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Olga Jerjomina

@ojrj.bsky.social
161 followers 170 following 44 posts

PhD researcher at Witten/Herdecke University. Studying ethnic identities and how they influence political behaviour 🇱🇻🇪🇪🇩🇪🇳🇱

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Reposted by Olga Jerjomina
Olga Jerjomina @ojrj.bsky.social · 06/10/2026
My thoughts on the Latvian elections for LSE blogs. Latvia steers right, as radical right parties massively increase the number of their seats and major centre parties lose support. However, the radical right in Latvia differs from that in many other European countries.
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Olga Jerjomina @ojrj.bsky.social · 06/10/2026
Thank you, Konstantin! 🙏
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Olga Jerjomina @ojrj.bsky.social · 06/10/2026
Latvia First, the second-largest party, tries to reach both. It is radical-right populist, but it campaigned among Russian speakers as well as Latvians; that goes beyond classic expectations about right-wing populism and suggests that nativism might soften in an attempt to gain more votes.
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Olga Jerjomina @ojrj.bsky.social · 06/10/2026
Although the top four parties entering the Latvian parliament are all right to radical right, they do not act as one solid front: United List and National Alliance draw Latvian-speaking voters and are pro-EU, pro-Ukraine. Sovereign Power is pro-Russian and advocates against aid to Ukraine.
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Olga Jerjomina @ojrj.bsky.social · 06/10/2026
My thoughts on the Latvian elections for LSE blogs. Latvia steers right, as radical right parties massively increase the number of their seats and major centre parties lose support. However, the radical right in Latvia differs from that in many other European countries.
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Reposted by Olga Jerjomina
Lukas Stoetzer @lstoetze.bsky.social · 06/10/2026
How do voters deal with the uncertainty which coalition government the party they vote for might ultimately join? Excited to see our paper on this question typeset in @thejop.bsky.social We show that voters are risk-averse and value less uncertain government prospects.
journals.uchicago.edu
University of Chicago Press Journals: Cookie absent
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Olga Jerjomina @ojrj.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
Those are very interesting questions. Sadly there is almost no public individual survey data that could reveal who are the voters and what drives the turnout … probably CVK will publish some aggregated survey data eventually, but it would be much more helpful to know the voters or non-voters better.
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Cas Mudde @casmudde.bsky.social · 04/10/2026
Latvian politics is really complex, but the international media is only interested in whether parties are pro-Ukraine or pro-Russia, which does make it somewhat easier.
apnews.com
Pro-Ukraine governing coalition wins 35% in Latvian election
Latvian lawmakers plan to start negotiations to form a new government after a parliamentary election.
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Olga Jerjomina @ojrj.bsky.social · 04/10/2026
Latvia (and Estonia) are different from others in the region with about 1/4 Russian-speaking population and many not supporting Ukraine. there is a Latvian/Russian division of radical right. pro-Russian rad-right Sovereign Power won 15/100 seats and is against aid to Ukraine
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Olga Jerjomina @ojrj.bsky.social · 04/10/2026
they are all radical right, but they have a strong distinction with National Alliance being strictly pro-Latvian, Sovereign Power/Young Latvians - pro-Russian, and Latvia First is trying to position itself as both for Russians and Latvians
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Reposted by Olga Jerjomina
British Journal of Political Science @bjpols.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
NEW - The Threshold Effect: Preference Falsification Versus Weak Preferences in Russian War Support - cup.org/4hGfoyp - @isadesisto.bsky.social, @grigopop.bsky.social & Jacob R. Tucker #OpenAccess
BJPolS abstract discussing surveys in autocracies with a focus on wartime Russia. It highlights the use of list experiments to detect falsification and the threshold effect. The findings suggest surveys should be cautiously interpreted in such contexts, specifically regarding attitudes towards Ukraine.
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Reposted by Olga Jerjomina
Satori.lv @satorilv.bsky.social · 15/09/2026
Mēs nevaram precīzi pateikt, kāds būs vēlēšanu iznākums, jo partiju reitingu mērījums ir šodien. Tad, kad tas tiek publicēts, tā jau ir vakardiena. Bet notikums, ko mēs mērām, būs rītdien. Kā top partiju reitingi? Piedalās Arnis Kaktiņš, Jurijs Ņikišins un Santa Tolka, vada Iveta Kažoka.
satori.lv
Socioloģijas krīze un partiju reitingi. Vēlēšanu troksnis
Ir svarīgi saprast, ka tie ir partiju reitingi, mēs jau nevaram precīzi pateikt, kas būs nākotnē, jo mērījums ir šodien. Tad, kad tas tiek publicēts, tā jau ir vakardiena. Bet notikums, ko mēs mērām, ...
