iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

Reposted by Nils Steiner

Nicolai von Ondarza @nvondarza.bsky.social · 13h

Another 'wow the Eurozone crisis is a long time ago'-moment - Greek (seasonally adjusted) youth unemployment has now fallen below EU average, something that would have seemed absurd 10 years ago:

Graph of seasonally adjusted youth unemployment, with Greece below EU average.

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Frederik Thieme @frederikthieme.bsky.social · 05/10/2026

Why do green parties struggle electorally despite widespread support for climate action? My new (first 😱) paper explores why green parties remain uniquely challenged in economic crisis & that the mechanism is not only about sociotropic concerns, but also voters’ pocketbooks 🧵 doi.org/10.1017/S147...

doi.org

Pocketbook politics and climate action: How economic strain reduces support for green parties | European Journal of Political Research | Cambridge Core

Pocketbook politics and climate action: How economic strain reduces support for green parties

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Politische Vierteljahresschrift @pvs-journal.bsky.social · 05/10/2026

How did the war in Ukraine and Trump's return to office influence foreign policy attitudes in Germany? Find out now in a new open access article by Matthias Mader and Harald Schoen: link.springer.com/article/10.1...

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Nils Steiner @nilssteiner.bsky.social · 03/10/2026

Another fine contribution to the AK Wahlen special issue on the 2025 German election: Schuster et al. examine the effects of Merz’s pre-election firewall breach. Neat features: The Munich and Salzburg teams joined forces after submitting similar proposals and preregistered their analyses. 👇

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Nils Steiner @nilssteiner.bsky.social · 02/10/2026

Two neat findings in Christopher Claassen’s new POQ paper: 1️⃣ Democratic support predicts stronger resistance to antidemocratic candidates, even under partisan cross-pressure. 2️⃣ The Claassen et al. liberal democracy scale is the most consistent moderator. doi.org/10.1093/poq/...

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Big Data Kane @cmwitko.bsky.social · 16/09/2026

Here is a link to the paper that @stano.bsky.social posted about yesterday. BLUF: anti-feminist attitudes have long predicted Republican pres voting, but these attitudes are only recently more likely to be found among unmarried men without college degrees. journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...

journals.sagepub.com

Backlashes to Gender Equality and Authoritarian Populism in the U.S. - Stan Oklobdzija, Christopher Witko, 2026

According to recent scholarship, backlash toward gender equality is fueling support for the authoritarian and populist right in many countries and, perhaps, the...

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Tarik Abou-Chadi @tabouchadi.bsky.social · 02/10/2026

For my new research unit Politics of Democracy at the Berlin Social Science Center @wzb.bsky.social, we have 3 open research positions. 2 postdocs: 4 + 2 years (100%) 1 doc: 2 years (75%) Starting date: 1 March 2027 (negotiable) Application deadline: 1 November

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Danbischof @danbischof.bsky.social · 02/10/2026

Postdoc position within my group 3 years (100% TVl-13): stellen.uni-muenster.de/jobposting/2... ⏱️ 06.11.2026 If you have questions: get in touch!

stellen.uni-muenster.de

Postdoctoral Research Associate (Wissenschaftliche*r Mitarbeiter*in, salary level E 13 TV-L)

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Nils Steiner @nilssteiner.bsky.social · 28/09/2026

In another great contribution to the AK Wahlen special issue on the 2025 German election, @denis-cohen.bsky.social and colleagues use Bayesian finite mixture models to study mainstream-to-challenger defection. Their findings highlight the underappreciated role of performance evaluations. 👇

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Rahel Freiburghaus @rfrbrghs.bsky.social · 27/09/2026

The Swiss People’s Party SVP is one of the oldest and electorally strongest radical-right parties in the world. But: electoral popularity ≠ policy popularity Voters keep supporting the SVP in elections, but only 2 out of 12 popular initiatives launched by the SVP have passed Data: Swissvotes

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West European Politics @wepsocial.bsky.social · 25/09/2026

⏳ Why are voters out of step with parties on immigration and redistribution? Hironao Yoda and Serika Atsumi study 16 Western European countries: newer cohorts link the two issues as parties do — older ones don't, so the gap should narrow with generational turnover. 🔗 doi.org/10.1080/0140...

