Reposted by ASponder @ponder.ooo · 16hguys what if identifying as bayesians doesn't actually make bayesian updating a sociologically accurate account of how our belief formation works 1364
Reposted by ASFactPost @factpostnews.bsky.social · 16hMayor Mamdani: Just last week, we held DoorDash to account. They were underpaying more than 260,000 workers for $131.5 million. Theo Von: That's a lot of money. Mamdani: This is the largest labor settlement in New York. 47817
Reposted by ASmtsw @mtsw.bsky.social · 13h"I have a harem of dozens of women who are my employees to fuck and have my children as I please" is one of the ultimate goals of the billionaire class and one of the main reasons they are so keen to fuck the labor market (so desirable women are desperate enough to sign up for this) 10718145
Reposted by ASTatyana Deryugina @tderyugina.bsky.social · 01/10/2026First they came for our two-way fixed effects. Now they're coming for time fixed effects! #EconSky www.nber.org/papers/w35807 1449
Reposted by ASAnjali Dayal @anjalikdayal.bsky.social · 01/10/2026these are our pianos, not theirs! I know this stuff can feel secondary with all of the immediate pain this admin causes, but in the face of such personalism, it also feels important to assert the democratic principle that these cultural inheritances don't belong to the president, they belong to us 321322483
Reposted by ASDan Garisto @dangaristo.bsky.social · 01/10/2026OMB's focus on NIH and NSF, which has confused a lot of folks, pretty much boils down to stopping money going to universities. 1224138
Reposted by ASMark Schofield @markschofield.bsky.social · 01/10/2026Mike Tomlin is currently giving a tour of his boutique hotel in Minecraft, which has a multipurpose conference room and an appropriate number of public restroom and I’m losing MY MIND 231735218
Reposted by ASAriel Edwards-Levy @aedwardslevy.bsky.social · 30/09/2026I think AI has its uses, but I continue to believe that quantitative public opinion research is fundamentally a way of talking to people at scale, emphasis here on "people" 61087
Reposted by ASAriel Edwards-Levy @aedwardslevy.bsky.social · 30/09/2026There is a lot of "oh dear" to go around in the results of this very thorough Pew study on the issues with synthetic samples, but this strikes me as particularly "oh dear" www.pewresearch.org/data-labs/20... 7454159
Reposted by ASCarl Quintanilla @carlquintanilla.bsky.social · 30/09/2026Four-byline alert: “.. Meta claimed that $4.1 billion of stock options exercised by Mr. Zuckerberg counted as a research expense ..” @nytimes.com $META www.nytimes.com/2026/09/30/t... 14726641203
Reposted by ASDon Moynihan @donmoyn.bsky.social · 30/09/2026Wrote about the National Design Studio a while back, and two things worth noting. *It is led by a white nationalist *They do skins, not services. America.gov is a chatbot with a .gov skin. They are promising to make services work better but its all TBD. 412324
Reposted by ASSteve Vladeck @stevevladeck.bsky.social · 29/09/2026By my math, the order was filed 11 minutes after the Trump administration's reply brief came in. 401239256
Reposted by ASAaron Rupar @atrupar.com · 29/09/2026🤡 Schmitt beclowns himself 🤡 Schmitt concocted an elaborate conspiracy theory that Smith traveled to Atl for a Hawks game and to collude with Fani Willis, & flashed his "evidence" before accusing Smith of perjury. There's just one problem -- his facts were totally wrong. Here's the whole sequence: 2635209785719
Reposted by ASBen Recht @beenwrekt.bsky.social · 29/09/2026The illusion and politics of objectivity in cost-benefit analysis, a decision-making institution so ingrained that Americans can’t imagine life without it.argmin.netPricing CommensurabilityOn the origins of cost-benefit analyses in governmental decision making 2279
Reposted by ASHayes Brown @hayesbrown.bsky.social · 29/09/2026new from me: i dug into the White House’s “uh these are just public service announcements” defense for the taxpayer-funded propaganda ads. it’s all bad but the wildest part is them using LITERAL WARTIME PROPAGANDA as a historical precedent to say this is all finems.nowOpinion | The White House says these propaganda ads are PSAs. They’re not.Government-funded ads praising President Trump are the opposite of “educational.” 210137
