Reposted by Craig KafuraSam @samd.bsky.social · 03/10/2026Jose Andres is the absolute GOAT. turbolib who has brought meals to disaster zones after the Haiti earthquake & to war-stricken families in Ukraine and Gaza and now he’s YIMBYposting in the face of Spain’s severe housing shortage 261007189
Craig Kafura @ckafura.bsky.social · 01/10/2026Kicking off a great discussion on public opinion, foreign policy, and the 2026 midterms with @roguepollster.bsky.social , John Lapinski, and Asma Khalid @global-affairs.bsky.social 001
Reposted by Craig Kafurajamelle @jamellebouie.net · 01/10/2026"they really believe it"/"they will try to do it"/"the promises are real" are things that most americans refuse to believe about politicians but if you take them seriously will help you predict political behavior more often than not 592594414
Reposted by Craig KafuraThe Great Pumpkin Papers 🎃🎃🎃 @professormusgrave.bsky.social · 01/10/2026AI might be a bubble, but is it a tulip bubble or a railroad bubble 1823116
Reposted by Craig KafuraChicago Council on Global Affairs @global-affairs.bsky.social · 01/10/2026With the US #midterms approaching, the newly-released 2026 Chicago Council #Survey finds Americans are making the connection between inflation and cost-of-living concerns and US President Donald Trump’s foreign policy decisions. 📊 Read the report: bit.ly/4e7vShU 011
Reposted by Craig KafuraAaron Reichlin-Melnick @reichlinmelnick.bsky.social · 01/10/2026The worst-ever approval rating for Trump in the AP-NORC data, across both terms.* His previous worst was -34% in late 2017. Even more monumental is that Americans are giving him a -47% rating on the economy! *caveat that they didn't do a post-January 6 poll 518334
Reposted by Craig Kafurac0nc0rdance @c0nc0rdance.bsky.social · 01/10/2026You've seen fireworks that look like jellyfish, but what about a jellyfish that looks like fireworks? The E/V Nautilus filmed this rare Halitrephes maasi jellyfish glowing like a firework at a depth of 4,019 feet (1,225 meters) off the coast of Baja California, Mexico. (📷: Ocean Exploration Trust) 8648381467
Reposted by Craig KafuraBrandon Friedman @brandonfriedman.bsky.social · 30/09/2026Pete is lost in terms of modern war. I use the example of this outgunned Ukrainian army officer who successfully terrorized a Russian unit for weeks because she "did the math." At the time, someone commented, "yeah, in combat, 'I did the math' beats 'I can do 100 pushups' every time." 2349761155
Reposted by Craig KafuraDavid M. Perry @lollardfish.bsky.social · 01/10/2026“Cutting this much from the university budget will mean that some of the core functions of the university will be lost. It’s not possible to just do more with less — to work smarter, to trim around the edges. We’re going to have to do less with less.” Gift link: www.startribune.com/umn-cuts-sta...startribune.comPerry: What we lose if the U cuts $225 million"Austerity doesn’t work. Instead, it creates a death spiral, where reduction in services leads to reductions in revenue, which lead to reductions in services, which leads to reduction in revenue, whic... 16757294
Reposted by Craig Kafurapublic health guy @publichealthguy1.bsky.social · 30/09/2026rural health folks have been hearing nonsense and hype about how AI and medtech will fix everything for YEARS. if these coastal elites had bothered to talk to anyone instead of imposing their corrupt deals on everyone... 67028
Reposted by Craig KafuraChristina Wolbrecht @cwolbrecht.bsky.social · 30/09/2026Philip Bump, master of data, tests alternative explanations for the testosterone chart. No, it’s not driven by states with more men. Thank you all for your service to my gender & politics course this semester. 184
Reposted by Craig KafuraTobias Harris @tobiasharris.bsky.social · 30/09/2026Former foreign minister Iwaya has met senior Chinese government officials in Beijing. Whether Beijing wants to isolate Takaichi or wants to stabilize relations, neither government appears willing to back down after nearly a year of worsening ties. observingjapan.substack.com/p/iwaya-sees...observingjapan.substack.comIwaya sees senior Chinese leaders but no signs of thaw between governments | Japan Daily BriefingBeijing may have multiple reasons for meeting with friendlier Japanese lawmakers 152
Reposted by Craig KafuraEmily Feng @emilyzfeng.bsky.social · 29/09/20261/ New from me: Chinese diplomats scrambled up to 90 min before the Xi/Trump visit to the National Archives to stop a Taiwan-related treaty from being shown. ..."an indication of pushback from within the U.S. government against President Trump's warm reception of Xi.." www.npr.org/2026/09/29/n...npr.orgPotential Taiwan tension sparked 'last minute' change in Trump-Xi National Archives visitThe sudden change was precipitated because of Chinese displeasure over one document that the U.S. had planned to show. 1209
Reposted by Craig KafuraAriel Edwards-Levy @aedwardslevy.bsky.social · 29/09/2026at least they've stopped polling horserace 49312
