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Kris-Stella Trump

@kstrump.bsky.social
5.1K followers 2.4K following 153 posts

Political scientist at Johns Hopkins University: democracy, inequality, political psychology, public opinion, behavioral everything. No relation. American by way of Estonia, Sweden, and England.

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Reposted by Kris-Stella Trump
Ken Schwencke @schwanksta.com · 06/10/2026
A year ago, @propublica.org told you immigration agents had detained more than 170 U.S. citizens. We’ve updated our count, and we’ve got all the receipts. The tally: At least 506 citizens detained. Sometimes held at gunpoint, handcuffed, or even deported. projects.propublica.org/american-cit...
projects.propublica.org
More Than 500 U.S. Citizens Have Been Detained, Including Handcuffed or Held at Gunpoint, in Trump’s Immigration Crackdown — ProPublica
The government doesn’t track how often immigration officers detain U.S. citizens. So ProPublica did. We’ve found more than 500 Americans who were held against their will during this Trump administrati...
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stevelevitsky.bsky.social @stevelevitsky.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
Lucan Way and I have been writing about competitive authoritarianism for more than 25 years. We never thought we'd write this piece. www.journalofdemocracy.org/articles/com...
journalofdemocracy.org
Competitive Authoritarianism in America | Journal of Democracy
The United States has slid into competitive authoritarianism. The slide has been modest and remains reversible—but it is real. Even after Donald Trump, American democracy will remain fragile.
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Lily Mason @lilymasonphd.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
My new JOD piece arguing against the “cure polarization” approach to saving democracy.
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Kris-Stella Trump @kstrump.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
It is the most perfect fall day here in Baltimore. What a great day to naturalize. And register to vote, finally.
OP standing in front of a court house on a sunny day holding an American flag, a copy of the constitution, and wearing an “I registered to vote” sticker.
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Kris-Stella Trump @kstrump.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
NYT publishing Nikole Hannah-Jones' essay on the individually insurmountable difficulties of a segregated school system last week, only to now release this heavy-lift, consulted-many-experts, deep dive into what can improve schools that does not mention the word integration.
nytimes.com
30 Ideas for Fixing U.S. Schools, Ranked by Experts
Math and reading scores are in a decade-long slump. We asked three dozen experts: What could turn things around?
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Rikki Dean @rikkidean.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
I would add to this that the whole point of an academic publications is that they are supposed to be records of things you have learned through careful scholarship. If they contain non-existent references, they are a misrepresentation of what is assumed to be the process behind the product.
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Kris-Stella Trump @kstrump.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
This came on my timeline without context and wow, the blood pressure spike when I got to the second sentence… had me in the first half etc. anyway yes it is fraud.
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The Great Pumpkin Papers 🎃🎃🎃 @professormusgrave.bsky.social · 08/09/2026
Had some fun trying to think about how to dramatize voters' choices in the 2024 election, so I pulled CES data and let you guess how respondents (validated voters) actually voted (or said they did) in 2024. profmusgrave.github.io/votergame2024/
profmusgrave.github.io
Who did I vote for?
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Seth Masket @smotus.bsky.social · 05/09/2026
Before #APSA: I’m not really sure about my next thing. I’ll focus on teaching for a while and think on it After APSA: How will I finish these five book projects before I die
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Kris-Stella Trump @kstrump.bsky.social · 03/09/2026
“Why do political scientists all dress so badly and recognizably” I think, as I walk down the street in Boston and get visibly identified as a political scientist by fellow APSA-goers
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Kris-Stella Trump @kstrump.bsky.social · 26/08/2026
Been there! 1st shot in the ER; was told I could go to an urgent care for the rest. Called around for hours... there are no urgent cares near us that could stock the vaccine soon enough for 2nd. Went back to the ER and the nurse said "you could just have gone to an urgent care, you know".
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Kris-Stella Trump @kstrump.bsky.social · 17/08/2026
On the list of "tenured scholars who tenure right", @adambonica.bsky.social unquestioningly holding the top spot right now. data4democracy.substack.com/p/with-fear-...