Description of the article "Time dilation: the temporal structure of elite–voter incongruence on redistribution and immigration" by Hironao Yoda and Serika Atsumi, published online first in West European Politics.

Figure 1. Two scatter plots on redistribution (x-axis) and immigration (y-axis) for 14 Western European countries. Panel (a) shows party positions from the Chapel Hill Expert Survey, which line up along a clear diagonal; panel (b) shows voter positions from the European Social Survey, which spread across all four quadrants with essentially no relationship between the two issues.

Figure 2. Dot-and-interval plot of how strongly immigration attitudes relate to redistribution attitudes in each of seven cohorts, from the interwar generation to the newest "crisis" generation. For cohorts up to the 90s generation the link is small and often indistinguishable from zero; it turns clearly positive for the 00s generation and is strongest for the crisis generation.

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Marius Sältzer @msaeltzer.bsky.social · 24/09/2026

Our colleague and friend Philipp Köker has left us and i can't begin to order my thoughts. I hope I can express to his family the feeling of loss we can't beginn to understand, but attempt to share. rundblick-niedersachsen.de/politikwisse...

rundblick-niedersachsen.de

Politikwissenschaftler stirbt überraschend mit 40 Jahren

Philipp Köker, habilitierter Politikwissenschaftler und Experte für die Erforschung politischer Institutionen, ist im Alter von 40 Jahren überraschend gestorben. Die Nachricht hat in Kreisen der Unive...

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Alexander Wuttke @kunkakom.bsky.social · 23/09/2026

We are hiring at LMU Munich: two PhD positions and one postdoc on democracy, political psychology and computational social science. Start: January 2027 or as soon as possible. We review applications on a rolling basis until October 20. Details below. Reposts very welcome! 1/7

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Reto Mitteregger @indubioproreto.bsky.social · 23/09/2026

Interesting new paper in @wepsocial.bsky.social by Yoda&Atsumi showing that "the positive association between pro-redistribution and pro-immigration attitudes is weaker among earlier cohorts." In other words: the number of left-authoritarian voters decreases across generations.

tandfonline.com

Time dilation: the temporal structure of elite–voter incongruence on redistribution and immigration

While immigration and redistribution issues have increasingly converged at the elite level in Western Europe, they remain less correlated among voters, leading to significant elite–voter incongruen...

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David Attewell @davidattewell6.bsky.social · 23/09/2026

1/ Happy to see @kaitlin-alper.bsky.social, myself, & Andreas Jozwiak's paper out @ejprjournal.bsky.social It's well-known that, on average, women support redistribution more than men. We find that the gender gap is conditional on household income & inequality within couples. tinyurl.com/3nrn53ej

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G Elliott Morris @gelliottmorris.com · 23/09/2026

Yes. here you go. Trump’s approval is significantly below where it was in 2018

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Will Jennings📉🗳️ @drjennings.bsky.social · 22/09/2026

Trump's net approval has now sunk to -27, with absolutely no sign of the trend reversing. What will it look like in two years as we approach the next presidential election? Data as ever via @gelliottmorris.com @fiftyplusone.news

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Heike Klüver @heikekluever.bsky.social · 22/09/2026

📣 We're hiring! Looking for a PhD position? Join our team in Berlin! Work with @heikekluever.bsky.social and @markuskollberg.bsky.social in #STATEWORK at Humboldt University and join our @dynamics.bsky.social PhD programme Great people, great project, great city! 🗓️ Deadline: 13 October 2026

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Julius Kölzer @juliusk.bsky.social · 21/09/2026

Ähnliche Muster auch sich in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern. Ein höherer AfD-Stimmenanteil korreliert stark mit Ländlichkeit und peripherer Lage. In Gemeinden mit geringerem Bevölkerungsverlust, höherer Beschäftigungsquote Älterer und höherem Einkommensteueraufkommen pro Kopf ist die AfD eher schwächer.