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Scholars Working on East European Politics @sweep-workshop.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
📆 Just over a week to submit your abstracts for our Fall/Winter 2026 workshop series! We welcome scholars at all career stages and projects using any methodological approach. ⏰ CfP Deadline: Thursday October 1 @ 11:59 PST 📝 More info + form here⤵️ docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1F...
docs.google.com
SWEEP Call for Papers Fall/Winter 2026
Hi all, The Scholars Working on East European Politics (SWEEP) workshop welcomes submissions for Fall/Winter 2026 paper presentations. The SWEEP workshop will be held one Friday a month between 11:...
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Olga Jerjomina @ojrj.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
congratulations!! sounds like a very fascinating project 🙌🏻
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Ruth Dassonneville @rdassonneville.bsky.social · 21/09/2026
🤓 Cool to be cited in this The Economist article that is trying to think through the political consequences of limited economic growth. 🔗 www.economist.com/finance-and-...
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Olga Jerjomina @ojrj.bsky.social · 16/09/2026
A huge thank you to @casmudde.bsky.social for the amazing initiative and super interesting conversation!!
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Jan P. Vogler @janvogler.bsky.social · 14/09/2026
I would like to invite you to VWHPE’s inaugural session of the 2026–2027 academic year on Sep. 17, 2026 (12:30 PM ET). The session will feature a presentation by @alexandermlee.bsky.social and @jackpaine.bsky.social on “Colonial Origins of Democracy and Dictatorship.” Sign-up link right below. 👇
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Olga Jerjomina @ojrj.bsky.social · 10/09/2026
that’s soo cool!! 🥹 congrats!!
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Konstantin Bogatyrev @bogatyrev.bsky.social · 31/08/2026
As August ends and and we’re slowly getting back into things, I wanted to share a Russian election data paper we published in Scientific Data with @tarasenkogeorgy.bsky.social and @nikitasavin.bsky.social earlier this summer: doi.org/10.1038/s415...
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Leonhard Schmidt @leonhardschmidt.bsky.social · 27/08/2026
New article with @bcastanho.bsky.social out now in @ejprjournal.bsky.social !  ✨ We map protest mobilization calls by MPs across Europe to disentangle the role of radicalism and populism in explaining party involvement in protest politics. 🪧 doi.org/10.1017/S147...
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Aki Vehtari @avehtari.bsky.social · 13/08/2026
All four books I've co-authored are freely available online for non-commercial use: - Bayesian Workflow at avehtari.github.io/Bayesian-Wor... Links to other three books are in the quoted post 👇 (too many books to fit in one post!)
avehtari.github.io
Bayesian Workflow book: Website – Bayesian Workflow book
Website for the Bayesian Workflow book by Gelman, Vehtari, McElreath, et al. — case studies, code, and exercises in R and Stan.
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Frances Cayton @francescayton.bsky.social · 12/08/2026
The "Victory Trap," my latest w/ @elvinongpolsci.bsky.social. Why do victorious pro-democracy coalitions often struggle to reverse autocracy? Using a most different case design (Malaysia🇲🇾 + Poland🇵🇱) we argue that internal weaknesses to the coalition lay the groundwork for autocratic comeback. 1/3
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Vincent Heddesheimer @vheddesheimer.bsky.social · 04/08/2026
New paper w/ @hannohilbig.bsky.social: we examine how local exposure to the Great Recession affected politics over the long run. Counties where unemployment rose more in 2007–09 moved toward Democrats, not the populist right. The shift remained visible in 2022.
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Georgy Tarasenko @tarasenkogeorgy.bsky.social · 22/07/2026
🚨 Our (w/ @konboga and @nikitasavin today in Scientific Data: RED — Russian Electoral Data. Polling station-level results for every Russian federal election, 2000–2024: 1.04 million precinct-level records, harmonized into one open dataset. 🧵 nature.com/articles/s4159…
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IRTG Baltic Peripeties @baltic-peripeties.bsky.social · 02/07/2026
Thank you @valentimvicente.bsky.social for this evening’s lecture! Key Takeaway: Shifting the focus of research from developing a preference to expressing it reveals recent developments of increasing radical right behavior driven by individuals who already held these preferences.
