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Michael Tesler

@tesler.bsky.social
2.5K followers 269 following 43 posts

Professor of Political Science | UC-Irvine

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Reposted by Michael Tesler
Adam Serwer @adamserwer.bsky.social · 19h
One thing that’s interesting about this is that it shows that despite insisting the wokes overinterpet everything, conservatives are actually aware of and agree with their critics about how coded racist appeals work, they just like them bsky.app/profile/newr...
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Drew Engelhardt @amengel.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
Quite the figure from @tesler.bsky.social in this @goodauth.bsky.social piece. goodauthority.substack.com/p/republican...
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Phil Klinkner @pklinkne.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
Great research by @tesler.bsky.social on the GOP man crush on testosterone. I really loved this chart.
goodauthority.substack.com
Republicans’ fascination with testosterone in three charts
Why depictions of testosterone as a measure of manhood resonate with Republicans.
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[Christopher M. Federico] @chrispps.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
you can be an ethnostate or you can be a democracy that respects universal human rights, but you can't be both
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Erin Lockwood @erinkaylockwood.bsky.social · 20/09/2026
Last week, the world lost an extraordinary scholar and person. Alexander Reyes, a PhD student at UCI and my advisee, died after a severe illness. Please considering contributing to this fundraiser for his family, who have incurred tremendous expenses this summer, in his memory if you can.
gofundme.com
Donate to Supporting A Final Farewell to Alexander, organized by Elizabeth Sandoval
Our family is reaching out to ask for support for our beloved cousin, Alex… Elizabeth Sandoval needs your support for Supporting A Final Farewell to Alexander
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Good Authority @goodauth.bsky.social · 16/09/2026
Inflation anxiety looks very different than two years ago. Republicans tend to “cheer louder and boo harder” in their evaluations of economic conditions. Ready the latest from @tesler.bsky.social: goodauthority.org/news/inflati...
goodauthority.org
Inflation anxiety looks very different than two years ago
See how Democrats and Republicans have now flipped their concerns about inflation.
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Seth Masket @smotus.bsky.social · 18/09/2026
My hot take: We are not arguing about SSRIs. Some of us are using them as prescribed by our doctors to treat mental health difficulties. This administration has decided that's a problem based on no actual research.
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Hakeem Jefferson @hakeemjefferson.bsky.social · 21/08/2026
Wrote about this kind of predicament with @tesler.bsky.social several years ago at fivethirtyeight: “Why racist white voters often favor Black republicans”: web.archive.org/web/20211110... In searching for this, turns out I missed the backlash the piece received! www.foxnews.com/media/abc-ne...
web.archive.org
Why Racist White Voters Often Favor Black Republicans
Can white voters who back a Black candidate still hold racist beliefs and views? That question has come to the fore in the wake of Glenn Youngkin’s gubernatoria…
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Adam Bonica @adambonica.bsky.social · 17/08/2026
I wrote this because most journalists facing this pressure can’t. The paper we count on to check authoritarianism spiked an investigation into the Democratic Party because the party’s lawyers threatened to sue. Holding authoritarians accountable starts with holding your own side accountable.
data4democracy.substack.com
With Fear and Favor
Institutions don’t have courage. They have incentives.
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Guardian US @us.theguardian.com · 11/08/2026
One of the player’s WNBA rivals said the Fever guard is treated differently from her Black peers. There’s plenty of evidence to back that statement up
theguardian.com
Does Sophie Cunningham benefit from white privilege? Of course she does | Etan Thomas
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Meredith Conroy @meredithconroy.bsky.social · 10/08/2026
The "Year of the Woman" keeps happening — just not for Republicans🧵 meredithconroy.substack.com/p/the-year-o...
meredithconroy.substack.com
The "Year of the Woman" keeps happening — just not for Republicans
44% of Democrats' nominees in primaries so far are women; just 18% of Republicans' are. What gives?
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Rabbi Danya Ruttenberg @theradr.bsky.social · 09/08/2026
Hi! I’m the rabbi that organized 2500 other rabbis around this principle before, during and after the fall of Dobbs. A thread!! 🧵 First of all, there’s a lot of clarity in the tradition about this. From the Mishnah on down:
lifeisasacredtext.com
The Torah of Reproductive Freedom
The Jewish Case for Abortion Justice
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Erin Lockwood @erinkaylockwood.bsky.social · 13/07/2026
Very excited to be part of this year's cohort of Good Authority (@goodauth.bsky.social) fellows, where I will contribute news analysis and commentary on financial technology and governance and economic inequality over the coming year!
goodauthority.org
New voices join Good Authority in 2026
We welcome nine political scientists to our team of experts in our latest cohort of Good Authority fellows.
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Brendan Nyhan @brendannyhan.bsky.social · 10/07/2026