Reposted by ASDaniel Dockery @dandock.bsky.social · 08/06/202685 days until the release of my next book, I AM THE NIGHT. 85 episodes of Batman: The Animated Series. Let's begin. 340184
Reposted by ASDon Moynihan @donmoyn.bsky.social · 28/09/2026New, from me: Once memory-holed, DOGE is now the subject of revisionism. To better understand why DOGE failed, I talked to people in the civic tech movement that DOGE displaced, who continue to offer the alternative model for how to modernize govt. 🧵 donmoynihan.substack.com/p/doge-vs-ci...donmoynihan.substack.comDOGE vs. Civic TechAs DOGE revisionism picks up, a contrast with the civic tech movement it displaced illuminates its failure 18800259
Reposted by ASMoira Donegan @moiradonegan.bsky.social · 28/09/2026You know when public attention can reverse a prosecutorial decision like this you almost get the sense that the decision to shrug it off in the first place was not based on an assessment of the quality of the evidence so much as an assessment of the seriousness of the crime. 353578832
Reposted by ASMark Riedl @markriedl.bsky.social · 26/09/2026If I found login credentials for a US government website and accessed it, I would go to jail. Just saying 114824
Reposted by ASJosh Marshall @joshtpm.bsky.social · 26/09/2026So many times we see this. Where illegal cancellation of congressional appropriation becomes one weird trick. 29752144
Reposted by ASAnna Bower @annabower.bsky.social · 25/09/2026Wild stuff. Sheri Mecklenberg, career prosecutor accused of misconduct in Broadview 6 case, resigns from DOJ. The NYT obtained her scathing resignation letter, in which she says the U.S. attorney directed her to bring felony charges over her objection. www.nytimes.com/interactive/...nytimes.comRead the document (Gift Article)Sheri H. Mecklenburg resignation letter 20261232206
Reposted by ASe.w. niedermeyer @niedermeyer.online · 25/09/2026so cool how "cybertruck owner commits horrific crime" is just part of our cultural landscape now www.syracuse.com/crime/2026/0...syracuse.comUpstate NY driver killed pedestrian, then tried to hide Cybertruck in woodsThe man was sentenced to prison on Wednesday. The crash took place in 2025. 620140
Reposted by ASLiz Dye @lizdye.bsky.social · 25/09/2026JFC Sheri Mecklenberg's resignation letter says USA Boutros made her charge the Broadview 6 as a felony conspiracy, when she wanted to charge them as misdemeanors. "you cannot buy my silence by dangling continued leave" s3.documentcloud.org/documents/28... 18350109
Reposted by ASEvan Bernick, a finite mode with a smol hooman and a lorg floof @evanbernick.bsky.social · 25/09/2026Footnote one is a grenade that will create chaos across the country as the DOJ uses it to argue that every sanctuary policy is unconstitutional. It doesn’t do that, but they will read it that way. 213454
Reposted by ASAsher HELLbein @asherelbein.bsky.social · 25/09/2026I went to school at the University of Alabama and the stories I regularly heard coming out of fraternity row regularly made my hair curl. Absolutely endemic amounts of rape and sexual assault, everyone knew it, and people just sort of priced it in 612726
AS @alexstephenson.me · 25/09/2026This is a yes and point to the parent quoted here A problem for the (human) discourse is that alignment embeds an assumption that is immediately exposed when you take any other product liability case. Imagine Ford being like “uh oh the Pinto catches on fire. What an alignment problem.” 120
Reposted by AStweety fish oh wow like a chimera or something spoooky @sifu.tweety.fish · 25/09/2026here is a succinct thing I can say: "alignment"-style AI safety risks DO NOT EXIST or need remediation with LLMs as such (there are lots of other problems) and OpenAI and Anthropic are in the business of TRYING TO MAKE THEM EXIST so that they can remediate them. 718550
Reposted by ASSteve Vladeck @stevevladeck.bsky.social · 25/09/2026This was the 28th time #SCOTUS has granted emergency relief to the Trump administration since 1/20/25. That matches the total number of grants during the entirety of the first Trump administration. And both of those totals dwarf the *four* grants of relief (two each) during the Bush & Obama admins. 791625694
