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Joe Noonan

@joenoonan.se
2.2K followers 3.3K following 1.7K posts

PhD student at the Department of Political Science at Stockholm University. website: joenoonan.se

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Reposted by Joe Noonan
Joe Noonan @joenoonan.se · 23/09/2026
Pros and cons of doing a PhD with this level of AI capability existing in the world: Pros: Beautiful code in seconds. No more writing hacky, frustrating and bad code. Cons: Existential dread about the role and importance of human knowledge in the near future.
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mark brandt @mjbsp.bsky.social · 6h
How do people make decisions in complex conjoint experiments of policy choices? When decomposing individual responses into different strategies, most people use a heuristic strategy. Personally, I was surprised how many people are using the rational strategy! www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/...
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SocArXiv @socarxiv.bsky.social · 17h
SocArXiv now has a limit of two papers per week. If authors submit more than that we assume they are LLM-generated and reject them all. Normal humans who need to upload a batch of papers, which sometimes happens, must make arrangements. Also today, ArXiv set a two papers per month limit.
blog.arxiv.org
Fair Moderation, Equitable Access, and AI: arXiv’s Updated Rate Limit Policy
arXiv, and the scientific community at large, are facing a watershed moment. Scholarly publishing is currently changing at a rapid pace, and we are seeing a…
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Joe Noonan @joenoonan.se · 01/10/2026
There are some really beautiful public swimming halls in Sweden.
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Kieran Healy @kjhealy.co · 19h
I keep seeing this Semafor graph that seems to show the Trump administration’s effect on international visits is comparable to the pandemic. My first thought was “that can’t be true” and indeed it is not. This is monthly data. We only have to Jun/Aug 2026. The lines are over-fitted to the months.
Semafor graph with catastrophic drops.
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British Journal of Political Science @bjpols.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
NEW - The Threshold Effect: Preference Falsification Versus Weak Preferences in Russian War Support - cup.org/4hGfoyp - @isadesisto.bsky.social, @grigopop.bsky.social & Jacob R. Tucker #OpenAccess
BJPolS abstract discussing surveys in autocracies with a focus on wartime Russia. It highlights the use of list experiments to detect falsification and the threshold effect. The findings suggest surveys should be cautiously interpreted in such contexts, specifically regarding attitudes towards Ukraine.
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Joe Noonan @joenoonan.se · 01/10/2026
There are some really beautiful public swimming halls in Sweden.
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Garth Marenghi's Catbus @catbus.phd · 30/09/2026
don't bother addressing a congregation unless you're in the baroque creature pulpit
Baroque pulpit ca. 1750, rebuilt 1856, Parish church in Dobroszów.

a fanciful scaled sculpture where the serpents open mouth serves as the pulpit
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Hadas Weiss @hadas.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
my reply to reviewers sign-off
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Robert (Bob) Kubinec @rmkubinec.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
Wow.🤯 I just used @yamilrvelez.bsky.social Github repo for enabling Claude Code as an agent for Qualtrics surveys: github.com/yrvelez/qual... Claude Code took a disorganized Word doc survey draft and turned it into a stellar Qualtrics survey--better-formatted than any survey I've ever written 😅
github.com
GitHub - yrvelez/qualtrics-mcp-server
Contribute to yrvelez/qualtrics-mcp-server development by creating an account on GitHub.
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Joe Noonan @joenoonan.se · 22/05/2025
It should have been a bigger story that J.D. Vance would have gone along with Trump's coup attempt in 2020. The peaceful transfer of power is fundamental in all concepts of democracy. His rejection of it should be disqualifying. www.politico.com/news/2024/09...
politico.com
Vance would have asked for new electors instead of certifying 2020 election results
Trump’s current running mate said Pence “could have done more.”
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William Adler @williamadler78.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
There are old articles in the APSR with titles like "Some Thoughts on the Elections of 1944" or "Voting in the United States"
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Joe Noonan @joenoonan.se · 30/09/2026
Social science should be more open with the fact that novelty is smaller and smaller and more constructed. In like 1950, you could be like "we don't know how congressional committees work here is my book on congressional committees". Not the case now.
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Gabriela Greilinger @gabrielagreilinger.com · 30/09/2026
Excited to share our new working paper with @benyoel.bsky.social: we analyse public opinion dynamics around the consequential election in Hungary last April and specifically look at (anti-)democratic attitudes in the aftermath of Orbán's defeat. Available here: papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....
papers.ssrn.com
Democratic Attitudes When Backsliding Reverses: Evidence from Hungary
Increasingly, opposition actors in settings undergoing democratic backsliding have been able to unseat anti-democratic incumbents. But unseating an anti-democra
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Joe Noonan @joenoonan.se · 30/09/2026
Social science should be more open with the fact that novelty is smaller and smaller and more constructed. In like 1950, you could be like "we don't know how congressional committees work here is my book on congressional committees". Not the case now.
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Stephen Vaisey 🇺🇦 @stephenvaisey.com · 29/09/2026
So happy to see (finally) this truly excellent paper in print!
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Erin C. @erincikanek.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
Since January 6, 2021 is back in the news today, I want to share some substantive points from my paper on measuring the emotional environment of news.
News That's Madder: Measuring Emotional Partisan News in the Wake of the 2020 Presidential Election
Erin S. Cikanek
esc222@cornell.edu

