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Ignas Karvelis 🇱🇹🇺🇦

@karvelis.bsky.social
2.4K followers 2.2K following 697 posts

Intelligence | Counterinsurgency | Hybrid war | LatAm | documentary photography | tacos | beer. Not necessarily in that order. #SlavaUkraini 🇺🇦

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Ignas Karvelis 🇱🇹🇺🇦 @karvelis.bsky.social · 7h
It’s time for Europe to call the US’s bluff. Their defence technology is stuck in the 90s and is not scaleable for a 21st century interstate war. Ukraine can produce better weapons cheaper, with a notable exception of anti-ballistic missile defences.
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Gavril Ducu 🇷🇴 🇩🇪 🇺🇸 🇳🇱 🇪🇺 🇺🇦 @ducugavril.nafoforum.org · 7h
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Jacob Kaarsbo @jkaarsbo.bsky.social · 11h
If you want to understand the Trump-Putin diesel deal it’s about much more than diesel. Essentially, Trump is a witting asset for 🇷🇺. Check out my latest👇🏻 jacobkaarsbo.substack.com/p/understand...
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Ignas Karvelis 🇱🇹🇺🇦 @karvelis.bsky.social · 10h
More Yandex data centers as well, hopefully
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Phillips OBrien @phillipspobrien.bsky.social · 19h
There is a cacophony of noises out there. Russians planning to assassinate European officials, the US president riding to Vladimir Putin's aid, the Russians increasingly targeting Ukrainian civilians to break their will. The one constant tune? Russia is getting desperate.
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Nicholas Grossman @nicholasgrossman.bsky.social · 19h
The "Party of Reagan" has the United States siding with Russian aggression against NATO allies and a brutal war on a European democratic US partner. Yes, the whole party. If they didn't, they would impeach and remove the president who is blatantly breaking US law to help fund Russia's war effort.
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Illia Ponomarenko @ioponomarenko.bsky.social · 22h
On a positive note, judging by how furious these fucks are and how they've brought out the real big guns to force Ukraine to stop, the strikes against Russia's oil industry are clearly having a very serious impact.
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Ignas Karvelis 🇱🇹🇺🇦 @karvelis.bsky.social · 11/10/2026
It will deliver something, to the bottom of the sea
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Ignas Karvelis 🇱🇹🇺🇦 @karvelis.bsky.social · 11/10/2026
Oh no, the hotel didn’t have any Muggy Onion Slop
youtube.com
British Food
YouTube video by kylegordonisgreat
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Ignas Karvelis 🇱🇹🇺🇦 @karvelis.bsky.social · 10/10/2026
For years, undoubtedly
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Alex Panchenko @alexpanchenko2.bsky.social · 09/10/2026
Donald Trump's Russian diesel "deal" has little to do with actual diesel or actual US market. The point of this brilliant Kremlin op is to use the WH as a disinfo tool for vilifying Ukraine: by falsely portraying Ukrainian long-range counterstrikes on Russia as "harmful" for the United States.
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Phillips OBrien @phillipspobrien.bsky.social · 10/10/2026
New primer about the news from the last few hours that the US is getting back to business with Russia. This is not Trump being erratic, it is not about diesel, it is not a small move. It is about the US moving to a more active position of helping Putin. phillipspobrien.substack.com/p/this-is-ab...
phillipspobrien.substack.com
This Is About Much More Than Just Diesel
What Really Matters From The Last Few Hours
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Anders Puck Nielsen @anderspucknielsen.dk · 09/10/2026
This is a deal between two men who are desperate to look like they have cards on their hands: 1. Putin had to lift an export ban after Ukrainian drone strikes to deliver a symbolic amount of diesel. 2. Trump pretends that it will make a difference for diesel prices in America.
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The Ukrainian Review @theukrainianreview.bsky.social · 09/10/2026
🇱🇹🇪🇺🇺🇦 Lithuania initiates EU sanctions against Russia's agricultural sector amid escalation of criminal war against Ukraine Stop the transit of Russian agricultural products through the territory of EU and introduce sanctions against Russian agrarian oligarchs who openly support war against Ukraine.
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Jean-Marc Liotier @liotier.bsky.social · 09/10/2026
At this point, I would not be surprised by Trump welcoming Russian "election observers" for the Midterms.
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Nicolas Tenzer @nicolastenzer.bsky.social · 09/10/2026
Trump is a filthy bastard. His collusion with russia amounts to high treason. While Moscow continues to escalate its massacres of Ukrainians, Trump is offering criminals money. It's a strong incentive for the Ukrainians to bomb russian refineries even more—the Europeans must help them decisively.
