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Selma Sarenkapa

@selmasarenkapa.bsky.social
462 followers 463 following 5 posts

PhD Candidate at CEE, Sciences Po Paris Currently visiting the Department of Political Science at the University of Basel Working on social groups, media, political communication, NLP & CSS

PostsRepliesMedia
Reposted by Selma Sarenkapa
Ronja Sczepanski @ronjasczepanski.bsky.social · 03/07/2026
„Working class support for X is up by Y%“. What does this information do to polarization between groups? In a new paper w/ Geoffrey Evans: Perceived working-class alignment with pro/anti camps on immigration & environment shifts identification and sympathy doi.org/10.1080/0140...
doi.org
Perceived class positions and opinion-based polarisation: experimental evidence from the UK
Class divisions over emerging policy issues are well-documented, yet the mechanisms driving these divisions remain underexplored. This article argues that perceptions of how the working class posit...
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Reposted by Selma Sarenkapa
The COMPTEXT Association @comptext.bsky.social · 25/04/2026
That's a wrap on #COMPTEXT2026! Huge thanks to lead organiser @chrisguarnold.bsky.social and IDAI/@unibirmingham.bsky.social team, plus all tutors, chairs, discussants & sponsors. Conference dinner at a world-renowned cricket stadium—what a treat. Safe travels home; see you at COMPTEXT 2027!
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Sophie Suda @sophsuda.bsky.social · 06/03/2026
@christinastremming.bsky.social and I are very happy to present our paper on party reactions to external shocks. Main findings : Foreign policy events restructure party politics! You can find the full paper here: doi.org/10.1080/0964... More details below.
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Selma Sarenkapa @selmasarenkapa.bsky.social · 26/02/2026
What a fantastic programme! I’m delighted to be part of it and very much looking forward to present next week. Thank you for the invitation!
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Political Studies @polstudies.bsky.social · 14/01/2026
Can the impact of economic crises on political trust be mitigated? @charlotteboucher.fr studies the effect of different measures of social support on trust during the #COVID19 pandemic in Europe. More: buff.ly/htbkwaP @sciencespo-cee.bsky.social @eurofound.europa.eu @polstudiesassoc.bsky.social
buff.ly
Political Trust in Crisis: Can Social Protection Make a Difference? - Charlotte Boucher, 2026
How do economic crises harm political trust? And can their impact be mitigated? Using data from Eurofound’s Living, working, and COVID-19 survey conducted acros...
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Reposted by Selma Sarenkapa
Theodore Tallent @theodoretallent.bsky.social · 19/01/2026
🎉 NEW PUBLICATION🎉 Our paper on "the effect of symbolic policies on climate policy support" has just been published in the APSR ! @apsrjournal.bsky.social (open access) The end of a long and rewarding journey with the best co-authors @malojan.bsky.social @luissattelmayer.bsky.social (1/6)
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Selma Sarenkapa @selmasarenkapa.bsky.social · 19/12/2025
I was awarded an Excellence Scholarship from the Swiss government and have been based at the University of Basel since September. Thanks to the @polisciunibas.bsky.social and @denisetraber.bsky.social for hosting me here !
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Noémie Piolat @npiolat.bsky.social · 15/12/2025
How did gender & attitudes towards gender and sexuality shape votes in the 2024 European Parliament elections in 🇫🇷? The results of our research with Nonna Mayer & @anjadurovic.bsky.social have just been published here: shs.cairn.info/revue-europe... 🧵(1/15)
shs.cairn.info
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Magda Breyer @mabreyer.bsky.social · 20/11/2025
New article out in @cpsjournal.bsky.social with Tabea Palmtag and @dpzollinger.bsky.social 📝 We use open-ended survey questions (in Germany) to assess how and among whom social status shifts are perceived. This tests cultural backlash narratives in voters' perceptions. 🔗 doi.org/10.1177/0010...
Abstract
