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Staffan Kumlin

@staffankumlin.bsky.social
554 followers 437 following 30 posts

Political Science Professor, Univ of Oslo. Democracy and discontent in European welfare states.

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Staffan Kumlin @staffankumlin.bsky.social · 20/08/2026
Norwegian politics has sometimes seemed out of character in the 2020s as a string of multi-actor scandals have surfaced. We study political trust change, 1973-2025. While Norway is not facing a dramatic trust crisis, several emerging patterns warrant attention. English abstract, OA link below.
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European Journal of Political Research @ejprjournal.bsky.social · 08/07/2026
We didn't see that coming 👀 😪 @miroslavnemcok.bsky.social, @jfdaoust.bsky.social & Piret Ehin look at the 2016 surprise Estonian government shift to better understand how changes in government, seperate to elections, alter #DemocraticSafisfaction when winner/loser status changes
buff.ly
Satisfaction with democracy after winning and losing without elections | European Journal of Political Research | Cambridge Core
Satisfaction with democracy after winning and losing without elections
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Ana Catalano Weeks @anacweeks.bsky.social · 08/07/2026
🚨New paper out in JEPP @jeppjournal.bsky.social 🎉 Women are underrepresented in local politics, and the problem isn't only their election but retention. In a survey experiment with 500+ English councillors, we find that family-friendly council policies increase women's static ambition. 🧵
The picture shows the article abstract: Women’s representation in European local governments remains stagnant at around one-third of councillors. One explanation for this longstanding gender gap relates to structural barriers blocking the supply of women candidates, including working practices which are not compatible with caring responsibilities. Yet, so far we do not know whether measures governments can implement to remedy this, including reimbursing care expenses and remote working, increase women’s political ambition. To answer this question, the study uses a survey experiment fielded to local councillors in England (N = 534). The survey manipulates exposure to a bundled set of family-friendly policies in a hypothetical council to identify the causal effect of such policies on static political ambition (councillors’ willingness to run for their current level of office), and explores heterogeneous effects by gender. The introduction of family-friendly policies significantly increases women’s, but not men’s, willingness to run for office again. Analysis of open-ended survey responses further reveals that women councillors more frequently brought up the difficulty of balancing care and work with a political role, while men were less likely to mention this. Overall, the study contributes new evidence about the important role that family policies might play in closing gender gaps in political ambition.
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Staffan Kumlin @staffankumlin.bsky.social · 22/06/2026
Our project "Struggling Women and Men: Political-Democratic Gender Gaps in a High-trust Welfare State" is looking for a PhD fellow. www.jobbnorge.no/en/available...
jobbnorge.no
PhD Research Fellowship in Political Science (3-4 years) (303073) | University of Oslo
Job title: PhD Research Fellowship in Political Science (3-4 years) (303073), Employer: University of Oslo, Deadline: Tuesday, September 1, 2026
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The Politics of Inequality @excinequality.bsky.social · 03/06/2026
🎙️ New episode of the In_equality Podcast: „Who Pays the Price of Parenthood?“ @pietervanhuysse.bsky.social, Gabriele Spilker, and @mbusemeyer.bsky.social discuss welfare states, and inequalities between parents and non-parents. 🎧 tune in now: t1p.de/bt6j0 @uni-konstanz.de
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Nadja Wehl @na-wehl.bsky.social · 28/04/2026
Out now in #Socio-EconomicReview ( @sasemeeting.bsky.social) "Individual ideology and biased perceptions of relative income position" Jointly with @mbusemeyer.bsky.social (@excinequality.bsky.social) & @nathaliegiger.bsky.social 🔗 academic.oup.com/ser/advance-...
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Staffan Kumlin @staffankumlin.bsky.social · 29/04/2026
Great post-doc opportunity with great people in a wonderful town
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JEPP Journal @jeppjournal.bsky.social · 23/03/2026
@arnovanhootegem.bsky.social : The impact of issue politicization around redistribution on support for equality and its ideological divides 🔗 www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
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JEPP Journal @jeppjournal.bsky.social · 23/03/2026
🎉 New issue: Public Opinion and the Welfare State: Sources, Processes, and Consequences. Guest Editors: @miroslavnemcok.bsky.social, Zhen Im, Maria Grasso, Franco Bonomi Bezzo 🔗 www.tandfonline.com/toc/rjpp20/3...
