iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

Haakon Gjerløw @haakongjerlw.bsky.social · 29/09/2026

✌️ Next week, this year's recipient of the Nobel Peace Prize will be announced in Oslo ✍️ Thanks to The Guardian for inviting me to share my thoughts on potential awardees and why I believe the more war there is, the more the Nobel Peace Prize matters www.theguardian.com/commentisfre...

theguardian.com

Forget the famous names. Here is who actually deserves this year’s Nobel peace prize | Haakon Gjerløw

The betting markets favour the US president and Volodymyr Zelenskyy. But the most vital work to secure peace is being done by those far from the spotlight, says Haakon Gjerløw, acting director of the ...

0116

Haakon Gjerløw @haakongjerlw.bsky.social · 13/08/2026

Zambia goes to the polls today! President Hakainde Hichilema from UPND seeks reelection against main challenger Brian Mundubile from NRPUP. So that you too can get excited about this beautiful country, here is a non-exhaustive list of interesting academic work on the electoral politics of Zambia:

241

Reposted by Haakon Gjerløw

Amalie Nilsen @amalienilsen.bsky.social · 06/08/2026

More broadly, these findings are important for understanding the role of protest amid rising polarization and democratic backsliding, as affective divides may, in turn, underpin broader illiberal or even anti-democratic sentiments.

131

Reposted by Haakon Gjerløw

Amalie Nilsen @amalienilsen.bsky.social · 06/08/2026

I find little evidence that abortion protests further polarize attitudes toward abortion law itself. However, they increase in-group favoritism among anti-abortion sympathizers, suggesting that protests may shape not only issue attitudes, but also sentiments toward those with different views.

121

Reposted by Haakon Gjerløw

Amalie Nilsen @amalienilsen.bsky.social · 06/08/2026

Excited to see this paper from my PhD published in @jpeaceresearch.bsky.social Drawing on original experimental evidence from Poland, I examine whether protests over a deeply entrenched issue, namely abortion, induce polarization, not only ideologically but also affectively doi.org/10.1093/jopr...

13515

Reposted by Haakon Gjerløw

Lisa Oswald @lfoswaldo.bsky.social · 07/07/2026

Very happy to see this out! Our new paper, "Boosting Media Literacy Using Lateral Reading and Online Search Interventions," is now published in Psychological Science.

33011

Reposted by Haakon Gjerløw

Kyle Haynes @kylehaynes.bsky.social · 05/07/2026

What a fitting end for Neymar…shit talking the goalkeeper who won the game for his team while you score a consolation penalty

1050289

Reposted by Haakon Gjerløw

Michael Clemens @mclem.org · 26/06/2026

🗣️ Published today in @aeajournals.bsky.social. Ethan Lewis and I use a visa lottery, as a nationwide randomized experiment, to test the effects of foreign labor on US firms and workers. doi.org/10.1257/app.... A concise summary from @nber.org —> www.nber.org/digest/20221...

Abstract:
US firms hiring foreign workers in low-skill nonfarm jobs face a binding quota on the "H-2B" visa, allocated in part through a randomized lottery. We evaluate the quota's marginal impact using the lottery, a novel firm survey, and a pre-analysis plan. Firms exogenously employing more H-2B workers in low-skill jobs increase production (elasticity 0.20–0.22), investment (1.5–2.1), and profits (0.15). The elasticity of substitution between H-2B and US workers is very low (0.8–2.2). Thus, the effect on US employment is zero or positive overall, and positive in rural areas. Forensic analysis suggests similarly low substitutability of black-market labor.