It is widely accepted in political science – and remarkably established in public discourse – that status anxieties fuel a far right backlash against progressive politics. This narrative suggests that right-wing conservatives perceive the status of women, racial, or sexual minorities as threatening. Using open-ended survey questions fielded in Germany, we show that women and minorities indeed figure in people’s perceptions of status hierarchies, but in very specific ways: First, overall, people still perceive status as largely socioeconomically determined. Second, sociocultural groups figure in perceptions of who is gaining/losing status, less so in perceptions of the top/bottom of society. Third, more than conservative voters, it is social progressives who mention women and minorities as “winners”. While on race/ethnicity, we find evidence for a backlash, on gender and sexuality we find more evidence for a progressive momentum. This matters for progressive politics today and for how we empirically study status concerns.
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Luis Sattelmayer @luissattelmayer.bsky.social · 05/11/2025
Excited to share that together with @malojan.bsky.social we’ve published a research note in #partypolitics introducing PartySOME, a comprehensive dataset on political parties’ social media activity. A thread 🧵 journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
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Theres Matthieß @theresmatthiess.bsky.social · 23/10/2025
💫💫💫 Great News: We are over the moon that our paper "Election Pledges in Multiparty Governments: When do Voters Accept Non-Fulfillment?" is now published in BJPS @bjpols.bsky.social 🍾 🤗 👉🏻 doi.org/10.1017/S000... w/ Juha Ylisalo, Katrin Praprotnik & @laurenzennser.bsky.social 🧵1/5
doi.org
Election Pledges in Multiparty Governments: When do Voters Accept Non-Fulfillment? | British Journal of Political Science | Cambridge Core
Election Pledges in Multiparty Governments: When do Voters Accept Non-Fulfillment? - Volume 55
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David Attewell @davidattewell6.bsky.social · 07/10/2025
@dpzollinger.bsky.social and I are thrilled "Cleavage Politics in Western Democracies" is out as an SI at @wepsocial.bsky.social! Its papers explore the foundations of the cleavage pitting new left against radical right parties, and how it compares to the classic cleavages of Lipset & Rokkan: 🧵⬇️
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British Journal of Political Science @bjpols.bsky.social · 12/08/2025
NEW - Media Platforming and the Normalisation of Extreme Right Views - cup.org/4mmVIAL "exposure to uncritical interviews increases agreement with extreme statements and perceptions of broader support in the population" - @dianebolet.bsky.social & @florianfoos.bsky.social #OpenAccess
BJPolS abstract discussing the effects of extensive media exposure on public perceptions and normalization. It references specific research surveys conducted on Sky News UK and Australia, analyzing changes in public attitudes and policy effects due to media strategies.
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Daniel Ziblatt @dziblatt.bsky.social · 12/08/2025
Vicente Valentim, Elias Dinas, & I came together to do this paper because we have all long shared an intution: mainstream center-right rhetoric shapes democratic norms. The hard part? Showing it empirically. We make some headway in this new paper. Grateful to @bjpols.bsky.social for publishing.
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Centre for European Studies and Comparative Politics @sciencespo-cee.bsky.social · 17/07/2025
🔎Au CEE, la science politique fait parler les données massives. Création de grands corpus, analyse grâce au machine learning et aux LLM : entretien avec Meryem Bezzaz, @malojan.bsky.social, @selmasarenkapa.bsky.social, @luissattelmayer.bsky.social, doctorant·es. 👉 www.sciencespo.fr/centre-etude...
Sur les deux côtés, graphique en forme de réseau dont les noeuds sont des icônes symbolisant des textes, des conversations, des pipelines, des outils, des idées, des tendances...
Texte au milieu : CSS - Computational social sciences
Des méthodes computationnelles : pour quoi faire ? 🧐