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Sara Hobolt @sarahobolt.bsky.social · 23/06/2026
Britain is about to have its seventh Prime Minister in just over a decade - but is Brexit to blame? Read my thoughts in the LSE British Politics blog @lseblogs.bsky.social ✏️ blogs.lse.ac.uk/politicsandp...
blogs.lse.ac.uk
Is Brexit to blame for the churn of Prime Ministers? | LSE British Politics
After Keir Starmer announced he will be resigning, the UK is about to have its seventh PM since the Brexit referendum, ten years ago. That's not a coincidence.
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Olga Jerjomina @ojrj.bsky.social · 21/06/2026
It was an amazing experience, thank you! 🥳
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EPSS @epssnet.bsky.social · 20/06/2026
The first ever #EPSS 2026 football games were a great success! Thanks to @charlottekuberka.bsky.social and @vheddesheimer.bsky.social for organizing.
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Florian Foos @florianfoos.bsky.social · 15/06/2026
Terrible that Russia hit the Pechersk Lavra. I visited in 2021 while living in Kyiv for a few months - it would be similar to Westminster Abbey or St. Paul's being on fire here. We really need to up our efforts to support Ukraine with air defence, especially patriots. Slava Ukraini!
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Vicente Valentim @valentimvicente.bsky.social · 15/06/2026
Back from hiatus with some good news: my book has come out in German! Thankful to @springer.springernature.com for publishing and to Patrick Kraft for his help with this.
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Teresa Hummler @hummlerteresa.bsky.social · 08/06/2026
🚨New paper out in @epsrjournal.bsky.social! I examine how high rental prices influence local political satisfaction in German cities. 🔎🏢 doi.org/10.1017/S175... For a preview of the results check the 🧵below👇:
Das Bild zeigt die erste Seite des Papers, inklusive Titel und Abstract.
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Olga Jerjomina @ojrj.bsky.social · 28/05/2026
I don’t know if it makes you feel better, but I experience nearly the same in Germany with my surname and often become Frau Olga 😂
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Olga Jerjomina @ojrj.bsky.social · 26/05/2026
this is such a cool idea!! i signed up :))
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EPSS @epssnet.bsky.social · 26/05/2026
⚽ EPSS 2026 Football Match We're organising a football match on Friday 19 June at Queen's Sport PEC! All skill levels welcome. Up to 3 five-a-side pitches, balls & bibs provided. Sign up by Friday 29 May 👇 forms.gle/PwYoedqu7NzF... #EPSS2026
forms.gle
EPSS 2026 football sign-up
A football (soccer) match for EPSS 2026 attendees on a 3G pitch at Queen's Sport PEC, 10 min bike ride or 30 min walk from the ICC. All skill levels are welcome! Sign up by Friday 29 May so we can ...
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Ruth Dassonneville @rdassonneville.bsky.social · 26/05/2026
‼️ New paper with Ian McAllister (ANU) out at @respol.bsky.social. We use @ess-survey.bsky.social data to study over-time changes in the association between education and left-right self-placements.
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Konstantin Bogatyrev @bogatyrev.bsky.social · 21/05/2026
New paper w/ @lstoetze.bsky.social "Estimating Treatment Effects on Proportions with Synthetic Controls" out in @polanalysis.bsky.social 👀 When your outcomes are compositional (such as vote shares), applying synthetic controls separately to each part can break the math. We show how to fix it: 🧵
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Ruth Dassonneville @rdassonneville.bsky.social · 19/05/2026
🚨 I'm recruiting a PhD student for a new project on Parties' social group ownership, based in the @vd-researchgroup.bsky.social research group at KU Leuven! Deadline for applying is 26 June, estimated starting date is 1 Oct 2026. All info is here 👉 www.kuleuven.be/personeel/jo... Share widely!
kuleuven.be
1 doctoraatspositie in kiesgedrag
1 PhD position to research how parties build connections with social groups
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Martin Gross @martingross.bsky.social · 18/05/2026
Wanna talk about the cordon sanitaire (the "Brandmauer"?) 🚨We (@christinajuen.bsky.social, @pluggedchris.bsky.social and I) have a new paper out in @cpsjournal.bsky.social 🔗 doi.org/10.1177/0010... What do we do in the paper? A 🧵: 1/7
Abstract of the article "The Cordon Dilemma: How Voters Evaluate Cooperation With the Far-Right in Parliament" by Martin Gross, Christina-Marie Juen and Christian Stecker. Published online first in Comparative Political Studies.
