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Mara Weber @marathwe.bsky.social · 23/09/2026

Reposted by Public Opinion Analytics Lab (POAL)

Mara Weber @marathwe.bsky.social · 23/09/2026

📢 CALL FOR PAPERS! We invite submissions for the Political Methodology Seminar Series on frontiers in empirical political science and CSS. We welcome research examining political behaviour, public opinion, comparative politics, and CSS. Research on adjacent topics are also highly encouraged.

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Public Opinion Analytics Lab (POAL) @poalab.bsky.social · 15/09/2026

"[Trust], mistrust, and distrust [comprise] the political trust family " 📝Our first public explainer is out from @danjdevine.bsky.social and Mollie Ruler, talking about political trust and moving beyond a simplistic view of declining trust Read here: www.poal.co.uk/research/pub...

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Public Opinion Analytics Lab (POAL) @poalab.bsky.social · 03/09/2026

"treating the texts holistically, the LLMs achieve “functional equivalence” to [...] human coders." New POAL methods brief out from Mollie Ruler and @kenbenoit.bsky.social They outline a validated workflow for applying LLMs to qualitative coding tasks. Read here: www.poal.co.uk/POAL_brief_l...

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Public Opinion Analytics Lab (POAL) @poalab.bsky.social · 10/08/2026

"research using this approach has found that polling errors have remained relatively stable" New POAL methods brief from Mollie Ruler, @drjennings.bsky.social, and Christopher Wlezien 🚨 They recommend Mean Absolute Error (MAE) to measure polling error Read here: www.poal.co.uk/POAL_brief_p...

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Sara Hobolt @sarahobolt.bsky.social · 13/07/2026

📖 A new BJPolS article in which we develop and test the concept of ‘partisan intolerance’ - the gap between a person’s willingness to interfere with contentious activities by in-partisans versus the same activities by out-partisans - and we find high levels of partisan intolerance in the UK 👇

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Public Opinion Analytics Lab (POAL) @poalab.bsky.social · 10/07/2026

The report from our EPSS 2026 roundtable, Protecting Democracy in the Age of AI, is now available! The discussion covered the latest on how generative and agentic AI impact democratic processes, and the risks and opportunities for representation and policymaking Read here: www.poal.co.uk/events/

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Public Opinion Analytics Lab (POAL) @poalab.bsky.social · 17/06/2026

🚨 POAL roundtable at @epssnet.bsky.social (EPSS) 2026: Protecting Democracy in the Age of AI — join us to discuss the democratic risks of AI technologies with a great lineup of @poalab.bsky.social and @aimediademlab.bsky.social experts

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Politically In/Sane - The Podcast @politicallyinsane.bsky.social · 02/06/2026

Can political messages become too personalized ? New podcast episode w/ @miriamsorace.bsky.social on nano-targeting now available! 📺 Stream here : pod.link/1851725697 @simonhix.bsky.social @poalab.bsky.social

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Public Opinion Analytics Lab (POAL) @poalab.bsky.social · 28/05/2026

We are pleased to share that the report from our 2026 Local Elections event is now available The report brings together key insights and discussion points from the event, focusing on the evolving dynamics of local elections and their broader implications See the report here: poal.co.uk/events/

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Politically In/Sane - The Podcast @politicallyinsane.bsky.social · 13/05/2026

New episode ! Our conversation on "Digital Immunity : the psychology of misinformation" with Dr Van der Linden(Cambridge) is now available. We cover: pre-bunking, AI inoculation and tech policy ! Playing from 0:00 open.spotify.com/episode/00HY...

open.spotify.com

Ep. 6 - Digital Immunity: The Psychology of Misinformation with Dr. van der Linden

Spotify video

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Reposted by Public Opinion Analytics Lab (POAL)

Sara Hobolt @sarahobolt.bsky.social · 13/05/2026

📣 New publication 📣 Delighted to see my article with the brilliant Teresa Bejan and James Tilley now out in the BJPolS We develop and test the concept of 'partisan intolerance' - and find high levels of intolerance in Britain, associated with affective polarisation 👇

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Public Opinion Analytics Lab (POAL) @poalab.bsky.social · 11/05/2026

We are here at LSE for their 2026 Elections event organised in collaboration with POAL! 🗳️ Throughout the afternoon, top academics on elections and public opinion in the UK will be giving their analysis of what happened on 7 May, what this means for the country, and what happens next.

