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Seth Jolly

@sethkjolly.bsky.social
1.6K followers 455 following 729 posts

political scientist @SUpolisci with a book on European regionalist parties (sethkjolly.com) & co-PI of chesdata.eu

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Catherine E. de Vries @catherinedevries.bsky.social · 16/09/2026
I used to think the most creative writers were unusually good at having good ideas. Now I think they may just be unusually good at spotting them. Because having ideas is easy. I have lots of them, but most are terrible. So the question is: how do you know when there’s something there? 🧵
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Shana Gadarian @sgadarian.bsky.social · 09/09/2026
Vaccines are amazing.
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Philip Gourevitch @pgourevitch.bsky.social · 09/09/2026
and then we were flying - the three of us together - those big strong guys and me high above ground pound zero into the severe clear and I walked there on the clouds with the lord who anointed me in that day and said your building is biggest and you are the biggest big boy
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Paul Poast @profpaulpoast.bsky.social · 03/09/2026
IR Book of the Week! "Taming the Careerists" by Minju Kim. When it comes to US foreign policy, we focus a lot on Presidents, top-level diplomats, and the close advisers to both. But US foreign policy is also dramatically (and surprisingly, as Kim shows) influenced by career bureaucrats.
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Catherine E. de Vries @catherinedevries.bsky.social · 02/09/2026
Lots of writing advice is about procrastination or writer’s block. We worry & develop routines to tackle it. But what if our problem is the opposite? What if we write too much? Too many emails, posts, essays, papers. We have become very good at making ourselves write, perhaps too good. 🧵
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Seth Jolly @sethkjolly.bsky.social · 01/09/2026
Timely new book during this populism era in America, really looking forward to this panel at #apsa2026.
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bleary (feat. Akon) @bleary.off-the-records.com · 25/08/2026
The time Dolly Parton got stuck into a session in a pub in Kerry
youtu.be
Dolly Parton in Paídi Ó Sé's Pub
YouTube video by paidiosekerry
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Shana Gadarian @sgadarian.bsky.social · 25/08/2026
Among the many wonderful things about Dolly Parton, she also sent free books to millions of children (including my own) and the stories were about kindness, community, and loving your neighbor. What a legacy to leave.
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Jennifer N. Victor @jenvictor.bsky.social · 25/08/2026
The politicization of public health is a crime against humanity I never imagined I'd see in my lifetime. So sad and avoidable.
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Cas Mudde @casmudde.bsky.social · 13/08/2026
To people outside of academia, 10% might not sound that much — and, tbh, I don’t understand why anyone would come here to study — but these 10% of foreign students “subsidize” a much larger group of U.S. students, who will face fewer professors and programs at higher costs.
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SUPoliSci @supolisci.bsky.social · 12/08/2026
The New Yorker has a new essay focused on @supolisci.bsky.social prof @glynmorgan.bsky.social’s new book on the Rise and Fall of American Europe.
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Sebastian Karcher @adam42smith.bsky.social · 04/08/2026
2/2 This is in person in Syracuse (flex arrangements available). Unfortunately we won't be able to sponsor a visa for this (sorry!). You'll work in a small team within Maxwell w lots of opportunities to shape the position. Happy to chat with interested folks about SYR and/or the job
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Catherine E. de Vries @catherinedevries.bsky.social · 22/07/2026
I love writing and started a passion project last year. A Substack on writing and creative intelligence. In this weeks’ post, I reflect on the journey of letting of go of my fear of the judgement of by others. catherineeunicedevries.substack.com/p/the-hardes... 🧵
catherineeunicedevries.substack.com
Sign in to Respect the Marble
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Seth Jolly @sethkjolly.bsky.social · 22/07/2026
Such great advice from @catherinedevries.bsky.social, highlighting maybe my most frequent plea to grad students: Share your work before it's perfect. It'll never be perfect. As CdV says: "ask someone you trust to read your piece and ask for advice. Do this earlier then you are normally used to."
open.substack.com
The Hardest Part Isn’t Writing. It’s Letting Others Read What You’ve Written
The Long Carve #9: Why Fear Often Shows Up as Perfectionism
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Seth Jolly @sethkjolly.bsky.social · 20/07/2026
I'm thrilled to share the latest @chesdata.bsky.social paper "A Global Scale of Economic Left–Right Party Positions: Cross-National and Cross-Expert Perceptions of Party Placements", out now at JOP, where we compare expert ratings from Europe, Latin America, Australia, Israel, Canada, & the US.
journals.uchicago.edu
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Ruth Dassonneville @rdassonneville.bsky.social · 10/07/2026
❗The @chesdata.bsky.social team paper on the global economic left-right scale is now out in print at the JoP! Super happy to have contributed a tiny little bit to this huge effort by @ndelacerda.bsky.social, @rbakker.bsky.social and others!
