Podcast Episode · New Books in World Affairs · July 12 · 34m

prediction markets and the new politics of conflict

The war against India a year ago led to Munir's elevation to the status of field marshal. Now he's playing peacemaker.

A joint military campaign by the United States and Israel against Iran is rapidly escalating into a broader regional war. The operation, known as Operation Epic Fury, began on February 28, 2026. Since...

Myths about the Maginot Line are strangely persistent.

A House of Dynamite gets so many details wrong that the lessons viewers take from the film will likely be counterproductive, even dangerous. If it is a wake-up call, the audience will wake up on the w...

Abstract. With great power rivalry on the rise again, many worry that struggles for status among states could lead to war. As a growing consensus indicates

The move would be a major escalation of the Trump administration’s military campaign to target drug smugglers and threaten governments in Latin America.

Abstract. This paper introduces the Human Intelligence Exposure (HEX) dataset, designed to enhance our understanding of espionage and its exposure. HEX wil

The CSIS Commission on Hostage Taking and Wrongful Detention examines U.S. efforts to counter the detention of Americans abroad and proposes new policy tools to strengthen deterrence, improve internat...

The West must show that it can outlast Russia in Ukraine.

Abstract. Sinking costs to signal resolve has become a vital part of how the field of international relations (IR) understands crisis bargaining. The logic