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Will Jennings📉🗳️ @drjennings.bsky.social · 08/05/2026

However the fall in Labour's vote (since 2022) is more strongly correlated with change in the Green vote than Reform over the same period.

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Politically In/Sane - The Podcast @politicallyinsane.bsky.social · 02/05/2026

New #podcast episode w/ @joetwyman.bsky.social on the challenges and importance of polling for democracy in the UK and beyond ! -- especially close to elections ! Watch here : open.spotify.com/episode/1pru...

open.spotify.com

Ep.5 - Polling the Nation: Joe Twyman on UK Democracy

Spotify video

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Public Opinion Analytics Lab (POAL) @poalab.bsky.social · 20/04/2026

"measuring [LLM] agents’ relative issue saliences using party manifestos as a source of data is a harder problem than measuring their issue positions" New article from @kenbenoit.bsky.social and Michael Laver on the challenges with LLMs measuring issue salience Read here: doi.org/10.1080/0140...

doi.org

Measuring issue salience for political parties using LLMs

Understanding both party positions on issues and the relative importance, or salience, they attach to these is central to the study of party competition. Recent work shows that large language model...

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Zach Dickson @zachdickson.bsky.social · 01/04/2026

Thrilled that my paper (w/@sarahobolt.bsky.social,@catherinedevries.bsky.social,@simonecremaschi.bsky.social) was accepted at the American Political Science Review! We find that declining public services fuel support for the populist right — and show why the right benefits more than other parties 🧵

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Public Opinion Analytics Lab (POAL) @poalab.bsky.social · 30/03/2026

AJPS article from @kenbenoit.bsky.social, Scott de Marchi, Conor Laver, Michael Laver, and Jinshuai Ma on using LLMs to analyse political texts. 🧵 1/8 Social science research requires reliable extraction of information from texts to identify authors' preferences on various policies and issues.

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Will Jennings📉🗳️ @drjennings.bsky.social · 29/03/2026

This analysis draws heavily on polling by @ipsosintheuk.bsky.social for @news.sky.com - there is a clear difference between the 2024 Reform vote and those who have defected from the Conservatives since (not to mention with the Tory loyalists who are still sticking with the party).

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Public Opinion Analytics Lab (POAL) @poalab.bsky.social · 16/03/2026

"Reform and the Greens are the electoral expression of that [Brexit] cleavage finally finding its natural home." New @politicallyinsane.bsky.social write-up about @sarahobolt.bsky.social and James Tilley's new book on Brexit's continuing political impact politicsinsane.substack.com/p/tribal-pol...

politicsinsane.substack.com

Tribal Politics : How Issues create Political Identities

Vishnu Prakash reviews Tribal Politics, by Sara Hobolt (LSE) and James Tilley (University of Oxford) and looks ahead to the effects of Brexit on British Politics

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Public Opinion Analytics Lab (POAL) @poalab.bsky.social · 11/03/2026

🚨 New POAL brief from @victoraraujo.bsky.social & @miriamsorace.bsky.social out now: how to properly evaluate the causal impact of shocks, debates, and political crises on public opinion. Diagnostics, pitfalls, examples … all in three pages! Read here: www.poal.co.uk/POAL_brief_U...

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Public Opinion Analytics Lab (POAL) @poalab.bsky.social · 03/03/2026

New POAL methods brief out from @miriamsorace.bsky.social 🚨 Outdated policy‑insight frameworks = bad strategy, as exemplified by the government's current woes. Here’s how to fix how we track what voters think about policy: www.poal.co.uk/miriam_brief...

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Public Opinion Analytics Lab (POAL) @poalab.bsky.social · 27/02/2026

"The strategic use of negative campaigning in political fundraising is likely to continue through this next election cycle" Check out @politicallyinsane.bsky.social's write-up on Substack about recent research from POAL members on negative campaigning politicsinsane.substack.com/p/defeat-the...

politicsinsane.substack.com

Defeat the Enemy : Do Negative Campaigns Outperform Positive Ones?

Jade Holman, Producer at Politically In/Sane writes for POAL on emerging research about the affective responses generated by emotionally-charged campaign messaging

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Politically In/Sane - The Podcast @politicallyinsane.bsky.social · 18/02/2026

📣 Call to all passionate political Behaviour scholars ! Are you an academic in Political Behaviour ? Do you know people who you think would be great to discuss political behavior on our podcast? Then reply to this by (i)tagging them here and (ii)repost ! Looking forward to your suggestions!

