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World’s Biggest Stagflation Truther

@corncobanalysis.bsky.social
1.2K followers 204 following 10K posts

🤯 woke degree holder read takes at electioncord.com

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World’s Biggest Stagflation Truther @corncobanalysis.bsky.social · 2h
Mike Rogers may end up as the federal candidate with the most negative ads spent against him in the 2020s. the Dems will have spent close to $200M running against the guy in just 2 years. And no, that does not bode well for his chances, he’s totally defined and 97% of Dems will never vote for him.
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World’s Biggest Stagflation Truther @corncobanalysis.bsky.social · 3h
funny how the unity ticket coverage got way less engagement than infighting
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World’s Biggest Stagflation Truther @corncobanalysis.bsky.social · 3h
This race has made me question why the Republicans thought it'd be good idea to open up the Senate seat early in the first place. I'd go as far to say that Dems should avoid picking any sitting Senators for VP unless it's a state where they can do appointments for the whole term...
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World’s Biggest Stagflation Truther @corncobanalysis.bsky.social · 13h
These are really some huge divergences, what bizarre political realignment is going on here?
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ElectionCord @electioncord.com · 13h
I made this live on-stream, shows the 5 Marist polls we have gotten in late September!
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World’s Biggest Stagflation Truther @corncobanalysis.bsky.social · 13h
The Marist Congressional ballot was D+9 Would be about a 10pt swing left from 2024 (d+7-8 national implied)
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ElectionCord @electioncord.com · 22h
The main reason? 81% of Democrats say they will definitely vote, while 71% of Republicans say the same thing. I also imagine the independents are split like this. For what it's worth though, I would have included definitely and probably will vote in an LV screen.
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ElectionCord @electioncord.com · 15h
We are doing a test stream for election day! If you join, we might answer some of your questions! LINK: www.twitch.tv/tepig4321
twitch.tv
Tepig4321 - Live on Twitch
ElectionCord: Test Stream | Streaming politics.
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World’s Biggest Stagflation Truther @corncobanalysis.bsky.social · 16h
Of course this absolutely moronic messaging goes over well on bluesky 😭
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Magenta @magentab.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
so something that i'm noticing in NJ mail-in voting is that early returns are way up across the board the return rate for democrats is currently 13.3%, which is almost double that of the return rate at this point last year (7.3%) even GOP mail returns are up even though that increase is not as big
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Dj @djsoke.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
These numbers are very early still, and obv very bad for Rs - but even making huge assumptions that they 1) cleanly reflect vote intent 2) are sustained and 3) get mirrored nationally They still wouldn’t suggest a D+15 year
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World’s Biggest Stagflation Truther @corncobanalysis.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
it's actually insane that these are real people, but as we've seen in some New England, PNW, and Florida polling, they are real.
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World’s Biggest Stagflation Truther @corncobanalysis.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
to get to D+15 you'd need something like an 8-9% differential turnout effect (let's say a Harris +7 national electorate!). I just don't think that's possible given how much money is being spent in elections now. The alternative is winning off persuasion that we haven't seen in polls yet.
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World’s Biggest Stagflation Truther @corncobanalysis.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
Hahaha it’s over.
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World’s Biggest Stagflation Truther @corncobanalysis.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
ope they stumbled into a competent leader…
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World’s Biggest Stagflation Truther @corncobanalysis.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
Burnham’s speech was really quite good. as with Carney, I completely forgot what it was like for a political leader to make a coherent policy speech in English, so even if I disagree with Labour it just sounded impressive.
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World’s Biggest Stagflation Truther @corncobanalysis.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
El-Sayed +5 and Benson +7 on this Cygnal/Beacon Research poll. Both firms have high ratings. enjoyer.com/michigan-pol...
enjoyer.com
Who Is Likely to Win the Michigan Midterms?
Full results from a survey of 600 likely Michigan voters on the races for governor, U.S. Senate and statewide office, the candidates, and the issues.
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World’s Biggest Stagflation Truther @corncobanalysis.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
Trump's approval on the economy with young people is -62 with the 18-29 cohort. That means a significant chunk of young conservatives basically hate his economy (note that it's just -12 and -9 with the older age cohorts).