Data > vibes and counting stats www.sbnation.com/nba/1121556/...
sbnation.com
The Jaylen Brown trade is a watershed moment for NBA analytics, and nothing will be the same after it
The Jaylen Brown trade is an inflection point for basketball analytics.
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Jonathan Ladd @jonathanmladd.com · 25/06/2026
Oftentimes, ancient books will cite or quote other books or documents that are now lost. Modern historians can incompletely reconstruct a lost text from all these references. Sometimes I think that this is what will happen to Zaller (1999) "A Theory Of Media Politics."
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Nick Anderson - political cartoonist @andertoon.bsky.social · 14/05/2026
Raising the Flag Follow my work and writing on Substack: nickanderson.substack.com
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Nathaniel Rakich @baseballot.bsky.social · 15/05/2026
ABC News has now taken all FiveThirtyEight articles completely offline. They now redirect to abcnews dot com.politics. A needless erasure of thousands of pages of knowledge.
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Joel S. @joelhs.bsky.social · 10/05/2026
There is real rising antisemitism in the US right now, including on the left, as even left-wing Jews will tell you. Meanwhile, this editorial spends most of its time complaining about Democrats voting to block weapon sales to Israel, which is not antisemitism. www.nytimes.com/2026/05/10/o...
nytimes.com
Opinion | I’m a Democrat. My Party Has a Double Standard on Antisemitism.
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Victor Ray @victorerikray.bsky.social · 09/05/2026
I'm reminded of the number of times in graduate school and during my early career where I heard supposedly rigorous scholars dismiss work on racism as too radical or unserious. “Things have changed” they assured me.
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Mike Feher @saxmike71.bsky.social · 04/05/2026
Same energy:
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Jake Grumbach @jakemgrumbach.bsky.social · 01/05/2026
Wrote a piece for @slate.com on how our theories of partisan polarization gave the SCOTUS majority more intellectual cover to kill the VRA slate.com/news-and-pol...
The ruling also rests on a methodological error that would earn a failing grade in a graduate statistics course. The court treats race and party as competing explanations, as if controlling for one neutralizes the other. But for millions of American voters, race explains party affiliation.
The vast majority of Black Americans did not randomly sort into the Democratic Party.
Already trending blue since the New Deal, they were pushed fully into the Democratic Party by Barry Goldwater's opposition to the Civil Rights Act and Republicans' Southern Strategy over the decades since. To "control for partisanship" when assessing racial gerrymandering is to erase the very mechanism through which racism travels. Consider the analogy of a court ruling that a company didn't discriminate by gender in pay because, once you control for being a manager or executive-positions from which women were systematically excluded — the gap disappears. Or that if you exclude people with high blood pressure, then a high sodium diet appears to have no effect on your risk of stroke.
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Brooke Harrington @ebharrington.bsky.social · 29/04/2026
Male supremacy IS the red thread linking not just all fascist movements but vast swathes of men across political parties, race, class, religion & sexuality. Male supremacy is rubbed in our faces daily, but istg most Americans just cannot see it: they may see racism & class war, but misogyny? Nope.
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Deva Woodly @devawo.bsky.social · 29/04/2026
We can be glib, but the fact is the Supreme Court destroyed the America the Civil Rights Movement built today. And I have no confidence whatsoever that the Dems will react w/ urgency to curb the return of Jim Crow voting. It is a dark day. And requires serious reflection on what is to be done.
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Ida Bae Wells @nhannahjones.bsky.social · 29/04/2026
The Voting Rights Act is essentially dead and it’s quite possible that we will, like when a similar SCOTUS gutted civil rights at the fall of Reconstruction, see a disappearance of much of the Black congressional representation, especially in the most heavily Black states, which are in the South.
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Adam Serwer @adamserwer.bsky.social · 29/04/2026
From December: www.theatlantic.com/politics/202...
theatlantic.com
Conservatives Want the Antebellum Constitution Back
The Fourteenth and Fifteenth Amendments are in trouble.
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Victor Ray @victorerikray.bsky.social · 29/04/2026
It’s a disastrous day for democracy. The Voting Rights Act made the U.S. an actually functioning democracy. And civil rights activists face impossible odds to gifting it to us. The Supreme Court‘s decision is vile.
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Dave Karpf @davekarpf.bsky.social · 28/04/2026
This is fucking stupid. How exactly are bad teams supposed to ever get good if they’re penalized for being bad, while the free agency rules reward star players for staying with their existing teams?
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Center for Political Studies @umisrcps.bsky.social · 23/04/2026
👏 Congratulations to @nickvalentino.bsky.social, one of the three U-M leaders newly elected to the 2026 American Academy of Arts & Sciences. A PI of the @electionstudies.bsky.social, Valentino's work has advanced what we know about electoral participation, empathy, and race. myumi.ch/y176R
Elected to the Class of 2026
American Academy of Arts & Sciences