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Department of Political Science, University of Oslo @statsvitenskap.bsky.social · 19/03/2026
📢 New article 🌟 👥 @silkegoubin.bsky.social , @olijacques.bsky.social , @staffankumlin.bsky.social (ISV), & @dweisstanner.bsky.social 👉 Why Some Want Something for Nothing: Three Explanations for Unfunded Spending Demand 📗 Open Access in Scandinavian Political Studies 🔗 doi.org/10.1111/1467...
doi.org
Why Some Want Something for Nothing: Three Explanations for Unfunded Spending Demand
Several studies have documented ‘something for nothing’ (SFN) attitudes among citizens: preferences for increased government spending and lower taxes. Such a demand for unfunded public spending may g....
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Staffan Kumlin @staffankumlin.bsky.social · 06/03/2026
Are we underestimating popular discontent with welfare state change, and the damage done to political-institutional trust? New measures of "welfare state emotions" suggest as much. With Tor Syrstad and Atle Haugsgjerd. journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
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Staffan Kumlin @staffankumlin.bsky.social · 05/03/2026
The Cluster of Excellence "The Politics of Inequality" at the University of Konstanz offers several doctoral positions!
exc.uni-konstanz.de
Doctoral Positions | Mit uns arbeiten | Über uns | The Politics of Inequality
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The Politics of Inequality @excinequality.bsky.social · 09/10/2025
➡️ Policy Paper Alert: New findings from the Konstanz Inequality Barometer show widespread public doubts about the fairness and financial sustainability of Germany’s welfare state. By @mbusemeyer.bsky.social and @felixja.bsky.social from the @uni-konstanz.de
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Staffan Kumlin @staffankumlin.bsky.social · 10/02/2026
Maybe not trust crisis, but the scandalization of Norwegian politics has reached a new level. And as I say here, political trust isn't extremely important for any one thing in particular, but it plays a role in many things, like voter turnout, welfare systems, acceptance of foreigners, and more.
france24.com
Epstein affair triggers crisis of trust in Norway
From the crown princess to a former prime minister, the Epstein affair has implicated some of Norway's most prominent personalities, triggering a crisis of confidence in a society that prizes trust.
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Staffan Kumlin @staffankumlin.bsky.social · 09/02/2026
Massive interest in Norwegian political-institutional trust right now. Here is the overview @jonaslinde.bsky.social and I published recently on what we know, and don't know, about this topic.
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Department of Political Science, University of Oslo @statsvitenskap.bsky.social · 02/02/2026
📢 New article🌟 👥 Sofi Granö (ISV) & Johannes Bergh @johannesbergh.bsky.social 👉 Does local context matter for individual level turnout? Analysing the effect of the social context in the neighbourhood, in Norwegian elections 📖 Journal of Elections, Public Opinion and Parties 🔗 doi.org/10.1080/1745...
doi.org
Does local context matter for individual level turnout? Analysing the effect of the social context in the neighbourhood, in Norwegian elections
The purpose of this paper is to study how the social composition of a neighbourhood affects an individual’s propensity to vote. Numerous studies have looked at aggregate level contextual effects on...
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Department of Political Science, University of Oslo @statsvitenskap.bsky.social · 28/01/2026
📢 New article 👤 Tor Gaute Syrstad (ISV) 👉 Origins of societal anger: the interplay between perceived personal economic decline and anti-immigration attitudes 📗 Open Access in Journal of Elections, Public Opinion and Parties 🔗 doi.org/10.1080/1745...
doi.org
Origins of societal anger: the interplay between perceived personal economic decline and anti-immigration attitudes
Emotions, particularly anger, play a central role in contemporary politics. This paper explores the link between anger toward societal development, perceived personal economic decline, and anti-imm...
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Department of Political Science, University of Oslo @statsvitenskap.bsky.social · 16/01/2026
📢 New book chapter 👥 Staffan Kumlin @staffankumlin.bsky.social (ISV) & Jonas Linde @jonaslinde.bsky.social 🔎 Political Trust in Norway; A Large But Lopsided Research Field 📖 Published in Oxford Handbook of Norwegian Politics 🔗 doi.org/10.1093/oxfo...
