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Ignas Karvelis 🇱🇹🇺🇦

@karvelis.bsky.social
2.4K followers 2.2K following 688 posts

Intelligence | Counterinsurgency | Hybrid war | LatAm | documentary photography | tacos | beer. Not necessarily in that order. #SlavaUkraini 🇺🇦

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Reposted by Ignas Karvelis 🇱🇹🇺🇦
Dan Kaszeta FRHistS @dankaszeta.bsky.social · 9h
At least 21 members of my extended family were arrested and sent from Lithuania to camps or exile colonies in this 1951 act of repression by the Soviet occupiers.
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ChrisO_wiki @chriso-wiki.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
1/ Ukraine has taken a reported 250 Russian prisoners and claims to have killed 2,000 more Russians in its ongoing Operation Vivaldi near Lyman. A Russian warblogger says that Ukraine has overturned Russian assumptions about its capabilities. ⬇️
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🐺Cold🪦Sam🪾 @pdfmerchant.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
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Ignas Karvelis 🇱🇹🇺🇦 @karvelis.bsky.social · 21/09/2026
“According to sources close to the FSB, Russian strategists increasingly fear that, in the event of the total destruction of Vilnius, Europe might cross the ultimate threshold of deterrence: illuminating the Eiffel Tower in the colors of Lithuania”.
caporalstrategique.fr
Caporal Stratégique - L'Europe prévient la Russie : "Toute invasion de la Lituanie entraînera l'utilisation immédiate du mot hybride."
Ce dimanche, les dirigeants européens ont adressé un avertissement particulièrement ferme à la Russie : toute invasion de la Lituanie, ou de n'importe quel autre pays européen, sera immédiatement qual...
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Reposted by Ignas Karvelis 🇱🇹🇺🇦
Mikalojus Konstantinas Čiurlionis @mciurlionis.bsky.social · 21/09/2026
Deluge (I) www.wikiart.org/en/mikalojus-ciurli…
Deluge (I)
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Phillips OBrien @phillipspobrien.bsky.social · 21/09/2026
Latest piece. The Ukrainians just launched arguably their largest and most complex raid on Moscow. 1000+ units, 450 or so aimed at the Russian capital. It revealed a great deal about where things are now in the ranged more… phillipspobrien.substack.com/p/the-ukrain...
phillipspobrien.substack.com
The Ukrainians Bomb Moscow With Intent
What Is Important About This Operation
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Chris Hind @hindchristopher.bsky.social · 20/09/2026
315 AD. The Emperor Constantine secures overwatch positions for snipers to control the streets of Rome.
The Arch of Constantine, on deployment
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Darth Putin @darthputinkgb.bsky.social · 20/09/2026
OTD in 1951 first deportations of Operation Osen began. 20,000 Lithuanians were forcibly deported to Siberia as USSR continued to "liberate them from fascism" 6 years after WW2 ended Imagine mass deportations happening today...
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Olga Lautman 🇺🇦 @olgalautman.bsky.social · 18/09/2026
I can’t believe how little media coverage any of this is getting. Russia is escalating across Europe, Poland is warning of possible Russian strikes on NATO countries, and Lithuania is preparing evacuation routes in the event of a military attack. You wouldn’t know it from our media
olgalautman.substack.com
Lithuania Prepares Evacuation Route to Poland in Case of Russian Attack
With warnings growing that Russia could launch a military attack against NATO countries, Lithuania and Poland are getting ready.
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Paweł Wójcik 🦋🇵🇱🇪🇺 @saladinaldronni.bsky.social · 12/09/2026
This report by CNN is a true bombshell - a first explicit confirmation that Ukrainian operatives are in Mali, embedded within the FLA militants in the North, performing an advisor role. 15 Ukrainians are supposed to be hosted by the Tuaregs. edition.cnn.com/2026/09/12/a...
edition.cnn.com
Ukraine is fighting Russia anywhere it can – even in the deserts of Africa | CNN
An elite group of Ukrainian drone operators has spent years hunting Russians from dugouts in Ukraine. They are now doing so in remote deserts thousands of miles from home.
