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Olga Jerjomina

@ojrj.bsky.social
160 followers 169 following 44 posts

PhD researcher at Witten/Herdecke University. Studying ethnic identities and how they influence political behaviour 🇱🇻🇪🇪🇩🇪🇳🇱

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Reposted by Olga Jerjomina
Olga Jerjomina @ojrj.bsky.social · 06/10/2026
My thoughts on the Latvian elections for LSE blogs. Latvia steers right, as radical right parties massively increase the number of their seats and major centre parties lose support. However, the radical right in Latvia differs from that in many other European countries.
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Olga Jerjomina @ojrj.bsky.social · 06/10/2026
My thoughts on the Latvian elections for LSE blogs. Latvia steers right, as radical right parties massively increase the number of their seats and major centre parties lose support. However, the radical right in Latvia differs from that in many other European countries.
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Lukas Stoetzer @lstoetze.bsky.social · 06/10/2026
How do voters deal with the uncertainty which coalition government the party they vote for might ultimately join? Excited to see our paper on this question typeset in @thejop.bsky.social We show that voters are risk-averse and value less uncertain government prospects.
journals.uchicago.edu
University of Chicago Press Journals: Cookie absent
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Cas Mudde @casmudde.bsky.social · 04/10/2026
Latvian politics is really complex, but the international media is only interested in whether parties are pro-Ukraine or pro-Russia, which does make it somewhat easier.
apnews.com
Pro-Ukraine governing coalition wins 35% in Latvian election
Latvian lawmakers plan to start negotiations to form a new government after a parliamentary election.
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British Journal of Political Science @bjpols.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
NEW - The Threshold Effect: Preference Falsification Versus Weak Preferences in Russian War Support - cup.org/4hGfoyp - @isadesisto.bsky.social, @grigopop.bsky.social & Jacob R. Tucker #OpenAccess
BJPolS abstract discussing surveys in autocracies with a focus on wartime Russia. It highlights the use of list experiments to detect falsification and the threshold effect. The findings suggest surveys should be cautiously interpreted in such contexts, specifically regarding attitudes towards Ukraine.
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Satori.lv @satorilv.bsky.social · 15/09/2026
Mēs nevaram precīzi pateikt, kāds būs vēlēšanu iznākums, jo partiju reitingu mērījums ir šodien. Tad, kad tas tiek publicēts, tā jau ir vakardiena. Bet notikums, ko mēs mērām, būs rītdien. Kā top partiju reitingi? Piedalās Arnis Kaktiņš, Jurijs Ņikišins un Santa Tolka, vada Iveta Kažoka.
satori.lv
Socioloģijas krīze un partiju reitingi. Vēlēšanu troksnis
Ir svarīgi saprast, ka tie ir partiju reitingi, mēs jau nevaram precīzi pateikt, kas būs nākotnē, jo mērījums ir šodien. Tad, kad tas tiek publicēts, tā jau ir vakardiena. Bet notikums, ko mēs mērām, ...
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Scholars Working on East European Politics @sweep-workshop.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
📆 Just over a week to submit your abstracts for our Fall/Winter 2026 workshop series! We welcome scholars at all career stages and projects using any methodological approach. ⏰ CfP Deadline: Thursday October 1 @ 11:59 PST 📝 More info + form here⤵️ docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1F...
docs.google.com
SWEEP Call for Papers Fall/Winter 2026
Hi all, The Scholars Working on East European Politics (SWEEP) workshop welcomes submissions for Fall/Winter 2026 paper presentations. The SWEEP workshop will be held one Friday a month between 11:...
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Ruth Dassonneville @rdassonneville.bsky.social · 21/09/2026
🤓 Cool to be cited in this The Economist article that is trying to think through the political consequences of limited economic growth. 🔗 www.economist.com/finance-and-...
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Olga Jerjomina @ojrj.bsky.social · 16/09/2026
A huge thank you to @casmudde.bsky.social for the amazing initiative and super interesting conversation!!
