iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

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Steve Akehurst @steveakehurst.bsky.social · 8h

Nevertheless, it does show us something important: people like Burnham even more when they’re exposed to him; many of his core themes & arguments carry people and can push up his numbers and vote share. The ownership agenda esp - if delivered - could be really powerful for him.

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Steve Akehurst @steveakehurst.bsky.social · 8h

Ok, some obvious and important methodological caveats before Lab folk get too excited. Obviously we are forcibly exposing people to Burnham’s speech here, unfiltered and uncontested. In reality, most will not pay that sort of attention! Plus of course persuasion effects will decay. But…

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Francesc Amat @cescamat.bsky.social · 8h

🚨 Job alert: Open call in my Department for an Assistant Professor position under the Serra Húnter Programme. The position is in Economic History and Institutions. HPE profiles are very welcome! Info: web.ub.edu/en/web/depar... Deadline: 13 October 2026.

web.ub.edu

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Steve Akehurst @steveakehurst.bsky.social · 8h

NEW: How does Burnham’s conference speech land with voters when they see it it? In short, very well it seems. A thread on some new video testing of the PM’s speech among voters by @persuasionuk.bsky.social Top line findings and some caveats below! 🧵👇

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Patriotic Millionaires @patrioticmillionaires.org · 20h

Did you know that sociologist Cristóbal Young studied 13 years of tax returns covering every million-dollar filer in America? And you know what he found out? That millionaires were less likely to move compared to those making $10,000. civicmedia.us/shows/patrio...

civicmedia.us

Millionaires Won't Leave

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Ian Dunt @iandunt.bsky.social · 30/09/2026

This is testament to No.10's frankly astonishing degree of political competence. A policy which was branded electoral suicide 48 hours ago now showing signs of robust popularity.

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Denis Cohen @denis-cohen.bsky.social · 28/09/2026

📄 New paper in @electoralstudies.bsky.social: “From the center to the fringes: A comparative test of attitudinal explanations for mainstream-to-challenger defection” 👥 with @krausewe.bsky.social and @aigneranna.bsky.social 🔗 doi.org/10.1016/j.el...

doi.org

Redirecting

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Nick Carnes @carnes.bsky.social · 23/09/2026

WERE YOU AWARE: If you made a list of every major-party candidate in the midterms who last had a working-class job, it would only have 7 names (out of 919 candidates) and you could fit them them all on a post-it note. @noamlupu.bsky.social and I have thoughts. www.bloomberg.com/features/202...

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Alexander Wuttke @kunkakom.bsky.social · 23/09/2026

We are hiring at LMU Munich: two PhD positions and one postdoc on democracy, political psychology and computational social science. Start: January 2027 or as soon as possible. We review applications on a rolling basis until October 20. Details below. Reposts very welcome! 1/7

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Sam Freedman @samfr.bsky.social · 22/09/2026

New post out: England's schools are now the second highest performing in the world outside the far east, according to the OECD's PISA study. Is this because of policy? Attitude to technology? Cultural factors like immigration? And where can we still improve? samf.substack.com/p/why-englan...

samf.substack.com

Why England’s schools are doing so well

And what we need to focus on next

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GESIS - Leibniz-Institut für Sozialwissenschaften @gesis.org · 17/09/2026

#jobs #stellenangebote #GESISjobs #jobfairy Pursue your career at GESIS! youtu.be/zMY2zqYFIMg WE ARE HIRING! 👉Doctoral Researcher in election data (Salary group 13 TV-L, working time 75 %, limited to 3 years) 🔗gesis.jobs.personio....

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Federica Genovese @fgenovese.bsky.social · 09/09/2026

I like the debate about England's PISA scores, and agree with various things in this article. However the author argues that immigrant family "drive" can't explain England's success since second-gen immigrant pupils outperform natives. Imho there's a logical gap that is vague and untested here.

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ProfAFinlayson @profafinlayson.bsky.social · 08/09/2026

Stephen Bush, in the FT today writes that Labour “has now produced two governments whose response to acts of thuggery and intimidation is to reiterate that perhaps the thugs have a point”. A key question of political analysis is why Lab (and/or the British state) can’t/won’t be more decisive (x/?)

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Sam Freedman @samfr.bsky.social · 08/09/2026

One reason England does so well is our second generation immigrants outperform their peers which is not true in most OECD countries. We are also very good at integration. And it's v sad that this is never acknowledge in debates on immigration.

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Florian Foos @florianfoos.bsky.social · 06/09/2026

With the big caveat that these are vote (& turnout) recalls, the exit polls suggest that the vast majority of gains for the AfD came from mobilizing former non-voters and converting CDU voters. This would be consistent with the aggregate changes in vote shares & big increase in turnout.

