iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

Shelley Liu @shelleyliu.bsky.social · 12/08/2026

Duke will host SOWEPS (Oct 29-30). Pls consider submitting papers/research designs by Sep 11: www.soweps.org/call-for-pap... We especially encourage job-market candidates and junior faculty in institutions in the Southeast (broadly defined) to submit! Travel support for grad students available.

soweps.org

SoWEPS - Call for Papers

We are excited to announce that the 11th edition of the Southern Workshop in Empirical Political Science (SoWEPS) will take place at Duke University on October 29-30, 2026. The SoWEPS-11 workshop or...

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Tony Cheng @tonykcheng.bsky.social · 20/07/2026

New w/ @shelleyliu.bsky.social in Science Advances We show that a police trust-building proj: - raised police trust among non-Black respondents - lowered it among Black respondents - cut non-Black support for BLM + racial equity policies doi.org/10.1126/scia... Funding: @RussellSageFdn

Screenshot of a Science Advances article page titled 'When trust building looks like surveillance: Public polarization toward Chicago policing' by Tony Cheng and Shelley Liu, published July 17, 2026 in Vol 12, Issue 29. The abstract states: researchers used a preregistered survey experiment in Chicago to examine responses to the police department's 'Sentiment Dashboard.' Results show the dashboard increased trust in police among non-Black respondents but reduced trust among Black respondents, especially when framed as monitoring. Among non-Black respondents, dashboard exposure also reduced support for the Black Lives Matter movement and racial equity policies unrelated to policing, such as diverse hiring and climate justice. The findings suggest state legitimacy initiatives may widen racial divides and weaken coalitions for structural reform.

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Horacio Larreguy @hlarreguy.bsky.social · 10/11/2025

After 6 years of work, I am thrilled to introduce "Polarization and Exposure to Cross-Partisan Media in an Electoral Autocracy," with Jeremy Bowles @shelleyliu.bsky.social and Ahmet Akbiyik. We hope you enjoy it! tinyurl.com/TBLLA

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Jan P. Vogler @janvogler.bsky.social · 03/06/2025

After 10 years of doing research in Historical Political Economy, this fall I’ll finally get a chance to teach a survey course on the field & I’m really looking forward to it! 😊 I thought this would be an opportunity to create a syllabus with many essential contributions to this growing field.

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Shelley Liu @shelleyliu.bsky.social · 27/02/2025

Happy to see this paper finally out! :)

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Tom Pepinsky @tompepinsky.com · 31/12/2024

Hanson and Kopstein get it. The new right is neither libertarian nor populist: it is corporatist, statist, and it understands Weber's definition of the state as the compulsory organization with a monopoly on the legitimate use of violence within a given territory www.nytimes.com/2024/12/31/o...

nytimes.com

Opinion | Trump’s Assault on the Systems That Keep Americans Safe Is Dangerous

Eviscerating modern state institutions almost always clears a path for a different political order, built on loyalties and connections to the ruler.

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Carolyn E Holmes @carolyneholmes.bsky.social · 16/12/2024

What if they just periodically had to sit in their office closets while someone simulated being a shooter in the corridor, like my grade school children do?

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sarojini @sarojini.bsky.social · 10/12/2024

Ugh this is so sad. Maybe not her most powerful, but to me, her most moving poem is this one

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Filipe Campante @filipecampante.bsky.social · 03/12/2024

It is pretty crazy how bad US democracy looks right now in comparison with South Korea, or Brazil for that matter. Remember, folks: it’s not the coup attempt, it’s how you respond to it…

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Ryan Musser @ryanmusser.bsky.social · 25/11/2024

Second Africa Starter Pack go.bsky.app/LgaSjF9

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🎃Darin S Pumpkins🎃 @darinself.com · 30/11/2024

IMO one of the most significant findings in CP/IR over the last 15 years is that you can either have 1) a coercive apparatus that can repress but not be able to remove the leader or 2) win on the battlefield and be able to remove the leader But you can't have both

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Ala Alrababah @aalrababah.bsky.social · 26/11/2024

New paper in @apsrjournal.bsky.social with @andreasbeerli.bsky.social, Dominik Hangartner, and Dalston Ward about #immigration and voting for the #FarRight in #Switzerland

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Kristin M. Bakke @kristinmbakke.bsky.social · 22/11/2024

