World’s Biggest Stagflation Truther @corncobanalysis.bsky.social · 2hMike Rogers may end up as the federal candidate with the most negative ads spent against him in the 2020s. the Dems will have spent close to $200M running against the guy in just 2 years. And no, that does not bode well for his chances, he’s totally defined and 97% of Dems will never vote for him. 0150
World’s Biggest Stagflation Truther @corncobanalysis.bsky.social · 3hfunny how the unity ticket coverage got way less engagement than infighting 2416
World’s Biggest Stagflation Truther @corncobanalysis.bsky.social · 3hThis race has made me question why the Republicans thought it'd be good idea to open up the Senate seat early in the first place. I'd go as far to say that Dems should avoid picking any sitting Senators for VP unless it's a state where they can do appointments for the whole term... 6200
World’s Biggest Stagflation Truther @corncobanalysis.bsky.social · 13hThese are really some huge divergences, what bizarre political realignment is going on here? 5162
Reposted by World’s Biggest Stagflation TrutherElectionCord @electioncord.com · 13hI made this live on-stream, shows the 5 Marist polls we have gotten in late September! 2173
World’s Biggest Stagflation Truther @corncobanalysis.bsky.social · 13hThe Marist Congressional ballot was D+9 Would be about a 10pt swing left from 2024 (d+7-8 national implied) 1110
Reposted by World’s Biggest Stagflation TrutherElectionCord @electioncord.com · 22hThe main reason? 81% of Democrats say they will definitely vote, while 71% of Republicans say the same thing. I also imagine the independents are split like this. For what it's worth though, I would have included definitely and probably will vote in an LV screen. 052
Reposted by World’s Biggest Stagflation TrutherElectionCord @electioncord.com · 15hWe are doing a test stream for election day! If you join, we might answer some of your questions! LINK: www.twitch.tv/tepig4321twitch.tvTepig4321 - Live on TwitchElectionCord: Test Stream | Streaming politics. 043
World’s Biggest Stagflation Truther @corncobanalysis.bsky.social · 16hOf course this absolutely moronic messaging goes over well on bluesky 😭 170
Reposted by World’s Biggest Stagflation TrutherMagenta @magentab.bsky.social · 29/09/2026so something that i'm noticing in NJ mail-in voting is that early returns are way up across the board the return rate for democrats is currently 13.3%, which is almost double that of the return rate at this point last year (7.3%) even GOP mail returns are up even though that increase is not as big 5278
Reposted by World’s Biggest Stagflation TrutherDj @djsoke.bsky.social · 29/09/2026These numbers are very early still, and obv very bad for Rs - but even making huge assumptions that they 1) cleanly reflect vote intent 2) are sustained and 3) get mirrored nationally They still wouldn’t suggest a D+15 year 4404
World’s Biggest Stagflation Truther @corncobanalysis.bsky.social · 29/09/2026it's actually insane that these are real people, but as we've seen in some New England, PNW, and Florida polling, they are real. 150
World’s Biggest Stagflation Truther @corncobanalysis.bsky.social · 29/09/2026to get to D+15 you'd need something like an 8-9% differential turnout effect (let's say a Harris +7 national electorate!). I just don't think that's possible given how much money is being spent in elections now. The alternative is winning off persuasion that we haven't seen in polls yet. 5160
World’s Biggest Stagflation Truther @corncobanalysis.bsky.social · 29/09/2026ope they stumbled into a competent leader… 130
World’s Biggest Stagflation Truther @corncobanalysis.bsky.social · 29/09/2026Burnham’s speech was really quite good. as with Carney, I completely forgot what it was like for a political leader to make a coherent policy speech in English, so even if I disagree with Labour it just sounded impressive. 1110
World’s Biggest Stagflation Truther @corncobanalysis.bsky.social · 29/09/2026El-Sayed +5 and Benson +7 on this Cygnal/Beacon Research poll. Both firms have high ratings. enjoyer.com/michigan-pol...enjoyer.comWho Is Likely to Win the Michigan Midterms?Full results from a survey of 600 likely Michigan voters on the races for governor, U.S. Senate and statewide office, the candidates, and the issues. 3443
World’s Biggest Stagflation Truther @corncobanalysis.bsky.social · 29/09/2026Trump's approval on the economy with young people is -62 with the 18-29 cohort. That means a significant chunk of young conservatives basically hate his economy (note that it's just -12 and -9 with the older age cohorts). 060