Abstract: Monitoring the emotional signals media provides to the public may have important
implications for political attitudes and behaviors. This requires that citizens are able to
perceive the emotional signals which emanate from news programming. I demonstrate
members of the public perceive variation in the emotional intensity of words, concur-
rently validate that survey respondents provide similar emotional ratings for audio and
text news excerpts, and that emotional perceptions of news transcripts are invariant
to partisan predispositions. I then use perceptions of emotions in news transcripts to
analyze the emotions of partisan, prime-time news in the wake of the 2020 US Presi-
dential Election. Members of the public perceive Fox News as angrier than equivalent
programming on MSNBC in the weeks prior to the January 6 attack on Congress. I
also compare my results to a bag-of-words approach, revealing that using only word
counts may mask important emotional di!erences in news environments.
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Jay Van Bavel, PhD @jayvanbavel.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
People who trust and cooperate with ingroup members are very likely to trust and cooperate with outgroup members This general prosocial trust exists in every country, but it is strongest in the Netherlands and weakest in Pakistan. It was also very high in the US www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/...
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Konstantin Bogatyrev @bogatyrev.bsky.social · 31/08/2026
As August ends and and we’re slowly getting back into things, I wanted to share a Russian election data paper we published in Scientific Data with @tarasenkogeorgy.bsky.social and @nikitasavin.bsky.social earlier this summer: doi.org/10.1038/s415...
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Alessandro Nai @alessandronai.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
You know those (rare) papers that really make you proud? In new piece out at APR, we show that #AffectivePolarization likely spills onto other types of non-political polarization - notably, PREFERENCES FOR CATS VS. DOGS (aka “affective PAWlarization”) paper: tinyurl.com/jn48bypp data: osf.io/4p2zu
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Joe Noonan @joenoonan.se · 29/09/2026
🔥 🔥 🔥 🔥
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Andreas Goldberg @acgoldberg.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
The deadline to apply for this PhD position in our new project is fast approaching⏰
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Vicente Valentim @valentimvicente.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
Apply and come join us in Madrid next academic year!
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Zeth Isaksson @zethis.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
Interested in political legacies and political behavior in post-communist Europe? My review is now out in PRX. It draws on 200+ articles and discusses many conceptual and empirical problems in legacy research, along with ideas for addressing them and where the field could go next.
tandfonline.com
Political behavior and historical legacies in post-communist Europe
Thirty years after the fall of the Iron Curtain, political behaviour in post-communist Europe continues to diverge from patterns in Western Europe, contributing to a research paradigm centred on ex...
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Mondo Mascots @mondomascots.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
Sorajiro, a monster who resembles a chicken, is the mascot for Nippon TV’s weather news.
A yellow chicken-like mascot stands in a convention centre.
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Will Allen @williamlallen.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
3-year postdoc w/ @rikkidean.bsky.social's ERC team on democratic attitudes. It's a great time to join @sotonpolitics.bsky.social: we have multiple projects ongoing or starting in 2027 that will eventually bring at least 7(!) postdocs. #psjobs #psjminfo #poliscijobs www.jobs.ac.uk/job/DTB393/r...
jobs.ac.uk
Research Fellow - Political Process Preferences in Europe (PoPPiE) project at University of Southampton
Searching for an academic job? Explore this Research Fellow - Political Process Preferences in Europe (PoPPiE) project opening on jobs.ac.uk! Click to view more details and browse other academic jobs.
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Jay Van Bavel, PhD @jayvanbavel.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
Intergroup contact is recognized for its positive effects on intergroup relations. A new paper finds that one of the best predictors of intergroup contact is when people perceive that their community values intergroup contact (ie pro-contact community norms) journals.sagepub.com/eprint/7V473...
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Joe Noonan @joenoonan.se · 27/09/2026
My friend: "I don't know what to get my family for Christmas!" Me:
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Joe Noonan @joenoonan.se · 27/09/2026
They'll have to send their kids to Sweden to enroll them in our circus high school. www.cirkor.se/cirkusgymnas...
cirkor.se
Cirkusgymnasiet - Cirkus Cirkör - Estetiska programmet i nycirkus
Fördjupa dig i akrobatik, luftakrobatik, jonglering, lindans och parakrobatik samtidigt som du skaffar dig högskolebehörighet.
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Joe Noonan @joenoonan.se · 27/09/2026
My friend: "I don't know what to get my family for Christmas!" Me:
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Joe Noonan @joenoonan.se · 26/09/2026
In Sweden, you are allowed to hand out party ballots outside polling stations but are not allowed to campaign ourside them. This is totally unenforceable and baffling that this is legal.
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Joe Noonan @joenoonan.se · 26/09/2026
In Sweden, you are allowed to hand out party ballots outside polling stations but are not allowed to campaign ourside them. This is totally unenforceable and baffling that this is legal.
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Joe Noonan @joenoonan.se · 25/09/2026
One tip to new PhDs. You probably are worried that an audience member will "catch" some fatal flaw in your research. You should be more worried that five minutes in everyone is answering emails on their laptop. If people are engaging (even critically), it is better than not paying attention.
