iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

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Daniel Swain @weatherwest.bsky.social · 06/10/2026

Just did some number crunching using latest (Oct 1) ECMWF seasonal data, and I must say that I've never seen such high predictive confidence in a very wet California winter. This is a truly extraordinary forecast amid a record-strength El Niño event. [Thread: please read to end.]

Model-relative sea surface temperature anomalies for November 2026–January 2027. The supplied grid is displayed without added smoothing or coastal filling. Beige marks land and gray marks missing ocean values. The main colour scale spans -2 to +10°F, with white at zero. Hot pink marks anomalies above +10°F. This map does not establish an operational ENSO category.

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Nico Mara-McKay 🦇 (they/iel) @nicomaramckay.com · 17/03/2026

I'm reading You Better Be Lightning by Andrea Gibson and, damn. #BookSky 🌈📚 🏳️‍⚧️ 🏳️‍🌈

Photo of a poem:

NO SUCH THING AS THE INNOCENT BYSTANDER

Silence rides shotgun wherever hate goes.

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Gillian Brockell @gillianbrockell.com · 24/09/2026

Now we need to know if this ICE flight headed for Ghana has third-country nationals onboard. If so, it needs to bring them back. The emergency ruling is binding immediately, which includes planes in the air. Any lawyers or anyone else with standing think they might know someone onboard? File!

An FR24 map showing N50JE heading for Accra over the middle of the Atlantic.

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Meade Krosby @meadekrosby.bsky.social · 22/09/2026

Some of the most harrowing stories of climate suffering and injustice I've heard have come from prisons. This is long overdue, and needed well beyond Texas.

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Zeke Hausfather @zekehausfather.com · 14/09/2026

With all the September runs of dynamic ENSO models now in (with the exception of SINTEX), we are even more likely to see a record-setting (or even record-shattering) event this year. Most models revised their projection upward, a few downward, and a few unchanged:

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Daniel Swain @weatherwest.bsky.social · 14/09/2026

Agreed. I increasingly see this kind of argument invoked to argue against interventions like air conditioning in places where extreme heat events are increasingly leading to mass mortality. We no longer get to choose between adaptation & mitigation--we have to do both at an accelerating pace.

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Jed Kolko @jedkolko.bsky.social · 17/09/2026

The 2025 American Community Survey should have come out today. But it has been delayed because of unusual political encroachment at Census. ACS drives business and policy decisions, especially in local communities, and is the primary input to Census’s immigration estimates.

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Emily L. Hauser (she/her) ❌👑 @emilylhauser.bsky.social · 16/09/2026

I just woke up & saw that Macklemore had released an excellent statement. Here's some of it; it's worth reading in its entirety on Instagram (h/t @mandykathryn.bsky.social, who reposted it. Mandy and Kathryn are real ones, & among my heart's minyan.) www.instagram.com/p/DdRdsy0m2H...

I'm not sure how to start this. So I'm going to speak from the heart and share the truth. Ed Sheeran and his team have made the decision to remove me from The Loop tour. But before I get into it, I was to say something that should be obvious. In this moment I think it matters. I am not a victim. Ed Sheeran is not a victim. Pink is not a victim. We have careers, money, opportunities, safety, and audiences around the world. Whatever consequences any of us face for what we say, we get to go home to our families.

The victims are the Palestinian people. The men, women, and children who have been killed, starved, displace, and forced to live through unimaginable violence. More than 20,000 children have been killed in Gaza alone. People are being killed today, and people will be killed tomorrow. I want to make sure that as I tell this story, we don't lose sight of that.

[...] And one of the most effective ways to enforce that silence has been weaponize the accusation antisemitism. Antisemitism is real. And that is exactly why the word matters too much to be used as a shield against criticism of the Israeli state. When criticizing Israel, opposing Zionism or saying "Free Palestine" gets conflated with hatred of Jewish people, it doesn't protect Jewish people. It protects Israel from accountability.

[...] I hope this isn't the end of my relationship with Ed. Thirteen years of friendship doesn't disappear because of one painful disagreement. I hope we both continue listening, studying what is happening in Palestine and wrestling with what neutrality means in a moment like this. My door will always be open to continuing that conversation.

