iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

Horacio Larreguy @hlarreguy.bsky.social · 04/10/2026

Sensible move, although this might alienate the ethnic Russian minorities more, which also contributes to the effectiveness of the Russian misinformation machine as we show in this paper tinyurl.com/BalticsLarre...

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Horacio Larreguy @hlarreguy.bsky.social · 18/09/2026

Crucially, we show when foreign propaganda appears most consequential: where institutional trust is low and integration weaker. Effects are strongest among cohorts partly schooled under Soviet rule, and we find no comparable pattern in Estonia or Lithuania.

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Horacio Larreguy @hlarreguy.bsky.social · 18/09/2026

Our design exploits two disruptions to Western vaccines that Russian state-backed media used to promote Sputnik V and attack Western institutions. After each, traffic shifted toward pro-Kremlin outlets and vaccination fell more where the ethnic Russian share was larger.

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Horacio Larreguy @hlarreguy.bsky.social · 18/09/2026

Now that I have more time, a bit more on the paper... We study when Russian state-sponsored misinformation/propaganda changes not just beliefs, but consequential behavior. We focus on Russian-speaking minorities in Latvia during the COVID vaccine rollout.

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Centre for European Studies and Comparative Politics @sciencespo-cee.bsky.social · 18/09/2026

#VendrediLecture 📚 How can parties expand their volunteer base? Drawing from field experiments in 🇳🇱, @jonnekamphorst.bsky.social & @hlarreguy.bsky.social show personal calls are effective, in particular to recruit younger members. Open Acess in @polanalysis.bsky.social: doi.org/10.1017/pan....

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Horacio Larreguy @hlarreguy.bsky.social · 17/09/2026

Our contribution: social media does not have a single effect on polarization. Its political consequences depend on who is speaking, whose messages are amplified, and how diverse users’ networks are—helping reconcile seemingly conflicting findings in the social media literature.

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Horacio Larreguy @hlarreguy.bsky.social · 17/09/2026

What matters is not simply access to social media, but the political exposure it creates. We find that gains from polarizing rhetoric are concentrated where online networks amplify one political voice—and weaken where networks expose voters to more diverse views.

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Horacio Larreguy @hlarreguy.bsky.social · 17/09/2026

So, happy to see this out with José Ramón Enríquez and Octavio Lujambio! Using Mexico’s 2012–2021 elections, 3G coverage, and Facebook SCI, we study when polarizing elite rhetoric translates into electoral gains. bit.ly/EliteDrivenP...

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Horacio Larreguy @hlarreguy.bsky.social · 10/09/2026

Maybe now people in PE will start caring more about vote buying! Great read from a late friend www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/abs/10.1...

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Horacio Larreguy @hlarreguy.bsky.social · 09/09/2026

After the far-right election in Germany, and given the policies they propose for migrants, which I condemn on principle, this new paper with J. David Martínez H. points to the geopolitical dangers of this strategy, which they might care about. tinyurl.com/BalticsLarre...

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VoxDev @voxdev.bsky.social · 25/08/2026

🆕 Why is political polarisation rising – and can we stop it? 📢 Today on Economics Unpacked, Cesi Cruz (@umich.edu) & @hlarreguy.bsky.social (ITAM) discuss the causes and consequences of political polarisation, and how to reverse it: www.youtube.com/watch?v=E2v0...

youtube.com

Why is political polarisation rising – and can we stop it?

YouTube video by VoxDev

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VoxDev @voxdev.bsky.social · 26/08/2026

Political polarisation is fundamentally a relational problem. In this week's episode of Economics Unpacked, Cesi Cruz and @hlarreguy.bsky.social outline polarisation in various contexts. Watch the full episode below👇

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Center for Political Studies @umisrcps.bsky.social · 28/08/2026

Our own Cesi Cruz joins @hlarreguy.bsky.social for this @voxdev.bsky.social video about the global rise of political polarization, its consequences for development, and how to reverse it. www.youtube.com/watch?v=E2v0... @umisr.bsky.social

youtube.com

Why is political polarisation rising – and can we stop it?

YouTube video by VoxDev

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Horacio Larreguy @hlarreguy.bsky.social · 02/07/2026

I truly wonder if there is an experiment behind this, this is a joke, or there is an increasingly complete lack of appreciation for our time. They ask to review a book of 350 pages within 15 days for 50 points (worthless to me).

