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Horacio Larreguy

@hlarreguy.bsky.social
1.3K followers 308 following 53 posts

Working on misinformation, political economy, and development. @ITAM_mx @JPAL and often revisiting @IASToulouse and TSE. Formerly at @Harvard. @MITEcon PhD.

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Reposted by Horacio Larreguy
Centre for European Studies and Comparative Politics @sciencespo-cee.bsky.social · 18/09/2026
#VendrediLecture 📚 How can parties expand their volunteer base? Drawing from field experiments in 🇳🇱, @jonnekamphorst.bsky.social & @hlarreguy.bsky.social show personal calls are effective, in particular to recruit younger members. Open Acess in @polanalysis.bsky.social: doi.org/10.1017/pan....
Get Out the Volunteer: Encouraging Diverse Political Party Activism

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  09 September 2026

Abstract

Political parties in advanced democracies face a dual challenge: fewer citizens are willing to volunteer, and those who remain active are disproportionately older and male. This is troubling given the central role that volunteers play in campaigns and party processes. Whether party leaders can recruit a larger and more diverse activist base remains an open question. We partnered with a major party in the Netherlands and conducted two field experiments before the 2021 general and 2022 municipal elections, targeting over 35,000 party members. The party randomized whether members received a personal call, an email or both. Results show that calls—where members could voice their opinions—increased volunteer sign-up rates (83% in Study 1 and 361% in Study 2), especially among younger members. By contrast, emails had no effect. These findings clarify mixed evidence in the literature, suggesting that voice opportunities are key to expanding and diversifying the activist base.
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Horacio Larreguy @hlarreguy.bsky.social · 17/09/2026
So, happy to see this out with José Ramón Enríquez and Octavio Lujambio! Using Mexico’s 2012–2021 elections, 3G coverage, and Facebook SCI, we study when polarizing elite rhetoric translates into electoral gains. bit.ly/EliteDrivenP...
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Horacio Larreguy @hlarreguy.bsky.social · 10/09/2026
Maybe now people in PE will start caring more about vote buying! Great read from a late friend www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/abs/10.1...
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Horacio Larreguy @hlarreguy.bsky.social · 09/09/2026
So nice to see this with @jonnekamphorst.bsky.social in press!
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Horacio Larreguy @hlarreguy.bsky.social · 09/09/2026
After the far-right election in Germany, and given the policies they propose for migrants, which I condemn on principle, this new paper with J. David Martínez H. points to the geopolitical dangers of this strategy, which they might care about. tinyurl.com/BalticsLarre...
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Reposted by Horacio Larreguy
VoxDev @voxdev.bsky.social · 25/08/2026
🆕 Why is political polarisation rising – and can we stop it? 📢 Today on Economics Unpacked, Cesi Cruz (@umich.edu) & @hlarreguy.bsky.social (ITAM) discuss the causes and consequences of political polarisation, and how to reverse it: www.youtube.com/watch?v=E2v0...
youtube.com
Why is political polarisation rising – and can we stop it?
YouTube video by VoxDev
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Reposted by Horacio Larreguy
VoxDev @voxdev.bsky.social · 26/08/2026
Political polarisation is fundamentally a relational problem. In this week's episode of Economics Unpacked, Cesi Cruz and @hlarreguy.bsky.social outline polarisation in various contexts. Watch the full episode below👇
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Reposted by Horacio Larreguy
Center for Political Studies @umisrcps.bsky.social · 28/08/2026
Our own Cesi Cruz joins @hlarreguy.bsky.social for this @voxdev.bsky.social video about the global rise of political polarization, its consequences for development, and how to reverse it. www.youtube.com/watch?v=E2v0... @umisr.bsky.social
youtube.com
Why is political polarisation rising – and can we stop it?
YouTube video by VoxDev
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Horacio Larreguy @hlarreguy.bsky.social · 02/07/2026
I truly wonder if there is an experiment behind this, this is a joke, or there is an increasingly complete lack of appreciation for our time. They ask to review a book of 350 pages within 15 days for 50 points (worthless to me).
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Reposted by Horacio Larreguy
Roman Senninger @rsenninger.bsky.social · 23/06/2026
The Department of Political Science at Aarhus University is hiring both Assistant Professors and Associate Professors. Assistant Professor: international.au.dk/about/profil... Associate Professor: international.au.dk/about/profil... Please share these opportunities with your networks!
international.au.dk
Assistant Professor in Political Science - Vacancy at Aarhus University
Vacancy at Department of Political Science, Aarhus University
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Horacio Larreguy @hlarreguy.bsky.social · 22/06/2026
Very happy to see "Political polarization in low- and middle-income countries" with Ernesto Tiburcio in print! Free view-only version: rdcu.be/fpIKE
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Reposted by Horacio Larreguy
American Political Science Review @apsrjournal.bsky.social · 17/05/2026
From our February Issue: Family Ties, Social Control, and Authoritarian Distribution to Elites by ANTONELLA BANDIERA, @hlarreguy.bsky.social and JORGE MANGONNET. doi.org/10.1017/S000...