Reposted by Craig KafuraBeijingPalmer @beijingpalmer.bsky.social · 29/09/2026it's almost as if the administration's China hawks were largely careerists who believed this was an issue they could rise on! 213114
Reposted by Craig KafuraRyan Enos @ryanenos.bsky.social · 28/09/2026One note about this, because I was curious: remarkably, the state-level explanatory power of Google searches for testosterone and Trump vote survives controls for education, income, and rurality. 1126583
Reposted by Craig KafuraGerry Doyle @mgerrydoyle.bsky.social · 28/09/2026well now there's something you don't see a speaker of the house say every day 79616
Craig Kafura @ckafura.bsky.social · 28/09/2026Bluey is easily the TV show that has made me cry the most, and I don't think it’s remotely close. 130
Reposted by Craig KafuraMike Konczal @mtkonczal.bsky.social · 28/09/2026Wait I'm sorry are we not putting Bluey on these lists? What other show has used evolution from the sea to the stars as a metaphor for parenting and death told through assembling IKEA furniture, all in eight minutes? 1274
Reposted by Craig KafuraKen Schultz @kschultz.bsky.social · 28/09/2026BTW, Cardinal McElroy has a PhD in political science from Stanford (1989). Wrote his dissertation, eventually a book, on Morality and American Foreign Policy. 02910
Reposted by Craig KafuraAriel Edwards-Levy @aedwardslevy.bsky.social · 24/09/2026survey respondents: 1253
Reposted by Craig KafuraAnjali Dayal @anjalikdayal.bsky.social · 24/09/2026I know veracity is not the relevant metric here, but this is especially funny since the diplomat gets little things about the world it's animating exactly right, and big things exactly wrong, because the diplomat is three soapy political thrillers in a prestige trenchcoat 2394
Reposted by Craig KafuraMichael Hobbes @michaelhobbes.bsky.social · 24/09/2026Seems like it should be part of the "are phones ruining the kids" debate that every marker of teen mental health has improved since 2021 www.cdc.gov/yrbs/youth-h... 47895180
Reposted by Craig KafuraAriel Edwards-Levy @aedwardslevy.bsky.social · 23/09/2026New polling! We can get so inured to the current political landscape that it's worth remembering that, while Trump was also unpopular in 2018, the economic backdrop looked *very* different www.cnn.com/2026/09/23/p... 111230
Reposted by Craig KafuraChicago Council on Global Affairs @global-affairs.bsky.social · 23/09/2026“The attitudes toward China have been really surprising,” @roguepollster.bsky.social told @nytimes.com, citing new Council polling. “They’ve shifted from a majority wanting to limit the rise of China and limit its influence to now a majority of Americans wanting to engage cooperatively with China.”nytimes.comAs Trump Welcomes Xi, More Americans Have a Positive View of ChinaExperts attribute the changing mood to fading memories of the coronavirus pandemic, awareness of China’s tech innovations and disaffection with President Trump’s trade wars. 002
Reposted by Craig KafuraPaul Poast @profpaulpoast.bsky.social · 23/09/2026Fewer Americans, regardless of Party affiliation, see China's territorial ambitions as a "critical threat". As for being an "economic threat", the results are largely unchanged (though the percentages were already low). These findings come from recent polling by the @global-affairs.bsky.social 153
Reposted by Craig Kafurarev. howard arson @theophite.bsky.social · 23/09/2026one thing i have learned from trump is that literally every word procopius and suetonius wrote was literally true 2260295
Reposted by Craig KafuraDr. Samantha Hancox-Li @sjshancoxli.liberalcurrents.com · 23/09/2026the authoritarian internationale is real and can hurt you 837372
Reposted by Craig KafuraOpinion Today @opiniontoday.bsky.social · 20/09/2026The original "Star Wars" movies are the most popular among Americans, but younger adults also like the more recent films, according to the Ipsos Consumer Tracker. (@mattcarmichael.com @ipsosus.bsky.social) More, via Opinion Today: opiniontoday.substack.com/p/260920 113
Reposted by Craig KafuraAriel Edwards-Levy @aedwardslevy.bsky.social · 22/09/2026counterpoint: it's actually good to have a systematic way of understanding what and how Americans think about politics and society outside of the periodic and limited datapoints provided by election results 717317
Reposted by Craig Kafurajamelle @jamellebouie.net · 22/09/2026this is a genuinely crazy story 11955271179
Reposted by Craig KafuraChicago Council on Global Affairs @global-affairs.bsky.social · 22/09/2026As Germany confronts political shifts at home and uncertainty in the transatlantic alliance, Chief Diplomatic Correspondent of Der Tagesspiegel Christoph von Marschall joined the Council for a roundtable discussion. Craig Kafura chaired the event in partnership with the American Council on Germany. 011