- Collecter des données, souvent textuelles (scraping)

- Préparer les données (nettoyage, découpage des données scrapées ; transcription automatique d'entretiens enregistrés)

- Analyser, mesurer, classer. Par exemple : 
* mesurer la présence, la fréquence d'utilisation dans un large corpus d'un concept bien défini, grâce aux méthodes supervisées
* laisser un modèle proposer une classification des données en regroupant les éléments par niveau de similarité (approches non supervisées)Avec quels outils ? 🛠️

- Des langages de programmation : R, Python
- Des grands modèles de langage (LLM) : BERT, GPT, LLaMA
- Le code partagé par des collègues, sur GitHub, dans des methods papers
- Des applications utilisant l'IA : pour automatiser les transcriptions, générer du codeQuels prérequis ?

- Bien définir le concept à mesurer

- Avoir des notions de base de programmation et de statistiques

- Ces méthodes ne sont pas réservées à des data scientists : le "coût d'entrée" a diminué

- Et des cours existent, comme celui donné par nos doctorants à l’Ecole de la recherche.
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Centre for European Studies and Comparative Politics @sciencespo-cee.bsky.social · 25/06/2025
#EPSA2025 starts tomorrow! A dozen of our scholars have papers on political lotteries, challenges to democracy, autocratic legacies, the fate of mainstream parties, group-targeting in politics and media, climate politics, culture wars / backfire... 👉Details here: www.sciencespo.fr/centre-etude...
EPSA 2025 - Madrid
26 - 28 June 
espanet.org
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Joris Frese @fresejoris.bsky.social · 21/05/2025
🇪🇺🇦🇫 Published Today in CPS 🇪🇺🇦🇫 “Stand by those who share our values” – how refugees fleeing the Taliban improved European attitudes toward immigration Article: journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/... Pre-print: osf.io/preprints/os... Thread: 1/8
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Daniel van Strien @danielvanstrien.bsky.social · 21/05/2025
EuroSpeech: Massive Multilingual Parliamentary Speech Corpus - 78,100+ hours across 22 European languages - 50,500+ hours of quality-filtered data (CER < 20%) - Robust alignment algorithm for non-verbatim texts - Dramatically expands resources for 19+ languages huggingface.co/datasets/dis...
huggingface.co
disco-eth/EuroSpeech · Datasets at Hugging Face
We’re on a journey to advance and democratize artificial intelligence through open source and open science.
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Danbischof @danbischof.bsky.social · 16/05/2025
🚨 working paper (w. @morganlcj.bsky.social @markuswagner.bsky.social): Protesters are not judged equally - even if tactics of groups are similar. We ran an experiment in 🇩🇪 testing how people react to farmers vs. climate activists blocking roads. What we find is disturbing: osf.io/preprints/os...
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Annika Brockschmidt @ardenthistorian.bsky.social · 07/05/2025
Ich habe mit @tabouchadi.bsky.social für @volksverpetzer.de über den Forschungsstand zum Ausgrenzen rechtsextremer Parteien, ihrer Normalisierung in Politik und Medien und darüber gesprochen, was sich ändern muss, um die weitere Unterwanderung unserer Demokratie zu verhindern.
volksverpetzer.de
Klare Forschungslage: AfD Ausgrenzen funktioniert
Die Forschung widerspricht der Relativierung der Tagesschau: Eine Normalisierung der AfD stärkt Rechtsextremismus.
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Enrique Hernández @ehernandez.bsky.social · 02/05/2025
Should democracies ban parties that threaten democracy? In the DEMOTRADEOFF project survey we asked people in 15 countries about this. A short 🧵 with some results Citizens are deeply divided about this issue Support for bans is highest in 🇮🇱 🇮🇹 🇪🇸 🇳🇱 🇵🇹 🇨🇭 🇩🇪 www.dw.com/en/germany-i...