Abstract of the book chapter
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Staffan Kumlin @staffankumlin.bsky.social · 05/01/2026
Why do some want government spending without supporting the necessary taxation? Such a "something for nothing" mindset is often seen as an information or even sophistication problem. But we find it is equally due to rational interests among the economically vulnerable.
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Department of Comparative Politics UiB @sampol.bsky.social · 22/12/2025
📣 New article 🌟 👥 Atle Haugsgjerd, Jonas Linde @jonaslinde.bsky.social &Ruben B. Mathisen @rubenmathisen.bsky.social 👉 Populist radical right party representation and satisfaction with democracy in Europe 📗 Open Access in Journal of European Public Policy 🔗 doi.org/10.1080/1350...
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Carmen van Alebeek @cvalebeek.bsky.social · 17/12/2025
New paper out w/ @tomwgvdmeer.bsky.social & @hakhverdian.bsky.social in @epsrjournal.bsky.social. We show that political trust dynamics matter for electoral behavior. While stable and variable distrusters behave similarly, declining trust boosts both abstention and anti-establishment voting. 🧵
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Staffan Kumlin @staffankumlin.bsky.social · 29/11/2025
Gratulerer med dagen der ute
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UiO - Det samfunnsvitenskapelige fakultet @unioslo-svfak.bsky.social · 26/11/2025
On December 10th Master in Political Science and Cand. Psychol. Tor Syrstad will be defending his dissertation at the Department of Political Science: "Trouble in Paradise? - Studies on Fear and Anger in the Norwegian Electorate" @statsvitenskap.bsky.social
sv.uio.no
Disputation Tor Syrstad - Department of Political Science
Master in Political Science and Cand. Psychol. Tor Syrstad will be defending his dissertation at the Department of Political Science:Trouble in Paradise? - Studies on Fear and Anger in the Norwegian E...
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UiO - Det samfunnsvitenskapelige fakultet @unioslo-svfak.bsky.social · 25/11/2025
On December 11th Sofi Granö will be defending her dissertation at @statsvitenskap.bsky.social. "Economic inequality and electoral participation: A register-based study on the effects of contextual factors and economic disparities in Norwegian neighbourhoods."
sv.uio.no
Disputation Sofi Granö - Department of Political Science
Master of Social Sciences in Political Science Sofi Granö will be defending her dissertation at the Department of Political Science:Economic inequality and electoral participation: A register-based st...
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Elin Haugsgjerd Allern @allernelin.bsky.social · 21/10/2025
I am thrilled to announce the publication of the Oxford Handbook of Norwegian Politics! Over 70 scholars from various institutions in Norway and abroad have contributed their expertise and insights to 48 chapters on different aspects of Norwegian politics. A short🧵 global.oup.com/academic/pro...
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Miroslav Nemčok @miroslavnemcok.bsky.social · 21/10/2025
Our introduction to to the special issue on the formation of public opinion in the welfare state is now out in the @jeppjournal.bsky.social! 📖 Freely available: doi.org/10.1080/1350... A big thanks to Zhen Jie Im, Maria Grasso, and Franco Bonomi Bezzo for outstanding co-editorship.
doi.org
Public opinion and the welfare state: sources, processes, and consequences
The legitimacy and resilience of the welfare state rest on sustained public support. This introduction reviews the literature on welfare attitudes and public opinion formation on the welfare state....
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Peter Egge Langsæther @peterla.bsky.social · 03/01/2024
Excited to share a glimpse of my book on party families via LSE European Politics and Policy! The book delves into the heart of what constitutes a party family, offer updated categorisations, contemporary descriptions, and an insight into their supporters. #polisky blogs.lse.ac.uk/europpblog/2...
blogs.lse.ac.uk
Why we should rethink how we categorise party families in western Europe
It is common to refer to party families such as “social democrats” and the “radical right” when discussing European politics. Drawing on a new book, Peter Egge Langsæther writes that while th...