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Nils Steiner @nilssteiner.bsky.social · 20/09/2026

Die AfD hat bei den Landtagswahlen 2026 ihre Ergebnisse gegenüber dem jeweiligen Landesergebnis bei der Bundestagswahl 2025 gar nicht mal so stark steigern können (wie man vielleicht denken könnte, wenn man immer nur den Vergleich zur vorherigen Landtagswahl sieht).

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Nils Steiner @nilssteiner.bsky.social · 20/09/2026

The gender gap among young voters in Berlin’s state election: 51% of women under 25 voted for the Left Party, according to exit polls.

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Deutschland Wählt / Österreich Wählt @de.whln.eu · 20/09/2026

MECKLENBURG-VORPOMMERN: Wahlverhalten nach Alter — Hochrechnung Infratest dimap/ARD, 18:57 Uhr SPD | AfD | CDU | LINKE | GRÜNE 16-24: 22 | 34 | 2 | 24 | 6 25-34: 24 | 31 | 3 | 19 | 10 35-44: 28 | 45 | 3 | 7 | 7 45-59: 29 | 46 | 5 | 4 | 6 60-69: 38 | 40 | 6 | 4 | 4 70+: 52 | 25 | 8 | 5 | 4 #ltwmv

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DFG-funded Research Unit "Beyond Crazy" @beyond-crazy.bsky.social · 18/09/2026

We are delighted (and soooooo happy) that the DFG will fund the first four years of our Research Unit “𝗕𝗲𝘆𝗼𝗻𝗱 𝗖𝗿𝗮𝘇𝘆: 𝗜𝗻𝘁𝗲𝗴𝗿𝗮𝘁𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗕𝗲𝗻𝗲𝗳𝗶𝘁𝘀 𝗶𝗻𝘁𝗼 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗔𝗻𝗮𝗹𝘆𝘀𝗶𝘀 𝗼𝗳 𝗖𝗼𝗻𝘀𝗽𝗶𝗿𝗮𝗰𝘆 𝗕𝗲𝗹𝗶𝗲𝗳𝘀”. We will seek 8 Ph.D. candidates and a postdoctoral coordinator to start in Spring 2027.

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Sebastian Ziaja @sziaja.bsky.social · 17/09/2026

Geo-coded electoral data offers immense potential for understanding democratic processes. @dielea.bsky.social, Stefan Jünger, and I will build a research data infrastructure to support the global research community using such data with our DFG-funded project "Electoral Spaces". We are hiring!

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Arndt Leininger @aleininger.bsky.social · 15/09/2026

🧵 Just accepted @thejop.bsky.social, with @tswalve.bsky.social "What's in a name? Name recognition, place-based identities, and candidate success" Voters prefer local candidates. But how do they know who's local? Often simply from the name on the ballot👇 www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/...

journals.uchicago.edu

What's in a name? Name recognition, place-based identities, and candidate success | The Journal of Politics: Vol 0, No ja

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Reto Mitteregger @indubioproreto.bsky.social · 15/09/2026

This Sunday, Die Linke could become Berlin’s strongest party for the first time. Importantly, its success in urban centers reflects a broader sociostructural transformation: from a party rooted in the support of production workers to one drawing disproportionate support from the new middle class.

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Martin Gross @martingross.bsky.social · 14/09/2026

The German Local Manifesto Project (GLMP) is now online! 🇩🇪 GLMP provides a systematically documented & reproducible corpus of local manifestos & related political programmes from municipalities across Germany. Browse & download the data: localmanifestoproject.de @christinajuen.bsky.social

localmanifestoproject.de

German Local Manifesto Project

Besuche den Beitrag für mehr Info.

