iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

Ryan @ryan62.bsky.social · 07/10/2026

So with the NY poll last night I decided to do a quick analysis of the Bay Area, looking at every municipality over 5k population in DRA Pretty clear trend: the wealthier the municipality, the worst Prop 50 did relative to Harris. Atherton swung nearly 14 points right!

Scatterplot comparing the swing in Bay Area municipalities from the 2024 Presidential Election to Prop. 50 vs. median household income

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J@c0b @reubenemoji.bsky.social · 03/10/2026

Seriously, d trip and HMP need to fucking get on it.

Sometimes I'm going about my day, driving or whatever, and I'm suddenly like "there is a Republican candidate (Brandon Herrera) who is the most disgusting sick evil perverse vile groyper imaginable, and yet our local airwaves aren't saturated with anti-Herrera ads. His opponent doesn't have much money and is finally going up with an ad, but I'm just like, what the fuck are you DOING, outside money??? If democrats had a candidate in a competitive seat anywhere near as bad, we would literally never hear the end of it across the country.

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Baptiste Lerak @baptistelerak.bsky.social · 30/09/2026

Bsky libs still condescendingly answering with some variation of "you're just depressed" when anyone to their left expresses general anguish and malaise at the state of things in their city/country and the world despite *wave hands* is a big tell they're simply ngmi.

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Ben McAdams (The Resurrection Arc) @purrtah.bsky.social · 25/09/2026

A majority of Texans have not heard Bo French’s remarks, however those who have break strongly against him. Dem Rosenthal needs money secure.actblue.com/donate/rosen...

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Ben McAdams (The Resurrection Arc) @purrtah.bsky.social · 23/09/2026

Texas Marist poll is out, Talarico +6 Hinojosa +3 maristpoll.marist.edu/wp-content/u...

maristpoll.marist.edu

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Ryan @ryan62.bsky.social · 10/09/2026

Very funny that McKee getting annihilated in RI Gov was so clear from the polling that “first incumbent governor defeated in a primary since 2018” is basically a nonstory

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Kevin @reginageorgebush.bsky.social · 10/09/2026

Rhode Island is mostly a status quo night, but the left will pick up one or two Warwick state House seats *and* soundly defeat Providence Mayor Brett Smiley

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Ryan @ryan62.bsky.social · 09/09/2026

How did NH Dems not find anyone better than Cinde Warmington to run for governor

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Ryan @ryan62.bsky.social · 08/09/2026

I have lost so much respect for Maine over the past year but somehow it’s still not the worst New England state

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Ryan @ryan62.bsky.social · 07/09/2026

No idea how much I’ll do for this but I wrote something in preparation for the midterms! This one is about Tarrant County, TX: the massive swing county that kicked off the gerrymandering wars and is currently run by a guy who wasted millions of dollars to try and keep Mexicans out of his city

countywatch.beehiiv.com

Tarrant County, Texas

Texas' most pivotal county for the midterms

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Ryan @ryan62.bsky.social · 04/09/2026

I think autism scrambles these things because every quiz like this thinks I’m from California

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emma best 🏳️‍🌈🏴‍☠️🏳️‍⚧️ Mxy @emma.best · 19/08/2026

RT if you want immigration enforcement in every form to disappear tomorrow

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Ryan @ryan62.bsky.social · 02/09/2026

It’s so hot outside

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Amy @lolennui.bsky.social · 25/08/2026

You got to live at the same time as Dolly Parton!! What a gift.

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Mayor Zohran Kwame Mamdani @mayor.nyc.gov · 25/08/2026

This is truly heartbreaking. Dolly Parton was an extraordinary person and an irreplaceable champion of the working class. We are a better country because of her.