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Jan P. Vogler @janvogler.bsky.social · 14/09/2026
I would like to invite you to VWHPE’s inaugural session of the 2026–2027 academic year on Sep. 17, 2026 (12:30 PM ET). The session will feature a presentation by @alexandermlee.bsky.social and @jackpaine.bsky.social on “Colonial Origins of Democracy and Dictatorship.” Sign-up link right below. 👇
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Konstantin Bogatyrev @bogatyrev.bsky.social · 31/08/2026
As August ends and and we’re slowly getting back into things, I wanted to share a Russian election data paper we published in Scientific Data with @tarasenkogeorgy.bsky.social and @nikitasavin.bsky.social earlier this summer: doi.org/10.1038/s415...
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Leonhard Schmidt @leonhardschmidt.bsky.social · 27/08/2026
New article with @bcastanho.bsky.social out now in @ejprjournal.bsky.social !  ✨ We map protest mobilization calls by MPs across Europe to disentangle the role of radicalism and populism in explaining party involvement in protest politics. 🪧 doi.org/10.1017/S147...
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Aki Vehtari @avehtari.bsky.social · 13/08/2026
All four books I've co-authored are freely available online for non-commercial use: - Bayesian Workflow at avehtari.github.io/Bayesian-Wor... Links to other three books are in the quoted post 👇 (too many books to fit in one post!)
avehtari.github.io
Bayesian Workflow book: Website – Bayesian Workflow book
Website for the Bayesian Workflow book by Gelman, Vehtari, McElreath, et al. — case studies, code, and exercises in R and Stan.
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Frances Cayton @francescayton.bsky.social · 12/08/2026
The "Victory Trap," my latest w/ @elvinongpolsci.bsky.social. Why do victorious pro-democracy coalitions often struggle to reverse autocracy? Using a most different case design (Malaysia🇲🇾 + Poland🇵🇱) we argue that internal weaknesses to the coalition lay the groundwork for autocratic comeback. 1/3
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Vincent Heddesheimer @vheddesheimer.bsky.social · 04/08/2026
New paper w/ @hannohilbig.bsky.social: we examine how local exposure to the Great Recession affected politics over the long run. Counties where unemployment rose more in 2007–09 moved toward Democrats, not the populist right. The shift remained visible in 2022.
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Georgy Tarasenko @tarasenkogeorgy.bsky.social · 22/07/2026
🚨 Our (w/ @konboga and @nikitasavin today in Scientific Data: RED — Russian Electoral Data. Polling station-level results for every Russian federal election, 2000–2024: 1.04 million precinct-level records, harmonized into one open dataset. 🧵 nature.com/articles/s4159…
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IRTG Baltic Peripeties @baltic-peripeties.bsky.social · 02/07/2026
Thank you @valentimvicente.bsky.social for this evening’s lecture! Key Takeaway: Shifting the focus of research from developing a preference to expressing it reveals recent developments of increasing radical right behavior driven by individuals who already held these preferences.
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Sara Hobolt @sarahobolt.bsky.social · 23/06/2026
Britain is about to have its seventh Prime Minister in just over a decade - but is Brexit to blame? Read my thoughts in the LSE British Politics blog @lseblogs.bsky.social ✏️ blogs.lse.ac.uk/politicsandp...
blogs.lse.ac.uk
Is Brexit to blame for the churn of Prime Ministers? | LSE British Politics
After Keir Starmer announced he will be resigning, the UK is about to have its seventh PM since the Brexit referendum, ten years ago. That's not a coincidence.
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EPSS @epssnet.bsky.social · 20/06/2026
The first ever #EPSS 2026 football games were a great success! Thanks to @charlottekuberka.bsky.social and @vheddesheimer.bsky.social for organizing.
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Florian Foos @florianfoos.bsky.social · 15/06/2026
Terrible that Russia hit the Pechersk Lavra. I visited in 2021 while living in Kyiv for a few months - it would be similar to Westminster Abbey or St. Paul's being on fire here. We really need to up our efforts to support Ukraine with air defence, especially patriots. Slava Ukraini!
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Vicente Valentim @valentimvicente.bsky.social · 15/06/2026
Back from hiatus with some good news: my book has come out in German! Thankful to @springer.springernature.com for publishing and to Patrick Kraft for his help with this.
