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Opinion Today

@opiniontoday.bsky.social
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Public opinion + politics: data, analysis, commentary. In your inbox each morning: opiniontoday.substack.com

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Opinion Today @opiniontoday.bsky.social · 8h
Talarico and Paxton are running even on immigration — and other key findings from new NYT/Siena U. polls in Texas, Alaska, Iowa, Kansas and Ohio. 🎁Gift article: www.nytimes.com/2026/10/03/u...
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Opinion Today @opiniontoday.bsky.social · 9h
The 2030 Census is in Trouble: Trump wants to add a citizenship question and ban questions on race. (Margo J Anderson) donmoynihan.substack.com/p/the-2030-c...
donmoynihan.substack.com
The 2030 Census is in Trouble
Trump wants to add a citizenship question and ban questions on race
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Opinion Today @opiniontoday.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
More than half of adults say the country as a whole, the national economy, and their local economy are worse off since Trump was reelected. (AP-NORC Center for Public Affairs Research) More, via Opinion Today: opiniontoday.substack.com/p/261002-top...
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Opinion Today @opiniontoday.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
Foreign Policy and the Midterms: The direct link perceived by the public between household finances, the Iran war, and Trump’s tariff regime helps elevate foreign policy issues for everyday Americans. (@global-affairs.bsky.social) More, via Opinion Today: opiniontoday.substack.com/p/261002-top...
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Opinion Today @opiniontoday.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
New Jersey: Gov. Sherrill Gets Solid Marks for Handling of Caldwell Investigation as Her Approval Rating Holds Steady. (@eagletonpoll.bsky.social) More, via Opinion Today: opiniontoday.substack.com/p/261002-top...
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Opinion Today @opiniontoday.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
It’s a Lone Star Senate showdown between Talarico and Paxton: The contest is defined by Democratic engagement and GOP divisions. (Fox News Poll) More, via Opinion Today: opiniontoday.substack.com/p/261002-top...
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Opinion Today @opiniontoday.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
In the Texas governor’s race, Republican Greg Abbott’s positive job ratings give him an edge over Democrat Gina Hinojosa. The incumbent governor has a 52%-47% advantage over the state House representative. (Fox News Poll) More, via Opinion Today: opiniontoday.substack.com/p/261002-top...
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Opinion Today @opiniontoday.bsky.social · 12h
Americans are deeply frustrated with President Donald Trump’s handling of the economy and rising prices, with most panning his performance and blaming his policies as higher costs threaten his party’s chances in November. (Associated Press) More, via Opinion Today: opiniontoday.substack.com/p/261002
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Opinion Today @opiniontoday.bsky.social · 12h
American High School Students Are Selling Guns Bound for Cartels: Drawn by money and status, teenagers in Arizona are buying, stealing and selling weapons destined for criminal groups in Mexico. 🎁Gift article: www.nytimes.com/2026/10/03/w...
nytimes.com
American High School Students Are Selling Guns Bound for Cartels (Gift Article)
Drawn by money and status, teenagers in Arizona are buying, stealing and selling weapons destined for criminal groups in Mexico.
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Opinion Today @opiniontoday.bsky.social · 13h
Democrats May Have Found the Recipe for Flipping Red-State Senate Seats: Five new Times/Siena polls continue a run of strong results for Democrats in states that President Trump won easily in 2024. (Nate Cohn) 🎁Gift article: www.nytimes.com/2026/10/03/u...
nytimes.com
Democrats May Have Found the Recipe for Flipping Red-State Senate Seats (Gift Article)
Five new Times/Siena polls continue a run of strong results for Democrats in states that President Trump won easily in 2024.
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Opinion Today @opiniontoday.bsky.social · 13h
ICYMI: Trump’s promise to send $5k checks if GOP wins midterms? Voters don't buy it. (@gelliottmorris.com) www.gelliottmorris.com/p/2026-09-27...
gelliottmorris.com
Only 13% of voters buy Trump’s promise to send $5k checks if GOP wins midterms
This is why a midterm convention is a dumb idea, part one. Plus how Democrats should deal with low trust in government in 2027-28. Your weekly political data roundup for September 27, 2026.
