Reposted by Álvaro Padilla Pozo
An Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation collapse may overturn some of the effects of global warming—easing its impact on developing countries and instead harming more advanced economies, from @jlcruzalv, @klausvanieper, and @HansbergRossi www.nber.org/papers/w35811
![What can be learned when multiple analysts arrive at different estimates
Kowall et al. (2025) have brought the multi-analyst approach to epidemiology, with instructive results. With this approach, multiple researchers analyze the same data set to answer the same research question. Or, at least, what appears to be the same research question. In fact, the very first paper that popularized this approach [1] has been criticized for using a vague research question (“Are soccer referees more likely to give red cards to players with dark skin tone than light skin tone?”), which apparently led the analysts to try to answer quite different questions—from a simple question about a bivariate statistical association to much more complex causal questions about racial bias [2].
In contrast, the research question passed on to analysts in Kowall et al. (2025) seems less ambiguous: Does marital status influence the incidence of cardiovascular disease? But less ambiguous does not equal unambiguous. Considerable...](https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:gz53felr7btxgmbxae5aooxi/bafkreidvs4c7wvoh63tr2ptmvnnl5hya246ofttwyzlvotkmqhnpwgbf4a)
![Table with 3 rows and 3 columns.
Rows: (1) Algorithm purist (mimic human cognition), (2) Algorithm netural (learns & generalizes), (3) Algorithm rebel (method irrelevant)
Cols: (1) Ability purist (exceeds human ability), (2) Ability neutral (makes task easier), (3) Ability rebel (usefullness questionable)
Cells:
[1,1] "Terminator is AI" [1,2] "C3PO is AI" [1,3] "WALL-E is AI"
[2,1] "AlphaGo is AI" [2,2] "XGBOOST is AI" [2,3] "Tinder is AI"
[3,1] "A metal detector is AI" [3,2] "Bubble sort is AI" [3,3] "Magic 8 Ball is AI"](https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:ta2whs6wjtpljvpqgs5leu36/bafkreigcdyoayc6ig5dvymrxtpizzqxfqvb2prck564w3r3fzmuy4e33fq)