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Teresa Hummler @hummlerteresa.bsky.social · 08/06/2026
🚨New paper out in @epsrjournal.bsky.social! I examine how high rental prices influence local political satisfaction in German cities. 🔎🏢 doi.org/10.1017/S175... For a preview of the results check the 🧵below👇:
Das Bild zeigt die erste Seite des Papers, inklusive Titel und Abstract.
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EPSS @epssnet.bsky.social · 26/05/2026
⚽ EPSS 2026 Football Match We're organising a football match on Friday 19 June at Queen's Sport PEC! All skill levels welcome. Up to 3 five-a-side pitches, balls & bibs provided. Sign up by Friday 29 May 👇 forms.gle/PwYoedqu7NzF... #EPSS2026
forms.gle
EPSS 2026 football sign-up
A football (soccer) match for EPSS 2026 attendees on a 3G pitch at Queen's Sport PEC, 10 min bike ride or 30 min walk from the ICC. All skill levels are welcome! Sign up by Friday 29 May so we can ...
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Ruth Dassonneville @rdassonneville.bsky.social · 26/05/2026
‼️ New paper with Ian McAllister (ANU) out at @respol.bsky.social. We use @ess-survey.bsky.social data to study over-time changes in the association between education and left-right self-placements.
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Konstantin Bogatyrev @bogatyrev.bsky.social · 21/05/2026
New paper w/ @lstoetze.bsky.social "Estimating Treatment Effects on Proportions with Synthetic Controls" out in @polanalysis.bsky.social 👀 When your outcomes are compositional (such as vote shares), applying synthetic controls separately to each part can break the math. We show how to fix it: 🧵
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Ruth Dassonneville @rdassonneville.bsky.social · 19/05/2026
🚨 I'm recruiting a PhD student for a new project on Parties' social group ownership, based in the @vd-researchgroup.bsky.social research group at KU Leuven! Deadline for applying is 26 June, estimated starting date is 1 Oct 2026. All info is here 👉 www.kuleuven.be/personeel/jo... Share widely!
kuleuven.be
1 doctoraatspositie in kiesgedrag
1 PhD position to research how parties build connections with social groups
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Martin Gross @martingross.bsky.social · 18/05/2026
Wanna talk about the cordon sanitaire (the "Brandmauer"?) 🚨We (@christinajuen.bsky.social, @pluggedchris.bsky.social and I) have a new paper out in @cpsjournal.bsky.social 🔗 doi.org/10.1177/0010... What do we do in the paper? A 🧵: 1/7
Abstract of the article "The Cordon Dilemma: How Voters Evaluate Cooperation With the Far-Right in Parliament" by Martin Gross, Christina-Marie Juen and Christian Stecker. Published online first in Comparative Political Studies.
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Anne Applebaum @anneapplebaum.wsocial.eu · 17/05/2026
In the months before the Hungarian election, the Danube Institute, a government-funded think-tank, distributed hundreds of thousands of dollars in an attempt to build an international echo chamber and amplify Orban. @atlatszo.hu has some of the contracts english.atlatszo.hu/2026/05/14/j...
english.atlatszo.hu
Just before the election, the Orbán regime distributed a fortune among its foreign cheerleaders – English
We looked into the contracts of the Danube Institute, through which the previous gorvernment payments millions to the European right-wing populist movement and
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Daniel de Kadt @dandekadt.bsky.social · 14/05/2026
Be sceptical, be slow at scale, have good ideas that you execute at a high technical level. The github link for anyone interested is below. github.com/ddekadt/MY58...
github.com
GitHub - ddekadt/MY580_agentic_ai
Contribute to ddekadt/MY580_agentic_ai development by creating an account on GitHub.
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Tarik Abou-Chadi @tabouchadi.bsky.social · 12/05/2026
LGBTQ+ voters have abandoned Labour in droves (see work by @turnbulldugarte.com). Like in other areas, Labour has sacrificed minority rights to appeal to authoritarian voters. They are now facing the consequences. People who do not identify as straight make up 8-10% of the electorate.