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Roman Senninger @rsenninger.bsky.social · 23/06/2026

The Department of Political Science at Aarhus University is hiring both Assistant Professors and Associate Professors. Assistant Professor: international.au.dk/about/profil... Associate Professor: international.au.dk/about/profil... Please share these opportunities with your networks!

international.au.dk

Assistant Professor in Political Science - Vacancy at Aarhus University

Vacancy at Department of Political Science, Aarhus University

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Horacio Larreguy @hlarreguy.bsky.social · 22/06/2026

Very happy to see "Political polarization in low- and middle-income countries" with Ernesto Tiburcio in print! Free view-only version: rdcu.be/fpIKE

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American Political Science Review @apsrjournal.bsky.social · 17/05/2026

From our February Issue: Family Ties, Social Control, and Authoritarian Distribution to Elites by ANTONELLA BANDIERA, @hlarreguy.bsky.social and JORGE MANGONNET. doi.org/10.1017/S000...

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Raúl Duarte González @rduartegonzalez.bsky.social · 18/03/2026

I owe a huge thanks to my advisors @hlarreguy.bsky.social, @vinpons.bsky.social, @proftortuga.bsky.social, Melissa Dell, and Anders Jensen, and many other mentors for supporting me on this process, as well as family and friends!

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Zach Garfield @zhgarfield.com · 30/04/2026

Conference update emails for #HBES2026 and #CESRabat will be sent soon. In the meantime, updated programs are live on both conference websites: airess.fgses-um6p.ma/hbes2026 airess.fgses-um6p.ma/ces2026 Check them out! @ces2026.bsky.social @hbes2026.bsky.social

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Juan Felipe Riaño @juanfeliperiano.bsky.social · 02/02/2026

👉Our findings demonstrate how historical variation in inherited coercive capacity and informational frictions can shape the subnational logic of authoritarian control.

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Juan Felipe Riaño @juanfeliperiano.bsky.social · 02/02/2026

💥 Our results indicate that after the sudden increase in dissent, municipalities with a stronger militia presence experienced more repression events and less land redistribution than areas with weaker or no militia presence.

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Juan Felipe Riaño @juanfeliperiano.bsky.social · 02/02/2026

(3) newly digitized archival records documenting individual instances of repression over time from archivo.archivosdelarepresion.org

archivo.archivosdelarepresion.org

Archivo Íntegro Memorial de la Guerra sucia | Investigación de la Comisión de la verdad

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Juan Felipe Riaño @juanfeliperiano.bsky.social · 02/02/2026

(1) a large-scale land reform that redistributed over half of all agricultural land between 1910 and 1992; (2) the localized presence of regime-aligned rural militias with revolutionary origins and

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Juan Felipe Riaño @juanfeliperiano.bsky.social · 02/02/2026

💎We then test these predictions using novel data from twentieth-century Mexico under PRI rule. Our empirical strategy exploits a sharp increase in overall dissent in the mid-1960s and three sources of subnational variation:

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Juan Felipe Riaño @juanfeliperiano.bsky.social · 02/02/2026

🪖The model predicts that when dissent rises, rulers are more likely to rely on repression rather on redistribution in areas with strong inherited coercive capacity.

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Juan Felipe Riaño @juanfeliperiano.bsky.social · 02/02/2026

🧩 We develop a model in which an autocrat’s localized response to dissent depends on incomplete information about the geography of people’s discontent and the government’s coercive capacity, a feature that authoritarian governments often inherit from the past.

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Juan Felipe Riaño @juanfeliperiano.bsky.social · 02/02/2026

🗺️ In contrast, we argue that subnational differences in the inherited coercive capacity of the regime are a central—yet underexplored—determinant of whether autocrats respond to local dissent with repression or redistribution, thereby preventing its escalation at the very early stages of uprisings.

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Juan Felipe Riaño @juanfeliperiano.bsky.social · 02/02/2026

👉While this trade-off is well documented, existing accounts often treat this strategic choice as uniform across space, attributing variation primarily to national-level factors, such as regime type or macroeconomic conditions.

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Juan Felipe Riaño @juanfeliperiano.bsky.social · 02/02/2026

🤔What could explain the subnational variation in authoritarian responses to local unrest? 📜 Authoritarian regimes commonly employ a mix of coercion and redistribution to maintain political control (Gandhi 2008; Albertus 2017).

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Juan Felipe Riaño @juanfeliperiano.bsky.social · 02/02/2026

📢New Working Paper Alert📢 Very excited to share the latest version of our paper with @hlarreguy.bsky.social, David Martinez, and Mariano Sánchez-T on how authoritarian regimes vary their strategies across territory to maintain political control. 🔗https://juanfeliperiano.com/papers/militias.pdf

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Horacio Larreguy @hlarreguy.bsky.social · 31/01/2026

We use amazing data on repression from archivosdelarepresion.org, which we hope everybody gives a greater use.

archivosdelarepresion.org

Archivos de la Represión – Memoria y Verdad

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Horacio Larreguy @hlarreguy.bsky.social · 31/01/2026

So, happy that we finally have a draft with David Martinez, @juanfeliperiano.bsky.social and Mariano Sánchez-Talanquer. All this started informally over a dinner at the @weatherheadcenter.bsky.social almost 10 years ago! tinyurl.com/MexicoMilitias

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Rahel Freiburghaus @rfrbrghs.bsky.social · 31/01/2026

#DemocraticBacksliding: The erosion of US democracy under Trump is steeper than any recent precedent, including Hungary, Venezuela, Turkey, R//ZZ.l'a/nd Source: Financial Times @jburnmurdoch.ft.com www.ft.com/content/b474...

