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Gustavo Diaz @gustavodiaz.org · 12/08/2026

Not on the committee but happy to chat!

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Political Science Department at Northwestern University @polisciatnu.bsky.social · 16/07/2026

Please join us in congratulating TWO professors, Isabella Bellezza ( @isabellabellezza.bsky.social ) & Elizabeth Thom ( @ipratnu.bsky.social ), who have have both received 2026 APSA Best Dissertation Awards!!! 👏👏👏💜🚀🚀🚀 politicalsciencenow.com/congratulati...

photo of Dr. Isabella Bellezza, College Fellow & Assistant Professor of Political Science at Northwestern University

photo of Dr. Elizabeth L. Thom, College Fellow & Assistant Professor of Political Science and Environmental Policy & Culture at Northwestern University

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Political Science Department at Northwestern University @polisciatnu.bsky.social · 13/07/2026

New article out with @poqjournal.bsky.social 🚨 Not Your Mama’s Ideology (But Close): Modest Generational Differences in Ideological Alignment in Postcommunist Europe Ph.D. candidate Matej Jungwirth ( @matejjung.bsky.social ) @lenkahrbkova.bsky.social & @celytadeas.bsky.social

This paper examines whether generational change in Central and Eastern Europe (CEE) is associated with shifts in how political attitudes align along the conventional economic–cultural left–right dimension. Because cohorts in the region were socialized under different political–economic systems, CEE provides a setting to assess whether younger generations display patterns of attitude alignment that differ from those of older cohorts. Using pooled European Social Survey data (2004–2023) and original surveys from Czechia, Hungary, and Lithuania, we combine an age–period–cohort analysis of left–right alignment with a network analysis of associations among thirteen salient issues. We find modest generational differences in the early 2000s, but these diminish over time, with all cohorts exhibiting similarly low levels of left–right alignment. Economic and cultural attitudes remain weakly connected, and EU- and foreign-policy issues often form separate clusters. The findings indicate that generational replacement has not produced a shift toward a more conventional left–right organization of belief systems in the region.

We adopt a two-pronged approach, combining large-N individual-level analysis with an in-depth study of ideological alignment in a smaller subset of countries but across a larger set of political issues. First, we use European Social Survey (ESS) data from nine Central and Eastern European EU member states to analyze trends from 2004 to 2023 on four core political issues: EU integration, LGBT rights, income inequality, and immigration (see table 1).

For individual-level analysis, we implement an age-period-cohort effects model to examine the alignment of positions across each pair of issues (i.e., six pairs among the four issues identified above: EU integration, LGBT rights, income inequality, and immigration). Alignment is measured through its inverse—the absolute distance between an individual’s positions on the two issues within each pair.5 Figure 1A illustrates how this measurement captures alignment. An individual takes a position
on one issue. This position is one standard deviation above the mean and thus liberal relative to the attitudes of others. In two scenarios, they can take a position (0.5 SD above the mean), which indicates alignment (a 0.5 SD distance), as they are liberal on both attitudes.

This approach allows for multivariate analysis that controls for additional socioeconomic differences across generations. We can describe temporal trends in alignment. It also allows for an analysis of heterogeneity in generational effects. The random forest model is summarized in Supplementary Material section E and discussed briefly below.

Using networks to measure the interconnectedness of beliefs is a well-established method in public opinion research (see, e.g., Baldassarri and Goldberg 2014; Gonthier and Guerra 2023; Van Noord et al. 2025; Cely 2025b). Networks are estimated using Spearman correlations, as opinions are measured on short ordinal scales.10 To assess interconnectedness in a manner consistent with a unidimensional ideological continuum (i.e., alignment with left–right stances as predefined by researchers; see table 2), we employ the measure of global expected influence (GEI), which captures the extent to which beliefs are constrained along a predefined ideological direction. Full wording of all items is provided in Supplementary Material section A. GEI differs from alternative metrics such as global strength, which does not assume directionality.11 Given the 78 edges among the 13 issues, both metrics can theoretically range from zero—indicating complete independence among all issues—to 78, which would imply perfect correlations of one across all issue pairs in the predefined direction. Empirically, we expect substantially lower values, as individual beliefs correlate only weakly in European contexts (Cely 2025a), and some negative associations are also very likely (Malka et al. 2019).