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Kevin Collins @kwcollins.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
New in APSR: Program cuts from DOGE were larger in more heavily Democratic areas www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
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Ben Yoel @benyoel.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
Question to survey methods folks: is there a paper that shows/examines whether putting items in a matrix makes them more correlated as opposed to including them as separate individual items? Thanks in advance!
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Hilma Lindskog @hilmal.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
Do educational networks at workplaces shape political attitudes? 👬 Happy to share that the latest paper in my dissertation is now published in @bjpols.bsky.social.
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Lisa Dellmuth @lisadellmuth.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
Vi söker en universitetslektor i internationella relationer vid Institutionen för ekonomisk historia och internationella relationer @stockholm-uni.bsky.social! Livlig forskningsmiljö inom internationell politisk ekonomi, institutioner & säkerhet. Sök senast 26 okt: su.varbi.com/se/what:job/... #jobs
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Joe Noonan @joenoonan.se · 25/09/2026
I am sorry you experienced that! Sounds terrible.
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Kristoffer Magnusson @rpsychologist.com · 25/06/2026
New interactive blog! "Why Adjusted Regression Coefficients Are Less Descriptive Than They Look" rpsychologist.com/descriptive-...
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Toni Rodon @tonirodon.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
Having a job in a workplace with a considerable proportion of university-educated coworkers is associated with an increase in culturally liberal attitudes www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
cambridge.org
Ideas at Work: Educated Colleagues Shape Political Attitudes | British Journal of Political Science | Cambridge Core
Ideas at Work: Educated Colleagues Shape Political Attitudes - Volume 56
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Joe Noonan @joenoonan.se · 25/09/2026
One tip to new PhDs. You probably are worried that an audience member will "catch" some fatal flaw in your research. You should be more worried that five minutes in everyone is answering emails on their laptop. If people are engaging (even critically), it is better than not paying attention.
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Joe Noonan @joenoonan.se · 25/09/2026
And
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Joe Noonan @joenoonan.se · 25/09/2026
This post by @kjhealy.co is filled with great tips on how to do an academic presentation. Filled with clear gems like: "The paper is not the talk. The paper is what the talk is about." kieranhealy.org/blog/archive...
kieranhealy.org
Making Slides
I was asked to give a short talk in my Departmental Proseminar yesterday on the topic of giving presentations, and specifically about making slides effective. There is more than one way to give a good...
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Joe Noonan @joenoonan.se · 24/09/2026
Embarrassing.
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Jay Van Bavel, PhD @jayvanbavel.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
People are more pro-social than we think An experiment in which 5,980 lost letters were dispersed in communities found that return rates for ingroup (Italian) & outgroup (foreign) recipients were the same Places that returned more letters to ingroup members also returned more to outgroup members
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Alexander Wuttke @kunkakom.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
We are hiring at LMU Munich: two PhD positions and one postdoc on democracy, political psychology and computational social science. Start: January 2027 or as soon as possible. We review applications on a rolling basis until October 20. Details below. Reposts very welcome! 1/7
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Joe Noonan @joenoonan.se · 24/09/2026
The tone of fundraising emails has gotten so horrible the last decade. This is indistinguishable from scam emails.
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Joe Noonan @joenoonan.se · 23/09/2026
Pro writing tip: include lots of statements like "as should be obvious to the reader now" and before complex equations be sure to add "this is specified simply as:".
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Hugh Jones @hbsj.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
A selection of Very Good Dogs from the National Gallery
A brown dogA small brown and white dog with a crimson bowA small white terrier with brown earsA black chihuahua like dog
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Noah Zucker @noahzucker.com · 23/09/2026
🚨 Workforces exposed to globalization and decarbonization are often overwhelmingly male. New article at @ajpseditor.bsky.social with @rickyclark.bsky.social and @rkhoban.bsky.social asks how layoffs of these men shape voting: onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...
AJPS article: "Breadwinner Backlash." Abstract: Low-skilled men have long been vulnerable to globalization, decarbonization, and other forms of economic disruption. When shocks are realized, women often increase their paid labor to compensate for men's loss of income. We study how layoffs of low-skilled men and concurrent shifts in workforce composition toward women affect voting. We theorize that this labor market rebalancing produces “nostalgic” coalitions of men and women that seek a return to male-breadwinner family models. Such attitudes fuel right-wing movements that pledge to protect conservative gender roles. Evidence from local labor markets and voting in the United States over the last two decades, as well as a longitudinal study tracking individual Americans over several decades, support this theory. These findings contribute a new gender-based account of the globalization backlash.
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