iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

Public Opinion Quarterly - POQ @poqjournal.bsky.social · 01/10/2026

Public Opinion Quarterly is now on LinkedIn! Go check out our new account using the link below: www.linkedin.com/company/publ...

031

Public Opinion Quarterly - POQ @poqjournal.bsky.social · 25/09/2026

Convenience or quota-based sampling for surveys? Christenson et al. assessed the potential pitfalls of convenience sampling in an expansive cross-national study, yet found a striking amount of consistency across platforms. Read now: doi.org/10.1093/poq/...

033

Public Opinion Quarterly - POQ @poqjournal.bsky.social · 23/09/2026

Trump Makes Republicans More Racist and Democrats Less So Check out Thomas B. Edsall's new opinion piece for The New York Times, which references work from Enns & Jardina's POQ article. Read more here: www.nytimes.com/2026/09/22/o...

032

Public Opinion Quarterly - POQ @poqjournal.bsky.social · 17/09/2026

Anger leads to political participation. In POQ, Morell & Oceno explore the extent to which anger motivates political participation, the type of participation it drives, and how these differ between race and gender. Read now: doi.org/10.1093/poq/...

1179

Reposted by Public Opinion Quarterly - POQ

Bart Bonikowski @bartbonikowski.bsky.social · 16/09/2026

Another installment in a series of papers on perceived AI labor market shocks and political preferences, co-authored with my superstar team of collaborators (@sborwein.bsky.social, Beatrice Magistro, @rmichaelalvarez.bsky.social, and Peter Loewen). See post below for links to our previous work.

1143

Public Opinion Quarterly - POQ @poqjournal.bsky.social · 15/09/2026

AI is poised to reconfigure the economy and politics. In POQ, Borwein et al. find that while some are supportive of AI, a plurality perceive AI as a threat, and these perceptions are easily connected to reactionary policy preferences. Read now: doi.org/10.1093/poq/...

185

Public Opinion Quarterly - POQ @poqjournal.bsky.social · 09/09/2026

🚨Out now!🚨 POQ's special issue, Advancing Public Opinion Research Across Countries and Contexts. An overview from the editors: doi.org/10.1093/poq/... All articles and notes: academic.oup.com/poq/issue

143

Public Opinion Quarterly - POQ @poqjournal.bsky.social · 03/09/2026

Ideologies differ across generations in Central and Eastern Europe, but not by much. Hrbková et al. find that, while there were modest generational differences in the early 2000s, these differences have since diminished considerably. Read now: doi.org/10.1093/poq/...

164

Public Opinion Quarterly - POQ @poqjournal.bsky.social · 02/09/2026

Do surveys benefit from identical labels and question items? Ogura et al. show that cross-national surveys benefit from using country-specific items to measure symbolic and operational ideology, rather than items common across countries. Read now: doi.org/10.1093/poq/...

1128

Public Opinion Quarterly - POQ @poqjournal.bsky.social · 28/08/2026

Women remain underrepresented in politics. In POQ, Gothreau & Laustsen report the results from the most comprehensive and geographically diverse test of citizens’ preferences for women candidates to date. Read now: doi.org/10.1093/poq/...

086

Public Opinion Quarterly - POQ @poqjournal.bsky.social · 26/08/2026

How have public attitudes toward energy changed among EU member states between 2006 and 2024? In POQ, Jabkowski et al. found that energy became a major public concern during crises, especially after Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in 2022. Read now: doi.org/10.1093/poq/...

131

Public Opinion Quarterly - POQ @poqjournal.bsky.social · 19/08/2026

What motivates Americans' partisanship? In POQ, Fowler et al. find that values, ideology, and policy preferences are, by far, the most common reasons people give for their party identification and their affect toward the other party. Read now: doi.org/10.1093/poq/...

2119

Public Opinion Quarterly - POQ @poqjournal.bsky.social · 18/08/2026

Compulsory voting creates robust democratic citizens — or does it? In POQ, Stiers & Singh looked to Belgium following a partial abolition of compulsory voting. Once abolished, voter turnout declined, but attitudes and engagement were unchanged. Read now: doi.org/10.1093/poq/...

132

Public Opinion Quarterly - POQ @poqjournal.bsky.social · 13/08/2026

How does the American partisan divide influence support for Ukraine? In POQ, Rudolph finds that support for Ukraine among Republicans is lower than among Democrats, and support among conservative Republicans is particularly cost-averse. Read now: doi.org/10.1093/poq/...