NICHOLAS VALENTINO
university of michigan

donald r. kinder collegiate professor of political science

RESEARCH PROFESSOr, center for political studies

PRINCIPAL INVESTIGATOR, american national election studies
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jamelle @jamellebouie.net · 22/04/2026
i think it is cool that the president of the united states routinely slurs black people as biological inferior
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Hakeem Jefferson @hakeemjefferson.bsky.social · 20/04/2026
The Blackness scale might be one of my favorite parts of the paper. People often talk about identity as continuous (“She’s Black, but she ain’t Black Black”), so we developed a way to capture that perception. We then estimate how much different traits predict those ratings.
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Michael Tesler @tesler.bsky.social · 20/04/2026
Sad to report on 4/20 that GOP support for legal weed is plummeting, especially among young Republicans Part of a pattern where the liberalizing trend in GOP opinions of marriage equality and gender roles has also sharply reversed More at @goodauth.bsky.social: goodauthority.org/news/republi...
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DocLB2 @doclb2.bsky.social · 12/04/2026
Excited to share my most recent co-authored publication! An article on Angel Reese and social media discourse, in Communication & Sport--led by two wonderful graduate students! journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
"Thug," "Classless," and the policing of Black womanhood in sports. (New article title in Communication & Sport
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Elizabeth N. Saunders @profsaunders.bsky.social · 06/04/2026
Don't think I've ever been as terrified in all the Trump security crises. As @pkrugman.bsky.social said, "It’s the most astonishing, awful thing that I’ve ever seen, and we’ve all seen a lot of awful things." Mainly as cope, and to teach it, I keep asking why. 1/ open.substack.com/pub/paulkrug...
open.substack.com
Living in Hell
War crimes coming: A horrifying update
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Rick Hasen @rickhasen.bsky.social · 05/04/2026
BRUINS!!!!! @uclaupdates.bsky.social
media.tenor.com
a basketball game between ucla and lsu is being played in front of a crowd
ALT: a basketball game between ucla and lsu is being played in front of a crowd
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Joel S. @joelhs.bsky.social · 05/04/2026
Really don’t love that criticism of AIPAC is now just leading people into the most classical forms of antisemitism.
“AIPAC when Pontius Pilate wanted to spare Jesus”
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Coach Finstock @coachfinstock.bsky.social · 04/04/2026
Doesn't mention Dawn Staley at all. This is dogshit. Geno is a petty bitch and not a leader. Doesn't have respect for anyone
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Jake Grumbach @jakemgrumbach.bsky.social · 03/04/2026
LET THEM EAT TWEETS
How the Right
Rules in an Age of Extreme
Inequality
"Backer and Person are two or
the most reliable and reliably
discipline. Persuasively and meticulously argued.
New York Times Book Review
JACOB S. HACKER and PAUL PIERSON
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Michael Tesler @tesler.bsky.social · 03/04/2026
This @goodauth.bsky.social piece shows lots of ambivalence in Republican views of Iran and Trump's foreign policy Most are not strong supporters of the war or how Trump's handling it; and a majority of GOP voters still want the U.S. to be less involved overseas goodauthority.org/news/republi...
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Omar Wasow @owasow.bsky.social · 02/04/2026
Excited to share new paper w/ @jakemgrumbach.bsky.social: "Veiled Power: How Rosenwald Teachers Quietly Shaped the Civil Rights Movement" The puzzle: did ~5,000 segregated schools built in rural South emphasizing “manual labor” strengthen or weaken Jim Crow? 🧵 omarwasow.com/wasow_grumba...
Veiled Power: How Rosenwald Teachers Quietly Shaped
the Civil Rights Movement