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Ryan @ryan62.bsky.social · 26/08/2026

Wasn’t able to watch SC’s primary but I find it very funny that Greenville hates the Graham family so much that it voted for Ralph Norman by more than his own district

Greenville County, Norman 67 to Graham 33

York County, in Norman’s Congressional district, Norman 64 to Graham 36

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Ryan @ryan62.bsky.social · 24/08/2026

I think I’m pretty willing to live in most cities of some reasonable size. I don’t think I’d give any state an absolute never

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LOWρUFO 🇺🇦🇵🇸🌍 @lowrhoufo.bsky.social · 19/08/2026

It should be much easier for people with an ADHD diagnosis to get access to stimulants, and largely this should be true for people without a diagnosis too

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Uncrewed @uncrewed.bsky.social · 19/08/2026

THE DEMOCRATS HAVE FLIPPED PENNSYLVANIA'S #HD12 (Trump+18): Brandon Dukes (D)- 50.3% Scott Timko (R)- 49.7%

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Chatham Harrison dba TRUMP DELENDUS EST @chathamharrison.bsky.social · 19/08/2026

This is what happens when you forget to campaign against your challenger because you assume you've got the race in hand, & spend the entire primary tacking to the center

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Ryan @ryan62.bsky.social · 19/08/2026

Jesus Christ Duval just dropped a nuke on Vindman. Ik Nixon is from there but 78% is insane

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Ryan @ryan62.bsky.social · 19/08/2026

Holy shit Angie Nixon

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Aaron Rupar @atrupar.com · 18/08/2026

Ken Paxton spokesperson endorses privatizing Social Security

retweet by Paxton spokesperson Madison Cercy: In 2001 George W Bush proposed a partial privatization plan for Social Security so you could put 10% of your SS contribution into the markets.

People rejected this.

We can now see that if it had passed, the 10% that went into the markets would have outperformed the 90% the government managed, the program would be solvent, and the average SS recipient would be receiving 2X what they currently receive.

The worst bet you’ll ever make is betting on government.

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mtsw @mtsw.bsky.social · 17/08/2026

The thing that is happening is not that the explosion of growth in the southwest has strained water supplies, it's that a steady rate of water irrigation for cash crop agriculture has met a steady decline in Colorado River flows due to climate change. Human settlement basically doesn't matter!

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mtsw @mtsw.bsky.social · 17/08/2026

A fun and surprising fact is that there is actually plenty of water for human habitation in the southwest! In fact, Phoenix peaked in water use in the 1970s even though its population has exploded, because converting farmland to housing or industrial uses SAVES tons of water bsky.app/profile/jdba...

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Adam Bonica @adambonica.bsky.social · 16/08/2026

The fundraising texts you delete are working on someone. It’s infuriating and heartbreaking. An 85yo in Ohio gave more than double the value of his home. A 91yo in an Indianapolis senior facility gave 25K times. The DCCC/DSCC don’t just tolerate the spammers who exploit seniors. They take part.

data4democracy.substack.com

Hook and Squeeze

How Democratic consultants, committees, and party leaders built a fundraising spam pipeline that funnels money from a captive pool of elderly donors into their own operations.

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Ryan @ryan62.bsky.social · 15/08/2026

What’s everyone favorite Pokemon starter? Mine is Chikorita

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Ryan @ryan62.bsky.social · 12/08/2026

Briefly looking away from Wisconsin: what an absolute humiliation in CT-01. He won't lose as bad as Goldman did in NY-10 but that's because Lander was Goldman's only opponent, Larson is currently getting a lower voteshare than Goldman did

The Democratic primary for Connecticut's First Congressional district, incumbent John Larson trails with only 32.7% of the vote to challenger Luke Bronin's 54.4%.

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Micah @rincewind.run · 12/08/2026

that’s fucking right

Peggy Flanagan wearing a protect trans kids shirt

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Ryan @ryan62.bsky.social · 12/08/2026

HENNEPIN NUKE COMES IN

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Ryan @ryan62.bsky.social · 12/08/2026

Can Hennepin please do something

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Ryan @ryan62.bsky.social · 12/08/2026

Stearns County (St. Cloud) comes in at Flanagan+16 with almost everything in. Given that Craig was supposed to dominate outside of the Twin Cities, this seems very encouraging for Flanagan

Stearns County election results for Minnesota Senate primary, Peggy Flanagan has 57% while Angie Craig has 41%

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Taniel @taniel.bsky.social · 12/08/2026

RESULT in #MN02: The Democratic primary to replace Rep. Angie Craig (who is running for Senate) was won by a progressive candidate to her left: state Senator Matt Little easily prevailed in a three-way race that drew a lot of spending.