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Selma Sarenkapa @selmasarenkapa.bsky.social · 27/04/2025
Huge thanks to everyone who made #COMPTEXT2025 happen - really enjoyed the panels, the talks, and the people!
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The COMPTEXT Association @comptext.bsky.social · 26/04/2025
After 3 packed days of research, workshops, and networking, #COMPTEXT2025 has officially wrapped up! In 48+ panels, 220+ presentations, and a full day of tutorials we received a great review of the state-of-the-art in our field. Thanks everyone and see you next year!
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Centre for European Studies and Comparative Politics @sciencespo-cee.bsky.social · 24/04/2025
3 young scholars from our centre present at #COMPTEXT2025 in Vienna on Fri & Sat: @jdeyris.bsky.social on Fed discourses @selmasarenkapa.bsky.social on social group constructions @luissattelmayer.bsky.social on party positions #TextAsData cc @comptext.bsky.social @edr-sciencespo.bsky.social
Framing the Domestic Economy: Media, Policy, and Public Perception
Time: Friday, 25/Apr/2025: 10:45am - 12:15pm · Location: SR 04
Session Chair: Matilde Ceron, University of Salzburg
Discussant: Hugo Subtil, University of Zurich
Hidden barriers to open competition: Using text mining to uncover corrupt restrictions to competition in
public procurement
Eszter Katona1,3, Mihály Fazekas2,3
1Eötvös Loránd University, Hungary; 2Central European University; 3Government Transparency Institute
From Prices to Politics: Framing the Causes of Inflation at the Federal Reserve (1970-2023)
Benjamin Braun1, Jérôme Deyris2, Monica DiLeo3
1London School of Economics; 2Sciences Po, France; 3Hertie School, Berlin
Salience and anti-elitism of wealth elites in UK newspapers
Michael Kevin Vaughan
London School of Economics and Political Science, United Kingdom
Shifting Priorities: How the New Economic Reality Influences Youth Perspectives in Türkiye
Ayşe Zeynep Zülfikar1, Ubeyd Öktem1,2
1Koç University, Türkiye; 2Bilgi University, TürkiyeDiscourses On Group Identities and Their Measurement
Time: Saturday, 26/Apr/2025: 4:30pm - 6:00pm · Location: SR 06
Session Chair: Marvin Stecker, University of Vienna
Discussant: Camilo Cristancho, Universitat de Barcelona
Politicians’ discursive use of social identities and citizens’ self-identification
Naama Rivlin-Angert1, Yael R. Kaplan2, Guy Mor-Lan3
1The Hebrew University of Jerusalem, Israel; 2The Open University of Israel; 3The Hebrew University of Jerusalem, Israel
Is social group construction susceptible to crises?
Selma Sarenkapa
Sciences Po Paris, France
SocialNER - A general method to detect social groups in computational text analysis
Jonas Buettner, Pascal Jürgens, Nils Schwager
Trier University, Germany
Using LLMs to Detect Group Appeals in Parties’ Election Manifestos
Will Horne1, Alona O. Dolinsky2, Lena Maria Huber3
1Clemson University; 2VU Amsterdam; 3MZES, University of MannheimPolitics in Data, oven-ready: A Showcase Of New Datasets
Time: Friday, 25/Apr/2025: 5:00pm - 6:15pm · Location: BIG Hörsaal lecture hall
Session Chair: Christian Rauh, WZB Berlin Social Science Center
Analyzing Sentiments towards the European Union in Slovak Parliamentary Speeches (1994–2023)
Jakub Szabo
Comenius University in Bratislava, Slovak Republic
EuroParlBase: A Linked Database of European Parliament Data
Verena Kunz
University of Mannheim & GESIS - Leibniz Institute for the Social Sciences, Germany
ParlLawSpeech
Jan Schwalbach1, Lukas Hetzer2, Proksch Sven-Oliver2, Rauh Christian3, Sebők Miklós4
1Gesis Cologne; 2University of Cologne; 3WZB Berlin, University of Potsdam; 4Centre for Social Sciences Budapest
The US Congressional Speeches Dataset, 1879-2022
Segun Aroyehun
University of Konstanz, Germany
The Weimar Parliament Database
