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Mackenzie Lockhart

@maclockhart.bsky.social
371 followers 375 following 67 posts

Former Yale Postdoc, UCSD PhD. Studying elections, voters, and representation. Occasional runner, even more occasional swimmer. www.maclockhart.com

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Reposted by Mackenzie Lockhart
Charlie Methven @charliemethven.bsky.social · 14/09/2026
Gonna be a long night
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Lori Dorfman @loridorfman.bsky.social · 29/08/2026
Starting the semester with thoughts about what to say when you can't say everything, with my chums @media-studies.bsky.social and Liana Winett @ohsunews.bsky.social www.healthaffairs.org/doi/10.1377/...
healthaffairs.org
What Can You Say When You Can’t Say Everything? | Health Affairs Journal
Today’s decisions about what and how to communicate about population health occur amid very real fears and expectations of harsh reprisal that have had far-reaching impacts, both for people’s health a...
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Mackenzie Lockhart @maclockhart.bsky.social · 28/08/2026
New paper at Health Affaird (w/ Alan Gerber, @ericpatashnik.bsky.social, and @haroldpollack.bsky.social). When do health professionals endorse omitting details of scientific studies in public health communication? When it would create confusion or stigmatize groups! doi.org/10.1377/hlth...
doi.org
Health Services Professionals Endorse Omitting Some Research Information Under Limited Circumstances: Survey | Health Affairs Journal
In an era of polarization, misinformation, and declining public trust in experts, effective public communication about health research is essential for disseminating evidence and maintaining the credibility of the research enterprise. Yet when communicating research findings to general audiences, experts face dilemmas about whether to omit information to avoid public confusion, to prevent the stigmatization of marginalized constituencies, or to keep information from being weaponized against vulnerable groups. Drawing on a national survey of health services professionals conducted in April and May 2025, we found that respondents generally rejected omissions serving self-protective or politically strategic ends but accepted omissions aimed at preventing public confusion or harm to marginalized groups. There is meaningful variation in support for these justifications by ideology, education, and workplace. In weighted regressions, conservatives, PhD holders, and those working outside academia in government or other nonuniversity settings were less likely to endorse omissions as justified compared with liberals and moderates, non-PhDs, and university-based researchers. These findings reveal both common ground and meaningful division in how professionals view transparency, underscoring the need for research on actual communication behavior and guidance to help experts navigate these dilemmas.
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John Mullahy @johnmullahy.bsky.social · 28/08/2026
Three thought-provoking papers in Health Affairs on "omission" in health and health-research communication. www.healthaffairs.org/doi/epdf/10.... www.healthaffairs.org/doi/epdf/10.... www.healthaffairs.org/doi/epdf/10....
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Eric Patashnik @ericpatashnik.bsky.social · 27/08/2026
When (if ever) do health services professionals believe it is OK to omit research information in their public communication? Alan Gerber, @maclockhart.bsky.social @haroldpollack.bsky.social & I conducted a survey to find out. See our new @healthaffairs.bsky.social article. Open access; link below.
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Harold Pollack @haroldpollack.bsky.social · 26/08/2026
In a society that shows tenuous commitment to the well-being of vulnerable groups, researchers face ethical dilemmas in communicating research findings that might be used to harm the people and communities we seek to help. Our team in @healthaffairs.bsky.social healthaffairs.org/doi/epdf/10....
healthaffairs.org
Health Services Professionals Endorse Omitting Some Research Information Under Limited Circumstances: Survey
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Alex B. Rivard @alexbrivard.bsky.social · 27/08/2026
New paper out in Cities. We combine a survey of city councillors with a survey of the general public. Do councillors share their constituents’ housing preferences? Yes. Are they responsive to these preferences? Also yes—but only to those ideologically proximate www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
