Sign in

Danielle Thomsen

@daniellethomsen.bsky.social
636 followers 222 following 41 posts

Political scientist at UC, Irvine. Congress, elections, and gender. New book on fundraising in U.S. House elections from 1980 to 2022.

PostsRepliesMedia
Reposted by Danielle Thomsen
Bolts @boltsmag.org · 30/08/2026
South Dakota Republicans want to raise the threshold for amending the constitution to 60 percent. All four amendments approved by voters since 2020, including Medicaid expansion, have fallen short of that threshold.
boltsmag.org
"Disrespectful for Voters": The Dakotas Weigh Raising the Bar for Direct Democracy - Bolts
Frustrated that voters are bypassing the legislatures they control, the GOP is pushing two ballot measures this fall in North Dakota and South Dakota to require a supermajority to amend the state constitutions.
24113
Reposted by Danielle Thomsen
Adam Bonica @adambonica.bsky.social · 16/08/2026
The fundraising texts you delete are working on someone. It’s infuriating and heartbreaking. An 85yo in Ohio gave more than double the value of his home. A 91yo in an Indianapolis senior facility gave 25K times. The DCCC/DSCC don’t just tolerate the spammers who exploit seniors. They take part.
data4democracy.substack.com
Hook and Squeeze
How Democratic consultants, committees, and party leaders built a fundraising spam pipeline that funnels money from a captive pool of elderly donors into their own operations.
17745331583
Reposted by Danielle Thomsen
UC Irvine School of Social Sciences @ucisocsci.bsky.social · 14/08/2026
How money actually works in American elections | Danielle Thomsen, political science, shares expert insight with Vox @ucirvine.bsky.social @uofcalifornia.bsky.social @vox.com @daniellethomsen.bsky.social
vox.com
How money actually works in American elections
The midterms are flooded with cash, but donors don’t always get what they want. A political scientist explains where the money matters most.
041
Reposted by Danielle Thomsen
Ryan Enos @ryanenos.bsky.social · 14/08/2026
These are people who legally entered this country and now, because of ancestry and a conspiracy theory pushed by an aspiring politician, are being pursued by the government and fitted with special monitoring devices. This should remind of the darkest events in history.
411536618
Reposted by Danielle Thomsen
Rachel Cohen Booth @rcobooth.bsky.social · 13/08/2026
Money matters in politics, but do we know how much? Is it changing? Is there a point not just of diminishing returns but backlash? I had a very clarifying conversation with political scientist @daniellethomsen.bsky.social about campaign finance dynamics in 2026 www.vox.com/politics/498...
vox.com
How money actually works in American elections
The midterms are flooded with cash, but donors don’t always get what they want. A political scientist explains where the money matters most.
092
Reposted by Danielle Thomsen
Arica Schuett @aricaschuett.bsky.social · 09/07/2026
Platner’s level of early support, and the magnitude of things were we’re told to look past (because of his early support) makes me think of @daniellethomsen.bsky.social work on candidate exit and the importance of support early on.
072
Reposted by Danielle Thomsen
Leah Rosenstiel @leahrosenstiel.bsky.social · 22/05/2026
Politics by Formula: How Congressional Policymaking Creates Disparities is now out! I show how politics shapes and often distorts important federal programs, driving inequalities across states.
Cover of Politics by Formula
0259
Reposted by Danielle Thomsen
Jacob Montgomery @jacobmontgomery.bsky.social · 23/05/2026
Just messing with people’s lives out of bigotry and fear. I am so sorry about how horrible my country has become to immigrants.
25111
Reposted by Danielle Thomsen
Cambridge University Press Political Science & IR @cambup-polsci.cambridge.org · 24/04/2026
#OpenAccess from @apsrjournal.bsky.social - Legislative Effectiveness, Progressive Ambition, and Electoral Success - cup.org/4vPGrxk - @daniellethomsen.bsky.social, SARAH A. TREUL, CRAIG VOLDEN & ALAN E. WISEMAN #FirstView
A graphic with a green and blue background. The top green section displays the text "#OpenAccess" in white. The bottom blue section shows the text "American Political Science Review" in white.