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Julia Partheymüller @schnizzl.bsky.social · 14/09/2026

📣 Call for papers now open! The next Annual Conference of the European Political Science Society will take place in Copenhagen, 24–26 June 2027. Submission deadline: 13 November 2026 (23:59 CET) Looking forward to it! #EPSS2027 @epssnet.bsky.social

Screenshot of the European Political Science Society website announcing “Copenhagen 2027.” Under “Join us in Copenhagen!”, a photo shows colourful waterfront buildings and boats. Text announces the society’s next meeting on 24–26 June 2027, with panels and networking. An orange notice reads: “Call for papers is now open!”

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Nils Steiner @nilssteiner.bsky.social · 14/09/2026

We chair an open panel on "New Cleavage Identities" at the DVPW Convention 2027. Questions: Which identities are emerging as new cleavage identities? How do they form and stabilize? How do elites construct and mobilize them? How do they affect vote choice? CfP: www.dvpw.de/dvpw2027/en/...

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Nils Steiner @nilssteiner.bsky.social · 13/09/2026

Another great article from our SI on the 2025 GER election is out! Roßteutscher et al. find that “young men on lower tracks are the most likely to support the right-wing populist AfD, and that the political climate in their educational contexts amplifies this association.” doi.org/10.1016/j.el...

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Martin Gross @martingross.bsky.social · 09/09/2026

@christinajuen.bsky.social & I are very happy to see our first publication of our @dfg.de project published in Party Politics. GLMP provides a new dataset for studying local party politics in 🇩🇪: 2,307 manifestos from 306 political actors in 248 municipalities (1989-2024) doi.org/10.1177/1354...

doi.org

The German Local Manifesto Project (GLMP): A new data source for studying local party politics - Martin Gross, Christina-Marie Juen, 2026

Local politics remains comparatively understudied in political science, partly due to limited data on party competition at the municipal level. This research no...

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Jochen Müller @jocmuel.bsky.social · 09/09/2026

Nach der Wahl ist vor der Wahl. Nach Sachsen-Anhalt richtet sich der Blick auf Mecklenburg-Vorpommern. In knapp zwei Wochen wird dort gewählt. Einige Dynamiken ähneln Sachsen-Anhalt, andere sind deutlich anders. Ein kurzer Thread zur Ausgangslage in MV. bsky.app/profile/dawu...

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Julius Kölzer @juliusk.bsky.social · 08/09/2026

For me, the most telling figure from this election: parties of the center and to its left mostly traded votes among themselves. At the same time, they suffered a net loss of over 100,000 votes to the AfD and came nowhere close to matching its mobilization of former non-voters.

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Armin Schaefer @arminschaefer.bsky.social · 08/09/2026

In diesem in der @pvs-journal.bsky.social veröffentlichten Aufsatz verorte ich Manows Buch "Spaltungslinien" in der Debatte zum Postliberalismus. Der zentralen Annahme, dass rechtspopulistische Parteien heute wirtschafts- und sozialpolitisch links stünden, widerspreche ich. rdcu.be/swtwc7WqF9ta

Titelblatt zum in der Politischen Vierteljahresschrift erschienenen Aufsatz "Ist rechts das neue links? Die postliberale Erklärung des Populismus". Der Aufsatz ist öffentlich zugänglich.

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Julius Kölzer @juliusk.bsky.social · 07/09/2026

Saxony-Anhalt went to the polls, with the AfD falling just short of a majority. Here are some takeaways based on the preliminary results across all 218 municipalities and local socioeconomic characteristics. A thread 🧵(1 /n) Full analysis + write-up: juliuskoelzer.de/saxony-anhal...

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Nils Steiner @nilssteiner.bsky.social · 07/09/2026

Caveat: Data collection is ongoing, and some cells remain sparse. We may write this up more fully with members of our team (@marcdebus.bsky.social @martingross.bsky.social @christinajuen.bsky.social @jocmuel.bsky.social @arminschaefer.bsky.social @pluggedchris.bsky.social) in the coming days.