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Reposted by Horacio Larreguy
Raúl Duarte González @rduartegonzalez.bsky.social · 18/03/2026
I owe a huge thanks to my advisors @hlarreguy.bsky.social, @vinpons.bsky.social, @proftortuga.bsky.social, Melissa Dell, and Anders Jensen, and many other mentors for supporting me on this process, as well as family and friends!
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Reposted by Horacio Larreguy
Zach Garfield @zhgarfield.com · 30/04/2026
Conference update emails for #HBES2026 and #CESRabat will be sent soon. In the meantime, updated programs are live on both conference websites: airess.fgses-um6p.ma/hbes2026 airess.fgses-um6p.ma/ces2026 Check them out! @ces2026.bsky.social @hbes2026.bsky.social
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Juan Felipe Riaño @juanfeliperiano.bsky.social · 02/02/2026
👉Our findings demonstrate how historical variation in inherited coercive capacity and informational frictions can shape the subnational logic of authoritarian control.
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Reposted by Horacio Larreguy
Juan Felipe Riaño @juanfeliperiano.bsky.social · 02/02/2026
💥 Our results indicate that after the sudden increase in dissent, municipalities with a stronger militia presence experienced more repression events and less land redistribution than areas with weaker or no militia presence.
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Reposted by Horacio Larreguy
Juan Felipe Riaño @juanfeliperiano.bsky.social · 02/02/2026
(3) newly digitized archival records documenting individual instances of repression over time from archivo.archivosdelarepresion.org
archivo.archivosdelarepresion.org
Archivo Íntegro Memorial de la Guerra sucia | Investigación de la Comisión de la verdad
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Juan Felipe Riaño @juanfeliperiano.bsky.social · 02/02/2026
(1) a large-scale land reform that redistributed over half of all agricultural land between 1910 and 1992; (2) the localized presence of regime-aligned rural militias with revolutionary origins and
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Juan Felipe Riaño @juanfeliperiano.bsky.social · 02/02/2026
💎We then test these predictions using novel data from twentieth-century Mexico under PRI rule. Our empirical strategy exploits a sharp increase in overall dissent in the mid-1960s and three sources of subnational variation:
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Reposted by Horacio Larreguy
Juan Felipe Riaño @juanfeliperiano.bsky.social · 02/02/2026
🪖The model predicts that when dissent rises, rulers are more likely to rely on repression rather on redistribution in areas with strong inherited coercive capacity.
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Reposted by Horacio Larreguy
Juan Felipe Riaño @juanfeliperiano.bsky.social · 02/02/2026
🧩 We develop a model in which an autocrat’s localized response to dissent depends on incomplete information about the geography of people’s discontent and the government’s coercive capacity, a feature that authoritarian governments often inherit from the past.
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Juan Felipe Riaño @juanfeliperiano.bsky.social · 02/02/2026
🗺️ In contrast, we argue that subnational differences in the inherited coercive capacity of the regime are a central—yet underexplored—determinant of whether autocrats respond to local dissent with repression or redistribution, thereby preventing its escalation at the very early stages of uprisings.
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Juan Felipe Riaño @juanfeliperiano.bsky.social · 02/02/2026
👉While this trade-off is well documented, existing accounts often treat this strategic choice as uniform across space, attributing variation primarily to national-level factors, such as regime type or macroeconomic conditions.
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Reposted by Horacio Larreguy
Juan Felipe Riaño @juanfeliperiano.bsky.social · 02/02/2026
🤔What could explain the subnational variation in authoritarian responses to local unrest? 📜 Authoritarian regimes commonly employ a mix of coercion and redistribution to maintain political control (Gandhi 2008; Albertus 2017).