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Opinion Today @opiniontoday.bsky.social · 13h
Alberta separatists have gone to DC offering fresh water and oil in exchange for American support–and GOP operatives have provided tactical assistance inside the province. Behind the cross-border effort to sway Alberta’s secession vote. (@theglobeandmail.com) www.theglobeandmail.com/canada/artic...
theglobeandmail.com
The elephant in the room
Alberta separatists have gone to D.C. offering fresh water and oil in exchange for American support – and Republican operatives have provided tactical assistance inside the province
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Opinion Today @opiniontoday.bsky.social · 13h
These ‘Double Haters’ Have Lost Faith in Both Parties—and Could Decide the Midterms: Rising tide of voter disenchantment stands to benefit Democrats in this year’s midterm contests 🎁Gift article: www.wsj.com/politics/ele...
wsj.com
These ‘Double Haters’ Have Lost Faith in Both Parties—and Could Decide the Midterms
The rising tide of voter disenchantment stands to benefit Democrats in this year’s midterm contests.
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Opinion Today @opiniontoday.bsky.social · 13h
A month before the midterm elections, Democrats have opened leads or battled their way to ties or near-ties in 5 reliably Republican states where they are trying to flip Senate seats to win control of the chamber, according to new NYT/Siena U. polls. 🎁Gift article: www.nytimes.com/2026/10/03/u...
nytimes.com
Senate Races in Republican States Tilt Toward Democrats, Polls Find (Gift Article)
Democrats are performing strongly in five reliably Republican states where they are trying to flip Senate seats to win control of the chamber, new New York Times/Siena polls found.
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Opinion Today @opiniontoday.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
When the first U.S. tariffs hit in 2025, Canadians told us they would answer with their wallets. Nineteen months later, 77% of Canadians still say they will avoid American products entirely or buy as few as they can. (Abacus Data) More, via Opinion Today: opiniontoday.substack.com/p/261002-top...
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Opinion Today @opiniontoday.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
A Fox News statewide survey of Iowa likely voters finds Democrat Josh Turek with a two-point edge over Republican Ashley Hinson, 49% to 47%, well within the margin of error. More, via Opinion Today: opiniontoday.substack.com/p/261002-top...
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Opinion Today @opiniontoday.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
In the Iowa governor’s contest, Democrat Rob Sand outperforms Republican Zach Lahn among likely voters by 53-44%. The race has been steady since June. (Fox News Poll) More, via Opinion Today: opiniontoday.substack.com/p/261002-top...
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Opinion Today @opiniontoday.bsky.social · 03/10/2026
The 2026 Chicago Council Survey: With the midterms fast approaching, foreign policy is once again part of the national debate, but how much will it shape voters’ choices this fall? (@global-affairs.bsky.social) opiniontoday.substack.com/i/218472791/...
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Opinion Today @opiniontoday.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
California: President Trump’s job approval with voters hits a new low. (Berkeley IGS Poll) More, via Opinion Today: opiniontoday.substack.com/p/261001-top...
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Opinion Today @opiniontoday.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
President Trump continues to see his approval ratings underwater in North Carolina. (@bowtiepolitics.bsky.social @ncpolitics.bsky.social) More, via Opinion Today: opiniontoday.substack.com/p/261001-top...
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Opinion Today @opiniontoday.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
Rising Grocery Prices Are Getting Harder For Americans To Digest. (@navigatorsurvey.bsky.social) More, via Opinion Today: opiniontoday.substack.com/p/261002-top...
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Opinion Today @opiniontoday.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
What Democrats Actually Think of the Party, the DSA and Midterms: We asked a group of Democratic voters from across the country to join us to talk about the party at this moment. (The Wall Street Journal) opiniontoday.substack.com/i/218472791/...
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Opinion Today @opiniontoday.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
How much can Republicans outrun Trump’s approval ratings? New polling provides some answers. (@sfcpoll.bsky.social) More, via Opinion Today: opiniontoday.substack.com/p/261002-top...