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Anne Applebaum @anneapplebaum.wsocial.eu · 17/05/2026
In the months before the Hungarian election, the Danube Institute, a government-funded think-tank, distributed hundreds of thousands of dollars in an attempt to build an international echo chamber and amplify Orban. @atlatszo.hu has some of the contracts english.atlatszo.hu/2026/05/14/j...
english.atlatszo.hu
Just before the election, the Orbán regime distributed a fortune among its foreign cheerleaders – English
We looked into the contracts of the Danube Institute, through which the previous gorvernment payments millions to the European right-wing populist movement and
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Daniel de Kadt @dandekadt.bsky.social · 14/05/2026
Be sceptical, be slow at scale, have good ideas that you execute at a high technical level. The github link for anyone interested is below. github.com/ddekadt/MY58...
github.com
GitHub - ddekadt/MY580_agentic_ai
Contribute to ddekadt/MY580_agentic_ai development by creating an account on GitHub.
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Tarik Abou-Chadi @tabouchadi.bsky.social · 12/05/2026
LGBTQ+ voters have abandoned Labour in droves (see work by @turnbulldugarte.com). Like in other areas, Labour has sacrificed minority rights to appeal to authoritarian voters. They are now facing the consequences. People who do not identify as straight make up 8-10% of the electorate.
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Zentrum für Osteuropa- und internationale Studien (ZOiS) @zois.bsky.social · 08/05/2026
What do you associate with 9 May? If you asked someone in #Estonia, they're likely to give one of two distinct answers – depending on their family background. This something the @erc.europa.eu-funded project #MoveMeRU at ZOiS investigates. 🧵 👇️
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American Political Science Review @apsrjournal.bsky.social · 04/05/2026
From our February Issue: The Train Wrecks of Modernization: Railway Construction and Separatist Mobilization in Europe by YANNICK I. PENGL, @carlmc.bsky.social, ROBERTO VALLI, LARS-ERIK CEDERMAN and LUC GIRARDIN doi.org/10.1017/S000...
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Paolo Agnolin @paoloagnolin.bsky.social · 04/05/2026
Are you working on class politics and would like to present at #SISP2026 in Trento? 🏔️ @gregoriobuzzelli.bsky.social and I are organizing a panel on Class Politics in Advanced Democracies. Submit your work! 📅 Deadline: May 29, 2026 📍 Trento, Sept 3–5 More info: lnkd.in/dZ9hwhEp
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Olga Jerjomina @ojrj.bsky.social · 04/05/2026
it is indeed ideal!!
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Olga Jerjomina @ojrj.bsky.social · 04/05/2026
Very beautiful cover. Looking forward to reading the book!
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Olga Jerjomina @ojrj.bsky.social · 30/04/2026
is this seminar in-person only, or also available to join online?
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Olga Jerjomina @ojrj.bsky.social · 30/04/2026
I had a really great time in Tallinn last year, attending the @ecmiflensburg.bsky.social summer school on national minorities 🙏definitely a great experience for anyone interested in the topic 💓 and the connection with the ECMI continued through my research visit in Flensburg.
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Olga Jerjomina @ojrj.bsky.social · 23/04/2026
this is super interesting! could you please share more on what goes to the course pack?
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Carl Müller-Crepon @carlmc.bsky.social · 14/04/2026
🚨 New paper in the @apsrjournal.bsky.social: Nils-Christian Bormann and I propose to model the electoral effects of ethnic and other cleavages with a new *Covoting Regression Model*. A short on the method and our results on ethnic voting in Sub-Saharan Africa. doi.org/10.1017/S000...
doi.org
Coethnics Covote in Africa: Studying Electoral Cleavages with a Covoting Regression Model | American Political Science Review | Cambridge Core
Coethnics Covote in Africa: Studying Electoral Cleavages with a Covoting Regression Model
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