Reposted by Olga JerjominaOlga Jerjomina @ojrj.bsky.social · 06/10/2026My thoughts on the Latvian elections for LSE blogs. Latvia steers right, as radical right parties massively increase the number of their seats and major centre parties lose support. However, the radical right in Latvia differs from that in many other European countries. 1159
Olga Jerjomina @ojrj.bsky.social · 06/10/2026Latvia First, the second-largest party, tries to reach both. It is radical-right populist, but it campaigned among Russian speakers as well as Latvians; that goes beyond classic expectations about right-wing populism and suggests that nativism might soften in an attempt to gain more votes. 140
Olga Jerjomina @ojrj.bsky.social · 06/10/2026Although the top four parties entering the Latvian parliament are all right to radical right, they do not act as one solid front: United List and National Alliance draw Latvian-speaking voters and are pro-EU, pro-Ukraine. Sovereign Power is pro-Russian and advocates against aid to Ukraine. 130
Olga Jerjomina @ojrj.bsky.social · 06/10/2026My thoughts on the Latvian elections for LSE blogs. Latvia steers right, as radical right parties massively increase the number of their seats and major centre parties lose support. However, the radical right in Latvia differs from that in many other European countries. 1159
Reposted by Olga JerjominaLukas Stoetzer @lstoetze.bsky.social · 06/10/2026How do voters deal with the uncertainty which coalition government the party they vote for might ultimately join? Excited to see our paper on this question typeset in @thejop.bsky.social We show that voters are risk-averse and value less uncertain government prospects.journals.uchicago.eduUniversity of Chicago Press Journals: Cookie absent 1158
Olga Jerjomina @ojrj.bsky.social · 05/10/2026Those are very interesting questions. Sadly there is almost no public individual survey data that could reveal who are the voters and what drives the turnout … probably CVK will publish some aggregated survey data eventually, but it would be much more helpful to know the voters or non-voters better. 050
Reposted by Olga JerjominaCas Mudde @casmudde.bsky.social · 04/10/2026Latvian politics is really complex, but the international media is only interested in whether parties are pro-Ukraine or pro-Russia, which does make it somewhat easier.apnews.comPro-Ukraine governing coalition wins 35% in Latvian electionLatvian lawmakers plan to start negotiations to form a new government after a parliamentary election. 23810
Olga Jerjomina @ojrj.bsky.social · 04/10/2026Latvia (and Estonia) are different from others in the region with about 1/4 Russian-speaking population and many not supporting Ukraine. there is a Latvian/Russian division of radical right. pro-Russian rad-right Sovereign Power won 15/100 seats and is against aid to Ukraine 010
Olga Jerjomina @ojrj.bsky.social · 04/10/2026they are all radical right, but they have a strong distinction with National Alliance being strictly pro-Latvian, Sovereign Power/Young Latvians - pro-Russian, and Latvia First is trying to position itself as both for Russians and Latvians 040
Reposted by Olga JerjominaBritish Journal of Political Science @bjpols.bsky.social · 01/10/2026NEW - The Threshold Effect: Preference Falsification Versus Weak Preferences in Russian War Support - cup.org/4hGfoyp - @isadesisto.bsky.social, @grigopop.bsky.social & Jacob R. Tucker #OpenAccess 064
Reposted by Olga JerjominaSatori.lv @satorilv.bsky.social · 15/09/2026Mēs nevaram precīzi pateikt, kāds būs vēlēšanu iznākums, jo partiju reitingu mērījums ir šodien. Tad, kad tas tiek publicēts, tā jau ir vakardiena. Bet notikums, ko mēs mērām, būs rītdien. Kā top partiju reitingi? Piedalās Arnis Kaktiņš, Jurijs Ņikišins un Santa Tolka, vada Iveta Kažoka.satori.lvSocioloģijas krīze un partiju reitingi. Vēlēšanu troksnisIr svarīgi saprast, ka tie ir partiju reitingi, mēs jau nevaram precīzi pateikt, kas būs nākotnē, jo mērījums ir šodien. Tad, kad tas tiek publicēts, tā jau ir vakardiena. Bet notikums, ko mēs mērām, ... 173