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Cambridge University Press Political Science & IR @cambup-polsci.cambridge.org · 10/06/2026

#OpenAccess from @apsrjournal.bsky.social - The Effects of Religious Messages and Endorsements on Political Attitudes: A Meta-Reanalysis - cup.org/4fw849c - RADHA SARKAR & @aecoppock.bsky.social #FirstView

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Francisca Castro @fcastrog.bsky.social · 28/05/2026

Next week I'll be traveling to the UK to present some ongoing work at @uniofreading.bsky.social on the relationship of memory sites and far-right vote in Chile. I just uploaded the WP here, comments are welcome :-) francisca-castro.com/research/wor...

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Matej Jungwirth @matejjung.bsky.social · 26/05/2026

Honored to share a preview of my dissertation research at @infomigration.bsky.social workshop and get valuable feedback and comments on my chapter analyzing the long-term legacies of territorial loss and forced displacement in Finland.

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Martin Naunov @naunovmartin.bsky.social · 15/05/2026

Thrilled this is finally out in its JOP-formatted version! Hope it's useful to anyone working on LGBT politics, (electoral) discrimination, status differentials within & across identity categories, and non-textual experiments. Main findings in quoted thread. www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/epdf/10....

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Chagai Weiss @chagaiweiss.bsky.social · 12/05/2026

🚨The Toronto Political Behaviour Workshop is back for its 12th edition! Join us on Nov. 13–14, 2026 @UofT! We welcome paper/poster proposals on any topic in political behaviour, broadly defined! 📅 Submission Deadline: July 11. Apply here: utorontops.az1.qualtrics.com/jfe/form/SV_...

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Gustavo Diaz @gustavodiaz.org · 23/04/2026

I am chairing two supercool panels this year at @mpsa.bsky.social. First, "Machine Learning Applications." Fri, April 24, 3:20 to 4:50pm CDT. Lots of stuff about LLMs. Love them, hate them, don't miss them. convention2.allacademic.com/one/mpsa/mps...

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Vincent Arel-Bundock @vincentab.bsky.social · 22/04/2026

It's out, everyone. It's out! Julia is one of the most brilliant translational methodologists I know, and it was a real honor to work with her on this paper. Please let us know if you have any questions or feedback! (BTW, I'm a psychologist now?)

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Tabitha Bonilla @tabithabonilla.bsky.social · 17/04/2026

It is always nice to wake up to a FirstView from JREP, but never more so than when you are working with a brilliant student, especially Eden Melles. This article examines how religious identity (Muslim and Christian) shapes Black American political attitudes. www.cambridge.org/core/journal...

cambridge.org

Examining Religious and Racial Identity for Black Christians and Muslims in the United States | Journal of Race, Ethnicity, and Politics | Cambridge Core

Examining Religious and Racial Identity for Black Christians and Muslims in the United States

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Vincent Arel-Bundock @vincentab.bsky.social · 17/04/2026

The great @eddelbuettel.com invited me to his STAT447 class at the University of Illinois. If you'd like to hear me speak about the interpretation of statistical models in #RStats, using the {marginaleffects} 📦, check out the video! www.youtube.com/watch?v=v3TX...

youtube.com

STAT 447 (2026) Guest Lecture by Vincent Arel-Bundock

YouTube video by Dirk Eddelbuettel

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Peter K. Enns @peterenns.bsky.social · 07/04/2026

I am excited to announce the beta release of @verasight.io’s Free AI Survey Programming Tool: Doc2Survey, that automatically converts any survey drafted in a Word or Google Doc to a programmed Qualtrics survey (.qsf file). We are making Doc2Survey available for free! www.verasight.io/doc2survey

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Talbot Andrews @talbotmandrews.bsky.social · 06/04/2026

Now more than ever we encounter each other's emotions about politics, on social media and in the news. When do we take strangers' emotional expression seriously, and when do we dismiss it as inappropriate or even insincere? You can find out now in our Cambridge Element!

nam12.safelinks.protection.outlook.com

Emotions on Our Screens

Cambridge Core - Politics: General Interest - Emotions on Our Screens

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Alex Coppock @aecoppock.bsky.social · 27/01/2026

🎺 Call for proposals 🎺 1️⃣ replicate an existing experiment 2️⃣ run a novel experiment on repdata.com 3️⃣ coauthor with Mary McGrath and me to meta-analyze the replications and existing studies 4️⃣ publish your study details: alexandercoppock.com/replication_... applications open Feb 1 please repost!

