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Felix Dwinger

@dwingerfelix.bsky.social
565 followers 689 following 32 posts

Postdoc at the Institute for Advanced Study in Toulouse (IAST), France • Autocratic Politics, Democratic Backsliding, Game Theory, Causal Inference • felixdwinger.com

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Reposted by Felix Dwinger
Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 @marikamikiashvili.bsky.social · 27/05/2026
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Felix Dwinger @dwingerfelix.bsky.social · 22/05/2026
Oh wow! This is so well deserved. Giorgio is a fantastic scholar and seeing him join Stanford is such great news.
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LSE Methodology @lsemethodology.bsky.social · 24/04/2026
🚨 Not long left to apply for our LSE Fellow in Advanced Quantitative Methods position We are seeking an individual with established research interests and teaching experience in advanced quantitative methods and computational social science‼️ Apply before 26 April👉️ jobs.lse.ac.uk/Vacancies/W/...
graphic reading 'lse fellow in advanced quantitative methods, applications close 26 april 2026'
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Violeta Haas @haasvioleta.bsky.social · 03/04/2026
📣 Registration is officially OPEN! Join us in Toulouse this May for our conference on „Borders and Belonging: Migration Challenges and Solutions“ 🗓️ May 5-6, 2026 📍 Toulouse (@iast.fr/ @tse-fr.eu) Check out our program and register here 👇 shorturl.at/fxfqu
shorturl.at
Borders and Belonging: Migration Challenges and Solutions conference
Borders and Belonging: Migration Challenges and Solutions conference, Toulouse, TSE/IAST Building, May 5–6, 2026.
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Kate from Kharkiv @kateinkharkiv.bsky.social · 14/04/2026
ZELENSKY: We don’t want NATO 'light or EU 'light'. We want full membership in EU. NATO and EU can truly benefit from having us as a strong partner. Our military is powerful, and no one needs Ukrainian military 'light' in these positions. This is beneficial for both sides.
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Zselyke Csaky @zecsaky.bsky.social · 08/04/2026
A propos absolutely nothing. Hungary is not a "small" country. It's a very average-sized European country. A bit bigger than Austria or Portugal, way bigger than Denmark (and no one calls those small). Rant over. en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Area_an...
en.wikipedia.org
Area and population of European countries - Wikipedia
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Alberto Alemanno @alemanno.bsky.social · 08/04/2026
With Hungarian elections on the horizon, EU leaders are finally recognizing that this is not simple veto politics, but a sustained strategy of undermining—and instrumentalizing—European integration in ways that benefit both Putin and Trump. Long overdue.
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Juraj Medzihorsky @medzihorsky.bsky.social · 02/04/2026
Hungarian pollsters continue to differ massively on the two strongest parties. Pollsters close to the government: Fidesz leads Tisza by 6% Close to the opposition or independent: Fidesz trails Tisza by 12% the "difference in differences" has reached 19% per pooling by Gábor Tóka for Vox Populi
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Duncan Weldon @duncanweldon.bsky.social · 31/03/2026
The 2025 numbers are really striking. www.kielinstitut.de/fileadmin/Da...
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Thorsten Benner @tbenner.bsky.social · 28/03/2026
This by Rheinmetall CEO is precisely the arrogance that will come to haunt 🇩🇪. It was arrogance vis-à-vis Chinese competitors that helped bring German carmakers in the ditch they are in. And it‘s this type of arrogance vis-à-vis lessons learned by Ukrainians that will cost us.
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Kate from Kharkiv @kateinkharkiv.bsky.social · 27/03/2026
KALLAS: Russia is trying to get those territories they haven't been able to conquer militarily in 12 years around the negotiation table. It's the Russian playbook of negotiations: they are demanding something that has never been theirs. This is a trap we should not fall into.
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V-Dem Institute @vdeminstitute.bsky.social · 25/03/2026
🔜 Deadline April 1st! Just one week left to apply for the joint #postdoc position at Governance and Local Development Institute and V-Dem Institute, University of Gothenburg. Application and more details here: web103.reachmee.com/ext/I005/103... #Polisky #PolDataSky #PoliSciSky #Academia #Research
web103.reachmee.com
Postdoctoral Research Fellowship in Cross-National Survey Methodology in Political Science
The Department of Political Science is an international academic environment that welcomes students, researchers, and
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Kate from Kharkiv @kateinkharkiv.bsky.social · 21/03/2026
Russia’s Foreign Intelligence Service (SVR) proposed staging an assassination attempt on Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán in order to boost his chances in the April parliamentary elections - The Washington Post. I bet they would blame Zelenskyy too.
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Kate from Kharkiv @kateinkharkiv.bsky.social · 21/03/2026
Szijjarto, Hungarian foreign minister, made regular phone calls during breaks at E.U. meetings to his Russian counterpart, Sergei Lavrov, with “live reports on what’s been discussed” -The Washington Post Vote. Them. Out!