sciencedirect.com
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Alex B. Rivard @alexbrivard.bsky.social · 28/06/2026
Most recent pub here before I link to housing stuff over the next couple days: journals.sagepub.com/doi/pdf/10.1... #cdnpoli
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Alex B. Rivard @alexbrivard.bsky.social · 22/07/2026
New article published at the International Journal of Political Science with @ericmerkley.bsky.social and @stecula.bsky.social academic.oup.com/ijpor/articl...
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Alex B. Rivard @alexbrivard.bsky.social · 29/07/2026
Why would Vancouver city council oppose density measures after hearing from a “tsunami” of opposition? Well I’m flummoxed. Well. Not flummoxed, really. #vanpoli #nimby #yimby #cdnpoli academic.oup.com/ijpor/articl...
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Opinion Today @opiniontoday.bsky.social · 04/06/2026
In the pre-1960s South, which Supreme Court Republicans have just brought back from the dead, Black citizens have no voice in federal lawmaking. (@jacobhacker.bsky.social, Zoli Hajnal, @markarianga.bsky.social and @maclockhart.bsky.social, @prospect.org) prospect.org/2026/06/03/r...
prospect.org
The Return of the Dixiecrat South - The American Prospect
In the pre-1960s South, which Supreme Court Republicans have just brought back from the dead, Blacks have no voice in federal lawmaking.
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Jacob Hacker @jacobhacker.bsky.social · 03/06/2026
The conservative SCOTUS majority just gutted the VRA. The obvious consequence: fewer Black legislators. The less obvious one: Black voters in the South losing the mechanism that made Congress actually vote their way. @prospect.org with Zoli Hajnal @markarianga.bsky.social @maclockhart.bsky.social
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Political Science Research and Methods @psrm.bsky.social · 14/05/2026
⚖️ Do major campaign scandals change voters’ minds? ➡️ @maclockhart.bsky.social G. Huber, A. Gerber, J. Walker II show Donald Trump’s felony conviction had virtually no effect on his supporters, while common survey methods produce conflicting estimates www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
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Cambridge University Press Political Science & IR @cambup-polsci.cambridge.org · 04/05/2026
#OpenAccess from @psrm.bsky.social - Measuring the effects of campaign events: Specifying and comparing estimates of the effect of Trump’s conviction - cup.org/42MQUMO - @maclockhart.bsky.social, Gregory A. Huber, Alan S. Gerber & Jack D. Walker II #FirstView
Logo of Political Science Research and Methods featuring the initials "PSRM" in a stylized grey font on a black background.
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American Political Science Review @apsrjournal.bsky.social · 19/04/2026
From our FirstView: Race, Responsiveness, and Representation in U.S. Lawmaking by G. AGUSTIN MARKARIAN, @jacobhacker.bsky.social , @maclockhart.bsky.social and ZOLTAN HAJNAL. doi.org/10.1017/S000...
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Mackenzie Lockhart @maclockhart.bsky.social · 18/02/2026
🚨 New paper out at @ajpseditor.bsky.social 🚨 Do the public hold meaningful attitudes? Using the case of abortion policy preferences, we provide strong evidence that policy prefrences can be coherent, stable over time, and causally explain vote choice. doi.org/10.1111/ajps...
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Mackenzie Lockhart @maclockhart.bsky.social · 09/12/2025
Check out this neat write up of our latest work in the @apsrjournal.bsky.social!
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Reposted by Mackenzie Lockhart
Kevin Morris @kevintmorris.bsky.social · 18/11/2025
This is an important paper at @apsrjournal.bsky.social. It's not exactly surprising that racism undermines effective representation, but it is well and carefully done. Congrats to @markarianga.bsky.social, @jacobhacker.bsky.social, @maclockhart.bsky.social, and Hajnal doi.org/10.1017/S000...
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Mackenzie Lockhart @maclockhart.bsky.social · 13/11/2025
Check out this great thread on our latest work out now in the APSR!
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Reposted by Mackenzie Lockhart
Agustin Markarian @markarianga.bsky.social · 12/11/2025
Our new @apsrjournal.bsky.social is out! We study whether policy and congresspeople are more responsive to White Americans than racial minorities, matching individual level opinion to policy outcomes and roll call votes on 134 issues using 500K survey responses from 2016-2022. 1/n