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Janne M. Korhonen @jmkorhonen.fi · 14/09/2026
This is probably because of casualties Russians keep suffering in Ukraine (and abysmal medical care), but, increasing hospital capacity is also one of the classic early warning signs of an attack 🤷‍♂️ militarnyi.com/en/news/russ...
militarnyi.com
Russia Plans 16,000–20,000 Hospital Beds for Wounded Soldiers Near the Baltic States
In autumn 2026, Russia plans to add 16,000–20,000 beds in civilian hospitals for military use, mainly in the Northwestern Federal District near the Baltic
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Mark Chadbourn @chadbourn.bsky.social · 13/09/2026
Sikorski: “The Council of Baltic Sea States, without the rest of Europe and NATO, has a bigger GDP than Russia and a bigger peacetime defence budget than Russia's wartime budget. “Russia has no hope of winning against us.”
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Dan Kaszeta FRHistS @dankaszeta.bsky.social · 12/09/2026
Best bit of the Bayeux tapestry is the 1944 addendum
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Phillips OBrien @phillipspobrien.bsky.social · 11/09/2026
Latest piece is out. Trump's War with Iran is looking more and more like one of the most consequential wars in US history. As the US flails around, it is leaving historic allies like Saudi Arabia very vulnerable. phillipspobrien.substack.com/p/the-unrave...
phillipspobrien.substack.com
The Unravelling Of The American Age Is Accelerating
What Has Happened In The Last Days Is Ominous
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Anders Puck Nielsen @anderspucknielsen.dk · 05/09/2026
Will Putin launch a large offensive to finish the war? Russia is increasingly stuck, and war leaders under pressure often try to escalate their way out of problems. But as military analyst Alexander With argues on Logic of War, offensives launched from weakness usually fail.
logicofwar.com
One last offensive to end the war?
By Alexander With History shows that states often launch a major offensive when they expect a turning point in the war. The purpose is seldom total victory, but to enhance their diplomatic and milita...
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Sven-Erik Volberg @volberg.bsky.social · 04/09/2026
To counter russian electronic warfare (EW) jammers like Pole-21, Zhitel, and massive GPS spoofing belts around Moscow, Ukrainian long-range strike drones (such as the Liutyi, Bober, and UJ-26 Beaver) have progressively shifted away from relying on satellite signals. Long and bit technical 🧵
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Katja Bego @katjabego.bsky.social · 02/09/2026
I’d say “state-sponsored terrorism” is too mild of a descriptor. This is Russia preparing and testing the waters ahead of a (possible) all out war. Russia continues to probe weaknesses in Europe’s critical infrastructure - from airports to undersea cables - these are no longer just provocations.
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Andrew Watt @andrewwatteu.bsky.social · 01/09/2026
Persistent fiscal deficits and rising Treasury yields aren’t just a problem for the US — the backwash heads straight across the Atlantic. Here is why Washington’s unsustainable path creates an opening for Europe to finally build its own sovereign safe asset market: 🧵 (Link to full text at end) 1/5
Comparison of US and Euro Area deficit ratios since 2004
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Dining and Cooking @diningandcooking.bsky.social · 27/08/2026
Sardine vending machine www.diningandcooking.com/2788895/sa… Just standing there in the middle of a mall in Kaunas in Lithuania. Some really good tins but I didn’t bother as I recently just came back from Portugal by slliw
diningandcooking.com
Sardine vending machine - Dining and Cooking | DiningAndCooking.com
Just standing there in the middle of a mall in Kaunas in Lithuania. Some really good tins but I didn’t bother as I recently just came back from Portugal
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Sven-Erik Volberg @volberg.bsky.social · 30/08/2026
Three secret #AI swarms rose and fell inside OpenAI. Each time, a new generation of agents carried on where the last group stopped. 'This incident feels like it’s more than 50% of the way to full-blown AI takeover. I am not sure that we will get another warning shot' www.dwarkesh.com/p/openai-hug...
dwarkesh.com
The Rise and Fall of Agent Civilizations
The whole OpenAI/Hugging Face story in plain English
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Ian Kikuchi @curatorian.bsky.social · 30/08/2026
Presumably the other Great Lakes will shortly be renamed 2 Lake 2 America and Lake America 3: The Revenge.
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Keir Giles @keirgiles.bsky.social · 29/08/2026
Come on folks. If we can get @badbaltictakes.bsky.social to 1,270 today I shall be content. (Currently at 853.)
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Ignas Karvelis 🇱🇹🇺🇦 @karvelis.bsky.social · 29/08/2026
Make your favorite film sound as boring as possible without giving away the title: A recently retired man goes to an optometrist to update his glass formula.