Benjamin Rohr1, John Levi Martin2, Jan Kamlah1, Julius Diener1, David Schweizer1
1University of Mannheim, Germany; 2University of Chicago, USA
Group Appeals in Historical Perspective—Comparing Over 50 Years of Parties’ Election Campaign
Communication with Social Groups.
Alona O. Dolinsky1, Lena Maria Huber2, Will Horne3
1VU Amsterdam; 2MZES, University of Mannheim; 3Clemson University
PartySoMe: Measuring party behavior and issue attention in 25 countries on Facebook, Instagram,
Twitter, and YouTube
Luis Sattelmayer, Malo Jan
SciencesPo Paris, FranceShaping Politics: Constituency Influence, Parliamentary Debates, and Voter
Priorities through Data-Driven Insights
Time: Saturday, 26/Apr/2025: 4:30pm - 6:00pm · Location: SR 04
Session Chair: Alex Hartland, University of Saarland
Discussant: Nicolai Berk, ETH Zurich
Representing Prestige and Debt: How Local Attributes Influence Saliency and Ideology in Higher
Education Discourse
Sarah King
University College Dublin, Ireland
Discourse about the Left and Right in a Postcommunist Context: The Czech Case
Štěpán Jabůrek, Jan Vondráček, Vojtěch Pohanka, Tomáš Kremla
Charles University, Czech Republic
Different priorities, different phrasing: Exploring gender differences in open-text responses to the ‘most
important issue’ question.
Louise Luxton1, Ceri Fowler2
1University of Manchester; 2St Hilda's College, University of Oxford
United We Stand, Divided We Fall: Mainstream Party Agreement and Vote Switching to Far Right
Competitors
Luis Sattelmayer
SciencesPo Paris, France
Meanings of "The West" in Central and Eastern European Party Rhetoric
Silvia Porciuleanu
European University Institute, Italy
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Isabelle Guinaudeau @iguinaudeau.bsky.social · 28/03/2025
Les promesses électorales n'engagent-elles que ceux qui les écoutent ? La délégation @cnrs-idf-villejuif.bsky.social m'a invitée à présenter mes recherches dans une petite vidéo 😊 Featuring @egrossman.bsky.social et @selmasarenkapa.bsky.social, et c'est par ici 👇 www.youtube.com/watch?v=M84O...
youtube.com
Isabelle Guinaudeau, les élections au prisme des promesses politiques | Talents CNRS
YouTube video by CNRS
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Nicolai Berk @nicolaiberk.bsky.social · 09/02/2025
Now available Open Access: 📰 Does (immigration) framing influence public opinion? 🧵 www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
tandfonline.com
The Impact of Media Framing in Complex Information Environments
To what extent do news frames influence public opinion? While a large body of experimental research suggests sizable effects, it is unclear how these findings translate to authentically complex inf...
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Christopher Wratil 🇺🇦 #StandWithUkraine @chriswratil.bsky.social · 07/02/2025
You wonder how the CDU/CSU playing with the "Brandmauer" to AfD last week has influenced German voters? @mafaldapratas.bsky.social @jmfernandes86.bsky.social & I have you covered. We surveyed sample of 2,000 German voters. 🧵with first results 👇. Spoiler: It did not go down as well as CDU/CSU hoped.
bundestag.de
Deutscher Bundestag - Unionsgesetz zur Zustrom­begrenzung mit knapper Mehr­heit abgelehnt
Der Bundestag hat das sogenannte Zustrombegrenzungsgesetz der CDU/CSU-Fraktion (20/12804) mit knapper Mehrheit abgelehnt. Gegen die Initiative votierten am Freitag, 31. Januar 2025,...
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Selma Sarenkapa @selmasarenkapa.bsky.social · 01/10/2023
Grateful for the great experience at Gesis Fall Seminar! 🍂🫶🏼Spent two weeks of intense learning in Webscraping and Advanced Textual Analysis w @haukelicht.bsky.social, @allisonwkoh.bsky.social & Jennifer Scurell. Mind is officially blown now onto the actual work! Thanks to ScPo & CEE for the funding
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