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Cas Mudde @casmudde.bsky.social · 06/09/2026

You will read a lot about the youth voting disproportionately for the far right again. But the data do not support this generational stereotyping and moral panic. Also not in Saxony-Anhalt.

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Tarik Abou-Chadi @tabouchadi.bsky.social · 02/09/2026

Here's a short list of real experts if you are a journalist who wants someone to talk to about the AfD (which I assume might happen the next days): @asheinze.bsky.social @krausewe.bsky.social @leoniedejonge.bsky.social @markuskollberg.bsky.social @denis-cohen.bsky.social @tevoelker.bsky.social

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Jake Grumbach @jakemgrumbach.bsky.social · 02/09/2026

One of those things you were pretty sure was true but now you have causal quantiative evidence in the American Economic Review: business schools trained CEOs to pay workers less in pursuit of maximizing shareholder value www.aeaweb.org/conference/2...

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Daniel de Kadt @dandekadt.bsky.social · 25/08/2026

Don't sleep on this opportunity to join my former department. The Department of Methodology at LSE is a great place to work, and London is a great place to live.

lse.ac.uk

We're hiring: Assistant Professor in Computational Social Science

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Revan @revan.eurosky.social · 23/08/2026

Amazing

In the week after the June 24 primary election for mayor, I was determined to meet with voters in conservative neighborhoods where
Assemblyman Zohran Mamdani (D-Astoria), a democratic socialist, had performed surprisingly well. In a Howard Beach precinct where Mamdani won, I met a couple who, despite being conservative, voted for Mamdani because they bizarrely thought he had run "to the right" of former Gov. Andrew Cuomo and also believed he was Italian-American, as his name ended in an
"'" and he was from Astoria.
When I dug further into why they thought he was running "to the right" of Cuomo, they noted that it was because he discussed "prices" and
"cost of living," as Donald Trump had in 2024.
They both voted for Trump. They had a hard time believing Mamdani was a socialist because they believed socialists "support making everything more expensive. 1"

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Chitralekha Basu @chitbazoo.bsky.social · 13/08/2026

A few weeks ago, while shepherding two small kids out of a park, I was unexpectedly informed that I & Matthew Knowles @cityeconomics.bsky.social (also father of said kids) had been awarded the Elinor Ostrom prize for the best paper published in the Journal of Theoretical Politics in 2025! 🧵👇 (1/7)

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Chitralekha Basu @chitbazoo.bsky.social · 12/08/2026

📢 Thrilled to finally see this out after almost a decade's work! Now in @worldpolitics.bsky.social (w/ @cboix.bsky.social, Sonia Giurumescu & Paulo Serôdio). 🧵👇

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Asli Cansunar @aslicansunar.bsky.social · 11/08/2026

🚨 Are you interested in Historical Political Economy (HPE)? 🚨 At the Virtual Workshop in HPE (VWHPE), we discuss state-of-the-art research in the field on a regular basis. ‼️We have just issued a new call for papers. ‼️ Please see the link below if you’d like to join.

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World Politics @worldpolitics.bsky.social · 11/08/2026

Why & how did #elites in #GreatBritain expand the #franchise between 1830 & 1918? In their July article, @chitbazoo.bsky.social, @cboix.bsky.social, Sonia Giurumescu, & Paulo Serôdio develop a #theory of #democratization to answer this question. doi.org/10.1353/wp.2... #voting #data #MPs #voters

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Jake Grumbach @jakemgrumbach.bsky.social · 10/08/2026

Many myths debunked in this paper. Paper finds that: -faculty partisanship has no effect on students -students ideologically sort into majors; majors don’t affect partisanship -faculty partisanship is uncorrelated with how left/rightwing course content is micah-baum.github.io/files/baum-e...

DO FACULTY AFFECT STUDENT PARTISANSHIP?*
Micah Y. Baum*
Joaquín Endara
Annaliese Paulson®
Abstract
We study whether Democratic college professors make their students more liberal. We link voter data to salary records from 33 state flagships and show that faculty skew Democratic, especially in the humanities and social sciences. We then use student transcripts from one flagship to estimate causal effects. Students become more liberal during college regardless of major and sort toward ideologically similar instructors. Exploiting plausibly random variation in when instructors teach courses, we find no effect of faculty partisanship on student partisanship. Text analysis shows exposure to liberal topics reflects student demand rather than instructor supply, leaving little room for indoctrination.
JEL Codes: 123, D72, H75

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Joseph Rowntree Foundation @jrf-uk.bsky.social · 10/08/2026

🚨New report out today! 🗣️ @profjanegreen.bsky.social: “What really matters right now for households, and for politics, are people’s feelings of economic security. “Having peace of mind about finances should something go wrong; being able to plan; feeling confident about the future.”