062
Reposted by Danielle Thomsen
Political Reform and Civic Engagement @politicalreform.newamerica.org · 10/05/2026
Why does money matter? Professor @daniellethomsen.bsky.social breaks down what money signals in American politics with @leedrutman.bsky.social. Listen to the full episode of Politics in Question: www.politicsinquestion.com/episodes/mon...
politicsinquestion.com
021
Reposted by Danielle Thomsen
Devin Caughey @devincaughey.bsky.social · 30/04/2026
The decision in Louisiana v. Callais claims, "By 2004, the racial gap in voter registration and turnout had largely disappeared.... Black voters now participate in elections at similar rates as the rest of the electorate" (26–27). This is misleading: White turnout remains much higher than non-White.
156
Reposted by Danielle Thomsen
The Downballot @the-downballot.com · 29/04/2026
NEW: Now that the Supreme Court has rendered the last remaining pillar of the VRA toothless, Republicans in eight states are free to gerrymander more than a dozen congressional districts that had been designed to remedy discrimination against Black and Latino voters. We catalog them all here -->
the-downballot.com
With the VRA gutted, the GOP could target over a dozen Black and Latino House districts
The assault would be devastating for minority voting rights—and for Democrats
13241163
Reposted by Danielle Thomsen
Daniel Donner @donnermaps.bsky.social · 06/03/2026
With a sudden surge of open House sets on the GOP side, we're once again in record territory. Democrats have slowed the pace recently.
Chart showing progression of the number of open Republican house seats over the election cycle for the years 2006 to 2026. 2026 is on a record-setting pace.
Chart showing progression of the number of open Democratic house seats over the election cycle for the years 2006 to 2026. 2026 is leveling off near levels from 2012 and 2024 and well behind 2022.
29129
Reposted by Danielle Thomsen
Ana Catalano Weeks @anacweeks.bsky.social · 11/02/2026
“I am delighted to conditionally accept your article for publication in The Journal of Politics.” 🥳 We find that gender quota laws for legislatures also increase the share of women in cabinets. w @gventurini.bsky.social @tiffanydbarnes.bsky.social dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn...
Gender Quota Laws and Women in Cabinets
36 Pages
Posted: 16 Dec 2024
Last revised: 11 Feb 2026
Tiffany Barnes
University of Texas at Austin

Giulia Venturini
University of Strathclyde

Ana Weeks
University of Bath

Date Written: December 06, 2024

Abstract
Do legislative gender quotas increase women’s presence in cabinets? Women remain underrepresented in political leadership worldwide. As a remedy, over 80 countries have adopted gender quotas, requiring parties to nominate or elect a minimum share of women. But can quotas have effects beyond the positions they directly target? We argue that quotas increase the presence of women in executive cabinets by expanding the pool of experienced female legislators. Using a global dataset (168 countries) from 1990 to 2021, we find gender quotas increase the share of women ministers by 15 percent relative to the average baseline–including increases in both high- and lowprestige portfolios. Consistent with a supply-side mechanism, effects are largest in parliamentary democracies—where ministers are often selected from parliament—and in countries that experienced the greatest increases in women’s legislative representation post-quota. The findings suggest quotas can generate meaningful spillover effects at the highest levels of government.
19024
Reposted by Danielle Thomsen
Aaron Rupar @atrupar.com · 31/01/2026
This is just insane. It’s only a matter of time before DHS kills another innocent person here. (clip via MPR and @davidjbier.bsky.social on X)
17422909313125
Reposted by Danielle Thomsen
Alex Baumhardt @alexbaumhardt.bsky.social · 01/02/2026
Just experienced the most intense tear gassing of my life by federal officers outside the ICE facility in Portland where marchers gathered. There was no fast exit as they indiscriminately threw loads of gas and flash bangs. Children were in the crowd screaming. @oregoncapitalchronicle.com
376125536109
Reposted by Danielle Thomsen
G Elliott Morris @gelliottmorris.com · 31/01/2026
Public opinion has shifted dramatically against the White House's approach to immigration enforcement, as captured in the rising % of adults who want to abolish ICE (now +12 among independents, per YouGov). Dems have a lot of leverage to push for reforms rn. www.gelliottmorris.com/p/trumps-imm...
gelliottmorris.com
The ICE shootings are a tipping point
Donald Trump's approval on immigration has collapsed 17 points since taking office, and support for abolishing Immigration and Customs Enforcement has swung 50 points since Sept. 2024.