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Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 @marikamikiashvili.bsky.social · 12/03/2026
Day 470 of daily #GeorgiaProtests
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Szabolcs Panyi @szabolcspanyi.bsky.social · 12/03/2026
🇷🇺🇭🇺 Meet Hungarian politician Péter Magyar – same name as the opposition leader, tons of photos with Viktor Orbán and his cabinet members, running as an "independent" in a West Hungarian constituency. A Russia-style spoiler candidate, designed to deceive voters. More on 444.hu: 444.hu/2026/03/12/v...
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Jacob Öberg @profjacob.bsky.social · 10/03/2026
🚨🚨Major story of today: Nearly seven months ago, #Ukraine tried to sell the US their battle-proven technology for downing Iranian-made attack drones but #Trump admin dismissed the Ukrainians, only to reverse course last week because of heavy drone strikes from #Iran.🧵 www.axios.com/2026/03/10/u...
axios.com
Exclusive: U.S. dismissed Ukraine deal for anti-Iran drone tech last year
Snubbing Ukraine's offer ranks as one of the U.S.'s biggest tactical miscalculations before the war, officials say.
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Maria Popova @popovaprof.bsky.social · 27/02/2026
I'm seeing commentary that a formal commitment to keep Ukr out of NATO *no longer* satisfies Pu. What?? It never would've. There's plenty of evidence Ru always aimed to control or absorb Ukr and replace Europe's security architecture w an arrangement allowing Ru to reassert domination over EEurope.
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Felix Dwinger @dwingerfelix.bsky.social · 24/02/2026
Oh wow, this is wonderful news. Congrats, Steven!
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Kate from Kharkiv @kateinkharkiv.bsky.social · 21/02/2026
Considering everything the Trump administration is doing, this is not surprising. but still heartbreaking. A slow return to business as usual with genocidal invaders, even as they continue murdering Ukrainians and destroying our country.
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Olympia L K Campbell @olkcampbell.bsky.social · 19/02/2026
Humans exhibit an astonishing variety of marriage systems. Sometimes monogamous, other times polygamous, occasionally we even marry ghosts. The diversity can seem to defy any general explanation. In my new piece for Works in Progress, I write about the Darwinian logic behind it. 1/
worksinprogress.co
The market for marriage - Works in Progress Magazine
It is a truth universally acknowledged, that a single man in possession of a good agricultural surplus, must be in want of a wife.
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Kate from Kharkiv @kateinkharkiv.bsky.social · 18/02/2026
Oh, how the tables have turned. Ukrainian soldiers will be instructing NATO troops now.
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Meanwhile in Ukraine @meanwhileua.bsky.social · 17/02/2026
They tried to silence him — he amplified the fallen. Skeleton athlete Vladyslav Heraskevych joined Germany’s Athletes for Ukraine to launch “Athletes for Athletes,” raising funds for families of Ukrainian athletes killed by Russia — honored on his “Memory Helmet.”
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Kate from Kharkiv @kateinkharkiv.bsky.social · 17/02/2026
Ukraine has been under russian drone attacks for most of the night. Russian cruise missiles are expected to enter our airspace in half an hour, bringing more death and destruction. Again, we play this deadly lottery while the world watches.
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Felix Dwinger @dwingerfelix.bsky.social · 16/02/2026
Terrific scholars, impressive book!
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Tata Chemia @tatach.bsky.social · 16/02/2026
🇱🇹Happy Day of Restoration of the State of Lithuania, dear Lithuanians🫶🏻 🇬🇪🇱🇹I appreciate and deeply value your support for Georgian people! This photo comes from late 80’s, protests were held for freedom from ussr
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Publika.ge @publikage.bsky.social · 07/02/2026
February 7 — Traditional Saturday march on the 437th day of continuous protest. 📷 Levan Zazadze #GeorgiaProtests
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Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 @marikamikiashvili.bsky.social · 03/02/2026
Please notice the flag of Sweden, because the regime lashed out at Sweden today. Protesters in Georgia always display flags of partner countries, and especially when they feature prominently in latest events / are targeted by the regime.
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Catherine E. de Vries @catherinedevries.bsky.social · 03/02/2026
After a short hiatus, Respect the Marble is back: catherineeunicedevries.substack.com/p/introducin... Introducing a new series The Long Carve: about how to decide which ideas deserves our long-term writing attention, & how we learn to keep writing when the outcome is unknown and uncertain. 🧵
catherineeunicedevries.substack.com
Introducing The Long Carve: What Deserves Your Four Thousand Weeks?
A series about choosing and staying with one idea long enough for it to change you
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Tata Chemia @tatach.bsky.social · 31/01/2026
🇬🇪🇪🇺The fight for Georgia’s freedom, democracy and European future goes on! Day 4️⃣3️⃣0️⃣ @protest24.bsky.social
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Solomon @solomonrmissouri.com · 30/01/2026
4 Black journalists have been kidnapped by the federal government
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Tata Chemia @tatach.bsky.social · 30/01/2026
OSCE’s Moscow Mechanism invoked following concerns about implementation of international human rights obligations by the Georgian authorities. Among those investigations will be using chemical weapon against its own people. Much appreciated @OSCE odihr.osce.org/news/odihr/661…
odihr.osce.org
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Bruce Springsteen @brucespringsteen.net · 28/01/2026
I wrote this song on Saturday, recorded it yesterday and released it to you today in response to the state terror being visited on the city of Minneapolis. It’s dedicated to the people of Minneapolis, our innocent immigrant neighbors and in memory of Alex Pretti and Renee Good. Stay free
youtu.be
Bruce Springsteen - Streets Of Minneapolis (Official Audio)
YouTube video by Bruce Springsteen
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Erica Chenoweth @chenoweth.bsky.social · 25/01/2026
On the weakness of state terror: once ppl internalize the regime's lawless brutality, that they are no safer in their homes than in the streets (& vice versa), and that their unwavering defiance is what confounds & disempowers the regime, they also realize they have nothing to lose but their fear.