Call for Proposals: Data Collection for
Replication+Novel Political Science Survey Experiments
Alexander Coppock and Mary McGrath
January 27, 2026
We invite proposals for a survey experiment replication+novel design competition. Se-
lected replication+novel design survey experiments will be conducted on large samples of
American respondents, quota sampled to match U.S. Census margins and filtered for quality
and attention by the survey sample provider Rep Data (repdata.com).
Each proposal consists of two parts: (1) a replication study of an existing, previously
published survey experiment, and (2) a novel experimental design on a topic of the authors’
choosing.
The replication studies and reanalyses of the existing studies will be combined into a
meta-paper to be co-authored by all authors of accepted proposals along with the princi-
pal investigators (Coppock and McGrath). As a condition for acceptance, authors commit
to sharing the data and producing a write-up of the findings from their novel design for
submission to a scholarly journal, and public posting of a working paper pre-publication.

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Drew Stommes @drewstommes.bsky.social · 27/01/2026

After years in academia, I’m exploring data science and research roles in industry. I'm a quant. social scientist (PhD Yale ’24, NYU) focused on causal inference, experiments, and large-scale data. Feel free to get in touch or share; all leads appreciated. dwstommes@gmail.com

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Gustavo Diaz @gustavodiaz.org · 07/01/2026

Looking for 1-2 papers (and maybe one more discussant) to put together an #APSA2026 panel proposal on recent methodological developments in surveys/experiments (can go either way). Feel free to reach out!

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Connor T. Jerzak @jerzakconnor.bsky.social · 08/12/2025

Calling those looking to get feedback on their quant work📢: Join us at @TexasAM for TexMeth2026 this Feb. Great opportunity to connect with the regional community and showcase your research. The sun will still be strong for those coming from the north!🤝📊☀️ Apply: docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1F...

docs.google.com

Texas Methods Conference 2026

Please answer the following questions to indicate your interest in attending and/or participating at our conference, which is scheduled to take place on Friday and Saturday, February 20-21, at Texas A...

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Political Analysis @polanalysis.bsky.social · 04/12/2025

Currently in FirstView: In “Survey Professionalism: New Evidence from Web Browsing Data,” Bernhard Clemm von Hohenberg, @tiagoventura.bsky.social, Tiago Ventura, @jonathannagler.bsky.social, @ericka.bric.digital, & Magdalena Wojcieszak provide evidence on survey professionalism across three samples.

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Brendan Nyhan @brendannyhan.bsky.social · 30/11/2025

Needed - larger samples, more realism about (the lack of) heterogeneous treatment effects: -"less than a third of proposed hypotheses were supported... the largest predictor of positive exp. results was sample size" -"moderation hypotheses were rarely significant" academic.oup.com/poq/advance-...

academic.oup.com

An Audit of Social Science Survey Experiments

Abstract. Survey experiments have become a popular methodology for causal inference across the social sciences. We study the efficacy of survey experiment

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Chagai Weiss @chagaiweiss.bsky.social · 28/10/2025

🏆APSA's Experimental Research Section Best Paper Award🏆 Did you present an experiment at APSA2026? Submit your conference paper for the Experimental Research Section's best paper award by April 15, 2026. @sumitra.bsky.social @talbotmandrews.bsky.social and I are excited to read your work!

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Political Analysis @polanalysis.bsky.social · 14/10/2025

Currently in FirstView: In “Balancing Precision and Retention in Experimental Design,” @gustavodiaz.org and Erin Rossiter study how experimental design choices can increase precision when estimating treatment effects. Specifically, they examine block-randomized and pre-post designs.

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Avital Livny @avitallivny.bsky.social · 08/09/2025

Just over one week to go before the September 16 deadline. Excited to review the applications and engage with folks’ work!