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Zentrum für Osteuropa- und internationale Studien (ZOiS) @zois.bsky.social · 08/05/2026
What do you associate with 9 May? If you asked someone in #Estonia, they're likely to give one of two distinct answers – depending on their family background. This something the @erc.europa.eu-funded project #MoveMeRU at ZOiS investigates. 🧵 👇️
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American Political Science Review @apsrjournal.bsky.social · 04/05/2026
From our February Issue: The Train Wrecks of Modernization: Railway Construction and Separatist Mobilization in Europe by YANNICK I. PENGL, @carlmc.bsky.social, ROBERTO VALLI, LARS-ERIK CEDERMAN and LUC GIRARDIN doi.org/10.1017/S000...
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Paolo Agnolin @paoloagnolin.bsky.social · 04/05/2026
Are you working on class politics and would like to present at #SISP2026 in Trento? 🏔️ @gregoriobuzzelli.bsky.social and I are organizing a panel on Class Politics in Advanced Democracies. Submit your work! 📅 Deadline: May 29, 2026 📍 Trento, Sept 3–5 More info: lnkd.in/dZ9hwhEp
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Olga Jerjomina @ojrj.bsky.social · 30/04/2026
I had a really great time in Tallinn last year, attending the @ecmiflensburg.bsky.social summer school on national minorities 🙏definitely a great experience for anyone interested in the topic 💓 and the connection with the ECMI continued through my research visit in Flensburg.
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Carl Müller-Crepon @carlmc.bsky.social · 14/04/2026
🚨 New paper in the @apsrjournal.bsky.social: Nils-Christian Bormann and I propose to model the electoral effects of ethnic and other cleavages with a new *Covoting Regression Model*. A short on the method and our results on ethnic voting in Sub-Saharan Africa. doi.org/10.1017/S000...
doi.org
Coethnics Covote in Africa: Studying Electoral Cleavages with a Covoting Regression Model | American Political Science Review | Cambridge Core
Coethnics Covote in Africa: Studying Electoral Cleavages with a Covoting Regression Model
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Carl Henrik Knutsen @chknutsen.bsky.social · 13/04/2026
Why I don't expect liberal democracy to go away any time soon: My article on the resilience of liberal democracy, published in @jeppjournal.bsky.social. Perfectly timed to the day after Orbáns defeat and a small spike in "democracy-optimism". There are, I argue, good reasons for such optimism.
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Semih Çakır @mascakir.bsky.social · 07/04/2026
🚨 New paper with great co-authors (@oguzhan-alkan.bsky.social @rdassonneville.bsky.social @zeynsom.bsky.social) in Political Behavior! How well do citizens perceive where parties stand? 🤔 Open access: rdcu.be/fb83Z
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Jeyhun Alizade @jeyalizade.bsky.social · 01/04/2026
Glad to see this out at @epsrjournal.bsky.social! Using ESS data, Raquel Rego and I find that an anti-immigration stance is the strongest predictor of far-right sympathies among police and military personnel—similar to the general population. www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
cambridge.org
Why do security forces vote for far-right parties? Evidence from Europe | European Political Science Review | Cambridge Core
Why do security forces vote for far-right parties? Evidence from Europe
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Delia Zollinger @dpzollinger.bsky.social · 30/03/2026
Recommended reading for anyone working on group identities and party competition!
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Boris Heizmann @borisheizmann.bsky.social · 25/03/2026
📢Please share widely! 📢 Do you do research with Eurobarometer data? Then submit your abstract for the Eurobarometer Symposium at GESIS Cologne on March 11 and 12, 2027: www.gesis.org/en/eurobarom...
gesis.org
Call for Papers: Eurobarometer Symposium March 2027
Stay updated with the latest news and developments from the Eurobarometer Data Service. Explore recent updates and insights for your research at GESIS.