Reposted by Olga JerjominaScholars Working on East European Politics @sweep-workshop.bsky.social · 23/09/2026📆 Just over a week to submit your abstracts for our Fall/Winter 2026 workshop series! We welcome scholars at all career stages and projects using any methodological approach. ⏰ CfP Deadline: Thursday October 1 @ 11:59 PST 📝 More info + form here⤵️ docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1F...docs.google.comSWEEP Call for Papers Fall/Winter 2026Hi all, The Scholars Working on East European Politics (SWEEP) workshop welcomes submissions for Fall/Winter 2026 paper presentations. The SWEEP workshop will be held one Friday a month between 11:... 054
Olga Jerjomina @ojrj.bsky.social · 23/09/2026congratulations!! sounds like a very fascinating project 🙌🏻 110
Reposted by Olga JerjominaRuth Dassonneville @rdassonneville.bsky.social · 21/09/2026🤓 Cool to be cited in this The Economist article that is trying to think through the political consequences of limited economic growth. 🔗 www.economist.com/finance-and-... 1305
Olga Jerjomina @ojrj.bsky.social · 16/09/2026A huge thank you to @casmudde.bsky.social for the amazing initiative and super interesting conversation!! 150
Reposted by Olga JerjominaJan P. Vogler @janvogler.bsky.social · 14/09/2026I would like to invite you to VWHPE’s inaugural session of the 2026–2027 academic year on Sep. 17, 2026 (12:30 PM ET). The session will feature a presentation by @alexandermlee.bsky.social and @jackpaine.bsky.social on “Colonial Origins of Democracy and Dictatorship.” Sign-up link right below. 👇 11610
Reposted by Olga JerjominaKonstantin Bogatyrev @bogatyrev.bsky.social · 31/08/2026As August ends and and we’re slowly getting back into things, I wanted to share a Russian election data paper we published in Scientific Data with @tarasenkogeorgy.bsky.social and @nikitasavin.bsky.social earlier this summer: doi.org/10.1038/s415... 1135
Reposted by Olga JerjominaLeonhard Schmidt @leonhardschmidt.bsky.social · 27/08/2026New article with @bcastanho.bsky.social out now in @ejprjournal.bsky.social ! ✨ We map protest mobilization calls by MPs across Europe to disentangle the role of radicalism and populism in explaining party involvement in protest politics. 🪧 doi.org/10.1017/S147... 12610
Reposted by Olga JerjominaAki Vehtari @avehtari.bsky.social · 13/08/2026All four books I've co-authored are freely available online for non-commercial use: - Bayesian Workflow at avehtari.github.io/Bayesian-Wor... Links to other three books are in the quoted post 👇 (too many books to fit in one post!)avehtari.github.ioBayesian Workflow book: Website – Bayesian Workflow bookWebsite for the Bayesian Workflow book by Gelman, Vehtari, McElreath, et al. — case studies, code, and exercises in R and Stan. 8286134
Reposted by Olga JerjominaFrances Cayton @francescayton.bsky.social · 12/08/2026The "Victory Trap," my latest w/ @elvinongpolsci.bsky.social. Why do victorious pro-democracy coalitions often struggle to reverse autocracy? Using a most different case design (Malaysia🇲🇾 + Poland🇵🇱) we argue that internal weaknesses to the coalition lay the groundwork for autocratic comeback. 1/3 22919
Reposted by Olga JerjominaVincent Heddesheimer @vheddesheimer.bsky.social · 04/08/2026New paper w/ @hannohilbig.bsky.social: we examine how local exposure to the Great Recession affected politics over the long run. Counties where unemployment rose more in 2007–09 moved toward Democrats, not the populist right. The shift remained visible in 2022. 12713
Reposted by Olga JerjominaGeorgy Tarasenko @tarasenkogeorgy.bsky.social · 22/07/2026🚨 Our (w/ @konboga and @nikitasavin today in Scientific Data: RED — Russian Electoral Data. Polling station-level results for every Russian federal election, 2000–2024: 1.04 million precinct-level records, harmonized into one open dataset. 🧵 nature.com/articles/s4159… 184