Reposted by ASSpooky Back From The Dead Lazarus @jlazarus.bsky.social · 25/09/2026This is Nazi rhetoric. Not similar. Not Nazi-like. It’s straight up lebensraum. 362976915
Reposted by ASJulia Carrie Wong @joolia.bsky.social · 24/09/2026I’m really not sure that “goes rogue” is an accurate description of a behavior that is apparently both habitual and condoned 381648289
Reposted by ASMatthew Eadie @mattheweadie.bsky.social · 21/09/2026BREAKING: Evanston police confirm a U.S. citizen was briefly detained by federal agents Sunday morning near Howard and Dodge before being released The man was taken to the hospital for injuries to his head, neck and teeth after agents drove offevanstonnow.comFederal agents detained U.S. citizen Sunday morning - Evanston NowPolice chief says officers responded to a man with injuries to head, neck and teeth on Howard and made contact with agents involved. 39466443500
Reposted by ASMax Dubler 🏳️🌈 @maxdubler.com · 23/09/2026Regulators should shut this down before it leads to a wave of predictable, preventable deaths by suicide. 25908131
Reposted by ASPam Herd @pamherd.bsky.social · 22/09/2026The vast majority denied SNAP are denied for procedural reasons. Even 4 in 10 of those with NO INCOME in the previous year are denied, with 80% of those denied for *procedural reasons*, or, effectively, missing paperwork. And The One Big Beautiful Bill is making this so much worse. 3186115
Reposted by ASRoosevelt Institute @rooseveltinstitute.org · 22/09/2026NEW: Prediction markets are exploding, and a growing legal fight is over a basic question: Are they gambling, or financial products? In a new explainer, @bradlipton.bsky.social shows how the push to put prediction markets under federal financial rules leaves major gaps in consumer protections. 🧵rooseveltinstitute.orgHow the Federal Rules for Prediction Markets Fall Short of State-Level Gambling LawsPrediction markets increasingly resemble gambling but operate under far fewer protections. Brad Lipton explains what federal rules leave out and why state gambling laws offer a stronger baseline. 3106
Reposted by ASJonathan Ladd @jonathanmladd.com · 21/09/2026The government moving or hiding jailed people to avoid review by courts isn't some loophole in our habeas corpus rights. This government behavior has been considered a violation of the people's habeas corpus rights since at least the Habeas Corpus Act of 1679. en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Habeas_... 4827911164
Reposted by ASRadley Balko @radleybalko.bsky.social · 21/09/2026Christ, these people are monsters. Just monsters. www.nbcnews.com/news/us-news... 13253681943
Reposted by ASMarisa Kabas @marisakabas.bsky.social · 21/09/2026The man ICE shot in Austin today is named Wilber Rafael Garces Perez. Per his lawyer, she and Perez’s family were run off of hospital property where he’s being treated and won’t even confirm he’s there because he’s “in ICE custody.” Actual criminals.npr.orgFederal immigration agent shoots and injures man in Austin, TexasThe person shot is in serious but stable condition, Austin Mayor Kirk Watson said in a press conference. 3732191282
Reposted by ASCongressman Greg Casar @repcasar.bsky.social · 20/09/2026The horror has come to our city: ICE has shot a person in Austin this morning. As the facts emerge, I am demanding a full, independent investigation, immediate release of the body camera footage, and accountability for any ICE officer who broke the law. 358103603398
Reposted by ASAaron Reichlin-Melnick @reichlinmelnick.bsky.social · 20/09/2026First eyewitness accounts from this afternoon’s ICE shooting in Austin is here, from freelance reporter Emiliano Tahui Gómez. 371599677
Reposted by ASScott Horton @robertscotthorton.bsky.social · 20/09/2026Capriglione is a state legislator and one of the most influential figures in the Texas GOP. 46257123