Reposted by Craig KafuraMPR News @mprnews.org · 22/09/2026Schools across the state started offering free breakfasts and lunches to all students in the fall of 2023. The number of students eating school lunch went up 15 percent the first year. The number of kids eating breakfast at school went up 40 percent.mprnews.orgFewer skipped meals, less stigma: New data on the impact of Minnesota’s universal school mealsA trio of new studies shows Minnesota’s universal school meals program is providing a sense of relief to Minnesota families and students who are no longer skipping lunch and worrying less about family... 15546171
Reposted by Craig KafuraScott Imberman @imbernomics.bsky.social · 21/09/2026I do not know how much it needs to be stressed that a military coup is *bad* under nearly all circumstances. 66111
Reposted by Craig KafuraWill Yale @wayale.bsky.social · 21/09/2026It is extremely unfortunate and regrettable that the Department of the Air Force has decided to shutter the China Aerospace Studies Institute (CASI). CASI, along with its sister institutions the China Maritime Studies Institute (CMSI), China Landpower Studies Center (CLSC), and… 1637688
Reposted by Craig KafuraEmily Feng @emilyzfeng.bsky.social · 21/09/2026Details on Xi's visit. Trump not only will greet Xi on the tarmac but also do a military flyover as part of a welcoming ceremony. Wondering where 'perfect reciprocity' went. (Trump did not get this in Beijing. He got singing children.) www.whitehouse.gov/briefings-st...whitehouse.govFirst Lady Melania Trump Releases Details Ahead of His Excellency Xi Jinping, President of The People’s Republic of China, and Madame Peng Liyuan’s Visit to The White HousePresident Donald J. Trump and First Lady Melania Trump will welcome His Excellency Xi Jinping, President of the People’s Republic of China and Madame Peng 3226
Reposted by Craig KafuraSecretary of Defense Rock @sodrock.bsky.social · 20/09/2026Maybe bombing to win will work this time! 2543939
Reposted by Craig KafuraJay Van Bavel, PhD @jayvanbavel.bsky.social · 18/09/2026People randomly assigned to a liberal or conservative group chat groups shifted their expressed stance in the direction of the group, demonstrating that social norms alters political expression This effect emerges after controlling for baseline ideology www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti... 86827
Reposted by Craig KafuraCatherine E. de Vries @catherinedevries.bsky.social · 18/09/2026Europe is heading into a super election year in 2027. Those elections will take place against a precarious security backdrop: war in Ukraine and Iran, a retreating US & Europeans increasingly worried about their own security. So shouldn’t this benefit the political centre? Not so fast. 🧵 26026
Reposted by Craig KafuraPaul Nadeau @pauljnadeau.bsky.social · 17/09/2026Anyone out there with a U.S. policy/politics focused outlet want a pitch on why any path back to U.S. credibility goes through Ottawa before anywhere else? 108918
Reposted by Craig KafuraLawfare @lawfaremedia.org · 17/09/2026On Rational Security, @sranderson.bsky.social, @kevintfrazier.bsky.social, @rparloff.bsky.social, and @atabatabai.bsky.social discussed the week’s big national security news stories, including tensions along NATO’s eastern flank and more. youtu.be/b5Iqt1RXQq0 2124
Reposted by Craig Kafuraelia ayoub @ayoub.bsky.social · 17/09/2026Friend shared this video of a man unveiling the library he hid when he fled Damascus in 2011. It’s incredible 25150263941
Reposted by Craig KafuraSimon Lester @simonlester.com · 17/09/2026Post-Trump US trade policy is going to be a big battle. Not sure where we will end up. 5464
Reposted by Craig Kafuramathieu gallard @mathieugallard.bsky.social · 16/09/2026📊 sondage @ipsosus.bsky.social pour @reuters.com : seuls 17% des Américains (et 33% des républicains !) pensent que l'annonce par Trump d'un chèque de $5000 en cas de victoire républicaine aux élections de mi-mandat est "appropriée". 0133
Reposted by Craig KafuraHaeyoon Kim 김혜윤 @haeyoonkim.bsky.social · 16/09/2026S Korea's first U.S.-bound investment announcement reportedly delayed over three issues: 1. Washington’s push for greater investment in a Texas gas-fired power plant; 2. Seoul’s bid for a larger Westinghouse stake and board seat; 3. Seoul’s concerns over the Alaska LNG project’s commercial viabilitykoreajoongangdaily.comInside the Korea-U.S. $200 billion investment package tug-of-warSeoul delayed its U.S. investment package as disputes persist over a Texas power plant, a Westinghouse stake and Alaska liquefied natural gas. 066
Reposted by Craig KafuraBeijingPalmer @beijingpalmer.bsky.social · 16/09/2026I started writing about how America simply lacked the regulatory capacity or will to make any kind of meaningful agreement on AI safety with China on Sunday and ... they just kept tweeting it out. foreignpolicy.com/2026/09/15/c...foreignpolicy.comTrump and Xi Won’t Find Common Ground on AI SafetyThe leaders have fundamentally different ideas about the technology and how to regulate it. 49916