Reposted by Olga JerjominaIRTG Baltic Peripeties @baltic-peripeties.bsky.social · 02/07/2026Thank you @valentimvicente.bsky.social for this evening’s lecture! Key Takeaway: Shifting the focus of research from developing a preference to expressing it reveals recent developments of increasing radical right behavior driven by individuals who already held these preferences. 132
Reposted by Olga JerjominaSara Hobolt @sarahobolt.bsky.social · 23/06/2026Britain is about to have its seventh Prime Minister in just over a decade - but is Brexit to blame? Read my thoughts in the LSE British Politics blog @lseblogs.bsky.social ✏️ blogs.lse.ac.uk/politicsandp...blogs.lse.ac.ukIs Brexit to blame for the churn of Prime Ministers? | LSE British PoliticsAfter Keir Starmer announced he will be resigning, the UK is about to have its seventh PM since the Brexit referendum, ten years ago. That's not a coincidence. 12113
Reposted by Olga JerjominaEPSS @epssnet.bsky.social · 20/06/2026The first ever #EPSS 2026 football games were a great success! Thanks to @charlottekuberka.bsky.social and @vheddesheimer.bsky.social for organizing. 16015
Reposted by Olga JerjominaFlorian Foos @florianfoos.bsky.social · 15/06/2026Terrible that Russia hit the Pechersk Lavra. I visited in 2021 while living in Kyiv for a few months - it would be similar to Westminster Abbey or St. Paul's being on fire here. We really need to up our efforts to support Ukraine with air defence, especially patriots. Slava Ukraini! 051
Reposted by Olga JerjominaVicente Valentim @valentimvicente.bsky.social · 15/06/2026Back from hiatus with some good news: my book has come out in German! Thankful to @springer.springernature.com for publishing and to Patrick Kraft for his help with this. 413124
Reposted by Olga JerjominaTeresa Hummler @hummlerteresa.bsky.social · 08/06/2026🚨New paper out in @epsrjournal.bsky.social! I examine how high rental prices influence local political satisfaction in German cities. 🔎🏢 doi.org/10.1017/S175... For a preview of the results check the 🧵below👇: 15820
Olga Jerjomina @ojrj.bsky.social · 28/05/2026I don’t know if it makes you feel better, but I experience nearly the same in Germany with my surname and often become Frau Olga 😂 130
Reposted by Olga JerjominaEPSS @epssnet.bsky.social · 26/05/2026⚽ EPSS 2026 Football Match We're organising a football match on Friday 19 June at Queen's Sport PEC! All skill levels welcome. Up to 3 five-a-side pitches, balls & bibs provided. Sign up by Friday 29 May 👇 forms.gle/PwYoedqu7NzF... #EPSS2026forms.gleEPSS 2026 football sign-upA football (soccer) match for EPSS 2026 attendees on a 3G pitch at Queen's Sport PEC, 10 min bike ride or 30 min walk from the ICC. All skill levels are welcome! Sign up by Friday 29 May so we can ... 0145
Reposted by Olga JerjominaRuth Dassonneville @rdassonneville.bsky.social · 26/05/2026‼️ New paper with Ian McAllister (ANU) out at @respol.bsky.social. We use @ess-survey.bsky.social data to study over-time changes in the association between education and left-right self-placements. 13212
Reposted by Olga JerjominaKonstantin Bogatyrev @bogatyrev.bsky.social · 21/05/2026New paper w/ @lstoetze.bsky.social "Estimating Treatment Effects on Proportions with Synthetic Controls" out in @polanalysis.bsky.social 👀 When your outcomes are compositional (such as vote shares), applying synthetic controls separately to each part can break the math. We show how to fix it: 🧵 27320
Reposted by Olga JerjominaRuth Dassonneville @rdassonneville.bsky.social · 19/05/2026🚨 I'm recruiting a PhD student for a new project on Parties' social group ownership, based in the @vd-researchgroup.bsky.social research group at KU Leuven! Deadline for applying is 26 June, estimated starting date is 1 Oct 2026. All info is here 👉 www.kuleuven.be/personeel/jo... Share widely!kuleuven.be1 doctoraatspositie in kiesgedrag1 PhD position to research how parties build connections with social groups 05151