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Jake Grumbach @jakemgrumbach.bsky.social · 09/08/2026

🔥🔥🔥 noahdasanaike.github.io/sage.html

The Small-Area Global Elections (SAGE)
Dataset
Noah Dasanaike*
June 30, 2026
Conditionally Accepted at Nature Scientific Data
Abstract
Cross-national research on electoral behavior has been bounded by the granularity of comparative election data. Existing archives aggregate to constituency or country level, omit spatial information, or restrict coverage to a small set of well-documented democracies. The Small-Area Global Elections (SAGE) dataset collects lower-house parliamentary and presidential returns for 110 countries and territories at the smallest unit each electoral authority publishes, geocodes the units, and harmonizes party and candidate identifiers across languages. For most countries the unit is a polling station with fewer than a thousand voters; the full dataset carries roughly ten billion votes cast across more than eight million units. The dataset is openly available in tabular and spatial formats, with companion R and Python packages providing direct access. SAGE supports spatial analyses of electoral behavior across democracies and hybrid regimes at a granularity not previously available for cross-national comparison.

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Phil Rocco @philiprocco.bsky.social · 08/08/2026

Totally irresponsible for columnists, journalists, and electeds to keep parroting this nonsense. See Young et al. “The most striking finding of this research is how little elites seem willing to move to exploit tax advantages across state lines in the United States.” www.jstor.org/stable/24756...

jstor.org

Millionaire Migration and Taxation of the Elite: Evidence from Administrative Data | JSTOR

Cristobal Young, Charles Varner, Ithai Z. Lurie, Richard Prisinzano, Millionaire Migration and Taxation of the Elite: Evidence from Administrative Data, American Sociological Review, Vol. 81, No. 3, J...

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World Politics @worldpolitics.bsky.social · 07/08/2026

Are women voters more conservative than men? In their July article, @evelynebrie.bsky.social & @teele.bsky.social use #evidence from #Catholic countries to scrutinize & ultimately undermine the traditional #gender #gap #thesis. Read more: doi.org/10.1353/wp.2... #Quebec #Canada #Austria #Argentina

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World Politics @worldpolitics.bsky.social · 31/07/2026

The July issue is online!! It features articles from @sabrinabarias.bsky.social; @evelynebrie.bsky.social & @teele.bsky.social; Brendan McElroy; @chitbazoo.bsky.social, @cboix.bsky.social, Sonia Giurumescu, & Paulo Serôdio; and Josep Serrano-Serrat & @jurado.bsky.social. muse.jhu.edu/issue/57338

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Federica Genovese @fgenovese.bsky.social · 31/07/2026

🚨New paper Like most things in democracies, achieving climate action in the form of sustainable policy needs a significant amount of political mobilization. We investigate when & where this is more likely to happen across places on the climate frontline: the Global South🧵 📌 osf.io/preprints/so...

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Rob Ford @robfordmancs.bsky.social · 30/07/2026

No other issue shows anywhere near this level of polarisation in salience. One of the primary dividing lines in our politics play the moment is between voters focussed on immigration vs voters focused on anything/everything else

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British Journal of Political Science @bjpols.bsky.social · 29/07/2026

NEW - The Equality Positions and Policies of Governments, 1970–2020: How Egalitarian Parties Evoke Equality While Evading Real Redistribution - cup.org/3TLOKfb - @alexanderhorn.bsky.social & @leoahrens.bsky.social #OpenAccess

BJPolS abstract discussing selective egalitarianism in economic policies, analyzing political manifestos and OECD countries' approaches to taxation and redistribution. The focus is on party competence and policy complexity, highlighting challenges in implementing redistributive measures effectively.

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Ingvild Zinober @ingvildzinober.bsky.social · 27/07/2026

Super excited to see the second article from my dissertation published in @politicsgenderj.bsky.social Drawing on unique Norwegian data, I find the green gender gap already exists in early adolescence. Boys are less climate-concerned, less supportive of green policies and less likely to vote green.

cambridge.org

The Green Gender Gap in Adolescence: A Case Study of Norway | Politics & Gender | Cambridge Core

The Green Gender Gap in Adolescence: A Case Study of Norway

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Dylan Difford @dylandifford.bsky.social · 24/07/2026

Endlessly fascinating how many in the Tories and Labour combine an obsessive preference for two-partyism and a hatred of the internal pluralism needed to have the big tents required for a two-party system. The cost of ideologically pure silos is external pluralism.

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Jonathan Portes @jdportes.bsky.social · 24/07/2026

A very good point as usual from @jamesbowes01.bsky.social The main objective of Mahmood's proposals was always to kick out care workers (as she has more or less said). That was always an economically, politically and morally bankrupt policy. Without it, the whole package falls apart.

