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Jens Carstens

@jenscarstens.bsky.social
401 followers 482 following 5 posts

PostDoc @ Uni Bern / PhD from Sciences Po: political trust and other things | firstgen

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Carmen van Alebeek @cvalebeek.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
📢 New publication out in @jeppjournal.bsky.social: Who endorses disruptive and intimidatory political protest? I show that endorsement is not driven by political distrust per se, but by the fundamental rejection of political authority. 🧵
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Marius Perrin @mariusperrin.bsky.social · 10/09/2026
🇸🇪🗳️ Avec @sagaokej.bsky.social nous publions un article dans The Conversation résumant les grands enjeux des élections générales en Suède dimanche prochain (13 septembre) Petit fil pour résumer theconversation.com/elections-le...
theconversation.com
Élections législatives en Suède : un vote sur la normalisation de l’extrême droite ?
L’extrême droite soutient le gouvernement en place depuis quatre ans, qui a mis en œuvre une bonne partie de son programme. Le scrutin du 13 septembre dira si la population suédoise soutient ce cap.
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Martin Gelin @martingelin.bsky.social · 11/09/2026
My latest piece for The Guardian: In Sweden, previously unthinkable far-right ideas are now comfortably embedded in the mainstream. The past four years were characterised by an astonishing acceptance of ethnonationalist views, xenophobic rhetoric and authoritarian policies often targeting children.
theguardian.com
How Sweden lost its soul – and stopped being Sweden | Martin Gelin
In 2022 my country entered a new era of cruelty. It will take more than one election to get the old, tolerant Sweden back, writes Swedish journalist Martin Gelin
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Jacob Edenhofer @jacobedenhofer.bsky.social · 10/09/2026
Very interesting -- persuasion is much, much harder than the "we just need to communicate our policies better" crowd assumes!
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Deutsche Gesellschaft für Soziologie e.V. @dgsoziologie.bsky.social · 02/09/2026
DGS-Stellenmarkt: Post-doc (m/w/d) in political communication: Institute of Communication and Media Studies (icmb), University of Bern
jobs.unibe.ch
Post-doc (m/w/d) in political communication
Institute of Communication and Media Studies (icmb), University of Bern
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Jens Carstens @jenscarstens.bsky.social · 31/07/2026
🎉🇨🇭 CfP: New Working Group on Political Psychology at SVPW/ASSP! Our first call: “Democratic Resilience” for the annual conference #SVPW2027 at Lucerne. SVPW is a great, open international conference in Switzerland — apply to our call or the general one by 31 Aug 2026 here: tinyurl.com/4rz4a55b
svpw-assp.ch
Call for papers 2027
Call for papers 2027, Lucerne
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Jens Carstens @jenscarstens.bsky.social · 31/07/2026
🎉🇨🇭 CfP: New Working Group on Political Psychology at SVPW/ASSP! Our first call: “Democratic Resilience” for the annual conference #SVPW2027 at Lucerne. SVPW is a great, open international conference in Switzerland — apply to our call or the general one by 31 Aug 2026 here: tinyurl.com/4rz4a55b
svpw-assp.ch
Call for papers 2027
Call for papers 2027, Lucerne
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West European Politics @wepsocial.bsky.social · 08/06/2026
🌍 Do voters reward parties for ambitious climate policies? In a French conjoint experiment, @malojan.bsky.social finds voters reward climate goals and punish denial across party lines — but ambitious, concrete policies bring no average electoral gain and can backfire. 🔗 doi.org/10.1080/0140...
First page of the article “Between goals and means: the electoral consequences of parties’ climate proposals” by Malo Jan, published online first in West European Politics. The page shows the title, the author’s affiliation at Sciences Po, Paris, and the abstract.
Figure 2, “Level of opposition among French citizens to different climate policies” (source: Baromètre Écologie Environnement 2023). A dot plot of the share of citizens opposed to each of eleven policies, with a dashed line at 50%. Opposition is highest for increasing taxes on fossil energy and banning new petrol or diesel cars, and lowest for more public-transport subsidies, regulating new construction, and stricter farming norms.