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EPSS @epssnet.bsky.social · 16/03/2026
EPSS Diversity Committee is happy to announce the launch of our mentoring program: a new initiative designed to develop a new network within the EPSS community. March 31 is deadline, and program runs from May 1, 2026, to April 30, 2027. More info: epssnet.org/about/divers...
epssnet.org
Mentorship program - EPSS
The EPSS Diversity Committee is happy to announce the launch of our mentoring program. This initiative builds on the success of this scheme by the LGBTQ+ group in previous years. The EPSS Mentoring Program is a new initiative designed  to develop a new network of contacts within the EPSS community.  Our mentoring program is designed …
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Piotr Marczyński @piotrmarczynski.bsky.social · 09/03/2026
📣 Call for Applications: ECPR SGEU ECR Pre-Workshop “The Far-Right as a Social Movement in Europe” organized with @larboe.bsky.social, 30 June 2026, one day ahead of the ECPR SGEU Conference in Catania, Italy.
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Filip Kostelka @filipkostelka.bsky.social · 05/03/2026
This will be the 3rd edition. If you study pol. behaviour and work on #CEE, this is the right place to present your research. Dates: June 25-26. Discussants include @simonhix.bsky.social & @eliasdinas.bsky.social. Highlight: roundtable on dem. erosion with H. Kriesi, M. Svolik & N. Wunsch.
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Vicente Valentim @valentimvicente.bsky.social · 27/02/2026
Fascinating new paper by and @elena-amaya.bsky.social and Robert Braun on the role of folklore in shaping far-right support in Weimar Germany: journals.sagepub.com/doi/epub/10....
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Ryan Briggs @ryancbriggs.net · 11/02/2026
I have a new paper. We look at ~all stats articles in political science post-2010 & show that 94% have abstracts that claim to reject a null. Only 2% present only null results. This is hard to explain unless the research process has a filter that only lets rejections through.
It must be very hard to publish null results
Publication practices in the social sciences act as a filter that favors statistically significant results over null findings. While the problem of selection on significance (SoS) is well-known in theory, it has been difficult to measure its scope empirically, and it has been challenging to determine how selection varies across contexts. In this article, we use large language models to extract granular and validated data on about 100,000 articles published in over 150 political science journals from 2010 to 2024. We show that fewer than 2% of articles that rely on statistical methods report null-only findings in their abstracts, while over 90% of papers highlight significant results. To put these findings in perspective, we develop and calibrate a simple model of publication bias. Across a range of plausible assumptions, we find that statistically significant results are estimated to be one to two orders of magnitude more likely to enter the published record than null results. Leveraging metadata extracted from individual articles, we show that the pattern of strong SoS holds across subfields, journals, methods, and time periods. However, a few factors such as pre-registration and randomized experiments correlate with greater acceptance of null results. We conclude by discussing implications for the field and the potential of our new dataset for investigating other questions about political science.
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Ted Palenski @tedpal.bsky.social · 10/02/2026
1/ Refreshing perspective from @oii.ox.ac.uk scholars: "Meticulous citation is a marker of well-researched, serious scholarship." Dr. Roxana Radu and @rocher.lc outline the harms of citation by LLMs: the 'provenance' of generated texts cannot be determined or cited. #LLMs #epistemicjustice
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Kristian Kiehling @kristiankiehling.bsky.social · 26/01/2026
The Associated Press decided in June 2023 to stop referring to the 14 countries that emerged independent of Russian occupation in 1991 countries as “former Soviet republics.” The decision was taken on the advice of our journalists working in the region, and it has been generally well-received.
harriman.columbia.edu
Moving on from "Post-Soviet" States
by John Daniszewski
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European Centre for Minority Issues @ecmiflensburg.bsky.social · 22/01/2026
Women and girls from national minorities often face double discrimination. The new Conversations with Experts episode digs deeper into how gender issues can be mainstreamed in minority protection through the Advisory Committee’s monitoring work. www.ecmi.de/default-titl...
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Ruth Dassonneville @rdassonneville.bsky.social · 21/01/2026
‼️ The Consortium of National Election Studies (@nesconsortium.bsky.social) is such a valuable and important initiative! Follow their account to stay updated on the excellent work CNES is doing in terms of information sharing about election studies, data harmonization, and the CNES knowledge bank!!
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APSA Preprints @apsa-preprints.bsky.social · 22/12/2025
Rethinking Ethnic Mobilization: A Model and Three Theories of Sustained Minority Ethnic Mobilization dx.doi.org/10.33774/apsa-2025-rtdw9… #polisky
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