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Edwin Park @edwincpark.bsky.social · 16/09/2026

New @urbaninstitute.bsky.social analysis from @jh4.bsky.social and colleagues estimating that as many as 2.3 million young adults (ages 19-24) enrolled in the #Medicaid expansion will lose their coverage due to work reporting requirements and more frequent renewals: www.urban.org/research/pub...

urban.org

Up to 2.3 Million Young Adults Ages 19 to 24 Could Lose Medicaid Under OBBBA’s Work Requirements and More-Frequent Redeterminations

The One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA) includes several provisions that will make it harder for adults to enroll in and maintain coverage through the Afforda…

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Elise Gould @elisegould.bsky.social · 15/09/2026

This morning, the Census Bureau is releasing the latest data on Income, Poverty and Health Insurance! Note: these data are for 2025 and will not reflect changes in the labor market, rising inflation, and attacks on vital safety net policies, hitting families in 2026. www.epi.org/blog/2025-ce...

epi.org

2025 Census data preview: Key measures of earnings, income, and poverty may show early signs of a softer labor market and weaker safety net

The 2025 Census data may show how the Trump administration’s policy choices were starting to impact the economic well-being of workers and their families last year.

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Ryan Marino, MD @ryanmarino.bsky.social · 14/09/2026

The rule they are overturning was predicted to give $120 billion in public health benefits by 2047, with projections that by 2035, it would would prevent up to 1,200 premature deaths, 870 hospital and emergency room visits, 360K asthma attacks, 48K school absence days and 57K lost workdays each year

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CNN @cnn.com · 11/09/2026

The US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention is warning that exposure to rabies appears to be on the rise across the country. cnn.it/4iq2d6J

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patrick mcneil (he/him) @patrickryne.bsky.social · 11/09/2026

“Federal courts had an opportunity to vindicate residents’ constitutional claims. By insisting that constitutional interpretation must be deeply rooted in history, they instead perpetuated a history of racist government abuse.” Read this.

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Emily M. Bender @emilymbender.bsky.social · 11/09/2026

AI Doomerism has been in the news lately, especially with the loud, viral resignation of Jacob Coxon from Anthropic. Maybe I've missed it, but I haven't seen any statements from CEOs and other execs who are more on the AI Booster side of the ledger. >>

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Steve Vladeck @stevevladeck.bsky.social · 10/09/2026

#BREAKING: Over *no* public dissents, #SCOTUS *stays* the federal district court’s TRO in the Missouri redistricting case, effectively restoring the Missouri Supreme Court ruling from last week (and the 2022 map that it requires the state to use in November).

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Michael Wara @michaelwara.bsky.social · 10/09/2026

An incredible article about the wildfire situation that was recommended on X by two fire chiefs I deeply respect and we all should listen to, Bobby Garcia and Kim Zagaris. California is lucky to have them both. Can we listen to what they and others are saying? grist.org/extreme-weat...

grist.org

America is losing its war against wildfire

Wildland firefighting is increasingly facing an intractable reality: We’re stuck in a vicious cycle. A doom loop.

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Zack Labe @zacklabe.com · 09/09/2026

Carbon dioxide (CO₂) averaged about 428 ppm in August 2026 10 years ago August averaged about 402 ppm Data available at gml.noaa.gov/ccgg/trends/

Red line graph time series of monthly carbon dioxide abundance from January 1959 through August 2026. There is a seasonal cycle and long-term increasing trend. Current levels of CO2 are at 428 ppm. This is the Keeling Curve graph. A line for CO2 10 years ago is also annotated.

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Wallenstein Appreciator @marbleliberal.bsky.social · 05/09/2026

48% actually. I keep this graph on my phone

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darth™️ @darthbluesky.bsky.social · 04/09/2026

are they really going to go with "like the president i fully support data centers, the ongoing war in iran, and building the ballroom"

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Jen Taub @jentaub.bsky.social · 17/08/2026

“A single-payer universal health care system could cover every American, save more than 100,000 lives a year, and still cost $1 trillion less than the system it would replace, according to a new preprint study led by researchers at the Yale School of Public Health.” ysph.yale.edu/news-article...

ysph.yale.edu

Universal Health Coverage Could Save $1 Trillion and 114,000 Lives Every Year, Yale Study Projects

A single-payer universal health care system could cover every American, save more than 100,000 lives a year, and still cost $1 trillion less than the system it

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Quinta Jurecic @qjurecic.bsky.social · 30/08/2026

This blog post has been more helpful than anything else in allowing me to understand this aspect of big companies’ behavior re Trump verfassungsblog.de/trump-2-0-as...