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Horacio Larreguy @hlarreguy.bsky.social · 30/01/2026

So happy that this work with Antonella Bandiera and Jorge Mangonnet @apsrjournal.bsky.social is finally in press t.co/LyI7UbBIaU

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Horacio Larreguy @hlarreguy.bsky.social · 10/11/2025

After 6 years of work, I am thrilled to introduce "Polarization and Exposure to Cross-Partisan Media in an Electoral Autocracy," with Jeremy Bowles @shelleyliu.bsky.social and Ahmet Akbiyik. We hope you enjoy it! tinyurl.com/TBLLA

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Horacio Larreguy @hlarreguy.bsky.social · 30/10/2025

Combating Misinformation. What Works and What We Should Do www.ifo.de/en/econpol/p...

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VoxDev @voxdev.bsky.social · 27/10/2025

📢 Our new VoxDevLit on Political Polarisation is out now! Senior Editors Cesi Cruz (University of Michigan) & Horacio Larreguy (ITAM) review research on the causes and consequences of polarisation. Read & download here: voxdev.org/voxdevlit/political-pola…

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VoxDev @voxdev.bsky.social · 07/10/2025

📢 Political polarisation has been rising sharply in both advanced and developing democracies. At our VoxDevLit launch event on October 27, Cesi Cruz and @hlarreguy.bsky.social will summarise research on the causes and consequences of polarisation. Register➡️ cepr-org.zoom.us/webinar/regi...

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Horacio Larreguy @hlarreguy.bsky.social · 02/10/2025

So nice to this in print! Always a pleasure to work with José Ramón Enríquez @asimpser.bsky.social www.nature.com/articles/s41...

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Toulouse School of Economics (TSE) @tse-fr.eu · 17/09/2025

🔍 #EconJob Research Assistant in Political Economy You'll work w/ M. Montenegro @hlarreguy.bsky.social, J. Merilainen & N. Garviras 💡France-based—Toulouse ideal; remote OK; part/full-time 🧠 Advanced Stata skills + knowledge of Spanish preferred Application: mateo.montenegro[at]tse-fr.eu

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Horacio Larreguy @hlarreguy.bsky.social · 16/09/2025

2/2 Conocimientos de Stata requeridos, español preferiblemente. Envía tu CV → mateo.montenegro@tse-fr.eu, horacio.larreguy@itam.mx, jaakko.merilainen@hhs.se, ngarbirasdiaz@hbs.edu. Enviaremos una breve prueba de Stata para verificar nivel.

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Horacio Larreguy @hlarreguy.bsky.social · 16/09/2025

1/2 Buscamos RA (con base en Francia—ideal Toulouse; remoto OK; medio tiempo o tiempo completo). Stata obligatorio. Proyectos en economía política (desinformación y capacidad estatal local) con @hlarreguy.bsky.social @jmerilainen.bsky.social Natalia Garbiras Diaz Mateo Montenegro

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Horacio Larreguy @hlarreguy.bsky.social · 16/09/2025

2/2 Contract for at least a year. Stata required, Spanish preferred. Send CV → mateo.montenegro@tse-fr.eu, horacio.larreguy@itam.mx, jaakko.merilainen@hhs.se, ngarbirasdiaz@hbs.edu. We’ll send a short Stata test to confirm proficiency.

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Horacio Larreguy @hlarreguy.bsky.social · 16/09/2025

1/2 We’re hiring a Research Assistant (France-based—Toulouse ideal; remote OK; part/full-time). Projects: experimental & quasi-experimental political economy on misinformation and local state capacity w/ @hlarreguy.bsky.social @jmerilainen.bsky.social Natalia Garbiras Diaz Mateo montenegro_z

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The Review of Economic Studies (REStud) @reveconstudies.bsky.social · 22/08/2025

"Political brokers use social networks to identify & target reciprocal non-copartisans for vote buying. Parties recruit brokers central in networks to sway persuadable voters." From @rduartegonzalez.bsky.social, Finan, @hlarreguy.bsky.social and Schechter: www.restud.com/brokering-vo... #Econsky

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