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Christina Wolbrecht @cwolbrecht.bsky.social · 29/07/2025

Check out this fascinating paper by my colleagues Erin Rossiter and Jeff Harden. Such a cool design and interesting findings. Plus, Taylor!

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Political Science Department at Northwestern University @polisciatnu.bsky.social · 23/07/2025

"We use real-world data to demonstrate a counterintuitive result: precision gains from block-randomized or pre-post designs can withstand significant sample loss that may arise during implementation." @gustavodiaz.org & Erin Rossiter via @polanalysis.bsky.social doi.org/10.1017/pan....

“Balancing Precision and Retention in Experimental Design.”
Political Analysis, 2025, 1–10.
https://doi.org/10.1017/pan.2025.10008

Gustavo Diaz and Erin Rossiter

In experimental social science, precise treatment effect estimation is of utmost importance, and researchers can make design choices to increase precision. Specifically, block-randomized and pre-post designs are promoted as effective means to increase precision. However, implementing these designs requires pre-treatment covariates, and collecting this information may decrease sample sizes, which in and of itself harms precision. Therefore, despite the literature’s recommendation to use block-randomized and pre-post designs, it remains unclear when to expect these designs to increase precision in applied settings. We use real-world data to demonstrate a counterintuitive result: precision gains from block-randomized or pre-post designs can withstand significant sample loss that may arise during implementation. Our findings underscore the importance of incorporating researchers’ practical concerns into existing experimental design advice.

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Cambridge University Press Political Science & IR @cambup-polsci.cambridge.org · 21/07/2025

#OpenAccess from ‪@polanalysis.bsky.social - Balancing Precision and Retention in Experimental Design - cup.org/44E5isE - @gustavodiaz.org & Erin Rossiter #FirstView

The image displays the text "POLITICAL ANALYSIS" in bold white letters on a red background, above the hashtag "#FirstView" in white text, set against a yellow background.

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British Journal of Political Science @bjpols.bsky.social · 16/06/2025

From April 2025 - Ignoring Women’s Performance: A Survey Experiment on Policy Implementation in Argentina - cup.org/4clGHLw - @gustavodiaz.org, @viroliveros.bsky.social, Rebecca Weitz-Shapiro & Matthew S. Winters #OpenAccess

BJPolS abstract discussing the potential influence of a politician's gender on voter expectations and perceptions in Argentina, focusing on responses from an online survey experiment about a hypothetical city mayor.

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Yusaku Horiuchi @yusakuhoriuchi.bsky.social · 26/05/2025

The Experimental Research section of the American Political Science Association (@experimentsapsa.bsky.social) invites research proposals from post-prospectus PhD students for its Experimental Research Early-Career Fellowship program. Share this post! @apsa.bsky.social, @poscresearch.bsky.social

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Vincent Arel-Bundock @vincentab.bsky.social · 21/05/2025

I'm super excited to be giving a tutorial at the useR conference (Duke) this summer! Let me know if you're thinking about signing up, or if you'll be in Durham and want to chat over coffee. I'd love to connect with other #Rstats enthusiasts!

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Michelle L. Dion @michelledion.bsky.social · 24/04/2025

Virtual and IRL in Ann Arbor seats still available for my @icpsrsummer.bsky.social workshop on Multilevel Modelling in the Social Sciences from July 7-11. It's 40 hours or a semester of content in just 5 days. Bring your project data! myumi.ch/JwM8e #SumProg25 #ICPSR

media.tenor.com

hermione granger from harry potter is wearing a black sweater and a red tie and looking at the camera .

Alt: hermione granger from harry potter is wearing a black sweater and a red tie and looking at the camera .

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Martin Naunov @naunovmartin.bsky.social · 16/05/2025

Thrilled to share my article “The Right Kind of (Gay) Man?” was accepted @thejop.bsky.social I started it as a 1st-year grad student, it became my MA, then a dissertation & job market paper. It’s the piece I’m most proud of (and relieved to finally share) 🏳️‍🌈 www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/...

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Michelle L. Dion @michelledion.bsky.social · 12/05/2025

Come work with me! McMaster is the best Canadian research university w/a medical school that you've never heard of™! Though there are areas listed, the field is actually wide open! These Research Chairs come with research funding. universityaffairs.ca/search-job/?...