data4democracy.substack.com
With Fear and Favor
Institutions don’t have courage. They have incentives.
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Dave Infante @dinfontay.com · 16/08/2026
uhhhhh
 investigation was originally developed for The New York Times, where it underwent eight months of editing, multiple rounds of fact-checking, and independent replication of the underlying methodology. The piece had a scheduled publication date when requests for comment were sent. It was only after the Times reached out to the subjects of the investigation for routine comment that the Elias Law Group, representing the DCCC and DSCC, sent a cease-and-desist letter demanding the paper not publish. Although the paper's fact-checkers and legal department later cleared the piece before sending out a second round of requests for comment, the Times ultimately decided to kill the piece.3:27
a4democracy.substack.com
The piece was subsequently slated for publication at The Bulwark, where it underwent additional fact-checking, data verification, and legal review. When requests for comment were sent to the subjects of the investigation, lawyers representing the Progressive Turnout Project and Mothership Strategies likewise responded with legal letters demanding that the article not run.
From there, publication was repeatedly delayed. The piece cleared successive rounds of legal review. When I asked for a committed publication date after months of delay, The Bulwark conditioned publication on my accepting an extensive rewrite prepared by its editors that, in my assessment, removed key empirical findings without explanation, introduced claims contradicted by the data and fact-checking record, and presented the subjects' legal defenses as my own conclusions. When I declined to publish under those terms, the piece was released back to me.
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Eugene Vinitsky 🍒 @eugenevinitsky.bsky.social · 12/08/2026
For the past six months @mariaa.bsky.social and I have been working on creating an improved research experience on atproto. It's now live! Check out: lea.ac
leaflet.pub
Lea: research-oriented social media
Introducing a beta-version of our new research-focused social media platform
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Kris-Stella Trump @kstrump.bsky.social · 31/07/2026
The only way celebrity news could make me sadder than this is if it turned out Colbert is cheating on his wife.
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Lee Drutman @leedrutman.bsky.social · 22/07/2026
More than 500 scholars agree: "We write to urge Congress to do what most democracies have already done: adopt proportional representation." proud to be among them. medium.com/@scholars-re...
medium.com
Letter to Congress: End the Redistricting Wars by Adopting Proportional Representation
Gerrymandering persists because single-member districts allow it.
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Kris-Stella Trump @kstrump.bsky.social · 08/07/2026
I really hope Student 22 is on bluesky so they get to see how much all the profs love them.
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Kris-Stella Trump @kstrump.bsky.social · 08/07/2026
Already before AI, student 22 was one of the most rewarding types of students to teach.
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Karen Benjamin Guzzo @karenguzzo.bsky.social · 24/06/2026
"Across countries & within the US, the same relationship appears: In places of concentrated wealth, individuals’ willingness to help others and engage in volunteerism tends to decrease." Important work by @schechtlm.eurosky.social & colleagues in @contexts.org. journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
Picture of an article in Contexts, a publication of the American Sociological Association. Article is titled 'Wealth Concentration and Prosocial Behavior in Everyday Life' by Manuel Schechtl, Nhat an Trinh, Rafael Carranza, & Fabian Pfeffer.
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ryan cooper @ryanlcooper.com · 15/06/2026
"Either way, the concentration of wealth at the very top is much higher now than it ever was during the Gilded Age. And these are numbers from last year, before the SpaceX IPO. The robber barons were pikers compared with today’s oligarchs." paulkrugman.substack.com/p/meet-the-n...
paulkrugman.substack.com
Meet the New Bosses, Worse Than the Old Bosses
The second Gilded Age is much uglier than the first
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Kris-Stella Trump @kstrump.bsky.social · 14/06/2026
NYC producing competing scaffolding content for this weekend.
Crowds fill St Marks Place to celebrate Knicks win as some folks climb scaffolding
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Kris-Stella Trump @kstrump.bsky.social · 08/06/2026
My most “kids get off my lawn” opinion:
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Kris-Stella Trump @kstrump.bsky.social · 30/04/2026
Yes the public demands to know whether this is a real t-shirt, and if so where it can be acquired. I teach a survey methods course, and I would get it if only to wear to the first day of class! And the last.
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Kris-Stella Trump @kstrump.bsky.social · 21/04/2026