Figure 3, “Marginal means for attributes in the conjoint experiment”, with a reference line at 0.5. Climate denial is the strongest effect: candidate profiles that stop fighting against climate change have a marginal mean near 0.33, well below 0.5, while making climate action a priority or continuing it sits near 0.58. Effects for democracy, immigration and tax attributes are smaller and closer to 0.5.
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The Sociological Review Foundation @thesociologicalreview.org · 01/05/2026
Do highly qualified migrants in Denmark feel like they belong? Klarissa Lueg @sdu.dk takes a closer look at class, the process of cultural othering and the concepts of Pierre Bourdieu. #OnlineFirst @journals.sagepub.com buff.ly/OOOZKUi
Klarissa Lueg

‘You are Danish, or you are not’: How migrants in Denmark experience class and otherness

https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/00380261261441957

The Sociological Review #OnlineFirst
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American Political Science Review @apsrjournal.bsky.social · 30/04/2026
From our FirstView: More than Symbols: The Effect of Symbolic Policies on Climate Policy Support by @theodoretallent.bsky.social, @malojan.bsky.social and @luissattelmayer.bsky.social. doi.org/10.1017/S000...
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Political Studies @polstudies.bsky.social · 10/04/2026
Can the impact of economic crises on political trust be mitigated? @charlotteboucher.fr studies the effect of different measures of social support on trust during the #COVID19 pandemic in Europe. More: buff.ly/Qh0SqBo @sciencespo-cee.bsky.social @eurofound.europa.eu @polstudiesassoc.bsky.social
buff.ly
Sage Journals: Discover world-class research
Subscription and open access journals from Sage, the world's leading independent academic publisher.
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Jens Carstens @jenscarstens.bsky.social · 21/01/2026
A week ago, I defended my PhD on place, trust and vote. I’m still processing what this means, both personally and for the research itself - especially at a moment when the far-right is on the brink of (or already) governing.
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Lukas Haffert @lhaffert.bsky.social · 17/10/2025
Why do rustbelts vote radical right? Studying the German Ruhr area, @nilsblossey.bsky.social, @lstoetze.bsky.social and I show: it’s not just about deindustrialization, but also about the original industrialization. Where coal is buried deeper and mining started later, the AfD is stronger today 1/12
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Dr. Silke Goubin @silkegoubin.bsky.social · 15/10/2025
Shout-out to all #PoliticalTrust researchers interested in attending the first @epssnet.bsky.social conference in #Belfast @annakern.bsky.social, @danjdevine.bsky.social, @cvalebeek.bsky.social, @hannesbey.bsky.social and I are coordinating 3 trust panels!
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Leo Azzollini @leoazzollini.bsky.social · 19/09/2025
Billions of 🇪🇺 money flow into regional development. But do citizens trust the EU more in return? 🔬 Find out in this Electoral Studies article with Paul Maneuvrier-Hervieu and Anne-Marie Jeannet. ❗Spoiler: EU 💶 regional funds do build trust in the 🇪🇺 , especially among working-class citizens.
sciencedirect.com
Cultivating trust? The role of European Union investments in bridging rural-urban divides
Over the last decades, agricultural policies and structural investment funds for regional development have been central to European integration. Howev…
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Empirical Political Science #Duisburg @emppolitikwiss.bsky.social · 08/09/2025
🚨 New blog post online!
 What do missing schools, closed hospitals, or long trips to the nearest train station reveal about trust in government? (1/3)
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Teresa Hummler @hummlerteresa.bsky.social · 04/07/2025
Extremely happy to see my first single-authored paper published! Check it out in @ersjournal.com 👇
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Theodore Tallent @theodoretallent.bsky.social · 01/07/2025
Excited to share that my first single-authored article is now published in @wepsocial.bsky.social! In light of the current backlash to climate policy, I explore the (rural) geography of support for climate policies in Europe. 🧵 www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
tandfonline.com
A green divide? Climate policy support and its rural geography in Europe
Opposition to the green transition is often attributed to the direct costs of climate policies, with particularly vulnerable individuals perceived as more resistant. While recent studies suggest ru...