Reposted by Olga JerjominaMartin Gross @martingross.bsky.social · 18/05/2026Wanna talk about the cordon sanitaire (the "Brandmauer"?) 🚨We (@christinajuen.bsky.social, @pluggedchris.bsky.social and I) have a new paper out in @cpsjournal.bsky.social 🔗 doi.org/10.1177/0010... What do we do in the paper? A 🧵: 1/7 211753
Reposted by Olga JerjominaAnne Applebaum @anneapplebaum.wsocial.eu · 17/05/2026In the months before the Hungarian election, the Danube Institute, a government-funded think-tank, distributed hundreds of thousands of dollars in an attempt to build an international echo chamber and amplify Orban. @atlatszo.hu has some of the contracts english.atlatszo.hu/2026/05/14/j...english.atlatszo.huJust before the election, the Orbán regime distributed a fortune among its foreign cheerleaders – EnglishWe looked into the contracts of the Danube Institute, through which the previous gorvernment payments millions to the European right-wing populist movement and 23689270
Reposted by Olga JerjominaDaniel de Kadt @dandekadt.bsky.social · 14/05/2026Be sceptical, be slow at scale, have good ideas that you execute at a high technical level. The github link for anyone interested is below. github.com/ddekadt/MY58...github.comGitHub - ddekadt/MY580_agentic_aiContribute to ddekadt/MY580_agentic_ai development by creating an account on GitHub. 161
Reposted by Olga JerjominaTarik Abou-Chadi @tabouchadi.bsky.social · 12/05/2026LGBTQ+ voters have abandoned Labour in droves (see work by @turnbulldugarte.com). Like in other areas, Labour has sacrificed minority rights to appeal to authoritarian voters. They are now facing the consequences. People who do not identify as straight make up 8-10% of the electorate. 38221
Reposted by Olga JerjominaZentrum für Osteuropa- und internationale Studien (ZOiS) @zois.bsky.social · 08/05/2026What do you associate with 9 May? If you asked someone in #Estonia, they're likely to give one of two distinct answers – depending on their family background. This something the @erc.europa.eu-funded project #MoveMeRU at ZOiS investigates. 🧵 👇️ 141
Reposted by Olga JerjominaAmerican Political Science Review @apsrjournal.bsky.social · 04/05/2026From our February Issue: The Train Wrecks of Modernization: Railway Construction and Separatist Mobilization in Europe by YANNICK I. PENGL, @carlmc.bsky.social, ROBERTO VALLI, LARS-ERIK CEDERMAN and LUC GIRARDIN doi.org/10.1017/S000... 0123
Reposted by Olga JerjominaPaolo Agnolin @paoloagnolin.bsky.social · 04/05/2026Are you working on class politics and would like to present at #SISP2026 in Trento? 🏔️ @gregoriobuzzelli.bsky.social and I are organizing a panel on Class Politics in Advanced Democracies. Submit your work! 📅 Deadline: May 29, 2026 📍 Trento, Sept 3–5 More info: lnkd.in/dZ9hwhEp 163
Olga Jerjomina @ojrj.bsky.social · 04/05/2026Very beautiful cover. Looking forward to reading the book! 110
Olga Jerjomina @ojrj.bsky.social · 30/04/2026is this seminar in-person only, or also available to join online? 210
Olga Jerjomina @ojrj.bsky.social · 30/04/2026I had a really great time in Tallinn last year, attending the @ecmiflensburg.bsky.social summer school on national minorities 🙏definitely a great experience for anyone interested in the topic 💓 and the connection with the ECMI continued through my research visit in Flensburg. 020
Olga Jerjomina @ojrj.bsky.social · 23/04/2026this is super interesting! could you please share more on what goes to the course pack? 000
Reposted by Olga JerjominaCarl Müller-Crepon @carlmc.bsky.social · 14/04/2026🚨 New paper in the @apsrjournal.bsky.social: Nils-Christian Bormann and I propose to model the electoral effects of ethnic and other cleavages with a new *Covoting Regression Model*. A short on the method and our results on ethnic voting in Sub-Saharan Africa. doi.org/10.1017/S000...doi.orgCoethnics Covote in Africa: Studying Electoral Cleavages with a Covoting Regression Model | American Political Science Review | Cambridge CoreCoethnics Covote in Africa: Studying Electoral Cleavages with a Covoting Regression Model 63610