Ten points if you guessed "tsarist regime in Russia in 1905". From the Revolutions podcast, s10e36. (Episode aired in 2020, so the similarity to, uh, current events may be somewhat intentional - but still.)
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Kris-Stella Trump @kstrump.bsky.social · 21/04/2026
I was listening to a podcast, and this segment struck me. Who wants to play "guess who this refers to"?
Image is a paragraph of text that reads: "They believed themselves strong, when really they were weak. They believed themselves loved, when really they were hated. They believed themselves brilliant, when really they were inept. Ministers, senior officials, and high ranking military officers held their jobs thanks to connections or loyalty, rather than talent and expertise. Not only were they incapable of properly cleaning up a mess, they were incapable of understanding that they themselves had made the mess in the first place. It must be someone else’s fault, a few malcontents intellectuals too smart for their own good, or some uppity students who should shut up and go back to class, or some ungrateful workers who complained all the time because they were lazy and selfish. And because the halls of imperial power were full of racist xenophobia, they of course also blamed foreigners and Jews."
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Reto Bürgisser @retobuergisser.bsky.social · 08/04/2026
🚨 Job Alert 🚨 We have an opening for a 𝗣𝗼𝘀𝘁𝗱𝗼𝗰 𝗣𝗼𝘀𝗶𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻 @stawi-univie.bsky.social starting Aug/Sep 2026! Focus: political representation, party competition, political institutions, political economy, political behavior, or related fields 📅Apply by 29 April 2026 jobs.univie.ac.at/job/Universi...
Job vacancy announcement for a postdoctoral position at the University of Vienna Department of Government, starting August/September 2026. Research focus includes political representation, party competition, political institutions, political economy, political behavior, or related fields. Application deadline: 29 April 2026. Full details are also available through the shared link.
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Kris-Stella Trump @kstrump.bsky.social · 06/04/2026
Moon content is the wholesome content I did not know I needed. With all the sudden swings of dopamine I crave (Nutella! Wife who died!) but none of the bomb threats.
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Zach Dickson @zachdickson.bsky.social · 01/04/2026
Thrilled that my paper (w/@sarahobolt.bsky.social,@catherinedevries.bsky.social,@simonecremaschi.bsky.social) was accepted at the American Political Science Review! We find that declining public services fuel support for the populist right — and show why the right benefits more than other parties 🧵
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Elizabeth Mitchell Elder @elizabethelder.bsky.social · 23/03/2026
Had a lovely conversation about my book with Miranda Melcher of @newbooksnetwork.bsky.social! Take a listen for a preview of the book’s arguments about company power, state capacity, and public alienation in mining towns: podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/n...
podcasts.apple.com
Elizabeth Mitchell Elder,
Podcast Episode · New Books with Miranda Melcher · March 22 · 32m
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Kris-Stella Trump @kstrump.bsky.social · 03/03/2026
Yes, would be happy to chat! I am Estonian, though it's been a long while since I lived in Estonia, so I will be more useful for general cultural context and less for "what happened in parliament last year".
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Kris-Stella Trump @kstrump.bsky.social · 25/02/2026
Because I am a survey researcher, I usually take most surveys that I am asked to participate in. But I am reaching saturation on surveys about AI use in academia... how many teams are out there working on this? Everyone?
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Drew Engelhardt @amengel.bsky.social · 25/02/2026
New w/@scottclifford.bsky.social. Lots of work uses agree-disagree scales, and a lit review shows these are 1) frequently just measured in one direction (agree = higher trait) and 2) correlated with each other. This has potentially big issues for conclusions. link.springer.com/article/10.1...
link.springer.com
Acquiescence Bias and Criterion Validity: Problems and Potential Solutions for Agree-Disagree Scales - Political Behavior
Political Behavior - Scholars frequently measure dispositions like populism, conspiracism, racism, and sexism by asking survey respondents whether they agree or disagree with statements...
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Gabriel Zucman @gabrielzucman.bsky.social · 15/02/2026
The pace at which US wealth concentration is rising is simply staggering The concentration of AI wealth into the hands of a few tech barons + plutocratic capture ==> unchartered territory
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Kris-Stella Trump @kstrump.bsky.social · 12/02/2026
Doing my share to reduce the bias of the published research record by file drawering a study with significant results