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Juan Felipe Riaño @juanfeliperiano.bsky.social · 02/02/2026
📢New Working Paper Alert📢 Very excited to share the latest version of our paper with @hlarreguy.bsky.social, David Martinez, and Mariano Sánchez-T on how authoritarian regimes vary their strategies across territory to maintain political control. 🔗https://juanfeliperiano.com/papers/militias.pdf
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Horacio Larreguy @hlarreguy.bsky.social · 31/01/2026
So, happy that we finally have a draft with David Martinez, @juanfeliperiano.bsky.social and Mariano Sánchez-Talanquer. All this started informally over a dinner at the @weatherheadcenter.bsky.social almost 10 years ago! tinyurl.com/MexicoMilitias
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Rahel Freiburghaus @rfrbrghs.bsky.social · 31/01/2026
#DemocraticBacksliding: The erosion of US democracy under Trump is steeper than any recent precedent, including Hungary, Venezuela, Turkey, R//ZZ.l'a/nd Source: Financial Times @jburnmurdoch.ft.com www.ft.com/content/b474...
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Horacio Larreguy @hlarreguy.bsky.social · 30/01/2026
So happy that this work with Antonella Bandiera and Jorge Mangonnet @apsrjournal.bsky.social is finally in press t.co/LyI7UbBIaU
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Horacio Larreguy @hlarreguy.bsky.social · 10/11/2025
After 6 years of work, I am thrilled to introduce "Polarization and Exposure to Cross-Partisan Media in an Electoral Autocracy," with Jeremy Bowles @shelleyliu.bsky.social and Ahmet Akbiyik. We hope you enjoy it! tinyurl.com/TBLLA
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Horacio Larreguy @hlarreguy.bsky.social · 30/10/2025
Combating Misinformation. What Works and What We Should Do www.ifo.de/en/econpol/p...
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Horacio Larreguy @hlarreguy.bsky.social · 30/10/2025
Always fun to work with Cesi Cruz and @drernestocast.bsky.social!
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Reposted by Horacio Larreguy
VoxDev @voxdev.bsky.social · 27/10/2025
📢 Our new VoxDevLit on Political Polarisation is out now! Senior Editors Cesi Cruz (University of Michigan) & Horacio Larreguy (ITAM) review research on the causes and consequences of polarisation. Read & download here: voxdev.org/voxdevlit/political-pola…
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Center for Political Studies @umisrcps.bsky.social · 28/10/2025
👀 Out now in @voxdev.bsky.social! VoxDev senior eds. Cesi Cruz, @hlarreguy.bsky.social and @ernestotiburcio.bsky.social share a lit review on the causes and consequences of polarization. Read & download here: voxdev.org/voxdevlit/po...
voxdev.org
Political Polarisation
Political polarisation has been rising sharply in both advanced and developing democracies, with implications for democratic accountability, institutional trust, and social cohesion. This VoxDevLit re...
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Reposted by Horacio Larreguy
VoxDev @voxdev.bsky.social · 07/10/2025
📢 Political polarisation has been rising sharply in both advanced and developing democracies. At our VoxDevLit launch event on October 27, Cesi Cruz and @hlarreguy.bsky.social will summarise research on the causes and consequences of polarisation. Register➡️ cepr-org.zoom.us/webinar/regi...
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Horacio Larreguy @hlarreguy.bsky.social · 02/10/2025
So nice to this in print! Always a pleasure to work with José Ramón Enríquez @asimpser.bsky.social www.nature.com/articles/s41...
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Reposted by Horacio Larreguy
Toulouse School of Economics (TSE) @tse-fr.eu · 17/09/2025
🔍 #EconJob Research Assistant in Political Economy You'll work w/ M. Montenegro @hlarreguy.bsky.social, J. Merilainen & N. Garviras 💡France-based—Toulouse ideal; remote OK; part/full-time 🧠 Advanced Stata skills + knowledge of Spanish preferred Application: mateo.montenegro[at]tse-fr.eu
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Horacio Larreguy @hlarreguy.bsky.social · 16/09/2025
1/2 Buscamos RA (con base en Francia—ideal Toulouse; remoto OK; medio tiempo o tiempo completo). Stata obligatorio. Proyectos en economía política (desinformación y capacidad estatal local) con @hlarreguy.bsky.social @jmerilainen.bsky.social Natalia Garbiras Diaz Mateo Montenegro
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Horacio Larreguy @hlarreguy.bsky.social · 16/09/2025
1/2 We’re hiring a Research Assistant (France-based—Toulouse ideal; remote OK; part/full-time). Projects: experimental & quasi-experimental political economy on misinformation and local state capacity w/ @hlarreguy.bsky.social @jmerilainen.bsky.social Natalia Garbiras Diaz Mateo montenegro_z
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The Review of Economic Studies (REStud) @reveconstudies.bsky.social · 22/08/2025
"Political brokers use social networks to identify & target reciprocal non-copartisans for vote buying. Parties recruit brokers central in networks to sway persuadable voters." From @rduartegonzalez.bsky.social, Finan, @hlarreguy.bsky.social and Schechter: www.restud.com/brokering-vo... #Econsky
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Reposted by Horacio Larreguy
IASToulouse @iast.fr · 02/07/2025
📅Let's meet on Dec 4 & 5 to ̶d̶i̶s̶g̶u̶s̶t̶ discuss about Disgust accross borders, a theme that's anything but tasteless ! 👃 As you'll see very soon, the program is still appetizing. ⬇️Interested in presenting? Subdmissions are now open!⬇️ @cmolho.bsky.social @csarabian.bsky.social @atognetti.bsky.social
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The Quarterly Journal of Economics @qjeharvard.bsky.social · 12/06/2025
Recently accepted by #QJE, “Who You Gonna Call? Gender Inequality in External Demands for Parental Involvement,” by Buzard (@kbuzard7.bsky.social), Gee (@laurakgee.bsky.social), and Stoddard (@olgastoddard.bsky.social): doi.org/10.1093/qje/...