22592170
Reposted by Danielle Thomsen
Jess Calarco @jessicacalarco.com · 26/01/2026
On NPR on Friday, there was a story of a 4-year-old--an American citizen--who hasn't left her house since early December, not even to play in the yard. And her 8-year-old brother recently stopped going to school, too. Their father is undocumented, and the family doesn't want to risk him being taken.
5058041811
Reposted by Danielle Thomsen
G Elliott Morris @gelliottmorris.com · 24/01/2026
Why is Dem leadership not on the ground in MN? If the answer is “polls show Trump’s disapproval is only -15 on deportations, but -25 on prices,” thats a Bad Use Of Polling and a complete failure in their capacity as leaders to lead public opinion and fight for democracy and the rule of law
1234107899
Reposted by Danielle Thomsen
UC Irvine School of Social Sciences @ucisocsci.bsky.social · 22/01/2026
The Money Signal | New book by @daniellethomsen.bsky.social, @ucirvine.bsky.social political science professor, explores how fundraising matters in American politics @uchicagopress.bsky.social @uofcalifornia.bsky.social
socsci.uci.edu
The Money Signal
193
Reposted by Danielle Thomsen
Acyn @acyn.bsky.social · 22/01/2026
AOC: An agency that is attacking U.S. citizens, kidnapping five-year-olds and using them as bait, and privately circulating the idea that they can violate the rights of Americans by busting down their doors—they deserve to be defunded, and I’ll take any step in that direction.
9344451311120
Reposted by Danielle Thomsen
Tina Smith @smith.senate.gov · 22/01/2026
This family did every single thing they’ve been asked to in order to seek asylum here. Yet in less than 24 hours, this kid and his Dad were nabbed off our streets and sent to Texas, using tactics that can only be described as pure evil.
Photo of Liam Conejo Ramos, who was used as bait by ICE agents in Minnesota.
11034641177
Reposted by Danielle Thomsen
Mark Armstrong @markarms.bsky.social · 22/01/2026
"Liam’s teacher, Ella Sullivan, teared up when thinking about Liam. 'He’s a bright young student,' she said, 'and he’s so kind and loving. His classmates miss him.'" www.startribune.com/preschooler-...
startribune.com
Preschooler and three other students detained by ICE, school district leader says
The detentions of Columbia Heights students come after weeks of heightened concern and enforcement presence near and on Twin Cities school property.
442268949
Reposted by Danielle Thomsen
Molly Reynolds @mollyereynolds.bsky.social · 17/12/2025
Given that David Valadao, the only other remaining House Republican to vote for impeachment in 2021, is sitting in one of the seats targeted by California's redistricting efforts, there may be zero such members come 2027.
54214
Reposted by Danielle Thomsen
Mike Masnick @masnick.com · 15/12/2025
ICE PEPPER SPRAYED A ONE-YEAR-OLD because her mother was filming them.
4229761414
Reposted by Danielle Thomsen
The Daily Show @thedailyshow.com · 03/11/2025
We've got you 👍
25392532999
Reposted by Danielle Thomsen
Opinion Today @opiniontoday.bsky.social · 31/10/2025
OPINION TODAY featured podcast — The money chase: In congressional primaries and general elections, the top fundraiser wins 92% of the time. @daniellethomsen.bsky.social finds that candidates are raising money earlier and in larger amounts than ever. opiniontoday.substack.com/i/177548584/...
012
Danielle Thomsen @daniellethomsen.bsky.social · 30/10/2025
Big thanks to @mattgrossmann.bsky.social for the invitation to discuss my new book!