116968

Reposted by Haakon Gjerløw

Roman Senninger @rsenninger.bsky.social · 23/06/2026

The Department of Political Science at Aarhus University is hiring both Assistant Professors and Associate Professors. Assistant Professor: international.au.dk/about/profil... Associate Professor: international.au.dk/about/profil... Please share these opportunities with your networks!

international.au.dk

Assistant Professor in Political Science - Vacancy at Aarhus University

Vacancy at Department of Political Science, Aarhus University

1120124

Haakon Gjerløw @haakongjerlw.bsky.social · 20/06/2026

Iran-krigen koster liv, infrastruktur, og penger. Resultatet er en skjør avtale der usa fremstår dårligere stilt enn for tre måneder siden. Kanskje det kan bli en påminnelse om hvorfor utenrikstjenesten trenger fagdiplomater og litt kunnskap om motparten før man starter en krig...

062

Reposted by Haakon Gjerløw

Andrea Matranga @andreamatranga.bsky.social · 09/06/2026

What France would look like with all the trees they cut down to print letters they had no intention of pronouncing.

28315

Haakon Gjerløw @haakongjerlw.bsky.social · 13/06/2026

My suggestion that Norway should buy Anthropic is looking increasingly lucrative...

0111

Reposted by Haakon Gjerløw

Haakon Gjerløw @haakongjerlw.bsky.social · 09/06/2026

Instituttsektoren leverer både i forskningsfronten og i kunnskapseksporten. Hvis ministeren vil ha foroverlente forslag, må hun først beskrive hvilket problem hun prøver å fikse www.aftenposten.no/meninger/deb...

aftenposten.no

Debatt: Forskningsinstituttene er i konstant omstilling. Så hva er problemet?

Sektoren leverer i forskningsfronten og i kunnskapseksporten. Hva er det egentlig ministeren vil fikse?

052

Reposted by Haakon Gjerløw

Agnete Schjønsby @agnete.bsky.social · 10/06/2026

«Instituttsektoren leverer i forskningsfronten og i kunnskapseksporten. Hva er det egentlig ministeren vil fikse?» spør @haakongjerlw.bsky.social, fungerende direktør på PRIO i @aftenposten.no. Les mer: www.aftenposten.no/meninger/deb...

aftenposten.no

Debatt: Forskningsinstituttene er i konstant omstilling. Så hva er problemet?

Sektoren leverer i forskningsfronten og i kunnskapseksporten. Hva er det egentlig ministeren vil fikse?

011

Haakon Gjerløw @haakongjerlw.bsky.social · 09/06/2026

aftenposten.no

Debatt: Forskningsinstituttene er i konstant omstilling. Så hva er problemet?

Sektoren leverer i forskningsfronten og i kunnskapseksporten. Hva er det egentlig ministeren vil fikse?

052

Reposted by Haakon Gjerløw

Svend-Erik Skaaning @skaaning.bsky.social · 28/05/2026

New book on democracy. #OpenAccess Seven Myths about Democracy by Jørgen Møller & Svend-Erik Skaaning, Routledge taylorfrancis.com/books/oa-mon.... Challenges (full or partial) misunderstandings about the meaning, trajectory, causes, and consequences of democracy.

taylorfrancis.com

Seven Myths about Democracy | Jørgen Møller, Svend-Erik Skaaning | Tay

This timely book challenges seven widespread misconceptions about democracy that continue to shape public and academic debates about its past, present, and

23918

Haakon Gjerløw @haakongjerlw.bsky.social · 16/05/2026

Det siste tiåret har inflasjonen spist opp verdien av et forskningsprosjekt. Det forgubber sektoren, reduserer forskningskvaliteten, og øker den byråkratiske byrden. Det går til syvende og sist utover norsk verdiskaping Derfor bør Forskningsrådet øke prosjektrammene www.khrono.no/forskningsra...

khrono.no

Forskningsrådets prosjektrammer må økes

Inflasjonen spiser Forskningsrådets prosjektrammer. Konsekvensen er forgubbing, dårligere forskning, og byråkratisering.

083

Haakon Gjerløw @haakongjerlw.bsky.social · 03/05/2026

PRIO is hiring a new Executive Assistant, This is a role that sits at the heart of our leadership, and is involved with most aspects of management. You will work closely with me - not sure if that is a boon or a curse - but there is room to shape how the role evolves www.prio.org/about/career...

prio.org

Executive Assistant to the Director – Peace Research Institute Oslo (PRIO)

Are you interested in academic research and enjoy working in an international environment? If you are also committed to quality and are a service minde ...