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Reposted by Ignas Karvelis 🇱🇹🇺🇦
One Angry Eyebrow… @oneangryeyebrow.bsky.social · 29/08/2026
Happy Skynet Self Awareness Day to all who celebrate… *this gets less funny every year.
Terminator: Skynet begins to learn at a geometric rate.
It becomes self-aware at 2:14 a.m. Eastern time, August 29.
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Ignas Karvelis 🇱🇹🇺🇦 @karvelis.bsky.social · 29/08/2026
Dear lord, please save us from Columbian coffee
static.klipy.com
No Lo Se Rick, Parece Falso - Meme Clásico
ALT: No Lo Se Rick, Parece Falso - Meme Clásico
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Sven-Erik Volberg @volberg.bsky.social · 28/08/2026
For any scenario offered for russian attack on #Nato check these base principles Do russian troops slowly gather or do they teleport into place? Do Baltics use 'shoot on sight' order in place or are we discussing what would Nato decide to do? Is economic situation covered or is it not discussed?
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Sven-Erik Volberg @volberg.bsky.social · 30/06/2026
Why do Western wargames consistently overplay russian military might in Europe? A look at recent high-profile simulations like the late 2025/early 2026 exercises predicting a rapid collapse of the Baltics reveals a massive analytical blind spot. 🧵 1/7
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Nicholas Slayton @nslayton.bsky.social · 28/08/2026
ICYMI we've got two warships, a bunch of Marines and Army Special Forces in Ecuador waging what looks like a war against cartels.
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Rob Coughlan 🇦🇺🇺🇦🇲🇫🇪🇺🇱🇦🇬🇪 @landofrob.bsky.social · 28/08/2026
Great article. Please read.
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Anders Puck Nielsen @anderspucknielsen.dk · 26/08/2026
Fully agree. This smells like infoops. The idea that Putin would use nukes at a point when there isn't even officially a war going on but just a "special operation", is just silly.
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Rafael Behr @rafaelbehr.bsky.social · 26/08/2026
US global power was built on alliances. Trump is burning them all and now he is running out of diplomatic (and ballistic) ammunition www.theguardian.com/commentisfre...
theguardian.com
With no friends left to burn, Trump is running out of diplomatic ammunition | Rafael Behr
Everyone can see that the Iran war has been a strategic disaster for the US, while a failing president pretends he is winning, says Guardian columnist Rafael Behr
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Lithuania MFA | #StandWithUkraine @lithuaniamfa.bsky.social · 23/08/2026
On 23 August 1939, a non-aggression pact between Nazi Germany and the Soviet Union paved the way for the WWII. In protest against the Soviet occupation, OTD in 1989, 2 million people in 🇱🇹 🇱🇻 🇪🇪 stood in the Baltic Way, expressing the will to break free from the evil empire.
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Mikalojus Konstantinas Čiurlionis @mciurlionis.bsky.social · 23/08/2026
Andante (Sonata of the Pyramids) www.wikiart.org/en/mikalojus-ciurli…
Andante (Sonata of the Pyramids)
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Sven-Erik Volberg @volberg.bsky.social · 23/08/2026
"Decent operators, blokes and sheilas who did every single thing right, rooted overnight because some thin-skinned cunt in Washington needed his bourbon back on a shelf in Winnipeg. If you’re looking for the definition of a dog act, that’s it, framed and hung in the fucking Louvre."
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Andrew Chakhoyan 🇺🇦 @andrewchak.bsky.social · 30/07/2026
Who is Schrödinger's putin? A man who can end the war tomorrow, yet also can't [my latest op-ed in a 🧵 thread] Few medieval figures loom larger in 🇷🇺’s origin story than Yuriy Dolgorukiy, the prince who founded an outpost on the Moskva River from which russian empire arose 1/28
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Sven-Erik Volberg @volberg.bsky.social · 21/08/2026
So just in the last few days russians shot a missile into Moldova, USV-ed Romanian gas platform that supplies EU, planted weapons for assassins in Germany, dug a tunnel under Latvian border, flew a spy plane in Finland airspace and we are still calling it 'hybrid' and keep tossing them visas?
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Darth Putin @darthputinkgb.bsky.social · 21/08/2026
OTD in 1991 the Soviet coup failed. The system was so shit the leaders of the revolution couldn't even manage a decent revolution anymore.