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Public Opinion Analytics Lab (POAL) @poalab.bsky.social · 05/02/2026

We’re delighted to announce that the Politically In/Sane podcast is now part of POAL! Hosted by Marc Bokobza, the podcast dives into Political Behaviour, exploring how people think, feel, and act politically with insights from prominent experts. Find it here: www.poal.co.uk/events/

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Will Jennings📉🗳️ @drjennings.bsky.social · 29/01/2026

Delighted that our @jwfurlong.bsky.social @academic.oup.com book The Changing Electoral Map of England and Wales has been shortlisted for the @polstudiesassoc.bsky.social Mackenzie Book Prize (along with five other excellent books!). www.psa.ac.uk/news/mackenz...

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Will Jennings📉🗳️ @drjennings.bsky.social · 28/01/2026

Read the full report here -> www.southampton.ac.uk/publicpolicy...

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Reposted by Public Opinion Analytics Lab (POAL)

Miriam Sorace @miriamsorace.bsky.social · 26/01/2026

📢 JOB ALERT! Postdoc opportunity in Political Behaviour & Political Economy (UKRI‑funded) - Please do share with anyone who might be a great fit. If you’re interested or would like to know more, please feel free to get in touch!! jobs.reading.ac.uk/Job/JobDetai...

jobs.reading.ac.uk

Postdoctoral Research Fellow in Quantitative Political Behaviour and Political Economy:Whiteknights Reading UK

The closing date for applications is 23.59 on 22nd February 2026

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Will Jennings📉🗳️ @drjennings.bsky.social · 15/12/2025

For the historical polling nerds out there, an article about our project with @ropercenter.bsky.social that digitised ~800 surveys by Gallup poll in Britain between 1955 and 1991 has been published in JEPOP. The merged dataset contains over three-quarters of a million respondents.

tandfonline.com

Revealing long-term trajectories of public opinion and polling in Britain: a new resource of historical data from the Gallup Poll in Britain, 1955–1991

From the 1930s to early 2000s, the British affiliate and later subsidiary of the Gallup Organization conducted around three thousand surveys of public opinion in Great Britain. While the records of...

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Public Opinion Analytics Lab (POAL) @poalab.bsky.social · 18/11/2025

"Safeguarding data quality is no longer a single checkpoint but an end-to-end pipeline - one that reallocates substantial resources from sampling to continuous fraud monitoring" Read our new POAL Methods Brief by @laurenleek.eu on dealing with AI bots in surveys! Link: www.poal.co.uk/briefai.pdf

poal.co.uk

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Public Opinion Analytics Lab (POAL) @poalab.bsky.social · 10/11/2025

"While testing one dimension at a time can yield simple results, those effects may not generalise to richer, real-world contexts." Read our new POAL Methods Briefs on Conjoint Experiments from Thomas Robinson! Link: www.poal.co.uk/research/met...

poal.co.uk

Public Opinion Analytics Lab

The website of the Public Opinion Analytics Lab

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Miriam Sorace @miriamsorace.bsky.social · 16/10/2025

Nano-targeting is not a persuasive weapon: it is a dissuasion and polarization weapon. New paper out osf.io/preprints/so... with the brilliant Thomas Robinson, @simonhix.bsky.social and @fresejoris.bsky.social – the first to quantify the perverse incentives/inherent democratic dangers of this tech.

osf.io

OSF

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Public Opinion Analytics Lab (POAL) @poalab.bsky.social · 08/10/2025

A major step forward for large-scale survey research from our own Thomas Robinson & @patricksturg.bsky.social: SOCbot is a powerful AI tool for open-ended survey items—fast, cheap, reduces burden, and tackles longstanding measurement error in social science & labour stats Paper: tinyurl.com/2yxcbshs

tinyurl.com

OSF

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Public Opinion Analytics Lab (POAL) @poalab.bsky.social · 08/10/2025

ESRC-funded PhD @lsegovernment.bsky.social × Campaign Lab: New Ways to Think Political Persuasion (start Sep 2026, 3.5 yrs) Methods-heavy (experiments/computation) Topics: multi-stage persuasion, interpersonal mechanisms, AI–voter interactions 📅Apply by 10 Dec 2025: www.lse.ac.uk/study-at-lse...

lse.ac.uk

LSE Collaborative Studentship with Campaign Lab

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Daniel Devine @danjdevine.bsky.social · 29/09/2025

Are you, or do you know, someone who wants to do a PhD? Applications are open for full funding (scholarship + maintenance) @sotonpolitics.bsky.social through the @scdtp.bsky.social Get in touch if you're interested southcoastdtp.ac.uk/apply/

southcoastdtp.ac.uk

Apply - South Coast Doctoral Training Partnership

Our call for applications for studentships commencing in 2026/27 is now open (from 26th January 2025, 12:00am) The deadline for application is 17:00 GMT 16th Jan 2026. Below are our current applicatio...