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Seth Jolly @sethkjolly.bsky.social · 26/06/2026
What a banger! #usmnt
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Federica Genovese @fgenovese.bsky.social · 23/06/2026
Since we are marking the 10 year anniversary of Brexit and we are all talking abt it today, a few thoughts on the meaning of Brexit from somebody that has looked at it from the point of view of international cooperation and climate politics… 🧵- feat. work with @patrickbayer.bsky.social
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R. Daniel Kelemen @rdanielkelemen.bsky.social · 23/06/2026
Brexit referendum was ten years ago today.. I wrote this a couple days later. The predictions have held up well- though Brexit did less damage to EU than I suspected and was even worse for UK economy than I imagined. www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/uni...
foreignaffairs.com
London Falling
British politicians—and many voters—have blamed the European Union for their problems for years. Now they will have to find something new to bang on about as they deal with an economic downturn and in...
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Thomas M. Keck @tmksyracuse.bsky.social · 22/06/2026
In today's post, I survey the presence (and then absence) of militant democracy arguments in U.S. First Amendment law. tomkeck.beehiiv.com/p/militant-d...
tomkeck.beehiiv.com
Militant democracy in U.S. law
Is Joseph Goebbels's mocking of liberal democracy relevant to First Amendment disputes?
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Sara Hobolt @sarahobolt.bsky.social · 22/06/2026
And if you are interested in reading more about the enduring legacy of Brexit identities, see our book 📕Tribal Politics. How Brexit Divided Britain global.oup.com/academic/pro...
global.oup.com
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Seth Jolly @sethkjolly.bsky.social · 13/06/2026
4-1!!!!
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Brian Taylor @bdtaylor-su.bsky.social · 12/06/2026
It's high time for university presidents to explain to the public and politicians that international students don't take seats from American students, they subsidize these students. At my university and many others.
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Mayor Zohran Kwame Mamdani @mayor.nyc.gov · 11/06/2026
SPEECHLESS. LFGK
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Seth Jolly @sethkjolly.bsky.social · 11/06/2026
I'm not a Knicks fan but the reffing in this game is outrageous against the NYK.
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Mohamed Dhia Hammami @meddhiah.bsky.social · 29/05/2026
📢 Public good announcement : I’m releasing 3 R packages 📦 with data from the last 2 censuses in Tunisia 🇹🇳, including one with harmonized panel data (I’m using in my dissertation). Available on my GitHub. CRAN version upcoming. www.mohameddhiahammami.com/data
tncensus packagergph2014tn package rgph2024tn package
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jamelle @jamellebouie.net · 03/06/2026
effectively the court is saying that there is no such thing as racial polarization, only party polarization. or at least, there is no such thing as racial polarization when to say otherwise would be to potentially benefit the democratic party.
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Brendan Nyhan @brendannyhan.bsky.social · 01/06/2026
Full report: brightlinewatch.org/erosion-of-t...
brightlinewatch.org
Erosion of the rule of law in Trump’s second term | Bright Line Watch
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SUPoliSci @supolisci.bsky.social · 28/05/2026
🚨 New book alert🚨 @supolisci.bsky.social & @maxwellsu.bsky.social Prof @glynmorgan.bsky.social’s latest book on the rise and fall of American Europe was reviewed at the FT: giftarticle.ft.com/giftarticle/...
giftarticle.ft.com
https://giftarticle.ft.com/giftarticle/actions/redeem/b1c7603e-c634-4575-b71c-3332e68de960
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Seth Jolly @sethkjolly.bsky.social · 27/04/2026
MPSA 2026 was fantastic, so good to see so many friends and colleagues and great panels. Sorry I couldn't see more folks. Now in the home stretch of the semester, this tiny desk really fueled my Monday: www.youtube.com/watch?v=Wgqa...
youtube.com
Billy Strings: Tiny Desk Concert
YouTube video by NPR Music
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Seth Jolly @sethkjolly.bsky.social · 15/04/2026
Look what showed up in my mail today, my favorite European politics textbook courtesy of @catherinedevries.bsky.social @sarahobolt.bsky.social @sopro.bsky.social @jbslapin.bsky.social. My students love the data exercises built on their custom Shiny apps!
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Barack Obama @barackobama.bsky.social · 13/04/2026
The victory of the opposition in Hungary yesterday, like the Polish election in 2023, is a victory for democracy, not just in Europe but around the world.
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Public Opinion Analytics Lab (POAL) @poalab.bsky.social · 30/03/2026
AJPS article from @kenbenoit.bsky.social, Scott de Marchi, Conor Laver, Michael Laver, and Jinshuai Ma on using LLMs to analyse political texts. 🧵 1/8 Social science research requires reliable extraction of information from texts to identify authors' preferences on various policies and issues.
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Kyle Marquardt @kailmarkvart.bsky.social · 18/03/2026
A 🧵on how the @vdeminstitute.bsky.social accountability indices help us understand how democratic backsliding is occurring in the United States. tl;dr: in principle, vertical constraints on the president remain strong; in practice, horizontal and diagonal constraints have been greatly weakened.