However, Neumann energetically insisted that monopoly capitalism undermined the general legal norm’s economic buttresses. For immanent economic reasons every modern capitalist legal order increasingly relied on discretionary, individualized modes of law. Whereas classical capitalism favored general laws to preserve equal competition between and among entrepreneurs roughly equal in size, in a monopolized economy general norms became obsolete. The state increasingly faced not equal competitors but massive individual, more-or-less monopolistic firms. Neumann observed that large capitalists often preferred individual decrees and non-general modes of legal regulati ls ls

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Barred and Boujee aka Madiba Dennie @audrelawdamercy.blacksky.app · 29/08/2026

reskeeting with alt text bc this is a funny as hell way to dismiss someone's dumbass argument to their face

Screenshotted excerpt from a conversation transcript, reading as follows

Cottle: My guess is that you then completely reject the idea that we wound up with this wretched administration in part because of the backlash to the excesses of woke, especially alienating young men, who were told they were the problem, just generally speaking.

Bouie: [this line is highlighted] I completely reject that for simple reasons of linear time. This administration was elected in 2024. At peak woke, when Nancy Pelosi was wearing kente cloth, Democrats won a trifecta, right? At the--

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Michael Wara @michaelwara.bsky.social · 29/08/2026

Because here's the thing, you know how to solve for insurer and utility health, in a way that improves outcomes for the state's residents and communities? FUND THE DAMN MITIGATION THAT'S HOW!!!

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Michael Wara @michaelwara.bsky.social · 29/08/2026

@governor.ca.gov and the legislature did some good things here. But they failed to address the two most important issues facing California on wildfire: (1) How to fund the effort to bend the curve on losses (2) How to allocate the losses so that both utilities and insurance companies are healthy.

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Phil Lewis @phillewis.bsky.social · 28/08/2026

The National Park Service has been quietly working to fulfill an unprecedented directive from Trump officials: Parcel off a corner of Yosemite National Park to give to a private developer

notus.org

Trump’s Quietly Working to Give Part of Yosemite to a Private Developer

The National Park Service is under pressure to make an unprecedented deal that cedes a quarter-mile strip of the park.

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Chris Geidner @chrisgeidner.bsky.social · 28/08/2026

BREAKING: Federal judge blocks Trump administration’s new U.S. Postal Service rule setting new restrictions for mail ballots. Judge Talwani’s TRO lasts for 14 days while she considers the preliminary injunction requests, with a hearing set for Sept. 3.

Case 1:26-cv-11549-IT
Document 218 Filed 08/27/26 Page 2 of 11
TALWANI, D.J.
Pending before the court are two motions for temporary restraining orders joined for briefing pursuant to Federal Rule of Civil Procedure 42(a)(1).? For the reasons stated below, the court GRANTS a temporary restraining order staying the United States Postal Service ("USPS")
from implementing certain sections of its final rule, Ballot Mail for Federal Elections, 91 Fed.
Reg. 54966 (Aug. 26, 2026) (to be codified at 39 C.F.R. pt. 111) (the "Final Rule").

Ill. Conclusion and Order
For the foregoing reasons, Plaintiffs' emergency motions' for a temporary restraining
order are GRANTED pursuant to Federal Rule of Civil Procedure 65(b) as follows.
(1) The court grants an emergency fourteen-day stay of the implementation or enforcement of the following sections of the Final Rule as to elections occurring before or on November 3, 2026. USPS Defendants'° may take no further preparatory steps or
implement in any way for elections occurring before or on November 3, 2026:
19 Mot. for a TRO, Emergency Stay, and Expedited Prelim. Inj. and Stay, California II, No. 1:26-cv-13917 [Doc. No. 3]; Emergency Mot. for TRO and Prelim. Inj., LVWM, No. 1:26-cv-11549
[Doc. No. 206].
20 USPS Defendants are the USPS, the Postmaster General, the Deputy Postmaster General, and the members and Chair of the USPS Board of Governors. See Compl., California II, No. 1:26-cv-13917 [Doc. No. 1]; Compl., Suppl. Compl., LWVM, No. 1:26-cv-i1549 [Doc. Nos. 1, 205].