123

Reposted by Public Opinion Quarterly - POQ

American Association for Public Opinion Research @aapor.bsky.social · 10/08/2026

"What we produce is not just data. It is a record. A record of what people think, what they experience, and how society is changing." Jordon Peugh's 2026 Presidential Address is now available in @poqjournal.bsky.social: doi.org/10.1093/poq/...

doi.org

AAPOR Presidential Address AAPOR Presidential Address 2026: Bearing Witness to This Moment

When I first became AAPOR’s vice president/president-elect in 2024, I thought I might focus my presidential address on something like “the business of rese

011

Public Opinion Quarterly - POQ @poqjournal.bsky.social · 31/07/2026

Does violence beget violence? In POQ, Vargiu & Nai found that while Democrats initially condemned violence against Republicans, their support for partisan violence increased following Mangione’s arrest. Read now: doi.org/10.1093/poq/...

143

Public Opinion Quarterly - POQ @poqjournal.bsky.social · 29/07/2026

Christian nationalism isn't just a worldview — it's an emerging identity. In POQ, Walker et al. find that various definitions of Christian nationalism can influence respondents' self-categorization. Read now: doi.org/10.1093/poq/...

187

Public Opinion Quarterly - POQ @poqjournal.bsky.social · 23/07/2026

The educational attainment of welfare recipients influences perceptions of deservingness. In POQ, Diessner et al. find that university-educated workers are seen as less in need of support in contemporary knowledge economies. Read now: doi.org/10.1093/poq/...

145

Reposted by Public Opinion Quarterly - POQ

Political Science Department at Northwestern University @polisciatnu.bsky.social · 13/07/2026

New article out with @poqjournal.bsky.social 🚨 Not Your Mama’s Ideology (But Close): Modest Generational Differences in Ideological Alignment in Postcommunist Europe Ph.D. candidate Matej Jungwirth ( @matejjung.bsky.social ) @lenkahrbkova.bsky.social & @celytadeas.bsky.social

This paper examines whether generational change in Central and Eastern Europe (CEE) is associated with shifts in how political attitudes align along the conventional economic–cultural left–right dimension. Because cohorts in the region were socialized under different political–economic systems, CEE provides a setting to assess whether younger generations display patterns of attitude alignment that differ from those of older cohorts. Using pooled European Social Survey data (2004–2023) and original surveys from Czechia, Hungary, and Lithuania, we combine an age–period–cohort analysis of left–right alignment with a network analysis of associations among thirteen salient issues. We find modest generational differences in the early 2000s, but these diminish over time, with all cohorts exhibiting similarly low levels of left–right alignment. Economic and cultural attitudes remain weakly connected, and EU- and foreign-policy issues often form separate clusters. The findings indicate that generational replacement has not produced a shift toward a more conventional left–right organization of belief systems in the region.

We adopt a two-pronged approach, combining large-N individual-level analysis with an in-depth study of ideological alignment in a smaller subset of countries but across a larger set of political issues. First, we use European Social Survey (ESS) data from nine Central and Eastern European EU member states to analyze trends from 2004 to 2023 on four core political issues: EU integration, LGBT rights, income inequality, and immigration (see table 1).

For individual-level analysis, we implement an age-period-cohort effects model to examine the alignment of positions across each pair of issues (i.e., six pairs among the four issues identified above: EU integration, LGBT rights, income inequality, and immigration). Alignment is measured through its inverse—the absolute distance between an individual’s positions on the two issues within each pair.5 Figure 1A illustrates how this measurement captures alignment. An individual takes a position
on one issue. This position is one standard deviation above the mean and thus liberal relative to the attitudes of others. In two scenarios, they can take a position (0.5 SD above the mean), which indicates alignment (a 0.5 SD distance), as they are liberal on both attitudes.

This approach allows for multivariate analysis that controls for additional socioeconomic differences across generations. We can describe temporal trends in alignment. It also allows for an analysis of heterogeneity in generational effects. The random forest model is summarized in Supplementary Material section E and discussed briefly below.

Using networks to measure the interconnectedness of beliefs is a well-established method in public opinion research (see, e.g., Baldassarri and Goldberg 2014; Gonthier and Guerra 2023; Van Noord et al. 2025; Cely 2025b). Networks are estimated using Spearman correlations, as opinions are measured on short ordinal scales.10 To assess interconnectedness in a manner consistent with a unidimensional ideological continuum (i.e., alignment with left–right stances as predefined by researchers; see table 2), we employ the measure of global expected influence (GEI), which captures the extent to which beliefs are constrained along a predefined ideological direction. Full wording of all items is provided in Supplementary Material section A. GEI differs from alternative metrics such as global strength, which does not assume directionality.11 Given the 78 edges among the 13 issues, both metrics can theoretically range from zero—indicating complete independence among all issues—to 78, which would imply perfect correlations of one across all issue pairs in the predefined direction. Empirically, we expect substantially lower values, as individual beliefs correlate only weakly in European contexts (Cely 2025a), and some negative associations are also very likely (Malka et al. 2019).