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Dr. Silke Goubin @silkegoubin.bsky.social · 15/10/2025
Shout-out to all #PoliticalTrust researchers interested in attending the first @epssnet.bsky.social conference in #Belfast @annakern.bsky.social, @danjdevine.bsky.social, @cvalebeek.bsky.social, @hannesbey.bsky.social and I are coordinating 3 trust panels!
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Department of Political Science, University of Oslo @statsvitenskap.bsky.social · 06/10/2025
ISV’s Staffan Kumlin @staffankumlin.bsky.social receives 12 million NOK from the RCN program 'Welfare and Education' for the research project 'Struggling Women and Men: Political-Democratic Gender Gaps in a High-Trust Welfare State.'🌟👏Congratulations! www.sv.uio.no/isv/om/aktue...
sv.uio.no
Staffan Kumlin får Forskingsrådsmidler for å se på politiske og demokratiske kjønnsforskjeller - Institutt for statsvitenskap (ISV)
Med 12 millioner kroner fra Forskningsrådet vil Staffan Kumlin på Institutt for statsvitenskap forske på politiske og demokratiske kjønnsforskjeller. Han vil blant annet ta for seg hvordan utdanning, ...
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Jonas Linde @jonaslinde.bsky.social · 29/09/2025
New chapter on political trust in Norway, co-authored with @staffankumlin.bsky.social.
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Lisanne de Blok @ldeblok.bsky.social · 08/09/2025
Finding: political trust can influence how people experience socio-economic risks 💡 In our article in @joftrustres.bsky.social, Atle Haugsgjerd & I show that political trust works as a psychological coping-mechanism - especially for those who believe the welfare state should manage economic risks.
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Department of Political Science, University of Oslo @statsvitenskap.bsky.social · 14/08/2025
📢 New article 🌟 👥 Miroslav Kreos-Nemcok @miroslavnemcok.bsky.social (ISV), Hanna Wass @hannawass.bsky.social & Juho Vesa 🔎 Partisan Influence on Policy Preferences in Retrenching the Welfare State 📖 Open access in Public Opinion Quarterly doi.org/10.1093/poq/...
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Miroslav Nemčok @miroslavnemcok.bsky.social · 12/08/2025
As global population growth starts to hit the brakes, Rein Taagepera and I consider what this means for our future and look for lessons from the past. 🔽👇⬇️
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Department of Political Science, University of Oslo @statsvitenskap.bsky.social · 23/07/2025
📣1 PhD fellow position open at Department of Political Science, University of Oslo. 👉We invite applications from excellent candidates in all sub-fields of political science. 📅Deadline: September 1st, 2025 www.jobbnorge.no/en/available...
jobbnorge.no
PhD Research Fellowship in Political Science (4 years) (282479) | University of Oslo
Job title: PhD Research Fellowship in Political Science (4 years) (282479), Employer: University of Oslo, Deadline: Monday, September 1, 2025
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Political Studies @polstudies.bsky.social · 16/07/2025
Do generous welfare policies foster political trust? Matthijs Gillissen, @silkegoubin.bsky.social & Anna Ruelens examine the long-term effects of welfare generosity on trust in political institutions. Read more: buff.ly/tBe6gLG @polstudiesassoc.bsky.social @uoypolitics.bsky.social @sagepub.com
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Empirical Political Science #Duisburg @emppolitikwiss.bsky.social · 16/07/2025
Later that day, he will present “The Causal Effects of Poor and Corrupt Welfare State Service Delivery on Political Solidarity and Political Trust: Experimental Evidence from a Novel Virtual-State Approach” (co-authored with Achim Goerres, Philipp Chapkovski and @jeicheler.bsky.social )!
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Anna Helgøy @annanhelgoy.bsky.social · 11/06/2025
Really honored to be awarded the King’s Gold Medal for my dissertation! You can read more about it below, and then I want to add that I was incredibly lucky with my workplace, colleagues, co-authors and supervisors during my PhD<3 feeling grateful!!
sv.uio.no
Anna Nordnes Helgøy awarded the King's Gold Medal for dissertation on gender division in private and public spheres - Department of Political Science
– It is a great honour to receive recognition for a doctoral dissertation on gender equality at a time when the American president is actively working against research in this field, says Anna Nordnes...