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Kris-Stella Trump @kstrump.bsky.social · 11/02/2026
I once showed my sister that people show up in Google Scholar even if they are acknowledged, not only if they are authors. She told her boyfriend's mom, who had been an administrator in a research lab for years. It brought up dozens of theses where she was acknowledged. There were tears.
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Kris-Stella Trump @kstrump.bsky.social · 30/01/2026
You let a public opinion scholar design a yard sign
Yard sign saying “Abolish ICE is now a moderate position”
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Kris-Stella Trump @kstrump.bsky.social · 26/01/2026
I’m so sorry Thomas. I’ve been thinking of you as the news has kept coming. And it keeps occurring to me that what we are seeing from regular people there is exactly what I would expect if most Minnesotans are like you.
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G Elliott Morris @gelliottmorris.com · 24/01/2026
Reminder: All it would take to end the murder of American citizens by an untrained government goon squad is 16 Republicans in Congress voting with Dems to defund ICE (or 23 to impeach and remove Trump — 3 in House & 20 in Senate). That’s it. 23 Americans can vote for the public and end all of this.
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Jake Grumbach @jakemgrumbach.bsky.social · 22/01/2026
This law group led by @rickpildes.bsky.social had me write for their 100 Ideas series on US democracy My idea: the rule of law cannot coexist with this level of wealth concentration. Once Musk, Bezos, Zuck, & a few others bend the knee, the authoritarian consolidates too much power
"[Flor where some possess much, and the others nothing, there may arise an extreme democracy, or a pure oligarchy; or a tyranny may grow out of either extreme." It seems that American society has forgotten this wisdom of Aristotle over two thousand years ago: extreme wealth inequality destroys constitutions. It's time we remembered.
Aristotle was concerned with the extremes of both oligarchy and democracy. The Framers were well aware of Aristotle's concern as they designed the U.S.
Constitution, which would feature democratic elections as well as strong protections for civil liberties, checks and balances, and (probably too heavily weighted) legislative representation for geographic minorities.
But Aristotle could not have anticipated the particular level of top- heavy wealth inequality in 21st century America. It is not the kind of inequality easily captured in a Gini coefficient or in comparisons between the 1% and 99%. American wealth inequality is characterized by the very, very top of the distribution. The top 12 billionaires in the United States, most of them in the tech sector, hold a combined wealth of over $2 trillion. The pace of wealth accumulation at the top is only increasing. Elon Musk, the wealthiest individual in human history and likely to be the first trillionaire, doubled his net worth in just the calendar year of 2024.
It is this wealth inequality, combined with a particular technological moment, that has dismantled electoral democracy and the rule of law.
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Scott Shapiro @scottjshapiro.bsky.social · 08/01/2026
A country that blows up foreign fishing boats for no reason is one that will shoot its own citizens for no reason.
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Adam Bonica @adambonica.bsky.social · 14/12/2025
For the second year in a row, the wealth gains for the 100 richest Americans exceeded what ALL American households spent on groceries combined. ~$995B for billionaires vs ~$775B in total grocery spending. We have an oligarchy and inequality problem masquerading as an affordability crisis.
Infographic titled “2025 Billionaire Gains vs. Grocery Spending.” On the left, a large gold square shows that the top 100 richest Americans gained $995 billion in wealth in 2025, about $7,595 per U.S. household, representing wealth gains for just 100 individuals. On the right, a slightly smaller green square shows total U.S. grocery spending of $775 billion, about $5,916 per household, covering roughly 131 million households. A callout at the bottom reads “The Scale of Inequality,” noting that billionaire wealth gains exceeded national grocery spending by $220 billion. Sources listed: Bloomberg Billionaire Index and Bureau of Labor Statistics.
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Anna Stansbury @annastansbury.bsky.social · 09/12/2025
In our research on socioeconomic background in academia, we ran a survey. Over 2,000 faculty members responded (thanks if you were one!) Social & cultural capital showed up time and again as key issues. A few findings you might be interested in...🧵
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Adam Bonica @adambonica.bsky.social · 14/11/2025
Those claiming Dems should retreat on racial justice aren't hard-headed realists, they're pushing against the electoral tide rather than leaning into it. The story of Gen Z isn't about racist backlash or red-pilled young men. It's the most racially progressive generation in American history. 🧵
Racial Resentment Among White Americans by Birth Year and Demographics