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Opinion Today @opiniontoday.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
OPINION TODAY Most Americans blame Trump for high prices as his economic approval hits new low | Foreign Policy and the Midterms | Raise Federal Taxes on the Wealthy, Say Bipartisan Majorities | Can Republicans outrun Trump’s approval ratings? ... & more: opiniontoday.substack.com/p/261002-top...
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Isabelle DeSisto @isadesisto.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
Our article with @grigopop.bsky.social and @jacobtucker.bsky.social is now out in @bjpols.bsky.social! This has been a very long journey from the initial draft to publication, so we are very excited 😀 I'll summarize our findings in the next few of posts in the thread.
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Opinion Today @opiniontoday.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
Decades After Watergate, Justice Department Reviews Whether Nixon Got a Raw Deal 🎁Gift article: www.wsj.com/us-news/law/...
wsj.com
Exclusive | Decades After Watergate, Justice Department Reviews Whether Nixon Got a Raw Deal
A revisionist historian went to the DOJ headquarters to present his case that the former president and his associates weren’t treated fairly.
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Opinion Today @opiniontoday.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
Pete Hegseth creates a Pentagon Office of Religious Affairs reporting directly to him: Hegseth has infused his evangelical Christianity into his leadership of the Pentagon, hosting Christian worship services for employees and often speaking of the US as a Christian nation. apnews.com/article/pete...
apnews.com
Pete Hegseth creates a Pentagon Office of Religious Affairs reporting directly to him
Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth is launching an office of religious affairs at the Pentagon. He announced Wednesday that the office will provide “first-class religious support” and report directly to h...
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Opinion Today @opiniontoday.bsky.social · 03/10/2026
How much worse can things get for the GOP? @gelliottmorris.com and @davidnir.com walk through the current electoral state of play just over one month out from the 2026 midterm elections. (The Strength In Numbers Podcast) opiniontoday.substack.com/i/218472791/...
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Opinion Today @opiniontoday.bsky.social · 03/10/2026
The 2026 Chicago Council Survey: With the midterms fast approaching, foreign policy is once again part of the national debate, but how much will it shape voters’ choices this fall? (@global-affairs.bsky.social) opiniontoday.substack.com/i/218472791/...
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Opinion Today @opiniontoday.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
Maine's Senate race seems a bit insulated from the national political winds — which otherwise seem to favor the Democrats — at least enough to keep incumbent Republican Susan Collins in a tied race with Democrat Troy Jackson. (CBS News Poll) www.cbsnews.com/news/maine-s...
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Opinion Today @opiniontoday.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
It’s a Lone Star Senate showdown between Talarico and Paxton: The contest is defined by Democratic engagement and GOP divisions. (Fox News Poll) More, via Opinion Today: opiniontoday.substack.com/p/261002-top...
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Opinion Today @opiniontoday.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
In the Texas governor’s race, Republican Greg Abbott’s positive job ratings give him an edge over Democrat Gina Hinojosa. The incumbent governor has a 52%-47% advantage over the state House representative. (Fox News Poll) More, via Opinion Today: opiniontoday.substack.com/p/261002-top...
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Opinion Today @opiniontoday.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
The State of Our Nation: The 19th's fifth annual poll gauging attitudes on the issues impacting women and LGBTQ+ people. (@19thnews.org) More, via Opinion Today: opiniontoday.substack.com/p/261001-top...
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Opinion Today @opiniontoday.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
A Fox News statewide survey of Iowa likely voters finds Democrat Josh Turek with a two-point edge over Republican Ashley Hinson, 49% to 47%, well within the margin of error. More, via Opinion Today: opiniontoday.substack.com/p/261002-top...
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Opinion Today @opiniontoday.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
In the Iowa governor’s contest, Democrat Rob Sand outperforms Republican Zach Lahn among likely voters by 53-44%. The race has been steady since June. (Fox News Poll) More, via Opinion Today: opiniontoday.substack.com/p/261002-top...
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Opinion Today @opiniontoday.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
When the first U.S. tariffs hit in 2025, Canadians told us they would answer with their wallets. Nineteen months later, 77% of Canadians still say they will avoid American products entirely or buy as few as they can. (Abacus Data) More, via Opinion Today: opiniontoday.substack.com/p/261002-top...