World’s Biggest Stagflation Truther @corncobanalysis.bsky.social · 29/09/2026On NYT/Siena, 91% of people 18-29 thought the economy was fair or poor. 62% outright thought it was poor. Crazy, but this might be more impactful than your insane psychosexual obsession with politicians' tweets. 150
Reposted by World’s Biggest Stagflation TrutherDavid Crowley Stan @fanofsheldon.bsky.social · 29/09/2026Suffolk also decided to poll Portage County. It’s an Obama trump county where Republican voteshare has increased every election year since 2012. Trump won it 57-41.5. Suffolk finds Ramaswamy leading Acton 49-46 with a recalled vote of Trump + 6. www.suffolk.edu/-/media/suff...suffolk.edu 2163
World’s Biggest Stagflation Truther @corncobanalysis.bsky.social · 29/09/2026Someone made an Oregon political simulation and it accurately depicts the state as completely ungovernable andrewdamitio.github.io/oregon_polit...andrewdamitio.github.ioStatecraft: OregonYou have been elected governor of Oregon. Budgets, laws, appointments, coalitions and elections: eight years to leave the state better than you found it. 4287
World’s Biggest Stagflation Truther @corncobanalysis.bsky.social · 29/09/2026I’m sure that 2020-2022 black hole of suffering had no wider effects on society and everything is cool 090
World’s Biggest Stagflation Truther @corncobanalysis.bsky.social · 29/09/2026AOC certainly trying to say…something (???) about her 2028 plans in this text 4643
World’s Biggest Stagflation Truther @corncobanalysis.bsky.social · 29/09/2026There are people on here and Twitter who will tell you with a straight face that the Gen Z polling w/a supermajority caring about the economy, jobs, healthcare, and housing as their top issues are fake, and that the real top issue for Gen Z is how effeminate Dem staffers are. 1285
World’s Biggest Stagflation Truther @corncobanalysis.bsky.social · 28/09/2026I also want to add that this happened despite Dems outvoting Republicans in Miami-Dade, it was breathtaking stuff. www.freshtake.vote/2026P/index....freshtake.vote2026 Florida Primary Election TurnoutGet the latest turnout numbers for the State of Florida. Brought to you by Fresh Take Florida, a news service of the University of Florida College of Journalism and Communications. 1271
World’s Biggest Stagflation Truther @corncobanalysis.bsky.social · 28/09/2026Just want to note the primary turnout in Florida was R+15. Yes, it was closed, but if we’re using primary vote as a heuristic nationally, Florida was practically the only state Republicans did well in. 1220
World’s Biggest Stagflation Truther @corncobanalysis.bsky.social · 28/09/2026(Apology for using RCP, but 538's chart of this is erased) It's underdiscussed how Trump managed to rescue his favorables after the 2022 midterm failure for R's You can see it start to perk up as Biden dipped in 2022, but the last surge had to be from the 2024 primary campaign ads. 3140
World’s Biggest Stagflation Truther @corncobanalysis.bsky.social · 28/09/2026Can I say something??? I don't like how the term "reactionary" got appropriated by modern users to mean "a person quick to reacting to anything at all" Its proper use is someone diametrically opposed to the progressive forces of history unleashed by the French Revolution. Get it right. 2130
Reposted by World’s Biggest Stagflation TrutherElectionCord @electioncord.com · 28/09/2026Party Trust Issues since 8/1 Averaged: Healthcare: D+19 Democracy: D+11 Inflation: D+11 International Trade: D+9 Cost of Living: D+9 Economy: D+6 Corruption: D+5 Foreign Policy: D+4 AI: D+3 ------------ Immigration: R+4 Crime: R+9 Border Security: R+19 1146
World’s Biggest Stagflation Truther @corncobanalysis.bsky.social · 28/09/2026oh it's even more over than anyone could have imagined 240
World’s Biggest Stagflation Truther @corncobanalysis.bsky.social · 28/09/2026I also think that, frankly, the whole cycle of attacking Hasan Piker or some other random influencers wasn't working for the Republicans. As soon as the MAGA Inc money started coming in, they went back to the well w/attacking Woke 1 and white leftist ultras, which probably message-tests better. 070
World’s Biggest Stagflation Truther @corncobanalysis.bsky.social · 28/09/2026We have all these elite-level conversations about left-wing "activist" culture in September and October because of GOP ad blitzes, right? You all were not discussing this before the 2025 NJ Governor election 🤣 1222
World’s Biggest Stagflation Truther @corncobanalysis.bsky.social · 28/09/2026(good) answer aside, has anyone in the field been more obviously trying to win the 2028 nom? 1211