Reposted by ASAnil Dash @anildash.com · 17/09/2026David Heinemeier Hansson called for the extermination of Romani people, comparing them to animals. An entire roster of tech tycoons responded by each personally giving him $1 million for his open source software project, even though he’s already wealthy enough to have a personal race car team. 5653138
Reposted by ASFaine Greenwood @faineg.com · 18/09/2026this would be yet another reason why normal people don’t trust tech tycoons to do the right thing 425873
Reposted by ASMark Copelovitch @mcopelov.bsky.social · 18/09/2026Incredible how the press & everyone else has just totally normalized our lawless authoritarian president ordering the kidnapping of the leader of another country & now looting said country. 722868
Reposted by ASAaron Sojourner @aaronsojourner.org · 12/03/2026I knew that the Department of War shot a missile into a school & killed 175 civilians, mostly children. This is learned today: Secretary of War Hegseth had cut the teams assigned to prevent such tragedies by 90%. www.npr.org/2026/03/11/n... 13140792065
Reposted by ASTransactions on Machine Learning Research @tmlrorg.bsky.social · 16/09/2026TMLR has faced a deluge of submissions, necessitating stricter desk rejection policies due to limited reviewer capacity Co-EiC Nihar Shah reached out to authors of 10 papers slated for desk reject. Could they answer questions about their *own* submission? medium.com/@TmlrOrg/ask...medium.comAsking Authors About Their Own PapersBy Nihar B. Shah 116164
Reposted by ASAaron Rupar @atrupar.com · 15/09/2026CASTEN: Trump said 'we're taking in billions and billions from Venezuela.' Who is the 'we'? That suggests flows to US persons BESSENT: Again, this is one of the largest assets ever to go on the US balance sheets CASTEN: You can't testify whether or not they're flowing to US persons? BESSENT: No 2382382763
Reposted by ASMatt Henry 🥄 @matthenry.fyi · 15/09/2026The US Web Design System is load-bearing infrastructure for thousands of government websites. It makes it easy for small teams with no resources (i.e. most .gov teams) to make usable, accessible websites that work for everyone. Today, it's as close as it's ever been to being replaced with AI slop. 8330141
Reposted by ASMolly White @molly.wiki · 15/09/2026Here's my post on why the ethics provisions alone on this bill were a non-starter. Some Democrats seemed willing to pass the deeply flawed and industry-written bill if the ethics provisions could limit Trump’s grift, but negotiators were unable to find a version that satisfied both Dems and Trump. 224841
![' The dissent argues that sections 1373(a) and (b) do not displace laws restricting information sharing with DHS because "[w]hen a law imposes an express restriction on disclosure, it is that law—not an 'entity, 'offi- cial, 'person,' or 'agency'-that is doing the 'prohibit[ing]'
or re- strict[ing]." Post, at 7 (opinion of JACKSON, J.). But the distinction the dissent draws between laws and those tasked with enforcing them is il- lusory. Sections 1373(a) and (b) prohibit any "entity," "official," "person," or "agency" from "prohibit [ing]" or "in any way restrictling]" the request for or receipt of information regarding immigration status. (Emphasis added.) Those prohibitions necessarily include invoking a law to deny a
request for or transfer of such information.](https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:f4d76fjna5nxqsy2fu6cgmp3/bafkreie7wl3m4m7en7raadoqp3lrg5uoth65o6jewe6jvh7bitfoedn6im)
![Jailors were forbidden to move prisoners from one prison to another or out of the country to evade the writ. In case of disobedience jailers would be punished with severe fines which had to be paid to the prisoner.[5][6]](https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:egd33s7iuqsmwlwab6mbtrqi/bafkreieocoa2jelvyioyspfyjhchhj6lqvjgxf6vm73l4mamvtls72tzmq)
![[Two Cueball like commentators sit behind a desk.]
Commentator to the left: A weighted random number generator just produced a new batch of numbers.
Commentator to the right: Let's use them to build narratives!
[Caption below the panel:]
All sports commentary](https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:ulrchvfhm2wqxtohn4zo54ls/bafkreigfmxldagr3f7udlkubimbjyuqc2acn5ohlkkr7mjqxqcilnbzpse)