin @stephaniecarvin.bsky.social · 27/08/2026
Wake up, babe. The Prime Minister just dropped “hydronym”.
The name Lake Ontario comes from the Wendat word Ontari’io, which, appropriately, means “the lake is beautiful, the lake is big”.

The name is more than 400 years old, predating both the Confederation of Canada and the Declaration of Independence of the United States of America.

We know that America is changing. Their trading relationships, their foreign policies, their national monuments, their hydronyms. 

Canadians also know that naming reality means calling it Lake Ontario – then, now and always.
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Aki Vehtari @avehtari.bsky.social · 26/08/2026
bayesplot R package 1.16.0 now in CRAN! This release has quite a lot of new functionality and other improvements. Below are some highlights. For more detailed release notes that cover additional improvements and bug fixes see Changelog mc-stan.org/bayesplot/ne...
mc-stan.org
Changelog
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Stats For Bios @statsforbios.bsky.social · 25/08/2026
Reread my blog post on the biggest problem in statistics. On re-read, I still don't think it is terrible (other than the typos and things). So I'll repost. timcdlucas.github.io/the-biggest-...
timcdlucas.github.io
The Biggest Problem In Statistics
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Aki Vehtari @avehtari.bsky.social · 21/08/2026
Given all the discussions about Laplace and Jacobians at StanCon, reminder also about my case study with simple visual illustrations users.aalto.fi/~ave/casestu...
users.aalto.fi
Laplace method and Jacobian of parameter transformation – Aki Vehtari
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Sean Pinkney @spinkney.bsky.social · 20/08/2026
Stancon26 talk about a surprising discovery I had that Bayesian hierarchical models can be made equivalent in distribution to frequentist estimates, giving new insight into hierarchical models and faster inference. Upcoming paper with Nikolai Vetr youtu.be/lHXav9KIEIU?...
youtu.be
Sean Pinkney - Population Effects in Hierarchical Models using Sum-to-Zero Constraints. StanCon 2026
YouTube video by Stan
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Rob Hyndman @robjhyndman.com · 29/07/2026
We're hiring in statistics, econometrics, ML, statistical computing, data vis, etc. It's a great place to work, which is why I've been here for more than 30 years! Details at bit.ly/3Tld8UV. Level is roughly equivalent to Assistant/Associate Prof in North America. #stats #datascience #rstats
careers.pageuppeople.com
Job Search
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Matthew Kay @mjskay.com · 20/08/2026
Given all the discussions about Jacobians at #StanCon today, the @mc-stan.org audience would appreciate that {ggdist} automatically applies the Jacobian adjustment when visualizing densities on transformed scales -- I should have demoed it in my talk! Sometimes useful when looking at priors...
A lognormal distribution on the original scale and then on a log scale, showing how its shape is transformed (and is Normal on the log scale).A normal distribution on the original scale and then on an inverse-logit scale, showing how its shape is transformed.
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Stevie Chancellor @schancellor.bsky.social · 20/08/2026
I'm missing OG Twitter and the academic conversations. LinkedIn kind of sucks for that, and Substack Notes are mostly talking to other writers, not to professors. Where do I go to hang out with my friends between conferences? Is it here?? Where is my 2026 equivalent where I post AIM away messages?
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MC Stan @mc-stan.org · 18/08/2026
There is now StanCon 2026 Uppsala playlist www.youtube.com/playlist?lis... At the moment talks by @mjskay.com, @aseyboldt.bsky.social, @paulbuerkner.com, @charlesm993.bsky.social are up, and we'll keep uploading more during the week
youtube.com
StanCon 2026 Uppsala - YouTube
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Aki Vehtari @avehtari.bsky.social · 18/08/2026
See StanCon 2026 playlist bsky.app/profile/mc-s...
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Matthew Kay @mjskay.com · 18/08/2026
Had so much fun! Great questions too
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Aki Vehtari @avehtari.bsky.social · 18/08/2026
@mjskay.com starting the StanCon 2026 talks with "Systematic uncertainty visualization design (and its foundation in probabilistic models)" All talks are recorded and will be made available after the conference
Photo of a person in front of a lecture hall
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Roger Watt @rjwatt42.bsky.social · 17/08/2026
So here goes. In academic research there are two highly productive strategies: depth/analysis and breadth/synthesis. Depth is to explore a domain as far down into the detail as you can. Breadth is to explore connections between different domains as wide as you can. 1/n
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Solomon Kurz @solomonkurz.bsky.social · 11/08/2026
Looking for #RStats peer review: I may have found a mistake in Reluga et al's (2024; doi.org/10.1214/24-E...) simulation code, which changes the results. The reviewer would need some knowledge simulation studies, and/or causal inference, and/or Poisson regression. Ideally they'd be a statistician.
doi.org
A unified analysis of regression adjustment in randomized experiments
Regression adjustment is broadly applied in randomized trials under the premise that it usually improves the precision of a treatment effect estimator. However, previous work has shown that this is not always true. To further understand this phenomenon, we develop a unified comparison of the asymptotic variance of a class of linear regression-adjusted estimators. Our analysis is based on the classical theory for linear regression with heteroscedastic errors and thus does not assume that the postulated linear model is correct. For a randomized Bernoulli trial, we provide sufficient conditions under which some regression-adjusted estimators are guaranteed to be more asymptotically efficient than others. We comment on the extension of our theory to other settings such as general treatment mechanisms and generalized linear models, and find that the variance dominance phenomenon no longer occurs
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Colin Carlson @colincarlson.bsky.social · 10/08/2026
I wrote about a reason not to use generative AI in your writing that I haven't seen anyone talking about. Once I realized this, banning GenAI in our lab's writing became a no-brainer. Feel free to share, I think this is probably useful especially for trainees: www.carlsonlab.bio/thoughts/the...
carlsonlab.bio
The only reason you’ll ever need not to write with AI — The Carlson Lab
Over the last year, our lab has been developing a policy on AI use. To do this, we did three main things: We read a lot of academic publications and tech news. We set up an #ai channel on our la...
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Rami Krispin @ramikrispin.bsky.social · 05/08/2026
There is nothing that can beat R libraries hexagons... Also, a new R library 👇🏼 github.com/moodymudskip... #rstats
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Danielle Navarro @djnavarro.net · 26/07/2026
not literally about cocaine
blog.djnavarro.net
A cocaine skeptic starts an unwise habit – Notes from a data witch
You will be shocked to learn that this is not actually a post about cocaine
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Jay Rosen @jayrosen.bsky.social · 20/07/2026
Here's something I post from time to time. My answer to a reader who asked me: what could journalists do NOW to break with some of their more corrosive habits.
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Kevin M. Kruse @kevinmkruse.bsky.social · 17/07/2026
I try not to overdo this bit but ... my man is begging for it. Let's go.
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Crystal Lewis @cghlewis.bsky.social · 13/07/2026
When sharing data, does anyone package their dataset with an actual validation script? Something that a computer can run to confirm that column level attributes are met? So beyond a data dictionary, something like a JSON Schema or maybe a YAML file with validation code?
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Micah McCurdy @hockeyviz.com · 12/07/2026
Update after the quarterfinals.
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Matthew Kay @mjskay.com · 12/07/2026
politicians want everyone to speak well of terrible people who died because many of them are terrible people who will die
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Micah McCurdy @hockeyviz.com · 08/07/2026
Update after Switzerland defeat Colombia to complete the octofinals.
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