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Ryan @ryan62.bsky.social · 12/08/2026

Flanagan is LEADING Craig in the heart of her home turf, Dakota County, with 61% in

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Ryan @ryan62.bsky.social · 12/08/2026

Early but Hong seems to be running away with it with Latinos

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Ryan @ryan62.bsky.social · 12/08/2026

Anoka dropping Flanagan+17 with 61% in seems incredibly encouraging

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Ryan @ryan62.bsky.social · 07/08/2026

Despite narrowly trailing in the county mayoral race, Dems look to have flipped two seats on the Hamilton County Commission, which would move the commission from 8-3 to a narrow 6-5. (Trump+13 county) Both of the Rs here were incumbents!

Hamilton County Commission District 11 results, Dem Montrell Besley leads 55.8 to 44.2

Hamilton County Commission District 8 results, Dem Joshua Wichman leads 55.2 to 44.8

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Ryan @ryan62.bsky.social · 06/08/2026

Tennessee has its general election for several local governments today, so here's some I'm watching. I have no indication that any of these are necessarily going to be competitive, but based purely on the county they have the potential to be interesting:

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Bayliss Wagner @baylisswagner.bsky.social · 05/08/2026

New: Trump-endorsed Navy veteran Amir Hassan lost the GOP primary to a candidate who suspended his campaign, never filed a finance report and endorsed someone else. The winner, Tom Smith, did not even make an account w/ the FEC. His handwritten letter to the agency:🧵

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Ryan @ryan62.bsky.social · 05/08/2026

Current state of the gubernatorial primary composition, using the NYT's numbers. The smallest shift from 2024 margin was in Ottawa County, which is still 5 points left of where it was in 2024

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Ryan @ryan62.bsky.social · 05/08/2026

Probably the best sign for Dems last night: in every county that was under Trump+20 in 2024 but one, more votes were cast in the (relatively boring) Dem gubernatorial primary than the more competitive Republican gubernatorial primary

A chart showing vote totals for the respective Democratic and Republican gubernatorial primaries in various Michigan counties. In all but one, the Democratic total exceeds the Republican total.

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Sam @samd.bsky.social · 05/08/2026

based on how close it was I legit think that Stevens would have won if she didn’t talk about how Israel comes to her in her dreams

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Ryan @ryan62.bsky.social · 05/08/2026

Fascinating that the UP seems to be much more progressive than other rural white-majority parts of Michigan

A map of results in the Democratic Senate primary in Michigan, El-Sayed leads in most counties in the Upper Peninsula

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World’s Biggest Stagflation Truther @corncobanalysis.bsky.social · 05/08/2026

Dems heavily outvoted Republicans in the MI-04 (Huizenga) primary. 99.7K to 84.2K (54/46) This was Trump +6, Rogers +6 and Huizenga +12

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Ryan @ryan62.bsky.social · 05/08/2026

The high-profile nature of the Senate race vs. the relatively boring Republican primaries probably had a big impact, but in completed Michigan counties Democrats are showing up at much higher rates than Republicans

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Ryan @ryan62.bsky.social · 05/08/2026

Half in now and Hassan is doing *worse*

The Republican primary for Michigan’s 8th Congressional district. Trump-endorsed candidate Amir Hassan trails Thomas J. Smith, who dropped out in mid-July, 50.3-33.3.

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Ryan @ryan62.bsky.social · 05/08/2026

Good reminder of why you shouldn’t read too much into limited results! I had assumed the initial vote drops were gonna be the most favorable to Stevens, that’s egg on my face there

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