096

Reposted by Haakon Gjerløw

Elin Haugsgjerd Allern @allernelin.bsky.social · 02/05/2026

📣Publication alert! New article just published online in @ejprjournal.bsky.social: “Organizational ties to political parties and interest groups’ news coverage”👇 cup.org/4cx2WOM Ahead-of-print and Open Access! 🧵[1/12]

1137

Reposted by Haakon Gjerløw

Stephanie Nolen @stephanienolen.bsky.social · 25/04/2026

I first reported on H.I.V. in Zambia in 2002, when no one had treatment in sub-Saharan Africa. I saw hospitals where gaunt, dying patients packed the corridors. But Zambia — bolstered by international donors and the U.S. PEPFAR program — turned the tide www.nytimes.com/2026/04/25/h...

nytimes.com

AIDS Creeps Back in Parts of Zambia, a Year After U.S. Cuts to H.I.V. Assistance

34229

Haakon Gjerløw @haakongjerlw.bsky.social · 16/04/2026

Together with @oyvindstiansen.bsky.social and Lise Rakner, I've prepared a short brief on Zambia's upcoming general elections, and three key challenges for the resilience of its democracy. www.prio.org/publications...

prio.org

Zambia’s 2026 general elections: Democratic progress amid persistent challenges – Peace Research Institute Oslo (PRIO)

PRIO Policy Brief

053

Reposted by Haakon Gjerløw

Hans H. Tung @hanshtung.bsky.social · 15/04/2026

While it took a bit longer than expected to finalize this agreement on both ends, I’m grateful for the opportunity and excited to begin a new chapter in my research~

021

Reposted by Haakon Gjerløw

Jonas W. Schmid @jonaswschmid.bsky.social · 14/04/2026

Very happy that my article "Electoral autocracies, hybrid regimes, and multiparty autocracies: same, same but different?" won the Frank Cass Prize for the best young scholar article in @democratization.bsky.social in 2025! Read it here or check the thread below: www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

4346

Reposted by Haakon Gjerløw

Carl Henrik Knutsen @chknutsen.bsky.social · 13/04/2026

Why I don't expect liberal democracy to go away any time soon: My article on the resilience of liberal democracy, published in @jeppjournal.bsky.social. Perfectly timed to the day after Orbáns defeat and a small spike in "democracy-optimism". There are, I argue, good reasons for such optimism.

210332

Reposted by Haakon Gjerløw

Felix Haass @felixhaass.bsky.social · 13/04/2026

@au.dk is hiring 3 postdocs (2 yrs) on personality cults & strategic communication in autocracies, led by Jakob Tolstrup & Alexander Baturo. They're looking for profiles with text-as-data, survey experiments and/or Chinese politics experience. Start fall 2026. Looks like a great opportunity!

international.au.dk

Three 2-year Postdoctoral positions at Aarhus University: Projects on personality cults and strategic communication in autocracies - Vacancy at Aarhus University

Vacancy at Department of Political Science, Aarhus University

03946

Haakon Gjerløw @haakongjerlw.bsky.social · 13/04/2026

Hilde Henriksen Waage har fått Fritt Ord for sin uredde og kompromissløse sannhetssøken om Oslo-prosessen På PRIO er vi dritstolte av Hilde i dag, og hver dag hun er ute og uttaler seg med sin karakteristiske, frie stemme Kjære Hilde, gratulerer masse, svært velfortjent! www.prio.org/news/3695

prio.org

PRIO researcher Hilde Henriksen Waage awarded the 2026 Fritt Ord Prize – Peace Research Institute Oslo (PRIO)

Historian and PRIO Research Professor Hilde Henriksen Waage has been awarded the 2026 Freedom of Expression Prize by the Fritt Ord Foundation, in recog ...