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Opinion Today @opiniontoday.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
Rising Grocery Prices Are Getting Harder For Americans To Digest. (@navigatorsurvey.bsky.social) More, via Opinion Today: opiniontoday.substack.com/p/261002-top...
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Opinion Today @opiniontoday.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
More than half of adults say the country as a whole, the national economy, and their local economy are worse off since Trump was reelected. (AP-NORC Center for Public Affairs Research) More, via Opinion Today: opiniontoday.substack.com/p/261002-top...
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Opinion Today @opiniontoday.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
What Democrats Actually Think of the Party, the DSA and Midterms: We asked a group of Democratic voters from across the country to join us to talk about the party at this moment. (The Wall Street Journal) opiniontoday.substack.com/i/218472791/...
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Opinion Today @opiniontoday.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
How much can Republicans outrun Trump’s approval ratings? New polling provides some answers. (@sfcpoll.bsky.social) More, via Opinion Today: opiniontoday.substack.com/p/261002-top...
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Opinion Today @opiniontoday.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
New Jersey: Gov. Sherrill Gets Solid Marks for Handling of Caldwell Investigation as Her Approval Rating Holds Steady. (@eagletonpoll.bsky.social) More, via Opinion Today: opiniontoday.substack.com/p/261002-top...
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Opinion Today @opiniontoday.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
Foreign Policy and the Midterms: The direct link perceived by the public between household finances, the Iran war, and Trump’s tariff regime helps elevate foreign policy issues for everyday Americans. (@global-affairs.bsky.social) More, via Opinion Today: opiniontoday.substack.com/p/261002-top...
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Opinion Today @opiniontoday.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
OPINION TODAY Most Americans blame Trump for high prices as his economic approval hits new low | Foreign Policy and the Midterms | Raise Federal Taxes on the Wealthy, Say Bipartisan Majorities | Can Republicans outrun Trump’s approval ratings? ... & more: opiniontoday.substack.com/p/261002-top...
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Opinion Today @opiniontoday.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
Women, Democrats, people of color and college graduates remain relatively more likely than their counterparts to consider college very important. (Gallup) More, via Opinion Today: opiniontoday.substack.com/p/261001-top...
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Opinion Today @opiniontoday.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
Michael Lewis on the Lone Security Guard Who Resisted DOGE: In an exclusive excerpt from ‘Blockers,’ the inside story of the high-stakes D.C. standoff where security chief Colin O’Brien fought off DOGE operatives. 🎁Gift article: www.wsj.com/politics/mic...
wsj.com
Essay | Exclusive | Michael Lewis on the Lone Security Guard Who Resisted DOGE
The inside story of the high-stakes D.C. standoff where security chief Colin O’Brien fought off DOGE operatives to protect an independent agency.
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Opinion Today @opiniontoday.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
California: Voters back a billionaire tax, but the proposal falls short of majority support. (NBCUniversal Local/Telemundo Station Group) More, via Opinion Today: opiniontoday.substack.com/p/261001-top...
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Opinion Today @opiniontoday.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
Vermont: The way Donald Trump is handling his job as president. (@vermontpublic.org) More, via Opinion Today: opiniontoday.substack.com/p/261001-top...
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Opinion Today @opiniontoday.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
Vermont: If the election for governor were held today... (@vermontpublic.org) More, via Opinion Today: opiniontoday.substack.com/p/261001-top...
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Opinion Today @opiniontoday.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
Michigan: In U.S. Senate race, voters split between El-Sayed and Rogers. (Fox News Poll) More, via Opinion Today: opiniontoday.substack.com/p/261001-top...
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Opinion Today @opiniontoday.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
Michigan: In the gubernatorial race to replace term-limited Democratic Gov. Gretchen Whitmer, Democrat Jocelyn Benson leads Republican John James 54% to 45%, among likely voters. (Fox News Poll) More, via Opinion Today: opiniontoday.substack.com/p/261001-top...
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