It's that time of year again... The call for our UCL Conflict & Change PhD Workshop is out! We invite ECRs working on IR, conflict and contentious politics to apply by 8 December. We look forward to having you in London 24-25 February, 2025. Apply here: conflictandchange.org/phdworkshop2025

conflictandchange.org

PhD workshop - call for papers — Conflict & Change

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Paul Staniland @pstaniland.bsky.social · 16/11/2024

Re-upping this recent International Security piece about civil war stabilization in a world of much more restricted international peacekeeping for the many new people on here:

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Jason "Red5" Lyall @jaylyall.bsky.social · 13/11/2024

The Harry Frank Guggenheim Emerging Scholar Award, for graduate students in their final year, is now open. It's a $25,000 award to facilitate diss write-up. All projects that focus on the causes and/or control of violence welcome. Applications accepted from 1 Nov to 1 Feb 2025. Details: www.hfg.org

hfg.org

Harry Frank Guggenheim Foundation - HFG

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Mara Revkin @mararevkin.bsky.social · 12/11/2024

Started a working list of researchers, journalists, and practitioners working on humanitarian aid, peacebuilding/peacekeeping, and development in fragile and conflict-affected settings, please let me know if I missed you or anyone else who should be added! go.bsky.app/BWQc97A

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Don Moynihan @donmoyn.bsky.social · 11/11/2024

Here is a public policy starter list. Mostly people who are studying the social safety net. go.bsky.app/6W6j6oS

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Alexander Clarkson @aphclarkson.bsky.social · 09/11/2024

That US debate focuses more on distant European precedents rather than institutionally and culturally closer forms of Latin American authoritarianism or state failure also indicates which aspects of global history are given more space in US education and which are not.

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Guy Grossman @guygrossman.bsky.social · 09/11/2024

Two things can be true at the same time: 1. Many people will suffer much pain in the coming years. 2. The election results are not the end of democracy, and it's a political mistake to announce they are (since then, nothing matters). Dems should prepare for a fight to win back the House in 2026.

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Megan A. Stewart @meganastewart.bsky.social · 16/04/2024

So excited to get a copy. Congrats @shelleyliu.bsky.social!

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Tanisha Fazal @tanishafazal.bsky.social · 19/01/2024

Coming soon...

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Megan A. Stewart @meganastewart.bsky.social · 22/01/2024

My paper with @karinkitchens.bsky.social, “Explaining Variation in Political Leadership by Marginalized Groups: Black Officeholding and 'Contraband Camps'" is now forthcoming @thejop.bsky.social. Abstract is below, and you can read it in full here: papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.... A brief summary:

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Shelley Liu @shelleyliu.bsky.social · 22/01/2024

📚🚨 My book, "Governing After War: Rebel Victories and Post-war Statebuilding", will be out on Feb 22 and avail for pre-order! bit.ly/govafterwar ❓: how does rebel governance & social control shape rebel victors' post-war strategies for consolidating power?

Book cover for "Governing After War: Rebel Victories and Post-war Statebuilding" by Shelley X. Liu, published by Oxford University Press.

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Ethan Bueno de Mesquita @ethanbdm.bsky.social · 25/12/2023

I've always liked this by @pstaniland.bsky.social. It's about lessons from S. Asia for US in Afghanistan. But it is helpful for thinking about the Gaza war and the deep political contradictions of a democracy engaging in state/nation building in the 21st century. foreignpolicy.com/2009/11/24/c...

foreignpolicy.com

Counterinsurgency is a bloody, costly business

By Paul Staniland The current conventional wisdom on counterinsurgency (COIN) focuses on simultaneously building a strong state and creating mass legitimacy for the government. Gen.…

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Paul Staniland @pstaniland.bsky.social · 01/12/2023

New issue of Perspectives on Politics out, including my (open access) article w/Asfandyar Mir and Tamar Mitts on using social media to identify murky patterns of elite competition and alignment, with evidence from around the 2018 Pakistani general election: www.cambridge.org/core/journal...

cambridge.org

Latest issue | Perspectives on Politics | Cambridge Core

Perspectives on Politics

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Ethan Porter @ethanvporter.bsky.social · 13/11/2023

NEW WP! What happens when wartime misinfo is corrected? To find out, @thomasjwood.bsky.social, Raushan Zhandayeva, Bailey Scott and I evaluate corrections in Russia, Ukraine, BLR, EST and KAZ. Overall: Corrections improve accuracy but don't affect which side people support: osf.io/efvsd/

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Shelley Liu @shelleyliu.bsky.social · 20/11/2023