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Michael E. Carter @deckofcarterhist.bsky.social · 09/10/2026
I fear that we are dangerously close to this President trying to deploy American troops to protect Russian fuel infrastructure.
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Ignas Karvelis 🇱🇹🇺🇦 @karvelis.bsky.social · 10/10/2026
When you have to say to that it’s “a big and important announcement”, it’s probably not
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David the Trifecta: Fatty, Beardo, Weirdo @coldwarhost.bsky.social · 09/10/2026
Remember folks, Russia doesn't have enough Diesel for Russia, let alone for the United States. It is an empty deal being made to convince midterm voters who don't know better while providing further support for Russia in its murderous war against Ukraine.
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Ignas Karvelis 🇱🇹🇺🇦 @karvelis.bsky.social · 10/10/2026
Kid Rock will be headlining the halftime show
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Judith Jesch @judithjesch.bsky.social · 09/10/2026
Fun 🧵
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UNITED24 Media @united24media.com · 09/10/2026
Built on mass deportations and manufactured famines, Russia's expansion relies on erasing entire peoples. 🧵 1/18 ⬇️
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UNITED24 Media @united24media.com · 09/10/2026
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Mac It Look Like An Accident @macrogers.bsky.social · 08/10/2026
Okay so we have a number now: the Onion is officially 6 months ahead of reality.
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Ignas Karvelis 🇱🇹🇺🇦 @karvelis.bsky.social · 09/10/2026
Is there going to be a halftime show?
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Lithuania MFA | #StandWithUkraine @lithuaniamfa.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
🇱🇹🇪🇺 Lithuania’s young population is among the EU’s most educated. 60.8% of 25–34-year-olds hold a higher education qualification – 3rd highest in the EU. A highly educated population gives Lithuania a strong foundation for innovation, productivity & growth.
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Phillips OBrien @phillipspobrien.bsky.social · 04/10/2026
Free weekend update is out. Russia has a strategy for this winter--massive war crimes to make Ukraine unlivable. We need to speak the truth on that. One reason they need to do this is that they are struggling in other parts of the war--see Vivaldi. phillipspobrien.substack.com/p/weekend-up...
phillipspobrien.substack.com
Weekend Update #205: Russia’s Strategy In Two Words: “War Crimes”
Operation Vivaldi, Even More Robots; The Trump-Putin Quid Pro Quo
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Christophe Kopp @chkopp.bsky.social · 03/10/2026
“I think their ability to miscalculate is huge. When I see it in the Baltic, and I see it in the North Sea, and I see it around the British Isles and elsewhere, unprofessional behaviour has the potential to escalate certain scenarios.”
lrt.lt
I worry about Russian miscalculation in Baltics – interview with Britain’s top general
Britain’s top navy general Gwyn Jenkins visited Lithuania and the Baltic states last week as the UK continues to build t...
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Ignas Karvelis 🇱🇹🇺🇦 @karvelis.bsky.social · 03/10/2026
Embargoed until July 2028..
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Dan Kaszeta FRHistS @dankaszeta.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
At least 21 members of my extended family were arrested and sent from Lithuania to camps or exile colonies in this 1951 act of repression by the Soviet occupiers.
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ChrisO_wiki @chriso-wiki.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
1/ Ukraine has taken a reported 250 Russian prisoners and claims to have killed 2,000 more Russians in its ongoing Operation Vivaldi near Lyman. A Russian warblogger says that Ukraine has overturned Russian assumptions about its capabilities. ⬇️
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🐺Cold🪦Sam🪾 @pdfmerchant.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
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Ignas Karvelis 🇱🇹🇺🇦 @karvelis.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
Looks like an iguana
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Ignas Karvelis 🇱🇹🇺🇦 @karvelis.bsky.social · 21/09/2026
“According to sources close to the FSB, Russian strategists increasingly fear that, in the event of the total destruction of Vilnius, Europe might cross the ultimate threshold of deterrence: illuminating the Eiffel Tower in the colors of Lithuania”.
caporalstrategique.fr
Caporal Stratégique - L'Europe prévient la Russie : "Toute invasion de la Lituanie entraînera l'utilisation immédiate du mot hybride."
Ce dimanche, les dirigeants européens ont adressé un avertissement particulièrement ferme à la Russie : toute invasion de la Lituanie, ou de n'importe quel autre pays européen, sera immédiatement qual...