081

Haakon Gjerløw @haakongjerlw.bsky.social · 25/03/2026

Jeg har pratet med TRY om bruken av AI i forskning på PRIO. Her er det flere godbiter - "Værvarsling" av konflikt - Bruken av AI til å analysere store mengder tekst - Noen av utfordringene med kommersiell AI for forskning + en liten sukkerbit til Nikolai Tangen open.spotify.com/episode/56j4...

open.spotify.com

Kan AI forutsi krig og definere rasisme?

041

Reposted by Haakon Gjerløw

Juraj Medzihorsky @medzihorsky.bsky.social · 19/03/2026

1990-2010, the credentialed middle class's peak economic power and political influence. Adapting autocratic innovations, econ and polit oligarchies fueled by tech and cheap capital have been pushing it back since. In seemingly ideological attacks, raiders probe for easiest paths to resource capture.

A chart showing V-Dem's Academic Freedom Index for the following four groups of states, always population-weighted:
World
European Union (the present EU27 projected back into the past)
North America
East Asia

2105

Reposted by Haakon Gjerløw

V-Dem Institute @vdeminstitute.bsky.social · 17/03/2026

V-Dem Dataset v16 is out! The dataset includes several hundred indicators along with five indices that measure a country’s overall degree of democracy, according to different definitions of democracy. V-Dem Steering Committee comments on the new data and U.S. ratings: v-dem.net/release-stat... 1(2)

A graph showing a comparison of V-Dem's Electoral Democracy index scores in 2015 and 2025. The graph shows that there are many more countries that have lower scores in 2025 compared to 2015 than there are countries with higher scores. The graph also shows that most countries are about as democratic in 2025 as they were in 2015.

12616

Reposted by Haakon Gjerløw

Odd This Day @oddthisday.bsky.social · 12/03/2026

Unexpected bit of pop culture prescience…

Far Side cartoon showing a liner with a party taking place on board sailing towards some floating mines and a small boat apparently manned by pirates with a machine gun. There is a warship in the distance. It’s dated 12/6/87 and captioned “Through a gross navigational error, the Love Boat steams into the Strait of Hormuz”

6834202

Reposted by Haakon Gjerløw

Matthew Randall @matthewrandall.bsky.social · 12/03/2026

Can this be a solution?

641357259

Haakon Gjerløw @haakongjerlw.bsky.social · 03/03/2026

For en dypt feig argumentasjon fra Ulstein i #dax18 nå. Vage henvisninger til det grusomme iranske regimet og en kritikk av regjeringen men uten vilje til å si tydelig om man er for eller mot en angrepskrig. Dette er alt for alvorlig for denne typen sleivete politisk kommunistiske.

190

Reposted by Haakon Gjerløw

Dani Beck, PhD @danibeck.bsky.social · 20/02/2026

Cutting down the manuscript word-count to fit the journal requirements🤦🏽

634864

Haakon Gjerløw @haakongjerlw.bsky.social · 20/02/2026

Nå skal ikke jeg miste statsborgerskapet på en fredagskveld...men hva er egentlig toppidrettsbudsjettet som gir oss 17. Gull...? Virker kanskje som vi kunne brukt litt mindre og likevel ikke gjøre det så aller verst...?

220

Haakon Gjerløw @haakongjerlw.bsky.social · 20/02/2026

Er dette OL tenker jeg debatten om at gutter ikke viser følelser er dø

021

Reposted by Haakon Gjerløw

Erica Chenoweth @chenoweth.bsky.social · 12/02/2026

The volume & geographic distribution of protest nationwide during year 1 of Trump's second term was extraordinary.

Map showing tens of thousands of protests across the US between Trump's inauguration last year and January 31, 2026.

3927641064

Haakon Gjerløw @haakongjerlw.bsky.social · 01/02/2026

Brødrene Dross vender hjem, men landsbyen har endret seg på merkverdig vis når vi spiller rollespill på Det Andre Teateret kl 19:30! detandreteatret.no/forestilling...