🥳🚨 Excited to share my paper, "Coercive Legacies: From Rebel Governance to Authoritarian Control," cond. accepted at @thejop.bsky.social (paper: papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....) I ask:❓How does rebel governance affect political development when rebel parties win power? #polisky 🧵 1/4

Ex-rebels govern almost a quarter of sub-Saharan Africa today. How does war affect these countries' long-run political development, and what explains their rebel regimes' longevity? The paper explores the role of coercion in rebel governance: post-war governance draws from wartime strategies, which helps to explain (1) the continued use of organized coercion in post-war politics when faced with challenges to ruling party dominance, and (2) where such coercion is most effectively employed. I examine Zimbabwe where the anti-colonial rebel party has remained in power since 1980. I rely on archival data to qualitatively trace mechanisms, map pre-war to current-day administrative divisions, and code a measure of wartime governance. I combine these data with Afrobarometer surveys to demonstrate long-run subnational variation in coercive political control. Findings deepen our understanding of war’s effects on peacetime politics and provide one explanation for infrequent political turnovers

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Ross Dahlke @rossdahlke.bsky.social · 30/10/2023

Anti-Muslim and anti-Jewish hate online stems from the same fringe, white supremacist communities who target both groups interchangeably, finds Hobbs, @nazita.bsky.social, Li & Lucas, suggesting we need to consider hate against both groups in tandem doi.org/10.1007/s111...

Anti-Muslim and anti-Jewish attitudes among respondents in the American Mosaic Project 2014 survey. Each jittered black point in the top panel of this figure represents the number of anti-Jewish and anti-Muslim attitudes reported by a White, Non-Hispanic respondent—the sum of yes responses to seven statements, including “They don’t share my morals or values” and “They want to take over our political institutions.” Purple ellipses represent a normal data ellipses for responses conditional on any problem (bottom left corner) and average conditional on a sum of problems across both groups greater than 10 (top right corner). Using the same data, the bottom two panels display the average number of problems attributed to a group conditional on the number of problems attributed to the other group

This figure displays change in mentions of Jews and Muslims or Arabs that contained predicted hate speech compared to January 2017 among Gab users who posted every month January 2017 through August 2018

The bottom panel above displays hate crimes and bias incidents recorded by ADL and CAIR by month. The top panels compares these two sources. Overall, hate crimes and bias incidents gradually decline after the 2016 election—until a very large spike in anti-Jewish incidents in late 2018. In addition to the overall patterns potentially related to the election and inauguration of Donald Trump, we also see a longer term shift in anti-Jewish hate crimes relative to anti-Muslim hate crimes in mid-2017. This second shift mirrors the activity on fringe social media sites around Unite the Right

Anti-Muslim or Arab and anti-Jewish aggravated assault, murders, manslaughter, arson, and kidnapping recorded in the FBI UCR data by month

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Tony Cheng @tonykcheng.bsky.social · 31/10/2023

Excited to get the book cover in hand!! Thanks so much to Robert Vargas, Tracey Meares, & Jonathan Simon for reading and blurbing And continued thanks to all at UChicago Press for making this process extra special press.uchicago.edu/ucp/books/bo...

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Jason "Red5" Lyall @jaylyall.bsky.social · 31/10/2023

New paper: Yuri Zhukov & I examine how fratricidal coercion (that is, shooting your own soldiers) affects battlefield performance. We draw on millions of Red Army soldier records, case studies, and 526 battles from 1939-2011 to show how violence restores discipline, but a steep cost osf.io/yg6c9/

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Carl Müller-Crepon @carlmc.bsky.social · 20/10/2023

How do Ukrainians think about self-defense against Russia? In a new paper out in the AJPS, @janinadill.bsky.social, Marnie Howlett and I find through a conjoint experiment that they are categorically against major concessions, even at very high costs of self-defense doi.org/10.1111/ajps... (1/6)

At Any Cost: How Ukrainians Think about Self-Defense Against Russia

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Good Authority @goodauth.bsky.social · 18/10/2023

New by @kellyzvobgo.bsky.social today: "The ICC will likely investigate, and later prosecute, Hamas’s killings and hostage taking as war crimes. The ICC may also investigate, and later prosecute, Israel’s blockade and bombing campaign as war crimes." goodauthority.org/news/the-icc...

goodauthority.org

The ICC is investigating violence in Israel and Palestine

International Criminal Court, The Hague (cc) jbdodane On October 7, the terrorist group Hamas launched a surprise attack on Israel, killing an estimated