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Vincent Arel-Bundock @vincentab.bsky.social · 25/04/2025

Hey, I'm on the Casual Inference podcast this week! I've been a massive fan of @lucystats.bsky.social and @epiellie.bsky.social since Episode 1 of Casual Inference. Talking to great experts (and conversationalists!) like them was a ton of fun. Thanks so much for the invitation!

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Political Science Department at Northwestern University @polisciatnu.bsky.social · 04/04/2025

MUST READ new article from @gustavodiaz.org, @viroliveros.bsky.social, Rebecca Weitz-Shapiro & Matthew S. Winters via @bjpols.bsky.social Ignoring Women’s Performance: A Survey Experiment on Policy Implementation in Argentina doi.org/10.1017/S000... #openaccess #polisky #NUResearch

Diaz, Gustavo, Virginia Oliveros, Rebecca Weitz-Shapiro, and Matthew S. Winters. “Ignoring Women’s Performance: A Survey Experiment on Policy Implementation in Argentina.” British Journal of Political Science 55 (2025): e54. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0007123424000668.

Abstract

How does a politician’s gender shape citizen responses to performance in office? Much of the existing literature suggests that voters hold higher expectations of women politicians and are more likely to punish them for malfeasance. An alternative perspective suggests that voters view men politicians as more agentic and are, therefore, more responsive to their performance, whether good or bad. Using an online survey experiment in Argentina, we randomly assign respondents to information that the distribution of a government food programme in a hypothetical city is biased or unbiased, and we also randomly assign the gender of the mayor. We find that respondents are more responsive to performance information – both positive and negative – about men mayors. We find little evidence that respondents hold different expectations of malfeasance by men versus women politicians. These results contribute to our understanding of how citizens process performance information in a context with few women politicians.

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British Journal of Political Science @bjpols.bsky.social · 02/04/2025

NEW - Ignoring Women’s Performance: A Survey Experiment on Policy Implementation in Argentina - cup.org/4clGHLw - @gustavodiaz.org, @viroliveros.bsky.social, Rebecca Weitz-Shapiro & Matthew S. Winters #OpenAccess

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Matthew Lebo @matthewlebo.bsky.social · 06/03/2025

Please share! Have an MA student or current PhD student who wants/needs to get out of the US (or not go there)? Western is accepting PhD late apps. Info here: politicalscience.uwo.ca/graduate/gra... Apply here: politicalscience.uwo.ca/graduate/pro... Or contact Grad Chair: Cameron.Anderson@uwo.ca

Text describing a call for PhD applications at Western University in London, Ontario Canada

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Gustavo Diaz @gustavodiaz.org · 10/11/2023

Polisky! Still need one more!

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Gustavo Diaz @gustavodiaz.org · 09/11/2023

Polisky! I'm looking for volunters for chair/discussant for a panel on fieldwork and qualitative methods for the next MPSA conference. Ping or email me if interested👀

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Gustavo Diaz @gustavodiaz.org · 18/09/2023

Hey polisky. My paper on double list experiments is finally out online at JEPS! I started working on this year 2 of grad school and it's finally out! This will come in print as part of a great special issue 👀 doi.org/10.1017/XPS....

doi.org

Assessing the Validity of Prevalence Estimates in Double List Experiments | Journal of Experimental ...

Assessing the Validity of Prevalence Estimates in Double List Experiments

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Gustavo Diaz @gustavodiaz.org · 08/09/2023

Hello Polisky. I'll be the Methodology section chair for MPSA 2024. I would love to chat if you have cool panel ideas! Proposal deadline October 9: www.mpsanet.org/conference/

mpsanet.org

About Conference - Midwest Political Science Association

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Nicholas Grossman @nicholasgrossman.bsky.social · 28/08/2023

Hey Polisky, Illinois (UIUC) is hiring in IPE. Political economy broadly defined (eg goods, capital, labor, services, climate change, human rights, migration). Expertise in statistical methods is desirable. If you or anyone you know is interested, announcement here: illinois.csod.com/ux/ats/caree...

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