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Twan Huijsmans @twanhuijsmans.bsky.social · 01/07/2025
New publication with Wouter van der Brug in Electoral Studies! What is the role of place-based resentment for voting behavior in multiparty systems? We took data from the Dutch parliamentary elections in '17, '21 and '23 to find out. (1/4) www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
sciencedirect.com
Place-based resentment and party support in multiparty systems: A study of three consecutive elections in the Netherlands
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Theodore Tallent @theodoretallent.bsky.social · 25/06/2025
Attending #EPSA2025 in beautiful Madrid to present 2 papers on climate politics ⤵️ On Thursday at 13:10, I'll present our work on symbolic policies and climate policy support 💡 On Saturday at 13:10, I'll present my paper on rural discontent with the green transition ☀️
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Jacobin Magazin @jacobinmagazin.bsky.social · 21/05/2025
Während die AfD immer weiter erstarkt, mehren sich die Rufe nach einer Wirtschaftspolitik gegen Rechts – und das aus gutem Grund. Doch Antifaschismus muss auch in der Nachbarschaft verankert sein. Ein Gastbeitrag von @feratkocak.dielinkebt.de‬.
jacobin.de
Antifaschismus aus der Nachbarschaft
Während die AfD immer weiter erstarkt, mehren sich die Rufe nach einer Wirtschaftspolitik gegen Rechts – zu Recht. Doch Antifaschismus muss auch in der Nachbarschaft verankert sein. Ein Gastbeitrag.
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Stuart Turnbull-Dugarte @turnbulldugarte.com · 19/05/2025
A Tinder Test of Democratic Norms💋 New paper in @thejop.bsky.social with @bertous.bsky.social We rely on a visual conjoint experiment, cross-sectional data, & panel data to show that affective polarization drives the normalisation of the far right among the centre-right 🇬🇧🇪🇸 doi.org/10.1086/736698
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Staffan Kumlin @staffankumlin.bsky.social · 05/05/2025
Interested in how public services affect political distrust, populist support, and similar? Longitudinal evidence from Germany and Norway. doi.org/10.1080/1471...
doi.org
Welfare state evaluations, normative expectations, and political trust: longitudinal evidence from Germany and Norway
The expectancy-disconfirmation model (EDM) explains satisfaction with public services as a combination of service expectations and perceived performance. We study how satisfaction in turn affects p...
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Cas Mudde @casmudde.bsky.social · 02/05/2025
This is a BIG decision, which will undoubtedly get a legal follow-up. It allows not only state surveillance but could also hinder the growing normalization, as public sector employees cannot be members of “extreme right” organizations.
bbc.com
AfD classified as extreme-right by German intelligence
The AfD came second in Germany's February elections and has a record number of seats in the new parliament.
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Datendealerin 🌲☕ @datendealerin.eurosky.social · 28/04/2025
Beginne langsam zu verstehen, was alles "juristisch nicht reicht" in Deutschland 😭
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Tom van der Meer @tomwgvdmeer.bsky.social · 10/04/2025
I am really proud about this publication on trust, with Chaïm la Roi and @cvalebeek.bsky.social . Using unique panel data, we show (1) that trust has a dispositional element among adults, and (2) that these trust attitudes are socialized during adolescence. link.springer.com/article/10.1...
link.springer.com
Socialized to (Dis)trust? A Panel Study into the Origins of Dispositional Institutional Trust - Social Indicators Research
A longstanding argument in the field of institutional trust reads that trust is the outcome of a process of socialization. This approach suggests that institutional trust may be understood as a set di...