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Department of Political Science, University of Oslo @statsvitenskap.bsky.social · 15/05/2025
📢 New article 👥 Tor Gaute Syrstad, Atle Hennum Haugsgjerd & Staffan Kumlin, staffankumlin.bsky.social. 🔎 Iceberg of discontent? Emotional responses to welfare state development and political trust. 📖 Open access in Journal of European Social Policy 🔗 doi.org/10.1177/0958...
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The Politics of Inequality @excinequality.bsky.social · 07/05/2025
First Wednesday of the month – time for a new In_equality podcast! This time, our hosts @mbusemeyer.bsky.social and Gabriele Spilker @uni-konstanz.de talk with @juandiego48cr.bsky.social about how people (mis-)perceive inequality – and why it matters for politics. ➡️ inequality.uni.kn/podcast
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Staffan Kumlin @staffankumlin.bsky.social · 05/05/2025
Interested in how public services affect political distrust, populist support, and similar? Longitudinal evidence from Germany and Norway. doi.org/10.1080/1471...
doi.org
Welfare state evaluations, normative expectations, and political trust: longitudinal evidence from Germany and Norway
The expectancy-disconfirmation model (EDM) explains satisfaction with public services as a combination of service expectations and perceived performance. We study how satisfaction in turn affects p...
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Staffan Kumlin @staffankumlin.bsky.social · 28/03/2025
Sunny Saarland days. Very enjoyable!
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Peter Egge Langsæther @peterla.bsky.social · 24/03/2025
Technological change has had important consequences for labour markets in recent decades. What about its electoral consequences? In this new article in EJPR, we use administrative data to follow nearly a million workers over 16 years to study this. 🧵 ejpr.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10....
ejpr.onlinelibrary.wiley.com
The gendered long‐term consequences of automation risk on electoral behaviour: Evidence from Norway
We examine long-run effects of automation risk on turnout. We expect gendered negative effects because men's turnout is more sensitive to job loss and earnings, but negative effects might be offset b...
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Peter Egge Langsæther @peterla.bsky.social · 26/02/2025
Very happy to share our new article in JoP @thejop.bsky.social, where we explore how parties forge links with social groups (here: social classes) through different appeals and how citizens respond to such appeals. www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/epdf/10....
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Anna Helgøy @annanhelgoy.bsky.social · 21/02/2025
New article w brilliant @anacweeks.bsky.social on the mental load and effects on public participation out in @bjpols.bsky.social! Ana summarizes the article nicely in the thread below 👇
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Arno Van Hootegem 🌱 @arnovanhootegem.bsky.social · 10/02/2025
Happy to see my new paper out in @jeppjournal.bsky.social!
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Department of Political Science, University of Oslo @statsvitenskap.bsky.social · 07/02/2025
One week left to apply for this postdoctoral fellow position!👇
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Staffan Kumlin @staffankumlin.bsky.social · 06/02/2025
Political trust is likely in global decline. What are the consequences? Our experiment suggests low-trusters more often accept info saying immigration threatens the welfare state. Trust matters more than most economic, cultural, and contextual factors - with @finseraas.bsky.social & Atle Haugsgjerd
doi.org
Immigration and welfare state sustainability: whose perception is affected by fiscal cost cues?
Who reacts politically to fiscally costly immigration? A political economy tradition holds that reactions depend on economic self-interest, whereas a social psychology tradition emphasizes generali...
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Dr. Tiffany A. Flowers @drtiffanyaflowers.bsky.social · 31/01/2025
Follow this pack to connect with interesting people and learn about social policy. go.bsky.app/AvJWyV4
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Staffan Kumlin @staffankumlin.bsky.social · 30/01/2025
Stoler vi på velferdsstaten? Ikke nødvendigvis. Uttaler meg i @mentaltperspektiv.bsky.social @unioslo-svfak.bsky.social @statsvitenskap.bsky.social mentaltperspektiv.no/aktuelt/velf...
mentaltperspektiv.no
Velferdsspleisen - Mentalt Perspektiv
Alle pengene går til å få betalt privat psykolog og utredninger. Håper på å få hjelp til å få snakket med en privat psykolog og...
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Elin Haugsgjerd Allern @allernelin.bsky.social · 28/01/2025
Six days left to apply!👇
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