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Stuart Turnbull-Dugarte @turnbulldugarte.com · 05/09/2025

Radical right accommodation really does not work. New paper out with this exceptionally talented team @katharinalawall.bsky.social @robjohns75.bsky.social @drjennings.bsky.social @sarahobolt.bsky.social @zachdickson.bsky.social @danjdevine.bsky.social & @jack-bailey.co.uk doi.org/10.31235/osf...

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Miriam Sorace @miriamsorace.bsky.social · 22/08/2025

Thrilled to share this 16-country conjoint experiment with @catherinedevries.bsky.social & @simonhix.bsky.social. We find strong support for majoritarian reforms and tougher legal enforcement, even when paired with policies people dislike. Policy-inelastic institutional preferences exist! A 🧵...

journals.sagepub.com

Sage Journals: Discover world-class research

Subscription and open access journals from Sage, the world's leading independent academic publisher.

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Public Opinion Analytics Lab (POAL) @poalab.bsky.social · 02/07/2025

The full report from our launch event is now available on our website! It includes key takeaways from our three roundtable discussions on various aspects of public opinion research. Read it here: publicopinionanalyticslab.github.io/event1_repor...

publicopinionanalyticslab.github.io

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Sara Hobolt @sarahobolt.bsky.social · 19/06/2025

Delighted to see the 2nd edition of Foundations of European Politics 🇪🇺 in print! @catherinedevries.bsky.social @sopro.bsky.social @jbslapin.bsky.social If you teach EU or European politics, you can order an inspection copy here: global.oup.com/ushe/product...

Foundations of European Politics - OUP textbook

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Miriam Sorace @miriamsorace.bsky.social · 20/06/2025

Out now🎉 - Evidence (from distribution analyses and machine learning models on EES 2014-2024 data) of strong similarities and growing convergence in EU public opinion, particularly on economic issues. Common right-ward shifts on immigration, yes - but underlying drivers still vary. shorturl.at/KCx0S

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Public Opinion Analytics Lab (POAL) @poalab.bsky.social · 16/06/2025

"Yes, there is ‘enshittification’ of surveys. But let me be the typical academic and point out that there are also many nuances and solutions" @laurenleek.eu followed up her previous substack with more insights and ideas on survey quality! laurenleek.substack.com/p/the-quiet-...

laurenleek.substack.com

The Quiet Collapse of Surveys Part II: adding some nuances

Following up on the previous Substack which identified twin threats for surveys: increases in non-response and bots, this follow-up unpacks the nuances, busts myths, and offers practical fixes.

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Public Opinion Analytics Lab (POAL) @poalab.bsky.social · 22/05/2025

Kick-off Meeting and Workshop on AI for Survey Data Collection Methods and Data Analysis — connect and learn from other researchers in this field 📅 Wed 9th July, 10am-4pm 📍UCL IOE, London Submit your proposal by: Thursday 29th May, 5pm Link for info and sign up: docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1F...

docs.google.com

Kickoff Meeting and Workshop on AI for Survey Data Collection Methods and Data Analysis: Registration and Call for Submission

Date: 10am-4pm, Wednesday 9th July Location: Room 642, Institute of Education (UCL), 20 Bedford Way, London, WC1H 0AL Organisers: Liam Wright (UCL), David Bann (UCL), and Gabriele Durrant (University ...

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Public Opinion Analytics Lab (POAL) @poalab.bsky.social · 20/05/2025

Some sharp insights from our very own @laurenleek.eu on the challenges AI poses to survey quality!

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Jason Reifler @jasonreifler.bsky.social · 19/05/2025

Re-upping this -- deadline Wednesday. Please reach out if you you're interested but unsure whether or not your work fits the theme. We can't guarantee a spot for every proposal, but we also really don't want people to self-select out!

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Public Opinion Analytics Lab (POAL) @poalab.bsky.social · 19/05/2025

Some snapshots from our event on Friday, where we discussed the future of polling, the challenges ahead, and how AI is shaping survey research. Massive THANK YOU to all panelists for sharing their wisdom with us! Here’s a thread with some key take-aways:

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