052
Reposted by Danielle Thomsen
Jacob Montgomery @jacobmontgomery.bsky.social · 21/10/2025
New editorial from me and @keithschnak.bsky.social. “Why Washington University must not sign Trump's 'compact'”
stltoday.com
Opinion: Why Washington University must not sign Trump's 'compact'
Washington University in St. Louis has built its reputation on a simple ideal: excellence wins. For decades, our researchers have competed for and won federal grants based on the quality
38330
Danielle Thomsen @daniellethomsen.bsky.social · 20/10/2025
Great turnout on pacific coast highway. Deeply moved by support for democracy, science, and the values that set America apart.
020
Reposted by Danielle Thomsen
Bruce Larson @brucelarson.bsky.social · 17/10/2025
I just finished reading this book. It is terrific.
141
Reposted by Danielle Thomsen
Danielle Thomsen @daniellethomsen.bsky.social · 16/10/2025
As fundraising heats up this cycle, it's a good time to announce the publication of my new book, The Money Signal! The main argument is that money matters because it is a widely used indicator of viability and strength in American politics. press.uchicago.edu/ucp/books/bo...
press.uchicago.edu
The Money Signal
A data-rich, eye-opening look at how, when, and why political fundraising is consequential.  Over the last two decades, the number of competitive congressional races has declined precipitously. Yet ca...
23511
Reposted by Danielle Thomsen
British Journal of Political Science @bjpols.bsky.social · 13/10/2025
#OpenAccess from Augusts 2025 - Early Money and Strategic Candidate Exit - cup.org/3HnnDBk "exit of experienced candidates has important implications for the choices that voters have" - @daniellethomsen.bsky.social
BJPolS abstract discussing trends in congressional election dropouts in the United States from 1980 to 2022, analyzing data on 26,000 candidates and exploring strategic exit motivations.
021
Danielle Thomsen @daniellethomsen.bsky.social · 16/10/2025
As fundraising heats up this cycle, it's a good time to announce the publication of my new book, The Money Signal! The main argument is that money matters because it is a widely used indicator of viability and strength in American politics. press.uchicago.edu/ucp/books/bo...
press.uchicago.edu
The Money Signal
A data-rich, eye-opening look at how, when, and why political fundraising is consequential.  Over the last two decades, the number of competitive congressional races has declined precipitously. Yet ca...
23511
Reposted by Danielle Thomsen
The Tennessee Holler @thetnholler.bsky.social · 09/10/2025
CHICAGO — Outside an elementary school during dismissal… horrifying. What have we become?
27701720010153
Reposted by Danielle Thomsen
Carl Zimmer @carlzimmer.com · 09/10/2025
Today my @nytimes.com colleagues and I are launching a new series called Lost Science. We interview US scientists who can no longer discover something new about our world, thanks to this year‘s cuts. Here is my first interview with a scientist who studied bees and fires. Gift link: nyti.ms/3IWXbiE
nyti.ms
14147041812
Reposted by Danielle Thomsen
elizabeth jordie davies @jordiedavies.bsky.social · 07/10/2025
New article: "Fundamentals of Solidarity: Race-Based Caucus Organizing in Houston" is live at Urban Affairs Review. I'm grateful to the organizers who let me into their world and work so we could produce this piece. Check it out 👇
doi.org
Fundamentals of Solidarity: Race-Based Caucus Organizing in Houston - Elizabeth Jordie Davies, 2025
Grassroots organizations often espouse multiracial solidarity as a value but struggle with putting this value into practice. How can organizations, especially t...
0118
Reposted by Danielle Thomsen
Nick Carnes @carnes.bsky.social · 04/10/2025
What do you have to do to a person to make them behave like this? What brings a person to a point in their life where they’re gleefully inflicting lawless, unjust violence like this?
64225
Reposted by Danielle Thomsen
The New York Times @nytimes.com · 03/10/2025
In @nytopinion.nytimes.com “By many measures, it’s been the most successful season in league history” for the WNBA, David Berri, a sports economist, writes. “But the players aren’t fully sharing in that success.”
nyti.ms
Opinion | The W.N.B.A. Is Making More Money Than Ever. Why Aren’t the Players?
