Reposted by Robert WelzTariq Panja @tariqpanja.bsky.social · 25/09/2026This is a huge stain on the integrity of what this competition is. This club has, according to the panel, corrupted the top league in the nation’s most-popular sport for nearly a decade and it took nearly a decade to deal with and it is still not over with appeal almost certain. A real mess 517326
Reposted by Robert Welz@AAllenSport @aallensport.arseblog.com · 03/09/2026I have huge love for this man. He was a bright spark when we were in the trenches, scored some cracking (and important) goals and truly, madly, deeply loved The Arsenal. I fear you'll score against us one day, but until then, go enjoy those Saudi billions. ❤️ 626116
Reposted by Robert WelzPoorly Drawn Arsenal @poorlydrawnarsenal.com · 19/05/2026I am calm I am calm I am calm I am calm I am calm I am calm I am calm I am calm I am calm I am calm I am calm I am calm I am calm I am calm I am calm I am calm I am calm I am calm I am calm I am calm I am calm I am calm I am calm I am calm 2351452
Reposted by Robert WelzMatthias @nairoingreen.bsky.social · 12/04/2026I LOVE THIS BEAUTIFUL SPORT WOUT VAN AERT 934438
Reposted by Robert WelzHanning Voigts @hanvoi.bsky.social · 24/09/2025„Das ist kleinliche Pedanterie, man möchte fast sagen: Ideologischer Wahn.“ Mein FR-Kommentar zu den Absurditäten des hessischen „Genderverbots“. (hanvoi) www.fr.de/rhein-main/l...fr.de„Genderverbot“ in Hessen: Das ist keine Realpolitik, das ist ideologischer WahnIn Hessen wird eine Schule gezwungen, ihren Instagram-Account von Sonderzeichen zu säubern. Das „Genderverbot“ wird endgültig absurd. Ein Kommentar. 726070
Robert Welz @robertwelz.bsky.social · 23/06/2025New paper in @prxjournal.bsky.social We conducted 4 experiments in Germany to examine how voters respond when opposition parties choose conflict or cooperation with the government. Findings: Cooperation tends to win more support 🔗 doi.org/10.1080/2474... #polisky 13214
Reposted by Robert WelzSam @samlikeybikey.bsky.social · 31/05/2025Be still my beating heart! #giro #thatdamnedsmile 0396
Robert Welz @robertwelz.bsky.social · 31/05/2025What a stage. I can’t remember anything like this. What a performance by Wout 👑 #giro 030
Reposted by Robert WelzElectoral Studies @electoralstudies.bsky.social · 21/02/2025ON LEADERSHIP AND CAMPAIGN EFFECTS “Gone, but not forgotten? The German federal election 2021 and the effect of an incumbent who did not run”, by @inert-emergence.bsky.social, Fabio Best, Sascha Huber, and @robertwelz.bsky.social www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...sciencedirect.comGone, but not forgotten? The German federal election 2021 and the effect of an incumbent who did not runThe German federal election 2021 was remarkable partly because the incumbent chancellor Angela Merkel, albeit still popular, was not running for re-el… 132
Reposted by Robert WelzChristian Stecker @pluggedchris.bsky.social · 12/02/2025Immer wieder wichtig daran zu erinnern, dass die AfD zwar viel (ostdeutsche) Landmasse blau einfärben kann, dahinter aber aufgrund der Bevölkerungsdichte viel weniger Menschen stehen als suggeriert wird - und vor allem keine echten 50%+x Mehrheiten, sondern um die 30%. www.dvpw.de/blog/die-mac... 0159
Robert Welz @robertwelz.bsky.social · 30/01/2025👀buero-bundeskanzlerin-ad.deErklärung von Bundeskanzlerin a. D. Dr. Angela Merkel zur Abstimmung im Deutschen Bundestag am 29. Januar 2025 010
Reposted by Robert WelzIgor Levit @igorpianist.bsky.social · 29/01/202529. Januar 2025 Der Tag beginnt im Bundestag damit, dass man der Shoah gedenkt und er endet damit, dass Nazis jubeln. 13972422956
Reposted by Robert WelzConstantin Wurthmann @wurthmann.bsky.social · 10/01/2025📢 Neue Publikation: "Koalitionen mit der AfD? Determinanten der Präferenzbildung in Ost- und Westdeutschland vor der Bundestagswahl 2021" in Zeitschrift für Vergleichende Politikwissenschaft #AfD #CDU #FDP #CSU #Ostdeutschland #Westdeutschland #Koalitionspräferenzen link.springer.com/article/10.1...link.springer.comKoalitionen mit der AfD? Determinanten der Präferenzbildung in Ost- und Westdeutschland vor der Bundestagswahl 2021 - Zeitschrift für Vergleichende PolitikwissenschaftThe influence of coalition preferences on individual voting behaviour has been a substantial part of political science studies. But still, research on the formation of coalition preferences is in its ... 13310
Reposted by Robert WelzAnnika Brockschmidt @ardenthistorian.bsky.social · 23/12/2024Thilo Mischke, 2021, im Gespräch mit der Journalistin Nadine Primo. Niemand hat’s so schwer wie Thilo, außer *checks notes*… „Adolf Hitler vielleicht“?! 691017193