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Mackenzie Lockhart @maclockhart.bsky.social · 10/08/2025
Honoured to see our work recognized in this way. The project started in my first year of graduate school, so I’m glad to see the many, many hours we put in were worth it.
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Mackenzie Lockhart @maclockhart.bsky.social · 21/05/2025
Two paper rejections in one day! I think it's a sign I should log off my email to make sure it doesn't hit 3.
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British Journal of Political Science @bjpols.bsky.social · 25/04/2025
From February 2025 - Can Official Messaging on Trust in Elections Break Through Partisan Polarization? - cup.org/433kRJP - @jengaudette.bsky.social, @sethjhill.bsky.social, Thad Kousser, @maclockhart.bsky.social & Mindy Romero #OpenAccess
BJPolS abstract discussing the impact of partisan actors on U.S. elections, mentioning investigations in states including Arizona, Pennsylvania, and others, and addressing the erosion of trust in the democratic process.
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Mackenzie Lockhart @maclockhart.bsky.social · 23/04/2025
With the Canadian election looming, are you wondering about how provincial politics might affect the federal outcome? Our pre-print shows where you should expect to see provincial politics bleed over the most (spoiler alert - the answer is Quebec!)
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Mackenzie Lockhart @maclockhart.bsky.social · 17/04/2025
New pre-print out with Alex Rivard ( @sfufass.bsky.social): "I’m a Federal Sovereigntist but a Provincial Nationalist: Party Identification in a Multi-Level Westminster Democracy" Ever wondered how voters handle partisan identity at levels besides the national government?
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Mackenzie Lockhart @maclockhart.bsky.social · 13/03/2025
Did I promise myself not to take on any new projects? Yes. Did I take on a new project because I promised myself it was a teenie tiny little itty bitty project? Also yes. Is it going to end up being a teenie tiny little itty bitty project? I plead the fifth.
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Mackenzie Lockhart @maclockhart.bsky.social · 26/02/2025
I happily subscribed to the WaPo for their news coverage and stayed subscribed through many editorials I disagreed with because I believe in paying for journalism. But an editorial page with an official point of view is not something I need to fund. I’ll take my subscription dollars elsewhere.
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Reposted by Mackenzie Lockhart
British Journal of Political Science @bjpols.bsky.social · 19/02/2025
NEW - Can Official Messaging on Trust in Elections Break Through Partisan Polarization? - cup.org/433kRJP - @jengaudette.bsky.social, @sethjhill.bsky.social, Thad Kousser, @maclockhart.bsky.social & Mindy Romero
BJPolS abstract discussing the impact of partisan actors on U.S. elections, mentioning investigations in states including Arizona, Pennsylvania, and others, and addressing the erosion of trust in the democratic process.
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Reposted by Mackenzie Lockhart
Mackenzie Lockhart @maclockhart.bsky.social · 13/02/2025
🚨 New paper out at @bjpols.bsky.social 🚨 Can Official Messaging on Trust in Elections Break Through Partisan Polarization? Yes! We show, using large national and state specific survey experiments, that public information campaigns from election officials work.
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Mackenzie Lockhart @maclockhart.bsky.social · 13/02/2025
🚨 New paper out at @bjpols.bsky.social 🚨 Can Official Messaging on Trust in Elections Break Through Partisan Polarization? Yes! We show, using large national and state specific survey experiments, that public information campaigns from election officials work.
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Reposted by Mackenzie Lockhart
Don Moynihan @donmoyn.bsky.social · 03/02/2025
The executive branch does not have the legal right to cancel appropriated spending or eliminate agencies created by Congress. Trump and Musk are doing both. Entirely lawless and unconstitutional. The world's largest provider of food assistance shut down. www.washingtonpost.com/politics/202...
Musk tweet boasting of "feeding USAID into the chipper"“I went over it with him in detail, and he agreed that we should shut it down,” Musk said. “And I actually checked with him a few times [and] said ‘are you sure?’”