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World’s Biggest Stagflation Truther @corncobanalysis.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
On NYT/Siena, 91% of people 18-29 thought the economy was fair or poor. 62% outright thought it was poor. Crazy, but this might be more impactful than your insane psychosexual obsession with politicians' tweets.
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David Crowley Stan @fanofsheldon.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
Suffolk also decided to poll Portage County. It’s an Obama trump county where Republican voteshare has increased every election year since 2012. Trump won it 57-41.5. Suffolk finds Ramaswamy leading Acton 49-46 with a recalled vote of Trump + 6. www.suffolk.edu/-/media/suff...
suffolk.edu
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World’s Biggest Stagflation Truther @corncobanalysis.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
Someone made an Oregon political simulation and it accurately depicts the state as completely ungovernable andrewdamitio.github.io/oregon_polit...
andrewdamitio.github.io
Statecraft: Oregon
You have been elected governor of Oregon. Budgets, laws, appointments, coalitions and elections: eight years to leave the state better than you found it.
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World’s Biggest Stagflation Truther @corncobanalysis.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
I’m sure that 2020-2022 black hole of suffering had no wider effects on society and everything is cool
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World’s Biggest Stagflation Truther @corncobanalysis.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
AOC certainly trying to say…something (???) about her 2028 plans in this text
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World’s Biggest Stagflation Truther @corncobanalysis.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
There are people on here and Twitter who will tell you with a straight face that the Gen Z polling w/a supermajority caring about the economy, jobs, healthcare, and housing as their top issues are fake, and that the real top issue for Gen Z is how effeminate Dem staffers are.
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World’s Biggest Stagflation Truther @corncobanalysis.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
I also want to add that this happened despite Dems outvoting Republicans in Miami-Dade, it was breathtaking stuff. www.freshtake.vote/2026P/index....
freshtake.vote
2026 Florida Primary Election Turnout
Get the latest turnout numbers for the State of Florida. Brought to you by Fresh Take Florida, a news service of the University of Florida College of Journalism and Communications.
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World’s Biggest Stagflation Truther @corncobanalysis.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
Just want to note the primary turnout in Florida was R+15. Yes, it was closed, but if we’re using primary vote as a heuristic nationally, Florida was practically the only state Republicans did well in.
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World’s Biggest Stagflation Truther @corncobanalysis.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
(Apology for using RCP, but 538's chart of this is erased) It's underdiscussed how Trump managed to rescue his favorables after the 2022 midterm failure for R's You can see it start to perk up as Biden dipped in 2022, but the last surge had to be from the 2024 primary campaign ads.
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World’s Biggest Stagflation Truther @corncobanalysis.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
Can I say something??? I don't like how the term "reactionary" got appropriated by modern users to mean "a person quick to reacting to anything at all" Its proper use is someone diametrically opposed to the progressive forces of history unleashed by the French Revolution. Get it right.
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ElectionCord @electioncord.com · 28/09/2026
Party Trust Issues since 8/1 Averaged: Healthcare: D+19 Democracy: D+11 Inflation: D+11 International Trade: D+9 Cost of Living: D+9 Economy: D+6 Corruption: D+5 Foreign Policy: D+4 AI: D+3 ------------ Immigration: R+4 Crime: R+9 Border Security: R+19
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World’s Biggest Stagflation Truther @corncobanalysis.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
oh it's even more over than anyone could have imagined
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World’s Biggest Stagflation Truther @corncobanalysis.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
I also think that, frankly, the whole cycle of attacking Hasan Piker or some other random influencers wasn't working for the Republicans. As soon as the MAGA Inc money started coming in, they went back to the well w/attacking Woke 1 and white leftist ultras, which probably message-tests better.
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World’s Biggest Stagflation Truther @corncobanalysis.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
We have all these elite-level conversations about left-wing "activist" culture in September and October because of GOP ad blitzes, right? You all were not discussing this before the 2025 NJ Governor election 🤣
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World’s Biggest Stagflation Truther @corncobanalysis.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
(good) answer aside, has anyone in the field been more obviously trying to win the 2028 nom?