020

Reposted by Haakon Gjerløw

NBER @nber.org · 31/01/2026

Plagiarism detection on 500k publicized Chinese dissertations uncovers widespread hidden misconduct that predicts adverse political selection and poorer civil service performance, from Zhuang Liu, Wenwei Peng, and Shaoda Wang www.nber.org/papers/w34747

16520

Reposted by Haakon Gjerløw

𝙅𝙖𝙘🍩𝙗 𝙉𝙮𝙧𝙪𝙥 @jacobnyrup.bsky.social · 31/01/2026

Trump is quickly passing Mobutu Sese Seko in corruption, although it took Mobutu more than two decades to reach $4 billion.

0118

Haakon Gjerløw @haakongjerlw.bsky.social · 19/01/2026

PRIO is hiring a PhD for the RECON-project RECON will critically examine how dissemination of knowledge about past and ongoing injustices affects reconciliation,using empirical evidence from the Norwegian truth and reconciliation commission in Norway's South Saami area www.prio.org/about/career...

prio.org

Doctoral researcher on knowledge and reconciliation in the Norwegian South Saami area – Peace Research Institute Oslo (PRIO)

PRIO invites applications for a 3-year full-time position as Doctoral Researcher in the project “Knowledge for reconciliation: Truth and contestation i ...

053

Reposted by Haakon Gjerløw

𝙅𝙖𝙘🍩𝙗 𝙉𝙮𝙧𝙪𝙥 @jacobnyrup.bsky.social · 09/01/2026

We are happy to announce the call for papers for the third WhoGov Mini-Conference on Political Elites! It will be held on August 20-21st, 2026 in Oslo. We welcome research on political elites broadly understood and not just papers using WhoGov. You can find the call here: bit.ly/whogovminico...

15128

Reposted by Haakon Gjerløw

Peter Egge Langsæther @peterla.bsky.social · 09/01/2026

Definitely worth going to this! Nice people, nice city, interesting research 😁

061

Reposted by Haakon Gjerløw

Jonathan Birch @birchlse.bsky.social · 08/01/2026

Martin Peterson's creative response to being banned from teaching Plato (shared with his permission).

An email from Martin Peterson to university administrators.

6151001521

Haakon Gjerløw @haakongjerlw.bsky.social · 03/01/2026

Jeg tviler på at dette setter en presedens som påvirker Kinas kalkyle i Taiwan. For en eventuell invasjon er spørsmålet om USA vil forsvare Taiwan. I den avgjørelsen er det irrelevant for Trump å ha et konsekvent forhold til folkeretten. Jeg tror Kina holder seg til de planene de har, hva de nå er

1100

Reposted by Haakon Gjerløw

Michael Liebreich @mliebreich.bsky.social · 03/01/2026

Country 9 in global oil reserves has invaded country 1 and arrested its president. Country 7 is under sanctions and its refineries are being destroyed. Country 2 is facing off with country 6. And there are riots in country 3. But oil is only $60/bbl. Maybe oil is not as critical as it used to be?

20356151

Haakon Gjerløw @haakongjerlw.bsky.social · 17/12/2025

Several large donations has come in, but most importantly, @sschutte.bsky.social , Elin, and Niklas have just given 30 000 NOK to the cause - I'm extremely humbled by their generosity! Only 9 980 NOK remains to disperse the full 50 000 NOK I'm matching: gieffektivt.no/innsamling/h...

gieffektivt.no

Haakon's fundraiser for 2025

030

Reposted by Haakon Gjerløw

Haakon Gjerløw @haakongjerlw.bsky.social · 11/12/2025

Dear everyone, As you know, we have yet to eradicate global poverty. To do my part, I have set up a fundraising for GiveDirectly. For every NOK you contribute today, I will match it, up to 50 000 NOK. For donations and more information, please visit gieffektivt.no/innsamling/h...

131