The answer was yes, he said.

“And so we’re shutting it down,” Musk said.

USAID staffers were told that the agency’s headquarters in Washington will be closed Monday amid the turmoil.

In an email to staff early Monday, the agency’s leadership said: “Agency personnel normally assigned to work at USAID headquarters will work remotely … with the exception of personnel with essential on-site and building maintenance functions individually contacted by senior leadership.”
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Mackenzie Lockhart @maclockhart.bsky.social · 30/01/2025
I’ve started getting some pretty aggressive online advertising for Botox recently, and now I’m really curious which algorithm thinks I look old.
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Mackenzie Lockhart @maclockhart.bsky.social · 17/12/2024
I have a giant pop, a chair that is weirdly capable of shaking, and am about to watch a new Lord of the Rings movie in theatres. It doesn’t get better than this.
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Reposted by Mackenzie Lockhart
Yale ISPS @ispsyale.bsky.social · 10/12/2024
@maclockhart.bsky.social presents his evidence of the impact of declining local news on primary elections.
Mackenzie Lockhart speaks behind a lectern in a classroom
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Mackenzie Lockhart @maclockhart.bsky.social · 08/12/2024
This is a pretty genuine phenomenon that we document in our paper at The Forum. People feel better about their own conditions than the country as a whole across a lot of areas! doi.org/10.1515/for-...
doi.org
Affluence and the Demand-side for Policy Improvements: Exploring Elite Beliefs About Vulnerability to Societal Problems
An important stylized fact about American government is that many societal problems persist despite expert recognition that better outcomes are technically feasible. What explains the weakness of the ...
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Mackenzie Lockhart @maclockhart.bsky.social · 03/12/2024
Trying to interpret the swing state swings from 2016-2024 is hopeless. Each election was won by a margin of between 80,000 and 250,000 votes (total) in MI, PA, and WI. There are members of the California State Senate with those kinds of margins.
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Mackenzie Lockhart @maclockhart.bsky.social · 22/11/2024
I was at a bar with my twin brother last night and one bartender commented that we looked like twins. The other bartender would not believe it until my brother took his glasses off when her mind was blown. I have a newfound respect for Clark Kent's disguise.
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Mackenzie Lockhart @maclockhart.bsky.social · 13/11/2024
It's like Cersei Lannister's Small Council in Game of Thrones. You'd struggle to draft a worse set of people.
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Brendan Nyhan @brendannyhan.bsky.social · 22/10/2024
Encouragingly, prebunking by election officials that explains the reasons that the vote count can take multiple days reverses the harms to election confidence that delays otherwise cause (especially among Republicans) academic.oup.com/pnasnexus/ar...
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Yale ISPS @ispsyale.bsky.social · 28/08/2024
Why isn’t there greater political pressure in the United States to enhance public policy? A new study from Alan Gerber, @ericpatashnik.bsky.social, and @maclockhart.bsky.social finds a clue in affluent Americans' perception of insulation. bit.ly/3X1zEjD
A security gate on the driveway entrance for an expensive house
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Mackenzie Lockhart @maclockhart.bsky.social · 20/11/2023
Unbelievably cool to see my brother @guslockhart.bsky.social speak to a HoC Committee today on AI in the workplace. The family group chat probably enjoyed the experience more than he did!
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Mackenzie Lockhart @maclockhart.bsky.social · 01/11/2023
I'm happy to be able to share a new working paper with Jennifer Gaudette, Seth Hill, Thad Kousser, Mindy Romero, and Laura Uribe showing that federalism and polarization interact to produce significant nationalized distrust in elections. LINK: osf.io/x9zg5
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Mackenzie Lockhart @maclockhart.bsky.social · 15/10/2023
Probably the most painful thing I’ve done, and that includes TAing a methods course and moving from San Diego to Connecticut.
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Mackenzie Lockhart @maclockhart.bsky.social · 06/10/2023
I don’t understand any theory of political contributions in the US that relies on Members of Congress or candidates for Congress caring about a $2-5,000 donation enough to change their legislative behaviour on any dimension that matters.
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Mackenzie Lockhart @maclockhart.bsky.social · 04/10/2023
Bless the FEC who responded to my data inquiry in under an hour.
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Mackenzie Lockhart @maclockhart.bsky.social · 03/10/2023
Fall foliage has hit one particular 400m stretch of my running route and it’s great - especially during sunrise.
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Angus Lockhart @guslockhart.bsky.social · 03/10/2023
From @viet.bsky.social and myself - With AI, focus on the science and leave the fiction to science fiction writers. www.thestar.com/business/wit...
thestar.com
With AI, focus on the science and leave the fiction to science fiction writers
We need to talk about how little we’re adopting existing forms of this new technology, and how we can make sure it happens responsibly.
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Jen Gaudette @jengaudette.bsky.social · 26/09/2023
Guess I should post something here, so I’m linking my job market paper! I examine the effects of ideological polarization on local politics through the lens of police union endorsements. tinyurl.com/2s7kdpem
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Mackenzie Lockhart @maclockhart.bsky.social · 21/09/2023
Being an international scholar means your job is actually just paperwork, not research.
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