World’s Biggest Stagflation Truther @corncobanalysis.bsky.social · 28/09/2026this is not a shot at Zohran, but we all know that Sanchez has run the Spanish left into a ditch recently and is about to be persona non grata, surely? 190
World’s Biggest Stagflation Truther @corncobanalysis.bsky.social · 28/09/2026Dallas can still win if Lula has the courage 040
Reposted by World’s Biggest Stagflation TrutherElectionCord @electioncord.com · 27/09/2026Check out the articles we released this week! From @corncobanalysis.bsky.social: 2026 Primaries: electioncord.com/newsletter-t... 5 Seats the Dems Should Target: electioncord.com/five-seats-t... From me: Differences Between 2018 and 2026 Midterms: electioncord.com/the-differen...electioncord.comNewsletter: The 2026 Democratic Primaries, In Retrospect 053
World’s Biggest Stagflation Truther @corncobanalysis.bsky.social · 27/09/2026would like to note that Choosin' Texas was also No. 1 in Australia, Ireland, the UK, and Canada...narrative violation 2120
World’s Biggest Stagflation Truther @corncobanalysis.bsky.social · 26/09/2026And yeah, if you had to ask me the most likely 2026 polling error, it probably is with White voters and their turnout/persuasion. Right now polls are suggesting they aren’t going to show up because they’re demoralized and angry, but that could change. 3173
World’s Biggest Stagflation Truther @corncobanalysis.bsky.social · 26/09/2026Lakshya Jain identifying a similar potential error with whites I mean, there are practically infinite ways a poll can be wrong (I identified at least 13 for this cycle), so you just have to hope it’s accurate. (And yes, if more of them arrive, then the defection rate would decrease) 4170
World’s Biggest Stagflation Truther @corncobanalysis.bsky.social · 25/09/2026Don’t even try reading the auto-generated screenshot, but Dems initially thinking they were cooked in ME-02 after the primary to now dumping money on Matt Dunlap shows how the environment has moved. 0111
World’s Biggest Stagflation Truther @corncobanalysis.bsky.social · 25/09/2026Some big ad buys against historically overperforming Republicans, including two we highlighted in our article (OH-15 and OH-10). electioncord.com/five-seats-t...electioncord.comFive Seats That Dems Should Target ASAP 022
World’s Biggest Stagflation Truther @corncobanalysis.bsky.social · 25/09/2026The Vermont poll was way too young relative to the real electorate. But Scott is likely to turn in his worst performance, so, that’s at least directionally real 080
Reposted by World’s Biggest Stagflation TrutherBen McAdams (The Resurrection Arc) @purrtah.bsky.social · 24/09/2026No way did the Hinojosa get the Jan 6 attendee into a ad 1940261
World’s Biggest Stagflation Truther @corncobanalysis.bsky.social · 24/09/2026DSCC/Schumer just dropped an $8.5M buy for Sherrod Brown! Huge spend to try and counteract the crypto ads for Husted. And big spending for Troy Jackson and Josh Turek. AES and Cooper starting to drop off a bit, they might be satisfied there for now 2211
Reposted by World’s Biggest Stagflation TrutherElectionCord @electioncord.com · 24/09/2026People to be honest are overreacting to polls right now. While I do understand having a lack of information about November leads to us dissecting every little piece we can get our hands... But they're just polls at the end of the day. Put them in the average in move on! 3217
Reposted by World’s Biggest Stagflation TrutherElectionCord @electioncord.com · 24/09/2026NEW: While the 2018 Midterms were good for Dems, and the 2026 Midterms are likely to be good for Dems, that the underlying reasons for why are very different. I discussed the why and the how, and really how every election is very different! LINK: electioncord.com/the-differen... 0176
World’s Biggest Stagflation Truther @corncobanalysis.bsky.social · 24/09/2026Oh, and also bc Donalds is winning Hispanic voters by 7% 271
World’s Biggest Stagflation Truther @corncobanalysis.bsky.social · 24/09/2026Stetson has a Florida poll out: Donalds leading Jolly 51-39 Moody leading Nixon 51-40 www.stetson.edu/artsci/cpor/...stetson.edu 4120
World’s Biggest Stagflation Truther @corncobanalysis.bsky.social · 24/09/2026I do think this effect may end up happening, especially in regard to what appears to be meh polling in New Mexico or especially California Every Prop 50 poll in CA 2025 vastly undershot the margin, this ended up being Yes +29, but no polls indicated that. 171
World’s Biggest Stagflation Truther @corncobanalysis.bsky.social · 24/09/2026It is rather amusing that this cycle has shown cheating on your wife is considered the worst sin in American culture 1110