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Adam Scharpf @ascharpf.bsky.social · 20/01/2026
Largely unnoticed outside of Argentina, President Milei is planning a massive expansion of the intelligence service's powers – SIDE. Among other things, agents would be allowed to arrest citizens. I spoke with the Buenos Aires Herald about possible consequences and parallels to the country's past.
buenosairesherald.com
Rights groups warn SIDE arrest powers risk 'persecution and intimidation' - Buenos Aires Herald
More than 20 NGOs said that the decree granting broad discretion to intelligence services could become ‘a tool for massive surveillance’
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Eugene Finkel @efinkel.bsky.social · 19/01/2026
Trump is not a "mad king" and we shouldn't be calling him that. He didn't come to power because of inheritance or conquest, we as a country elected him. The "mad king" language leaves us off the hook when this is on us all, and we should own it.
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Publika.ge @publikage.bsky.social · 18/01/2026
Georgians continue to protest despite the snow and freezing cold, and all the repressive laws that now lead to criminal cases and imprisonment for protesting on the pavement. #GeorgiaProtests Day 417
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Meanwhile in Ukraine @meanwhileua.bsky.social · 17/01/2026
They don’t sleep so you can. Ukrainian defenders are freezing on the front line tonight, staying awake and holding positions so cities behind them can keep living. Our normal life exists only because someone is carrying the night for us. 🇺🇦
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Olga Nesterova @onestpress.onestnetwork.com · 10/01/2026
And despite it all, this is Tehran 🇮🇷
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Felix Haass @felixhaass.bsky.social · 06/01/2026
🚨Job alert! 🚨 I'm advertising a PhD position (66%) in Comparative Politics at HU Berlin. Ideal candidates combine a research interest in autocratic politics, conflict, and/or political violence with strong quantitative methods skills. ⏳ 4 (+2) years | 🗓 DL 16.01; Start March/April 26 More info:
hu-berlin.de
Research fellow (m/f/d) in the field of “contentious politics/political violence/autocratic politics” - Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin
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Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 @marikamikiashvili.bsky.social · 06/01/2026
I asked some protesters about their projects, hoping to find some funding for them, & they responded that it’s hard to think of projects when they have no money for basic food or transportation. That’s where we’re at, while our partners STILL search for ways to “channel.” #GeorgiaProtests Day 405
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Thorsten Benner @tbenner.bsky.social · 04/01/2026
It's wild that the PM of a NATO member feels compelled to put out a statement like this vis-à-vis the US government.
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Publika.ge @publikage.bsky.social · 03/01/2026
First protest march of 2026 in Tbilisi. #GeorgiaProtests Day 402
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Publika.ge @publikage.bsky.social · 01/01/2026
It’s freezing cold, and it’s snowing in Tbilisi. But protesters are still on Rustaveli on January 1st, some of them singing Georgian folk songs. #GeorgiaProtests Day 4000
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Maria Popova @popovaprof.bsky.social · 31/12/2025
An article from December 1996 warns that Bulgaria has no chance of joining Europe and the euro would replace the lev only after the second coming of Christ. Brace yourselves, the euro replaces the lev tonight at midnight! 🤣(and, of course, Bulgaria did join the EU in 2007).
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Tata Chemia @tatach.bsky.social · 27/12/2025
Saturday march has just started✊🏼 Day 3️⃣9️⃣4️⃣ #GeorgiaProtests Under the huge Flag🇬🇪🫶🏻
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Publika.ge @publikage.bsky.social · 17/12/2025
Protesters on Rustaveli Avenue today, December 17. Georgian Dream adopted a new law that prohibits “blocking sidewalks.” Police officers are warning protesters to “free the pavement.” #GeorgiaProtests Day 385
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Publika.ge @publikage.bsky.social · 14/12/2025
Georgia continues to protest. Footage from yesterday’s march. Day 381. #GeorgiaProtests
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Maria Popova @popovaprof.bsky.social · 13/12/2025
A common hostile response to pointing out Ru isn't offering a settlement but demanding Ukr capitulation is to say Ukr should've taken the 2022 Istanbul "deal". Reminder: Ru demanded capitulation then too. "If Ukr had surrendered in 2022, Ru wouldn't be asking for surrender today" is a dumb retort
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Meanwhile in Ukraine @meanwhileua.bsky.social · 12/12/2025
A new mural now stands at Kyiv’s children’s hospital. It appeared at the children’s hospital Russia deliberately struck in July 2024. Not as decoration — but as a reminder of who this war targets, and why protecting the sky matters.👇
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