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World’s Biggest Stagflation Truther @corncobanalysis.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
this is not a shot at Zohran, but we all know that Sanchez has run the Spanish left into a ditch recently and is about to be persona non grata, surely?
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World’s Biggest Stagflation Truther @corncobanalysis.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
Dallas can still win if Lula has the courage
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ElectionCord @electioncord.com · 27/09/2026
Check out the articles we released this week! From @corncobanalysis.bsky.social: 2026 Primaries: electioncord.com/newsletter-t... 5 Seats the Dems Should Target: electioncord.com/five-seats-t... From me: Differences Between 2018 and 2026 Midterms: electioncord.com/the-differen...
electioncord.com
Newsletter: The 2026 Democratic Primaries, In Retrospect
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World’s Biggest Stagflation Truther @corncobanalysis.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
would like to note that Choosin' Texas was also No. 1 in Australia, Ireland, the UK, and Canada...narrative violation
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World’s Biggest Stagflation Truther @corncobanalysis.bsky.social · 26/09/2026
And yeah, if you had to ask me the most likely 2026 polling error, it probably is with White voters and their turnout/persuasion. Right now polls are suggesting they aren’t going to show up because they’re demoralized and angry, but that could change.
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World’s Biggest Stagflation Truther @corncobanalysis.bsky.social · 26/09/2026
Lakshya Jain identifying a similar potential error with whites I mean, there are practically infinite ways a poll can be wrong (I identified at least 13 for this cycle), so you just have to hope it’s accurate. (And yes, if more of them arrive, then the defection rate would decrease)
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World’s Biggest Stagflation Truther @corncobanalysis.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
Don’t even try reading the auto-generated screenshot, but Dems initially thinking they were cooked in ME-02 after the primary to now dumping money on Matt Dunlap shows how the environment has moved.
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World’s Biggest Stagflation Truther @corncobanalysis.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
Some big ad buys against historically overperforming Republicans, including two we highlighted in our article (OH-15 and OH-10). electioncord.com/five-seats-t...
electioncord.com
Five Seats That Dems Should Target ASAP
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World’s Biggest Stagflation Truther @corncobanalysis.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
The Vermont poll was way too young relative to the real electorate. But Scott is likely to turn in his worst performance, so, that’s at least directionally real
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Ben McAdams (The Resurrection Arc) @purrtah.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
No way did the Hinojosa get the Jan 6 attendee into a ad
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World’s Biggest Stagflation Truther @corncobanalysis.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
DSCC/Schumer just dropped an $8.5M buy for Sherrod Brown! Huge spend to try and counteract the crypto ads for Husted. And big spending for Troy Jackson and Josh Turek. AES and Cooper starting to drop off a bit, they might be satisfied there for now
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ElectionCord @electioncord.com · 24/09/2026
People to be honest are overreacting to polls right now. While I do understand having a lack of information about November leads to us dissecting every little piece we can get our hands... But they're just polls at the end of the day. Put them in the average in move on!
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ElectionCord @electioncord.com · 24/09/2026
NEW: While the 2018 Midterms were good for Dems, and the 2026 Midterms are likely to be good for Dems, that the underlying reasons for why are very different. I discussed the why and the how, and really how every election is very different! LINK: electioncord.com/the-differen...
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World’s Biggest Stagflation Truther @corncobanalysis.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
Oh, and also bc Donalds is winning Hispanic voters by 7%
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World’s Biggest Stagflation Truther @corncobanalysis.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
Stetson has a Florida poll out: Donalds leading Jolly 51-39 Moody leading Nixon 51-40 www.stetson.edu/artsci/cpor/...
stetson.edu
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World’s Biggest Stagflation Truther @corncobanalysis.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
I do think this effect may end up happening, especially in regard to what appears to be meh polling in New Mexico or especially California Every Prop 50 poll in CA 2025 vastly undershot the margin, this ended up being Yes +29, but no polls indicated that.
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World’s Biggest Stagflation Truther @corncobanalysis.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
It is rather amusing that this cycle has shown cheating on your wife is considered the worst sin in American culture
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