Other professional sports leagues give their players roughly 50 percent of the revenue, but the W.N.B.A. players get less than 10 percent.
4518
Danielle Thomsen @daniellethomsen.bsky.social · 03/10/2025
Excellent overview
02211
Reposted by Danielle Thomsen
Adam Bonica @adambonica.bsky.social · 23/09/2025
Political campaigns now burn 30¢ of every dollar raised just fundraising for more dollars (up from 9¢ in 2004). In 2024, $3 Billion was spent on fundraising. In 2026, fundraising costs are on track to exceed advertising spending for the first time.
open.substack.com
The Fundraising-Industrial Complex Is Eating American Politics
New data reveals campaigns burn about a third of donations raised just asking for more donations
37127
Reposted by Danielle Thomsen
Brendan Nyhan @brendannyhan.bsky.social · 23/09/2025
"When nearly one-third of all political contributions get recycled back into asking for more contributions, we've created a system that exists primarily to perpetuate itself while enriching fundraising consultants." data4democracy.substack.com/p/the-fundra...
data4democracy.substack.com
The Fundraising-Industrial Complex Is Eating American Politics
New data reveals campaigns burn about a third of donations raised just asking for more donations
511533
Reposted by Danielle Thomsen
The New York Times @nytimes.com · 14/09/2025
“It will take decades to recover from this, if we ever do.” America’s cancer research system, which has helped save millions of lives and is in one of its most productive moments, is under threat by the Trump administration.
nyti.ms
Trump Is Shutting Down the War On Cancer
America’s cancer research system, which has helped save millions of lives, is under threat in one of its most productive moments.
68885477
Reposted by Danielle Thomsen
Sara Doskow @saradoskow.bsky.social · 22/08/2025
Danielle Thomsen's (@daniellethomsen.bsky.social) The Money Signal will change how you think about the function of money in US elections. A must-read! press.uchicago.edu/ucp/books/bo...
press.uchicago.edu
The Money Signal
A data-rich, eye-opening look at how, when, and why political fundraising is consequential.  Over the last two decades, the number of competitive congressional races has declined precipitously. Yet ca...
0104
Danielle Thomsen @daniellethomsen.bsky.social · 12/09/2025
APSA folks: Free on Saturday, 9/13 at 10 am? Come to an Author Meets Critics panel for my new book, The Money Signal! Thanks to an amazing group of scholars: Larry Bartels, Brandice Canes-Wrone, @carnes.bsky.social, @jakemgrumbach.bsky.social, and Frances Lee. @uchicagopress.bsky.social
0206
Reposted by Danielle Thomsen
Dawn Teele @teele.bsky.social · 28/08/2025
Have you ever wanted to hear the stories of pathbreaking LADIES of political science? these new podcasts tell their stories. #GenderSky #Polisky #Behaviorsky #EGEN @egenpolisci.bsky.social
0176
Danielle Thomsen @daniellethomsen.bsky.social · 17/08/2025
Exactly right. And no incentives for strong GOP challengers to run. Problematic in era of uncompetitive general elections.
010
Reposted by Danielle Thomsen
Kevin M. Kruse @kevinmkruse.bsky.social · 17/08/2025
If pundits would like to talk about violence, a terrorist recently shot up the CDC and another assassinated Democratic officials in Minnesota but they sort of let both stories disappear Not as threatening as motorbikes in DC I know but maybe we could circle back?
271187425798
Reposted by Danielle Thomsen
Brendan Nyhan @brendannyhan.bsky.social · 16/08/2025
Very bad sign when masked, unidentified agents of the security state are not just grabbing people off the street but openly identifying with the regime's politics
29853631819
Reposted by Danielle Thomsen
Lauren Ross @laurennross.bsky.social · 16/08/2025
Enjoyed giving a keynote at CogSci 2025! 🧠 🖥️ 🌉@cogscisociety.bsky.social ‬ #CogSci2025 #philsci #philsky #HPS
0342