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Mikalojus Konstantinas Čiurlionis @mciurlionis.bsky.social · 21/09/2026
Deluge (I) www.wikiart.org/en/mikalojus-ciurli…
Deluge (I)
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Phillips OBrien @phillipspobrien.bsky.social · 21/09/2026
Latest piece. The Ukrainians just launched arguably their largest and most complex raid on Moscow. 1000+ units, 450 or so aimed at the Russian capital. It revealed a great deal about where things are now in the ranged more… phillipspobrien.substack.com/p/the-ukrain...
phillipspobrien.substack.com
The Ukrainians Bomb Moscow With Intent
What Is Important About This Operation
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Chris Hind @hindchristopher.bsky.social · 20/09/2026
315 AD. The Emperor Constantine secures overwatch positions for snipers to control the streets of Rome.
The Arch of Constantine, on deployment
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Darth Putin @darthputinkgb.bsky.social · 20/09/2026
OTD in 1951 first deportations of Operation Osen began. 20,000 Lithuanians were forcibly deported to Siberia as USSR continued to "liberate them from fascism" 6 years after WW2 ended Imagine mass deportations happening today...
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Olga Lautman 🇺🇦 @olgalautman.bsky.social · 18/09/2026
I can’t believe how little media coverage any of this is getting. Russia is escalating across Europe, Poland is warning of possible Russian strikes on NATO countries, and Lithuania is preparing evacuation routes in the event of a military attack. You wouldn’t know it from our media
olgalautman.substack.com
Lithuania Prepares Evacuation Route to Poland in Case of Russian Attack
With warnings growing that Russia could launch a military attack against NATO countries, Lithuania and Poland are getting ready.
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Ignas Karvelis 🇱🇹🇺🇦 @karvelis.bsky.social · 17/09/2026
So sorry..
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Ignas Karvelis 🇱🇹🇺🇦 @karvelis.bsky.social · 15/09/2026
According to Lithuanian state television, the origin of the drone has not been confirmed yet.
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Paweł Wójcik 🦋🇵🇱🇪🇺 @saladinaldronni.bsky.social · 12/09/2026
This report by CNN is a true bombshell - a first explicit confirmation that Ukrainian operatives are in Mali, embedded within the FLA militants in the North, performing an advisor role. 15 Ukrainians are supposed to be hosted by the Tuaregs. edition.cnn.com/2026/09/12/a...
edition.cnn.com
Ukraine is fighting Russia anywhere it can – even in the deserts of Africa | CNN
An elite group of Ukrainian drone operators has spent years hunting Russians from dugouts in Ukraine. They are now doing so in remote deserts thousands of miles from home.
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Janne M. Korhonen @jmkorhonen.fi · 14/09/2026
This is probably because of casualties Russians keep suffering in Ukraine (and abysmal medical care), but, increasing hospital capacity is also one of the classic early warning signs of an attack 🤷‍♂️ militarnyi.com/en/news/russ...
militarnyi.com
Russia Plans 16,000–20,000 Hospital Beds for Wounded Soldiers Near the Baltic States
In autumn 2026, Russia plans to add 16,000–20,000 beds in civilian hospitals for military use, mainly in the Northwestern Federal District near the Baltic
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Ignas Karvelis 🇱🇹🇺🇦 @karvelis.bsky.social · 14/09/2026
Begun the Toyota War has.
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Mark Chadbourn @chadbourn.bsky.social · 13/09/2026
Sikorski: “The Council of Baltic Sea States, without the rest of Europe and NATO, has a bigger GDP than Russia and a bigger peacetime defence budget than Russia's wartime budget. “Russia has no hope of winning against us.”
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Ignas Karvelis 🇱🇹🇺🇦 @karvelis.bsky.social · 13/09/2026
static.klipy.com
The Big Lebowski Steve Buscemi
ALT: The Big Lebowski Steve Buscemi
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Dan Kaszeta FRHistS @dankaszeta.bsky.social · 12/09/2026
Best bit of the Bayeux tapestry is the 1944 addendum
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Phillips OBrien @phillipspobrien.bsky.social · 11/09/2026
Latest piece is out. Trump's War with Iran is looking more and more like one of the most consequential wars in US history. As the US flails around, it is leaving historic allies like Saudi Arabia very vulnerable. phillipspobrien.substack.com/p/the-unrave...
phillipspobrien.substack.com
The Unravelling Of The American Age Is Accelerating
What Has Happened In The Last Days Is Ominous
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Anders Puck Nielsen @anderspucknielsen.dk · 05/09/2026
Will Putin launch a large offensive to finish the war? Russia is increasingly stuck, and war leaders under pressure often try to escalate their way out of problems. But as military analyst Alexander With argues on Logic of War, offensives launched from weakness usually fail.
logicofwar.com
One last offensive to end the war?
By Alexander With History shows that states often launch a major offensive when they expect a turning point in the war. The purpose is seldom total victory, but to enhance their diplomatic and milita...
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