295

Public Opinion Quarterly - POQ @poqjournal.bsky.social · 14/07/2026

Are younger generations souring on the British monarchy? In POQ, Phillips & Larner find that, under Queen Elizabeth, people became fonder of it with age, but some warning signs for the youth exist for King Charles. Read now: doi.org/10.1093/poq/...

142

Public Opinion Quarterly - POQ @poqjournal.bsky.social · 10/07/2026

Does partisan embarrassment influence partisan loyalties? Connors et al. find that partisan embarrassment does not significantly impact partisan identity, affective party ratings, private or public party support, or perceived party competence. Read more: doi.org/10.1093/poq/...

142

Reposted by Public Opinion Quarterly - POQ

American Association for Public Opinion Research @aapor.bsky.social · 09/07/2026

The results are in! 2026 Journal Citation Reports recognize #AAPOR journals among top publications in the #socialsciences. @poqjournal.bsky.social: #11 Interdisc. Social Sciences, #15 Communication & #20 #PoliticalScience @jssam.bsky.social: #29 Mathematical Methods & #42 Statistics & Probability

011

Public Opinion Quarterly - POQ @poqjournal.bsky.social · 08/07/2026

Can gender-inclusive language improve the comparability of surveys? In POQ, Findor et al. find that gender-inclusive labels led to more favorable evaluations, especially in grammatically gendered languages. Read now: doi.org/10.1093/poq/...

132

Public Opinion Quarterly - POQ @poqjournal.bsky.social · 02/07/2026

Do group-based inequalities feel more unjust? In POQ, Leipziger et al. find limited evidence that intergroup inequality is perceived as more unfair and evokes stronger feelings of injustice than interpersonal inequality. Read now: doi.org/10.1093/poq/...

1146

Public Opinion Quarterly - POQ @poqjournal.bsky.social · 25/06/2026

We're thrilled to share that POQ's impact factor is now 4.6! Thank you to our wonderful authors, readers, reviewers, and editors for making this possible.

041

Reposted by Public Opinion Quarterly - POQ

Joe Phillips @polpsychjoe.bsky.social · 25/06/2026

New publication out and open access at @poqjournal.bsky.social with the legendary @jaclarner.bsky.social! How does support for the UK monarchy change over the lifespan or differ between cohorts? 🧵 (1/x) doi.org/10.1093/poq/...

doi.org

Long May They Reign? Age and Cohort Effects on Monarchism in the UK

Abstract. The monarchy is a long-standing British institution that enjoys high visibility across the world. However, there is concern that younger generati

1197

Public Opinion Quarterly - POQ @poqjournal.bsky.social · 24/06/2026

Foreign shaming can cause public backlash. Gruffydd-Jones examined the impacts of criticisms of China's COVID-19 policies on public opinion. Chinese citizens who didn't read foreign criticism grew more supportive of the Chinese government. Read now: doi.org/10.1093/poq/...

131

Public Opinion Quarterly - POQ @poqjournal.bsky.social · 23/06/2026

Out now! The latest issue of POQ! Read Volume 90, Issue 3, Fall 2026 here: academic.oup.com/poq/issue

052

Public Opinion Quarterly - POQ @poqjournal.bsky.social · 10/06/2026

The LGBT community is not monolithic. In POQ, Jones finds a variety of ideological gaps in the LGBT community between various subgroups. Of these subgroups, gender differences are more muted than sexual orientation and transgender identity. Read more: doi.org/10.1093/poq/...

132

Public Opinion Quarterly - POQ @poqjournal.bsky.social · 09/06/2026

Got a great paper on how AI is reshaping public opinion research? Submit it to POQ's special issue on Artificial Intelligence and the Future of Survey Research! Papers are being reviewed and accepted on a rolling basis starting now. Full details here:

static.primary.prod.gcms.the-infra.com

100

Public Opinion Quarterly - POQ @poqjournal.bsky.social · 04/06/2026

How much can facts shift public opinion on inequality? M.H. Go et al.'s study shows corrective info boosts support for gender equality policies in South Korea, but barely moves attitudes in Japan. Read now: doi.org/10.1093/poq/...

133

Public Opinion Quarterly - POQ @poqjournal.bsky.social · 03/06/2026

static.primary.prod.gcms.the-infra.com

100

Reposted by Public Opinion Quarterly - POQ

Céline Laffineur @celinemarie.bsky.social · 28/05/2026

🚨 Excited that our paper with @bnbakker.bsky.social and @gijsschumacher.bsky.social is now out in Public Opinion Quarterly!