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Soyoung Lee @soyounglee.bsky.social · 29/09/2023

🚨New paper alert🚨 #polisky #intsec My paper, "Domestic Distributional Roots of National Interest", has been cond. accepted at APSR! I ask: Why are some international issues perceived as national interests worth fighting for while others are not? While we may think the answer is obvious..1/4

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Alice Xu @alicexu.bsky.social · 16/10/2023

Excited that this project (JMP!) is now FirstView @APSR! doi.org/10.1017/S000... I show that segregation encourages the privatization of urban services. Conversely, integrated cities produce intergroup externalities that align the middle class w/ the poor in coalitions for public goods 🧵

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Foreign Affairs @foreignaffairs.com · 14/10/2023

“Hamas is simply too entrenched, in too many places, to be rooted out with bombs and raids alone.” Daniel Byman and Seth Jones discuss what an Israeli invasion of Gaza will look like—and why the battle will not end when Israel has reoccupied the territory.

foreignaffairs.com

What Israel Will Face in Gaza

The high costs of crushing Hamas.

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Andrew M Leber @andrewleber.bsky.social · 14/10/2023

"the truths in the Geneva Conventions are self-evident. They should ring true, and appear vital, to any human being with enough empathy and compassion to believe that all members of our species deserve the same rights and dignities." @jscros.bsky.social www.discourseblog.com/p/the-rules-...

discourseblog.com

The Rules of War

They are being broken profoundly and openly right now. But they still offer a reminder that, despite being capable of horrific violence, human beings are not helpless in its path.

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Dan Nexon @dhnexon.net · 13/10/2023

Population displacement is a major cause of non-combatant deaths in wartime.

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Paul Staniland @pstaniland.bsky.social · 05/10/2023

An Open Access, un-gated article by Asfandyar Mir, Tamar Mitts, and me in Perspectives on Politics polisky: "Political Coalitions and Social Media: Evidence from Pakistan" www.cambridge.org/core/journal...

cambridge.org

Political Coalitions and Social Media: Evidence from Pakistan | Perspectives on Politics | Cambridge...

Political Coalitions and Social Media: Evidence from Pakistan

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David McKenzie @dmckenzie.bsky.social · 26/09/2023

Six questions with Ted Miguel: I interview @tedmiguel.bsky.social about his views on whether first-year undergrads are useful, on having his worm work overcritiqued, on whether to do a long-term follow up, why more people work in Kenya than DRC, and more. blogs.worldbank.org/impactevalua...

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Daniel de Kadt @dandekadt.bsky.social · 26/09/2023

We are searching for an Associate or Full Professor of Computational Social Science (broadly defined) to join our department at LSE If you'd like any more information, please feel free to reach out to me. Polisky

jobs.lse.ac.uk

Associate Professor/Professor in Computational Social Science

http:jobs.lse.ac.uk Vacancies

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Carl Müller-Crepon @carlmc.bsky.social · 22/09/2023

The African Politics Conference Group (APCG) Online Colloquium is calling for applications for workshop papers in Oct., Nov., Dec. 2023. Apply by October 5, 2023, here: docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1F... // from @gofosu at twitter // polisky

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Shelley Liu @shelleyliu.bsky.social · 22/09/2023

Duke Sanford School of Public Policy is hiring 3(!!) TT junior faculty and we are looking for a broad range of specialties/research areas. Please apply! polisky academicjobsonline.org/ajo/jobs/25832

academicjobsonline.org

Duke University, Sanford School of Public Policy

Full service online faculty recruitment and application management system for academic institutions worldwide. We offer unique solutions tailored for academic communities.

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John Holbein @johnholbein1.bsky.social · 21/09/2023

New data collection opportunity! The Civic Health and Institutions Project, a 50 State Survey, has opportunities available to collect free state-level or large national sample public opinion data. More information is available here: chip50.org

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Ben Ansell @benansell.bsky.social · 21/09/2023

Every word of this from @economeager.bsky.social is gold. A brilliant piece of advice that also touches on the difficulty of actually taking advice. rachaelmeager.substack.com/p/finish-you...

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Christopher Clary @claryc.bsky.social · 20/09/2023

In this piece I look at whether the US withdrawal from Afghanistan hurt US credibility, and try to draw on recent and established political science research in thinking about that question. goodauthority.org/news/did-wit...

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