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Nils Steiner @nilssteiner.bsky.social · 10/04/2025
Was erklärt regionale Unterschiede im Wahlerfolg der AfD? Hiermit befasst sich die Dissertation meiner Kollegin @theresabernemann.bsky.social, die in unserer #AK-Wahlen Buchreihe erschienen ist. Check it out: link.springer.com/book/10.1007....
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Ansgar Hudde @hudde.bsky.social · 05/03/2025
Neues @taz.de-Interview zur Bundestagswahl. Fokus: Gender Gaps & um regionale Veränderungen. Dabei geht es auch um lokale Wahlmuster – und mein bald erscheinendes Buch dazu: 📚"Wo wir wie wählen – Politische Muster in Deutschlands Nachbarschaften"📚 Stay tuned!🚀 www.campus.de/buecher-camp...
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Theodore Tallent @theodoretallent.bsky.social · 03/03/2025
Tomorrow will be an exciting day: I'll be presenting our work on "symbolic policies" and their effect on climate policy support at the Nuffield Comparative Political Economy Seminar @nuffieldcollege.bsky.social Reach out if you want to attend online or in person!
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Will Jennings📉🗳️ @drjennings.bsky.social · 01/03/2025
Fish and chips and the Brexit vote. Brilliant work by @stevepickering.bsky.social and Seiki Tanaka in Geoforum. www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
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Justin Zimmerman @jztidecat.bsky.social · 20/02/2025
This was YEARS in the making but my first solo authored publication is out. I do more than rant on social media. I also study situational trust! www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
tandfonline.com
Cooperating through distrust: seeking remedies to state and community violence
This article focuses on a crucial issue in Black politics: the spectrum of trust. Building on Monica Bell’s theory of situational trust, I explain how community members in three South Side Chicago ...
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British Journal of Political Science @bjpols.bsky.social · 19/02/2025
NEW - Can Official Messaging on Trust in Elections Break Through Partisan Polarization? - cup.org/433kRJP - @jengaudette.bsky.social, @sethjhill.bsky.social, Thad Kousser, @maclockhart.bsky.social & Mindy Romero
BJPolS abstract discussing the impact of partisan actors on U.S. elections, mentioning investigations in states including Arizona, Pennsylvania, and others, and addressing the erosion of trust in the democratic process.
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Lukas Haffert @lhaffert.bsky.social · 14/02/2025
A few thoughts on the urban-rural divide in the upcoming German election (Thread). First: the benchmark. The 2021 election saw the strongest urban-rural divide in decades. With AfD and Greens, two parties had more distinct rural/urban voter support than any party had in recent elections 1/8
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American Political Science Review @apsrjournal.bsky.social · 14/01/2025
From our new issue: "Measuring and Modeling Neighborhoods" by Cory McCartan, Jacob Brown, and Kosuke Imai. #ASPRNewIssue www.cambridge.org/core/journals/ame…
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Will Jennings📉🗳️ @drjennings.bsky.social · 07/01/2025
Our analysis of the geography of GE2024 is now out in @politicalquarterly.bsky.social. This offers an important update of The Changing Electoral Map of England and Wales by @jwfurlong.bsky.social and me, published by OUP just ahead of the election. onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...
'Fragmented and Dealigned: The 2024 British General Election and the Rise of Place-Based Politics'. An article by Will Jennings, Jamie Furlong, Gerry Stoker, and Lawrence Mckay in The Political Quarterlly.

Abstract

While the outcome of the 2024 British general election signalled a resounding repudiation of the incumbent government—returning a 231-seat swing from the Conservatives to Labour—it did not radically overturn the geography of electoral outcomes in England and Wales. Indeed, demographic predictors of party vote for parliamentary constituencies at the aggregate level mostly represented a continuation of recent trends. With the Conservative Party's vote collapsing most in areas where it started highest—and where the Leave vote had been highest in 2016—Labour secured shock victories in relatively affluent parts of southern England as well as retaking all the ‘red wall’ constituencies in northern England that it lost in 2019, despite its national vote share only increasing slightly. This represented the other end of the ‘realignment’ observed in 2019: as the electoral tide went out on the Conservatives, the relative weakening of their support in areas with graduates, middle class professionals and mortgage holders came home to roost. The election exposed a fragmented and marginal map, bequeathing a fragile electoral future, despite the Starmer government's large parliamentary majority.