12210

Public Opinion Quarterly - POQ @poqjournal.bsky.social · 27/05/2026

How should we conceptualize political interest? In POQ, Laffineur et al. demonstrate that political interest and disinterest are distinct social identities through a newly developed methodological approach. Read now: doi.org/10.1093/poq/...

0118

Public Opinion Quarterly - POQ @poqjournal.bsky.social · 22/05/2026

static.primary.prod.gcms.the-infra.com

111

Public Opinion Quarterly - POQ @poqjournal.bsky.social · 24/04/2026

Does partisanship affect justifications of political violence? Berntzen et al. find that both Democrats and Republicans are more likely to justify identical acts of political violence when the victims are from the opposing party. Read now: doi.org/10.1093/poq/...

1177

Public Opinion Quarterly - POQ @poqjournal.bsky.social · 23/04/2026

Hungary has elected a new prime minister. Where are the sore losers? In POQ, Kerr et al. found evidence that perceived election quality increases following electoral turnover in competitive authoritarian regimes. Read more: doi.org/10.1093/poq/...

021

Reposted by Public Opinion Quarterly - POQ

Dan Silverman @dmsilverman.bsky.social · 17/04/2026

My work in @poqjournal.bsky.social shows that public opinion of military withdrawals and the ending of wars can be heavily shaped by "enemy victory" framings This was common after Biden's withdrawal from Afghanistan ("the Taliban won!") "Iran won, Trump lost, gas is up" for Dems could be effective

171

Public Opinion Quarterly - POQ @poqjournal.bsky.social · 17/04/2026

How do voters “think ideologically” in multiparty systems? In POQ, Lachance & Treger find that Canadian voters use left–right labels as shortcuts to infer candidates’ positions, even when they don't fully align with their policy preferences. Read now: doi.org/10.1093/poq/...

054

Public Opinion Quarterly - POQ @poqjournal.bsky.social · 13/04/2026

100

Public Opinion Quarterly - POQ @poqjournal.bsky.social · 10/04/2026

Can war unify a deeply polarized society? With data from Israel before and after the October 7 Hamas attack, Feinstein & Ben-David show a “split” response: high support for the war and trust in the military, but no rally-’round-the-flag. Read now: doi.org/10.1093/poq/...

152

Public Opinion Quarterly - POQ @poqjournal.bsky.social · 08/04/2026

Does personal proximity to drug market participants fuel opposition to drug reform? In POQ, Zizumbo-Colunga & López find evidence from 18 Latin American countries that suggests the opposite. Read now: doi.org/10.1093/poq/...

031

Reposted by Public Opinion Quarterly - POQ

Daniel Devine @danjdevine.bsky.social · 08/04/2026

At @poqjournal.bsky.social there is a call for papers on a special issue on Artificial Intelligence and Survey Research. If you have papers on this obviously important topic then here's a link for more information! static.primary.prod.gcms.the-infra.com/static/poq/d...

static.primary.prod.gcms.the-infra.com

044

Public Opinion Quarterly - POQ @poqjournal.bsky.social · 02/04/2026

111

Public Opinion Quarterly - POQ @poqjournal.bsky.social · 01/04/2026

Out now! The latest issue of POQ! Read Volume 90, Issue 1, Spring 2026 here: academic.oup.com/poq/issue

043

Reposted by Public Opinion Quarterly - POQ

Matt DiGiuseppe @mdigiuseppe.bsky.social · 30/03/2026

I am happy that this paper with @flynnpolsci.bsky.social is finally in print. If you need to turn text into a number for rigorous analysis, this is likely the solution you are looking for. Short story: pairwise comparisons (A vs. B) are better than naive LLM scaling (0-10 placement).

153

Reposted by Public Opinion Quarterly - POQ

Michael Flynn @flynnpolsci.bsky.social · 27/03/2026

@mdigiuseppe.bsky.social and I have a new piece out in @poqjournal.bsky.social where we use LLMs and Bayes/brms to estimate pairwise comparisons and latent scores.

284

Public Opinion Quarterly - POQ @poqjournal.bsky.social · 27/03/2026

Can LLMs assist in the reliance on closed-ended questions in surveys? In POQ, DiGiuseppe et al. find that LLMs have the potential to unlock the benefits of pairwise comparisons to scale open-ended responses. Read now: doi.org/10.1093/poq/...

163

Public Opinion Quarterly - POQ @poqjournal.bsky.social · 26/03/2026

Can training individuals on survey methodology boost their critical processing of polls? Kuru compares three preemptive interventions and finds that “psychological inoculation” is particularly effective for critical evaluation of polls. Read now: doi.org/10.1093/poq/...

173