doi.org
Who You Gonna Call? Gender Inequality in External Demands for Parental Involvement*
Abstract. Gender imbalance in time spent on child rearing causes gender inequalities in labor market outcomes, human capital accumulation, and economic mob
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IASToulouse @iast.fr · 06/06/2025
Inspired by this lineup? Join us at the IAST workshop. ✍️Register by 15/06: www.iast.fr/registration... 👉Organized with care by: A. Degrave, @dwingerfelix.bsky.social @haasvioleta.bsky.social @hlarreguy.bsky.social @giacomolem.bsky.social K. Michelitch, A. Ezzeldin Mohamed & @asimpser.bsky.social
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Horacio Larreguy @hlarreguy.bsky.social · 11/05/2025
I still cannot believe that we finally got "Missionary Activity, Education, and Long-run Political Development: Evidence Across Regime Types in Africa" conditionally accepted at @cpsjournal.bsky.social with @soerenhenn.bsky.social and Carlos Schmidt-Padilla
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Horacio Larreguy @hlarreguy.bsky.social · 09/05/2025
Nice to see this in LAER's Special Issue on Experimental Economics! Thanks to Hernan Bejarano for the invitation submission! www.latinaer.org/index.php/la...
latinaer.org
Does the Content and Mode of Delivery of Information Matter for Electoral Accountability? Evidence from a Field Experiment in Mexico | Latin American Economic Review
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Simon Chauchard @simonchauchard.bsky.social · 31/03/2025
🚨Finally in print: our (with Kiran Garimella) methods piece on how to do research on WhatsApp and collect WhatsApp data using donations. "Whatsapp Explorer: A data donation tool to facilitate research on WhatsApp" journals.sagepub.com/doi/abs/10.1...
journals.sagepub.com
Sage Journals: Discover world-class research
Subscription and open access journals from Sage, the world's leading independent academic publisher.
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Horacio Larreguy @hlarreguy.bsky.social · 21/04/2025
Interested in participating in the Friends of ITAM Political Economy Workshop in Mexico City on August 16? Please send us a paper to gomberg@itam.mx, H.Herrera@warwick.ac.uk, and horacio.larreguy@itam.mx. The submission deadline is May 23, and decisions will be communicated by June 2.
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Horacio Larreguy @hlarreguy.bsky.social · 18/04/2025
Very happy to see this with @piaraffler.bsky.social in press www.annualreviews.org/content/jour... It was a great excuse to go back to interacting more often as in our good old times at @harvard.edu
annualreviews.org
Accountability in Developing Democracies: The Impact of the Internet, Social Media, and Polarization | Annual Reviews
This article reviews the recent literature on accountability in developing democracies through the lens of two nested principal–agent problems: the relationship between voters and elected politicians ...
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Reposted by Horacio Larreguy
The Review of Economic Studies (REStud) @reveconstudies.bsky.social · 20/03/2025
"National Elections Database," including the results of 1,023 presidential and 2,962 parliamentary elections conducted worldwide since 1946! From @vinpons.bsky.social, Marx and Rollet. The companion paper: www.restud.com/electoral-tu... #EconSky #Elections
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Horacio Larreguy @hlarreguy.bsky.social · 07/04/2025
Very happy to see this in press! It was a please to work with Bruno Calderón-Hernández John Marshall and José Luis Pérez-Castellanos www.nature.com/articles/s41...
nature.com
Electoral precinct-level database for Mexican municipal elections - Scientific Data
Scientific Data - Electoral precinct-level database for Mexican municipal elections
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