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Nils Steiner @nilssteiner.bsky.social · 07/09/2026

Among AfD voters, own acceptance and expectations are closely linked: - Those who reject illiberalism tend to expect an AfD-led government to refrain from such action. - Those open to illiberalism tend to expect illiberal action from an AfD-led government.

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Nils Steiner @nilssteiner.bsky.social · 07/09/2026

We also asked whether respondents expect illiberal action from an AfD-led government, using analogous items. On each item, around two-thirds overall do. Unsurprisingly, AfD voters expect this less often—but even among them, roughly a third do.

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Nils Steiner @nilssteiner.bsky.social · 07/09/2026

Differences across vote choices are often substantial, with AfD voters most open to illiberalism overall. Yet even among AfD voters, majorities often reject illiberal action—and where they do not, close to half still do. The party’s electorate thus appears internally divided.

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Nils Steiner @nilssteiner.bsky.social · 07/09/2026

What do yesterday’s ST results imply for liberal democracy? In our ongoing nationwide survey, we asked about support for liberal democracy (following doi.org/10.1177/0010...). Acceptance of & ambivalence toward illiberal action are worryingly widespread, though majorities reject each transgression.

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Nils Steiner @nilssteiner.bsky.social · 07/09/2026

Another familiar pattern in the Saxony-Anhalt state election: "New" socio-structural divides along education and gender tend to be larger among younger voters (see: doi.org/10.1080/0140...). Same is again probably true of urban vs. rural, representing a broader pattern of generational realignment.

doi.org

How education, generation and gender jointly structure green and radical right voting

This article refines our understanding of the socio-structural basis of voting for green and radical right parties by studying how formal education, generation and gender interact. Given the emerge...

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Nils Steiner @nilssteiner.bsky.social · 07/09/2026

The Saxony-Anhalt state election shows the familiar socio-structural divides—education, urban vs. rural, and the gender gap among young voters (albeit with unusually high support for the AfD).

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Nils Steiner @nilssteiner.bsky.social · 01/09/2026

Another great contribution to our "AK Wahlen" special issue on the 2025 German election in @electoralstudies.bsky.social is now out: @asheinze.bsky.social and @mlewandowsky.bsky.social study the effects of loneliness on electoral participation and voting for the AfD 👇

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Nils Steiner @nilssteiner.bsky.social · 28/08/2026

These are neat ideas. You may want to check out @annakurella.bsky.social’s DFG project on Borda-based PR: annakurella.com/research-2/. I had recently thought about a related experiment: show respondents conventional first-preference polls vs. rankings/ratings and test effects on far-right support.

annakurella.com

Research

Countering Polarization: The Borda count as a basis for proportional representation (ongoing) Funded by the German Research Foundation DFG. Duration: 2026-2029 (as planned) This project explores a …

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Nils Steiner @nilssteiner.bsky.social · 26/08/2026

These UK results are well in line with partisan differences in false consensus beliefs we found in Germany: Clearly highest among far-right party supporters. See our (with @clandwehr.bsky.social) study on false consensus beliefs and populist attitudes here: onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/....

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YouGov @yougov.co.uk · 26/08/2026

Reform UK and Tory voters are much more likely than others to think their own views are broadly in line with those of the wider public - but are they right? Reform: 75% say similar Con: 71% Lib Dem: 44% Labour: 42% Green: 38% yougov.com/en-gb/articl...

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Nils Steiner @nilssteiner.bsky.social · 25/08/2026

Satisfaction with the way democracy is working in one's country over the last 50 years in Western European countries. Pooled data from the Eurobarometer.

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Wahlrecht.de @wahlrecht.de · 20/08/2026

Die #Mitgliederzahlen der Parteien Ende 2025 (und die Entwicklung zum Vorjahr) aus der jährlichen Studie von Oskar Niedermayer. Die Entwicklung in früheren Jahren: bsky.app/profile/wahl...

Quelle: Oskar Niedermayer, Parteimitgliedschaften im Jahre 2025, ZParl 20260, S. 356 ff.

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