a. DMM Section 705.24.3.1, to the extent that the section makes Ballot Mail
Envelope Standards mandatory;
b. DMM Section 705.24.3.2, to the extent that the section makes Return Federal Ballot Mail Envelope Standards mandatory;
c. DMM Section 705.24.4.1; to the extent that the section makes Postal Service
Federal Ballot Mail Portal registration mandatory;
d. DMM Section 705.24.4.2; to the extent that the section makes voter enrollment in
the Postal Service Federal Ballot Mail Portal mandatory
e. DMM Section 705.24.5.1;
f. The first two sentences of DMM Section 705.24.5.2; and
g. DMM Section 705.24.5.3(a), (b), (c).
(2) Defendants' counsel must, within 24 hours after receiving service of this Order: (i)
provide written notice of this Order to the USPS Defendants and their employees; (i)
notify all
such recipients that they are required to comply with this Order, under penalty of
contempt; and (iii) file on the docket a copy of the notice and/or communications
referred to in (i)-(il).
Plaintiffs' motions for preliminary injunctions remain under advisement.
IT IS SO ORDERED.
August 27, 2026
/s/ Indira Talwani
United States District Judge

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Isaac Rabinovitch @isaac32767.picknit.com · 27/08/2026

Wikipedia refuses to comply, of course. And if you look up "Gulf of America" is redirects not to "Gulf of Mexico," but "Gulf of Mexico naming controversy." 😆

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Dr. Thomas Ronge @thomasronge.bsky.social · 26/08/2026

„The Himalayan region, which spans Nepal and several nearby countries, including India, is especially vulnerable to heavy rains, floods and landslides because it is warming faster than the rest of the world due to human-caused climate change.“

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Nate Schenkkan @nateschenkkan.bsky.social · 26/08/2026

This is why I worry when I read scifi, because somewhere out there is a guy like this who doesn't understand the fi part

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Tyson @lscpunk.bsky.social · 26/08/2026

If Dolly was our constant reminder that it was Good to be Good, Tim Curry was our reminder that it was Good to be Weird. Embrace your strangeness, sing with Muppets, wear your lingerie with a leather jacket, and fuck with uptight people who hate anything that makes them remotely uncomfortable.

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speedway22.bsky.social @speedway22.bsky.social · 26/08/2026

The Guardian just reported that there were 50,000 ICE ‘arrests’ in July, this is escalating rapidly and DHS is trying to be quieter about it now www.theguardian.com/us-news/2026...

theguardian.com

ICE arrested 50,000 people in July – quietly the biggest month in Trump’s second term

Administration moved away from high-profile raids that defined immigration enforcement approach last year but still deported record number of people

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Kat Macfarlane @katmacfarlane.bsky.social · 26/08/2026

My piece Disability and Constitutional Legitimacy sought to counter arguments, statutory or otherwise, about the viability of a class of non-disabled people who challenge disability-friendly law. I compared Section 504's language to Title VI's --explaining why disability law is, for now, different:

washingtonlawreview.org

Disability and Constitutional Legitimacy - Washington Law Review

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Chris Geidner @chrisgeidner.bsky.social · 26/08/2026

Here's my brief note at Law Dork on this, with links to the order and to the underlying story on the original TRO in this case (if you're looking for background info): substack.com/@chrisgeidne...

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Katie Bergh @katiebergh.bsky.social · 26/08/2026

New: In the 10 months after the Republican reconciliation law enacted the deepest SNAP cuts in history, SNAP enrollment fell by roughly 5 million people. The number of people receiving SNAP is at its lowest point in 17 years & is expected to keep falling. www.cbpp.org/research/foo...

cbpp.org

SNAP Tracker: People Are Losing Food Assistance as the Harmful 2025 Republican Reconciliation Law Is Implemented

SNAP participation nationwide fell by roughly 5 million people (12 percent) between the law’s July 2025 enactment and May 2026, based on the latest month of data.

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Timnit Gebru @timnitgebru.blacksky.app · 26/08/2026

Friends, I think Ghent University should hear from us as the eugenicists are out in full force. This letter is from academics there to counter the ridiculous letter supporting the white supremacist now being called a "whistleblower" by his ilk You can add your name👇🏽 docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1F...

docs.google.com

Open letter on the suspension of Nathan Cofnas at Ghent University

***Version française en dessous*** We, colleagues of Nathan Cofnas - supported by many colleagues internationally - want to respond to the negative and incorrect framing of Ghent University’s decisio...

