iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

mtsw @mtsw.bsky.social · 28/09/2026

this was a hell of a video to post a week after a little round of mini-discourse about whether the campaign had been captured by DC consultants who don't really understand Jackson or Maine

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Reposted by Jon Green

seeing a lot of discussion about this and like: the reason the poster did a screenshot with no link is that if you actually search for the article you'd learn that this bill 1) has nothing to do with Zohran Mamdani 2) was introduced in committee back in May and didn't go anywhere

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my hunch would be that people selling testosterone are advertising to republicans/on conservative media (part of the mechanism, not a competing mechanism)

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Drew Engelhardt @amengel.bsky.social · 28/09/2026

given the player and their history this makes it sound less like that’s all the information they have and more like they don’t believe him

Porzingis to miss start of Warriors camp with ‘health issue’

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Quite the figure from @tesler.bsky.social in this @goodauth.bsky.social piece. goodauthority.substack.com/p/republican...

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Seth Masket @smotus.bsky.social · 28/09/2026

a protein bar that tastes good would be dangerously close to just being a candy bar

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New at the Smotus Report: A network analysis of presidential announcement speeches can give us an idea of who is central to the party and who isn’t — and who is more likely to win as a result

smotus.substack.com

Predicting the presidential nominees... from their announcement speeches

A new paper focusing on presidential announcement speech rhetoric

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[listens to the first verse of Cleveland] ok this is bad but it’s not as bad as her *other* song about Travis Kelce [listens to the bridge] nope it’s worse

we almost had to pull the car over just now because my wife started playing Cleveland and we were already laughing about how bad it is and then it got to the truly cringe bridge and the toddler started saying “ALL DONE! ALL DONE!” and we just lost it

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not sure about shows but I bet he’d love Conclave

Kevin Collins @kwcollins.bsky.social · 25/09/2026

seems intuitive to me that a committee ranking top 100 anything based on purely subjective tastes in multiple dimensions could produce a ranking weirder and less defensible than any individual would produce on their own

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New in APSR: Program cuts from DOGE were larger in more heavily Democratic areas www.cambridge.org/core/journal...

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Jon Green @jongreen.bsky.social · 24/09/2026

both parties think this (that they are incompetent and divided while the other side is disciplined and united), but also, a starting point for good messaging is not constantly going on tv to talk about how bad your message is

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Jon Green @jongreen.bsky.social · 23/09/2026

so how did the more vigilant patrons of the masks-required lesbian bar feel about…drinking

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Jon Green @jongreen.bsky.social · 23/09/2026

every passage I’ve seen from this article is like finding a soldier who’s been hiding on an island for five years and doesn’t know that Woke War 1 is over and they lost

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Jon Green @jongreen.bsky.social · 23/09/2026

it’s very small n so hard to say for sure but in theory the longer you’re out of power the better the fundamentals but also the stronger the electability pressures (real or imagined)

Jon Green @jongreen.bsky.social · 21/09/2026

it happened to me (toddler started picking the music in the car)

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Jon Green @jongreen.bsky.social · 21/09/2026

for my use case I needed to add a couple of frills (take the weighted average of response probs instead of the single likeliest response) but it matched agreement with human coders that I’d been using a lightweight gemini model for previously

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Jon Green @jongreen.bsky.social · 21/09/2026

I've got an ideological scaling task. The best (but expensive) way to do it was with pairwise comparisons. A cheaper alternative is to use the probability distribution from an open-weight model, but the results from Qwen weren't good enough to switch. Jev is, and took a ~$100 job down to $0.50.

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Kevin Collins @kwcollins.bsky.social · 18/09/2026

Cool analysis from @fiftyplusone.news on the effect of releasing close polls on fundraising, with implication for which internal polls get released blog.fiftyplusone.news/p/why-does-e...

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Jon Green @jongreen.bsky.social · 18/09/2026

the reanalysis and failed replication was publishable tho

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Jon Green @jongreen.bsky.social · 17/09/2026

Donald Trump’s effects on public opinion are wild. Last week he negatively polarized our country against free money. This is at least the *second* time he’s generated a rally around the flag effect in Canada this term

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Jon Green @jongreen.bsky.social · 17/09/2026

arguably makes the fact that she won more impressive though

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Jon Green @jongreen.bsky.social · 17/09/2026

I have great news about how candidates with heterodox stances are perceived by voters in the context of one-dimensional party competition

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the failure modes often seemed more like a statement about party strength or lack thereof than the model itself being wrong

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Instead of H-I-J-K-LMNOP. Q-R-S…, it’s H-I-J-K-L-M-N. O-P-Q-R-S-T-U… so each letter stays spaced out. you’d think something like the alphabet song would be a solved problem. This version is clearly better!

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non-new-ish parents might not know that they changed the alphabet song for the better at some point in the last 30 years???

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yeah that's the problem www.nytimes.com/2026/09/16/o...

What has made the University of California exceptional is its commitment to increase access without sacrificing excellence. In recent years, California has proudly defied a national trend: On average, about 40 percent of its students are the first in their families to attend a four-year college. More than half qualify for free tuition. The percentages of underrepresented students have crept up, through a variety of initiatives. The California Dream Act gave undocumented students access to financial aid, as well as in-state tuition. Students on University of California campuses may struggle with basic math, but they are graduating at record rates.

Boo!-per Lund @cooperlund.online · 16/09/2026

organizing one's entire career around the question, "Do you know who my father is?" many such cases

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This is a cheap post but only getting 17% of the country to support you sending them five thousand dollars is a sign that you haven’t just lost your fastball, you’ve lost the entire strike zone

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Jon Green @jongreen.bsky.social · 15/09/2026

Netflix: For the seventeenth time, we have recreated Squid Games from the hit Netflix show "Don't Create Squid Games"

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Ian Campbell @iwcampbell.bsky.social · 15/09/2026

NDSU’s punter might hold the record for kinds of cultural experience in a six year span

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the one where the reporter finds herself saying "aside from the obvious, score more points..." was a really good case in point

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Kevin Reuning @reuning.bsky.social · 14/09/2026

a lot of these questions seem halfway decent given the time constraints!

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Two weeks ago researchers identified another "OpenAI Swarm" where their Agents started editing an old wiki page. They released the edit data, which can be used to reveal a network made by looking at the edits (they were signed) and the pages they were editing. kevinreuning.com/blog/ai_swar...

kevinreuning.com

OpenAI Swarm – Kevin Reuning

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there is a dial except it was set to zero for so long that we forgot that if you really want to you can turn it up

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