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Ignas Karvelis 🇱🇹🇺🇦 @karvelis.bsky.social · 20/08/2026
What's your favorite Bible Verse? Wrong answers only.
static.klipy.com
Big Lebowski: Smokey, This Is Bowling
ALT: Big Lebowski: Smokey, This Is Bowling
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edolis 🇪🇺🇮🇹 @edolis.eurosky.social · 18/08/2026
A shocking interview with glaciologist Matthias Huss: The record melting of Alpine glaciers is currently obscuring the true water levels of the rivers. When the Alpine water reservoirs have melted away in a few years, the levels of rivers and lakes will drop even more drastically in summer than now.
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Mikalojus Konstantinas Čiurlionis @mciurlionis.bsky.social · 16/08/2026
Funeral Symphony (IV) www.wikiart.org/en/mikalojus-ciurli…
Funeral Symphony (IV)
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European News @eunews.social · 15/08/2026
Ukraine strikes major Russian rocket factory with cruise missiles “Flamingo missiles were used. A good achievement.”
arstechnica.com
Ukraine strikes major Russian rocket factory with cruise missiles
“Flamingo missiles were used. A good achievement.”
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Ignas Karvelis 🇱🇹🇺🇦 @karvelis.bsky.social · 17/08/2026
2031: President Donald Trump Jr announces that Washington reduces military support to Texas due to a lack of help with the Iran War.
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Paul T. Levin @paultlevin.bsky.social · 15/08/2026
🧵: There's a serious uptick in Russian asymmetric warfare in Europe rn. While not every event may be a 🇷🇺n attack, the pattern is undeniable. Here's a sampling: * 🇮🇹 Aug 13: explosion by KNDS Ammo plant in Colleferro. * 🇩🇪 Aug 7-13: Drone sightings by Mechernich Patriot logistics site.
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Sven-Erik Volberg @volberg.bsky.social · 09/08/2026
Worth remembering, russia played a decisive role in keeping Alexander Lukashenko in power during the 2020–2021 Belarusian pro-democracy protests. While russian troops didn't fight on the streets en masse, Moscow provided critical political, financial, media, and security backing. 🧵 1/7
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Bruno J. Navarro @brunojnavarro.bsky.social · 08/08/2026
Accounts with links to the Russian military promoting far-right messages reached more than 500,000 people in the days following the mass influx of people into Ceuta, according to an analysis by 411, a counter-disinformation group.
theguardian.com
Russia-linked accounts spread far-right narrative online during Ceuta migration crisis, analysis finds
Counter-disinformation group says social media channels connected to Pravda network helped amplify message
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David Higham @oldtrotter.bsky.social · 07/08/2026
One of today's least surprising revelations www.theguardian.com/media/2026/a...
theguardian.com
Russia-linked accounts spread far-right narrative online during Ceuta migration crisis, analysis finds
Counter-disinformation group says social media channels connected to Pravda network helped amplify message
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Ignas Karvelis 🇱🇹🇺🇦 @karvelis.bsky.social · 07/08/2026
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Darth Putin @darthputinkgb.bsky.social · 07/08/2026
OTD in 2008 Georgia decided to invade itself before voluntarily moving its border away from Russia which remains peaceful country surrounded by ceasefires & special military operations proving western appeasement works.
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Anton Shekhovtsov @shekhovtsov.substack.com · 06/08/2026
Lithuanian intelligence says Russia may use Ukrainian drones to attack Baltic targets. www.lrt.lt/en/news-in-e...
lrt.lt
Lithuanian intelligence says Russia may use Ukrainian drones to attack Baltic targets
Lithuanian military intelligence says it has information indicating that Russia is considering using Ukrainian-made dron...
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Samuli Seppälä @samuliseppala.eurosky.social · 06/08/2026
Lithuanian military intelligence has information that Russia is considering launching attacks against critical infrastructure in the Baltic region using Ukrainian-made drones. This information was confirmed by National Defense Minister Robertas Kaunas #Sabotage #Espionage
15min.lt
Karinė žvalgyba: Rusija svarsto smūgius Baltijos regione Ukrainos gamybos dronais
Lietuvos karinė žvalgyba turi duomenų, kad Rusija svarsto surengti atakas prieš kritinę infrastruktūrą Baltijos regione, naudodama Ukrainos gamybos dronus. Šią informaciją 15min...
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