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Paulus Wagner @pauluswagner.bsky.social · 21/11/2024
🚨It's finally out! The #SciencesPo_CEE starter pack :) Add Europe's coolest researchers in #polsci and #sociology right here 👇 Credits go to @malojan.bsky.social @sciencespo-cee.bsky.social go.bsky.app/54D9Bjk
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Lukas Haffert @lhaffert.bsky.social · 06/12/2024
Mal wieder herausragender Datenjournalismus bei @zeit.de : www.zeit.de/politik/2024... Übrigens gibt es zu fast jeder hier untersuchten Grenze auch akademische Studien (kleiner Thread):
zeit.de
Phantomgrenzen: Wo die alten deutschen Grenzen sichtbar werden
Preußen und das deutsche Kaiserreich beeinflussen noch immer, wie Menschen heute in der EU wählen. Absurd, oder? Wir zeigen erstmals fünf Phantomgrenzen Europas.
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Sven Hegewald @svenhegewald.bsky.social · 04/12/2024
The urban-rural divide is back in European politics. My dissertation explores how place-based identities, resentments, and affective polarization shape this divide—and what it means for political attitudes and behavior. A short 🧵 on my main findings: (1/6)
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Lukas Haffert @lhaffert.bsky.social · 26/11/2024
There is a general assumption that urban-rural divides in politics have increased across Western Democracies in recent decades. But is this really case? Or are we just extrapolating from the US? A recent paper by @twanhuijsmans.bsky.social and Jonathan Rodden provides comparative evidence. 1/c
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Common Wealth @cmmonwealth.bsky.social · 26/11/2024
We can’t understand the geography of capitalism in our present moment without seeing how these old industries overlap with the new. "Two Towns" features an interactive map showing how ex-industrial towns were not “left behind” but actively made into havens for low-paid work.
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Daniel Devine @danjdevine.bsky.social · 26/11/2024
Are you interested in political trust but think 'actually, it's a bit more complicated than that'? You'd be right! In a draft paper, we use original data from 13 surveys across 11 countries & 52 focus groups w/ 311 participants in 8 countries, arguing that trust, mistrust, & distrust are distinct:
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Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham @paulgp.com · 25/11/2024
Man I cannot endorse this abstract more
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Centre for European Studies and Comparative Politics @sciencespo-cee.bsky.social · 25/11/2024
#HelloESR #HiSciSky🔵🦋 We're a #PolSci & #Sociology lab within #SciencesPo and @cnrs.bsky.social. Research focus on the comparative analysis of politics/policy/polity to apprehend contemp. European societies. Stay tuned for posts in EN & FR about projects, events, publications, jobs! #AcademicSky
Courtyard inside Sciences Po, Saint-Thomas buildings, Paris.
Picture credit: Caroline Maufroid / Sciences PoSession of our general seminar. Picture of a room crowded with people seated. 
Picture credit: Caroline Maufroid / Sciences Po
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Daniel Devine @danjdevine.bsky.social · 21/11/2024
Our paper on trust and trusworthiness is out, where we test a model of competence, benevolence, and integrity in 5 countries. We find these are generally consistent across people and countries, with benevolence being most important in determining trust judgements. doi.org/10.1111/1475...
doi.org
The causes of perceived government trustworthiness
This paper examines the qualities of governments that influence their perceived trustworthiness, presenting the first experimental study of the distinct roles of ‘competence’, ‘benevolence’ and ‘inte...
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Zeth Isaksson @zethis.bsky.social · 14/11/2024
If there’s one paper to read on local service deprivation & far-right support—this might be THE one!
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