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Christopher Wratil 🇺🇦 #StandWithUkraine @chriswratil.bsky.social · 23/07/2026

Job alert 🚨! We have a six-year postdoc position with our department 👇. If you work in areas we work in and/or extend our work in interesting ways, please consider applying. We have a lot of diverse projects, international staff, run our business in English & are located in one of the best cities 🌍.

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Philipp Heimberger @heimbergecon.bsky.social · 23/07/2026

Interesting QJE paper on how the American Medical Association helped entrench private health insurance in the US after WWII. By branding national insurance “socialised medicine” and promoting private plans, it shows how well-funded interest groups can shape opinion and policy.

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EPSS @epssnet.bsky.social · 16/07/2026

🏆 🏆 🏆 Nominations open for EPSS Best Conference Paper Award 🏆 🏆 🏆 The EPSS Best Conference Paper recognizes an outstanding paper that was presented at the EPSS conference in the previous year. Nomination deadline: 31 August 2026. Deadline: 31 August 2026 Submission Link: lnkd.in/eqgE_pc8

lnkd.in

Checking your browser - reCAPTCHA

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EPSS @epssnet.bsky.social · 16/07/2026

🏆 Nominations open for EPSS Best Book Award 2027 📚 The 2027 EPSS Best Book Award recognizes an outstanding scholarly contribution to the field of political science. Through this award, the Society seeks to highlight scholarship that advances the discipline and fosters dialogue across its sections

docs.google.com

EPSS Best Book Award 2027 Award Nomination Form

EPPS Best Book Award The EPSS Best Book Award recognizes an outstanding scholarly contribution to the field of political science. Through this award, the Society seeks to highlight scholarship that ad...

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Steve Akehurst @steveakehurst.bsky.social · 16/07/2026

Weird thing is most testing will show you that one of the most vote losing positions Labour could adopt is explicit anti-Net Zero signalling. This is because climate still disproportionately matters to Lab/Green voters while Lab/Reform voters don’t care either way...

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Ruth Dassonneville @rdassonneville.bsky.social · 15/07/2026

Wrapping up the semester with a trip to the @unicologne.bsky.social, where I presented our (w Richard Nadeau) working paper on rural appeals. Thanks to Chitralekha Basu, @sopro.bsky.social & @jasminrath.bsky.social for the invite. And to everyone for super helpful feedback and suggestions!

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Eunice Goes @eunicegoes.bsky.social · 15/07/2026

Not yet in Number 10 but disappointing already. Rewarding a politician who revels on daily performative cruelty (while harming the UK economy) with the second most important job in government sends discouraging signals about Burnham. These New Labour era politicians are addicted to triangulation…

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Tarik Abou-Chadi @tabouchadi.bsky.social · 15/07/2026

Shabana Mahmood as Chancellor under Burnham. This should make it clear that Labour's problems aren't Starmer or McSweeney. It's beliefs and practices deeply enshrined in the party. No matter how many new PMs their electoral decline will continue if they can't change these www.ft.com/content/54d1...

ft.com

Shabana Mahmood set to be named UK chancellor by Andy Burnham

Current home secretary expected to succeed Rachel Reeves as finance minister

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Heike Klüver @heikekluever.bsky.social · 09/07/2026

📣 We're hiring! Looking for a PostDoc? Join our team in Berlin! Work with @heikekluever.bsky.social, @macartan.bsky.social and Johannes Giesecke at Humboldt University, @scripts-berlin.eu and @humboldt-govlab.bsky.social Great people, great project, great city! 🗓️ Deadline: 15 August 2026

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Julius Kölzer @juliusk.bsky.social · 06/07/2026

Die Linke pulled off a surprise win in Germany’s most recent federal election and has suddenly become one of the most closely watched parties in Europe’s progressive politics. Behind the success lies a continuing structural transformation of its geographic support base. A short thread🧵

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Samuel Bagg @samuel-bagg.bsky.social · 02/07/2026

🚨Job Posting🚨 I've received funding for a project on "Rethinking the Anti-Corruption Toolkit" and am hiring a 2-year postdoc (political theory or related) to help. Ideally starting this fall, but can be flexible. For best consideration apply by the end of next week! apply.interfolio.com/188955

apply.interfolio.com

Apply - Interfolio {{$ctrl.$state.data.pageTitle}} - Apply - Interfolio

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Steve Akehurst @steveakehurst.bsky.social · 02/07/2026

What might a ‘cost of living populism’ look like & how would it do electorally for Labour/Burnham? Some new research via @persuasionuk.bsky.social TL;DR such a platform boosts Lab’s vote share by 15ppt (!) to 34% in our MRP experiment. This & anti-Reform squeeze is prob their best hope 🧵

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