Robert Welz @robertwelz.bsky.social · 12/12/2024🤯 pictures in connections! I was so excited that I had to do the first group before I could take the screenshot @nytimes.com 010
Reposted by Robert WelzDaniel 🕹️ @strengejacke.de · 29/11/2024{ggeffects} version 2.0.0 is out now! Read more about this #rstats package at strengejacke.github.io/ggeffects What does {ggeffects} do? The 📦 helps you to understand (complex) models and results by calculating and plotting *estimated marginal means* or more generally, *adjusted predictions*. 🧵strengejacke.github.ioCreate Tidy Data Frames of Marginal Effects for ggplot from Model OutputsCompute marginal effects and adjusted predictions from statistical models and returns the result as tidy data frames. These data frames are ready to use with the ggplot2-package. Effects and predictio... 413236
Robert Welz @robertwelz.bsky.social · 29/11/2024Mittelschwere Krise in meinem intuitiven Verständnis der Pyramiden. Bei der FDP ist die Spitze der erste Schritt und das Fundament der letzte. So rum baut man doch keine Pyramide? 020
Reposted by Robert WelzPaul Kelleher @paulkelleher.net · 25/11/2024November 12, 1973 --- The day Philosophy & Public Affairs started treating Rawls like Jesus. 25409110
Reposted by Robert WelzWill Jennings📉🗳️ @drjennings.bsky.social · 18/11/2024I deleted nearly 90,000 tweets last night using this excellent free package. So long X. github.com/lucahammer/t...github.comGitHub - lucahammer/tweetXer: Delete all your Tweets for freeDelete all your Tweets for free. Contribute to lucahammer/tweetXer development by creating an account on GitHub. 4122146
Reposted by Robert WelzHolger Reinermann @inert-emergence.bsky.social · 17/11/2024What feeds do you have pinned that you think I am missing out on? Here are mine: 122
Reposted by Robert WelzHolger Reinermann @inert-emergence.bsky.social · 01/12/2023Polisky, we were able to go open access with our article "Gone, but not forgotten? The German federal election 2021 and the effect of an incumbent who did not run". Download it as often as you like - and maybe cite it here and there 😉 www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti... 011
Robert Welz @robertwelz.bsky.social · 11/11/2023Wieso steht der Entschluss, u.a. an Unis Sprache festzuschreiben (sic!) unter Punkt 10 „Freiheit“? Und wie spät wurde das alles verfasst, dass das direkt hinter mündigen Bürger*innen und „Anreize statt Verbote“ und „Beteiligung statt Bevormundung“ steht? 012
Robert Welz @robertwelz.bsky.social · 25/10/2023Anyone with best practices for data analysis (mostly R) on an ipad? Some of our students no longer have laptops. PC labs (need to be on site) and remote desktop (usability on the tablet and connectivity) work (but rather suboptimally). Any experience with posit cloud in class maybe? 021
Reposted by Robert WelzHolger Reinermann @inert-emergence.bsky.social · 20/10/2023Polisky! Fabio Best, Sascha Huber, @robertwelz.bsky.social and I have a thing in Electoral Studies. It's called "Gone, but not forgotten? The German federal election 2021 and the effect of an incumbent who did not run". Go get it for free until Dec 7: authors.elsevier.com/a/1hxskxRaZg...authors.elsevier.comClient Request ErrorScienceDirect 191
Robert Welz @robertwelz.bsky.social · 20/10/2023In our new article, we find: - Retiring incumbents (Merkel in 2021) can still play a role for vote intentions - This effect 'washes off' over the course of a campaign - Some of their popularity may 'rub off' on their successors if they manage to align themselves (which Laschet didn't)sciencedirect.comGone, but not forgotten? The German federal election 2021 and the effect of an incumbent who did not...The German federal election 2021 was remarkable partly because the incumbent chancellor Angela Merkel, albeit still popular, was not running for re-el… 041
Reposted by Robert WelzLukas Haffert @lhaffert.bsky.social · 20/10/2023Zwei der wichtigsten Gegensätze bei den Wahlen in Hessen und Bayern: Stadt-Land und Jung-Alt. Wie @indubioproreto.bsky.social und ich in einer jetzt erschienenen Studie zeigen, sind diese Gegensätze eng verbunden: Der sprichwörtliche Stadt-Land-Graben trennt vor allem die Jungen 1/8 23714
Reposted by Robert WelzNils Steiner @nilssteiner.bsky.social · 16/10/2023Very happy to see this polisky published: doi.org/10.1016/j.el...! I use age-period-cohort analysis with data from all 20 German federal elections (1949-2021) to answer 2 questions: 1. How has party support shifted across generations? 2. Has the effect of education on voting changed across gener.? 38930