Omar Wasow∗ Jacob M. Grumbach∗

April 1, 2026

Abstract
What precipitates the collapse of seemingly durable social orders like Jim Crow? During the 1920s, approximately 5,000 “Rosenwald Schools” were built across the rural South through a partnership between philanthropist Julius Rosenwald and Black communities who raised matching funds, donated land, and petitioned local governments. Local elites saw vocational training that would preserve the racial order. We argue Black educators used this accommodationist cover to build veiled capacity: organizational infrastructure for collective action behind a veil
of compliance. Counties with more Rosenwald Schools show greater civil rights protest in the 1960s. Mediation analysis reveals that pre-existing social capital predicted protest through Rosenwald teacher placements, not enrollment. Instrumental variable models suggest the effect is not driven by community selection. Moving from no Rosenwald teachers to the 75th percentile predicts 45% more protest. The political effects of education may depend less on what elites intend than on what educators build where elites cannot see.
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Adam Serwer @adamserwer.bsky.social · 01/04/2026
Birthright citizenship argument happening on Passover is kind of wild/appropriate. Gd hates slavery, chag sameach.
Frederick Douglass: Error may be new or it may be old, since it is founded in a misapprehension of what truth is. It has its beginnings and has its endings. But
not so with truth. Truth is eternal. Like the great God from whose throne it
emanates, it is from everlasting unto everlasting, and can never pass away.

Such a truth is man’s right to freedom. He was born with it. It was his
before he comprehended it. The title deed to it is written by the Almighty on
his heart, and the record of it is in the bosom of the eternal—and never can
Stephen A. Douglas efface it unless he can tear from the great heart of God
this truth. And this mighty government of ours will never be at peace with
God until it shall, practically and universally, embrace this great truth as
the foundation of all its institutions, and the rule of its entire administration.
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Elisabeth R. Anker @libankerdc.bsky.social · 20/03/2026
I don't know about you but I, for one, am greatly relieved that a party of antisemites and Neo-n*zis stationed at all levels of government has made the decision to attack higher education in the name of protecting me and my fellow jews. this will go swimmingly thanks for the support
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Michelle Goldberg @michellegoldberg.bsky.social · 18/03/2026
www.nytimes.com/2026/03/18/o...
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Opinion Today @opiniontoday.bsky.social · 13/03/2026
Defunding ICE is even more popular than cutting foreign aid. (@tesler.bsky.social @goodauth.bsky.social) More, via Opinion Today: opiniontoday.substack.com/p/260313-top...
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Emily Tamkin @emilyctamkin.bsky.social · 13/03/2026
I do not think that conflating the Jewish people and the Jewish state is responsible at this juncture.
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Geneva @genevavalerie.bsky.social · 09/03/2026
Very excited to see this paper out in the world! Across 3 rounds of interviews with white Minnesotans, I show that white id varies and responds dynamically to shifts in context. Many whites have low id but vary in how they interpret whiteness—as providing them dis/advantages. 1/7
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Colette @csmarcellin.bsky.social · 05/03/2026
Excited to share that Cindy Kam’s and my article is published online! We examine item refusal pre- and post-Dobbs and find a significant increase in women’s refusal to disclose their pregnancy status after the decision, with concerning implications for research, policy, and women’s health.
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Laura Slater @marketrlaura.bsky.social · 18/02/2026
Olympic highlight in this house.
Two dogs eagerly check out the dog that crashed the Olympic skiing competition on TV.
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ACLU @aclu.org · 18/02/2026
BREAKING: The Department of Education has ended its directive that attempted to restrict diversity, equity, and inclusion efforts in schools nationwide. This is a victory for academic freedom and education equity.
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