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Joanne Freeman @jbf1755.bsky.social · 26/08/2026

Wow. Given that no one wants data centers near them, they’re trying to eliminate the need for public input. They also want to allow building before permits are issued. So…find a way to submit your input anyway. Call & email & speak up. Gift article. www.nytimes.com/2026/08/25/c...

nytimes.com

E.P.A. Moves to Curb Public Input on Air Pollution Permits for Data Centers (Gift Article)

Under the proposal, states would no longer need to provide public notice or solicit comments on air pollution permits for data centers and other projects.

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Malice Walker @humblecore.bsky.social · 25/08/2026

immediately had to search for the video of Dolly and Patti singing Shortnin’ Bread while keeping the rhythm with their acrylic nails youtu.be/AOxsQNVOhro

youtu.be

Dolly Parton & Patti LaBelle play 'Shortnin' Bread' on their Acrylic Nails

YouTube video by Happy Mag

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Patrick Wyman @patrickwyman.bsky.social · 25/08/2026

That was me, it was March of 2020, and it’s only gotten more accurate in the last six years

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Steve Vladeck @stevevladeck.bsky.social · 24/08/2026

I wrote this too quickly, but here’s my very brief explainer for “One First” on why this afternoon’s #SCOTUS ruling is problematic, but not (yet) an existential threat to mail-in voting in the midterms: www.stevevladeck.com/p/246-making...

stevevladeck.com

246. Making Sense of the Mail-in Ballots Ruling

The Supreme Court’s grant of a stay in one of the mail-in ballot cases is deeply wrong, but it’s also not the main event over whether Trump’s patently unlawful executive order can take effect.

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Lindsay P Cohn @lindsaypcohn.bsky.social · 24/08/2026

I am trademarking this for frequent use over the next weeks as the US attempts to implement “economic D-Day” on everyone doing business with Iran. “America sad other country won’t hold still while we try to punch them in the face” ™️

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Cheryl Rofer @cherylrofer.bsky.social · 22/08/2026

Convenient to have all those names in one place. Like the Harper's letter.

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Celeste Pewter @celestepewter.bsky.social · 22/08/2026

This is genuinely one of the coolest things I've seen (amongst many!) and I can't thank @katemontgomery.bsky.social enough: Spend an hour asking her all your Middle Ages research questions, which is PERFECT for historical writers or history buffs:

32auctions.com

1-Hour Consultation with a Medievalist

Auction item '1-Hour Consultation with a Medievalist' hosted online at 32auctions.

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Julia Coronado @jc-econ.bsky.social · 21/08/2026

Friday thought on monetary policy: there is a danger of framing everything in terms of supply shocks since that makes them seem transitory, but we are in a regime where chaos is structural, endogenous, and not random. Do you want to bet supply shocks are behind us?

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Jesse Felder @jessefelder.com · 21/08/2026

‘John Kenneth Galbraith, in A Short History of Financial Euphoria, condensed a speculative mania into three parts.’ novelinvestor.com/the-art-of-b...

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Kim Kelly @kimkelly.bsky.social · 21/08/2026

My latest for @teenvogue.com pays tribute to all the teenage girls who built the American house of labor www.teenvogue.com/story/teens-...

teenvogue.com

Teens Have Always Been on the Front Lines of the Labor Movement

For a century, teens have proved time and time again that they are the future.

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Aleksandra Vaca @transiticsnews.com · 18/08/2026

1. Good news: a federal court has restored gender-affirming care access for many trans adults! The HHS rule, which cut coverage for trans adults on ACA plans, has been permanently struck down by George H.W. Bush appointee Nathaniel Gorton, who blasted the Trump administration's illegal actions.

transiticsnews.com

Federal Court Restores Access to Gender-Affirming Care for Many Trans Adults in Massive Win

In a significant victory, George H.W. Bush appointee Nathaniel Gorton permanently struck down a Trump administration rule that cut coverage for many trans Americans on ACA plans.

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Mark Zandi @markzandi.bsky.social · 17/08/2026

The economic angst many Americans feel has much to do with how the economic pie is being divided. From WWII to Y2K, workers received close to two-thirds of the pie, while capital received the other one-third.

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Steve Rattner @steverattner.bsky.social · 12/08/2026

Inflation was down slightly last month, but wage growth was down more. That means inflation from the Iran War continues to erase all wage gains.

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