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V-Dem Institute @vdeminstitute.bsky.social · 17/03/2026
📢 Out Now! V-Dem Dataset v16 & the V-Dem Institute Democracy Report 2026 💾 The V-Dem Dataset: v-dem.net/data/the-v-d... 📰 The Report "Unraveling The Democratic Era?”: v-dem.net/publications... 📈 Explore the new data with the V-Dem Graphing tools: v-dem.net/graphing/gra... #PoliSky #PoliSciSky 1/3
Two map graphs show the state of liberal democracy according to the V-Dem Liberal Democracy index for 2025 and 2024. The higher the score (or darker blue), the more democratic the country. Lower scores (or dark red) mean less democratic. While North and South America, Western Europe and Oceania are mostly in the blue, most parts of Asia and Africa are in the red in 2025. 
In comparison to the map for 2024, the map graph for 2025 shows democratic backsliding in some traditionally stable democracies in Western Europe and North America, in particular the USA, United Kingdom and Italy.
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IE Political Science Department @iepolisci.bsky.social · 16/02/2026
Congratulations to our Head of Dept @catherinedevries.bsky.social on her latest publication in @thejop.bsky.social. The paper studies the effects of being socialized under East Germany on gender norms and the political engagement of women. Read more here: www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/full/10....
Abstract of the paper: Women are generally less likely to express an interest in politics, join political organizations, and participate in political activities. Scholars posit that gender-(in)egalitarian attitudes are an important determinant of women’s political engagement. Yet, existing work finds mixed support for this claim. Using the German General Social Survey (1991–2016), we compare citizens’ attitudes toward gender across birth cohorts from East and West Germany. We find that cohorts socialized in the East hold more progressive gender attitudes than West Germans. We then show that traditional gender attitudes are negatively correlated with political interest and participation and that this effect is somewhat greater for women. Importantly, women who hold gender-egalitarian attitudes are nearly as politically engaged as men. We then assess the robustness of these results, show the findings hold in cross-national analyses, and explore an individual-level mechanism underlying our results. Together, our findings reveal an important barrier to political engagement.
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Seth Jolly @sethkjolly.bsky.social · 16/02/2026
@liss.bsky.social more fodder for your ongoing holy war.
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Daniel McDowell @danielmcdowell.bsky.social · 16/02/2026
I tell my students that one of the main reasons not to over-rely on AI for research/writing is because--at some point in the future--you're going to have a face-to-face conversation with someone who matters, and if you don't actually know some things, that interaction will not go well for you.
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Seth Jolly @sethkjolly.bsky.social · 05/02/2026
Seconded! This was a great experience, reminded me that I could actually write in just 30 minutes and I don’t need a 2 hour block of time.
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James Fallows @jfallows.bsky.social · 04/02/2026
A profound tragedy, not just for those involved but for public knowledge overall. Completely avoidable tragedy, wrought by plutocrat who has entered "they were careless people, they smashed up things..." hall of infamy. (WaPo's Sports section is legendary; Books excellent too. Semafor screenshot)
Announcement that Washington Post will be dramatically cutting its staff, including closing the Sports and Book sections.
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Brian Taylor @bdtaylor-su.bsky.social · 18/12/2025
A lot of this going around. No surprise that the CFO drove this process and invoked “return on investment” as justification. US higher education drove US global success after WW2 and was the envy of the world so of course we’re going to let accountants and philistines burn it down.
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Seth Jolly @sethkjolly.bsky.social · 18/12/2025
This one hits hard: dailytarheel.com/article/univ... While I was in grad school at Duke, UNC’s Center for European Studies led by my mentor Gary Marks (quoted here) was a vibrant and vital source of scholarship, community, and resources. RIP.
dailytarheel.com
UNC cuts all six area studies research centers, effective 2026
As part of the University's plan to make $70 million in budget cuts across the institution, Vice Chancellor for Finance and Operations Nate Knuffman projected that cutting 14 centers and institutes in...
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Adam Przeworski @adamprz.bsky.social · 16/12/2025
I looked at worldwide surveys on democracy: adamprzeworski.substack.com/p/worldwide-surveys-about-democracy
adamprzeworski.substack.com
Worldwide surveys about democracy
I studied worldwide surveys about approval of different political regimes and could not figure out what they are intended to reveal or what they do reveal.
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Daniel Ziblatt @dziblatt.bsky.social · 11/12/2025
New out today
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Joris Frese @fresejoris.bsky.social · 10/12/2025
The core thesis of our Brextinction paper, beautifully (or morbidly?) summarized in one flowchart (also based on YouGov data). @simonhix.bsky.social @juhoharkonen.bsky.social ejpr.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...
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Werner Krause @krausewe.bsky.social · 03/12/2025
📢📢 Happy to announce a new update to the PPEG database! The data now covers - > 3.000 parties - 1.100 parliamentary elections - 402 presidential elections - 2.044 cabinets across 73 countries (1945 - 2025, Oct 31). All info: ppeg.wzb.eu We hope that data is helpful to the community!
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