This figure presents the same four-panel layout (education, gender, geography, religion) but for White Americans from birth years 1940 to 2000.

Education panel: A pronounced divide shows non-college Whites with substantially higher resentment across all cohorts, increasing sharply for older birth years. College-educated Whites rise more modestly but remain distinctly lower, especially among younger cohorts.

Gender panel: Male and female trendlines rise together, with women slightly higher in mid-century cohorts. Younger cohorts of both genders start lower and climb with age.

Geography panel: Regional lines separate clearly: the South is highest in resentment, followed by the Midwest. The West and Northeast show lower levels, with the Northeast consistently at the bottom. All regions slope upward toward older cohorts.

Religion panel: Protestants show the highest resentment, peaking among mid-century cohorts. Catholics sit in the middle. Non-affiliated Whites show the lowest resentment, especially among younger respondents, with a small rise among mid-century generations.

The figure notes CES 2024 data with GAM-smoothed trendlines.
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Bastian Becker @beckerbastian.bsky.social · 11/11/2025
🚨Elites often warn: taxing the rich hurts everyone. 🤔But do citizens buy that story? With @bcastanho.bsky.social & Hanna Lierse, we find: They don’t! Most people believe progressive taxes can deliver both — more equality and more growth. @jpublicpolicy.bsky.social #openaccess cup.org/3JVuvHm
cup.org
Taxing your cake and growing it too: public beliefs on the dual benefits of progressive taxation | Journal of Public Policy | Cambridge Core
Taxing your cake and growing it too: public beliefs on the dual benefits of progressive taxation
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Kris-Stella Trump @kstrump.bsky.social · 10/11/2025
So much more informative than the maddeningly common "Arrived yesterday, looks great, can't wait to give it to the child."
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Perry Bacon @perrybaconjr.bsky.social · 30/10/2025
“Deciding to Win' also displays little awareness of what winning elections is for. There is an obvious reason why the Democratic Party ought not abandon its commitment to preventing the climate crisis," writes @davekarpf.bsky.social. Excellent piece. newrepublic.com/article/2023...
newrepublic.com
Why Centrist Democrats Keep Being Wrong About Elections
A new 60-page report insists the party is too radical. But the problem isn’t the party platform. The problem is the broader environment.
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Man in Business Suit Levitating @dfeldman.org · 28/10/2025
A guy I used to work with was a tenured psych/CS professor as well as on an elite amateur crew team. He said "you're never going to make learning easier, just like you're never going to make rowing easier." I think about that a lot.
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Kris-Stella Trump @kstrump.bsky.social · 28/10/2025
I had some coffee and remembered this is a dog. Day is going well.
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Kris-Stella Trump @kstrump.bsky.social · 28/10/2025
I need the “this is fine” mouse but with popcorn looking out the window at a different burning house.
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Kris-Stella Trump @kstrump.bsky.social · 14/10/2025
"Wealthy, mostly/largely democratic countries" seems to be front-runner for new summary.
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