Reposted by Geraint LewisFarrukh @implausibleblog.bsky.social · 7hFraser Nelson, "There's no doubt about it, there's a huge number of Brits who want back in the EU" My view: A YouGov megapoll of nearly 12,000 people found full EU membership was the most popular UK–EU policy option in 628 of 632 constituencies. 14317
Reposted by Geraint LewisEthan Mollick @emollick.bsky.social · 14hIf you haven’t made sure to turn on two-factor authentication on all accounts, have passwords with family in case you get voice calls asking for money, etc, now would be a good time. AI gains mean the costs of mass targeting individuals with very sophisticated attacks are dropping. 811326
Reposted by Geraint LewisHolger Hestermeyer @hhesterm.bsky.social · 11/10/2026There are a number of things to say about the Prime Minister's public statement that Russia interfered in the Brexit referendum. www.theguardian.com/politics/202...theguardian.comAndy Burnham says it is clear Russia interfered in Brexit referendumPM says he asked question upon entering No 10 but does not reveal who gave him ‘clear answer’ that Russia meddled 57839
Reposted by Geraint LewisMark Chadbourn @chadbourn.bsky.social · 11/10/2026Everybody knew Russia interfered in the Brexit referendum - the evidence was there - but people were too afraid of Farage’s mob to say it. So it’s good to see Burnham finally speaking the truth.observer.co.ukFrom Russia with interference: Burnham first PM to confir...The prime minister has revealed UK authorities told him there was ‘clear evidence’ that Moscow meddled in the referendum 762075705
Reposted by Geraint LewisFarrukh @implausibleblog.bsky.social · 11/10/2026Andy Burnham confirms what previous PM's - May, Johnson, Truss, Sunak and Starmer - failed to, that Russia interfered in the Brexit referendum. 651047410
Reposted by Geraint LewisCarole Cadwalladr @carolecadwalla.bsky.social · 11/10/2026NEW: Prime Minister Andy Burnham finally breaks a decade of UK govt silence…& reveals there was ‘clear’ Russian interference in the Brexit vote. 1/ 20558492394
Reposted by Geraint LewisPeter Stefanovic @peterstefanovic.bsky.social · 11/10/2026Andy Burnham first PM to confirm Kremlin role in Brexit vote The prime minister has revealed UK authorities told him there was ‘clear evidence’ that Moscow meddled in the referendum observer.co.uk/news/nationa...observer.co.ukFrom Russia with interference: Burnham first PM to confir...The prime minister has revealed UK authorities told him there was ‘clear evidence’ that Moscow meddled in the referendum 68959321
Reposted by Geraint LewisAdam Bienkov @adambienkov.bsky.social · 11/10/2026I mean her party is polling on average 18% in the polls. She's 'set' for a general election at Xmas in the same way I'm set for winning a grand slam tennis tournament next week 1281392222
Reposted by Geraint LewisSarah Murphy @13sarahmurphy.bsky.social · 10/10/2026Aren’t they all repulsive… These corrupt, evil, traitorous men… Farage is particularly pathetic, in his little cap, selling us out to his monstrous sugar-daddy. 671296405
Reposted by Geraint LewisInstitute for Government @instituteforgovernment.org.uk · 09/10/2026Kemi Badenoch’s inheritance tax proposals are myth-based policy making at its worst. That's the verdict from @jillongovt.bsky.social following the leader of the opposition’s conference speech this week. Read the full comment here: www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/comment/kemi...instituteforgovernment.org.ukKemi Badenoch’s inheritance tax proposals are myth-based policy making at its worst | Institute for GovernmentThe leader of the opposition’s conference announcement was not well thought through. 33726
Reposted by Geraint LewisSteve Peers @stevepeers.bsky.social · 09/10/2026Uk and EU agree to link emission trading systems www.politico.eu/article/uk-e...politico.euUK and EU reach Brexit agreement to link carbon emissions trading systemsThe two sides are now just “tying a ribbon” on the agreement, according to one EU diplomat. 0249
Reposted by Geraint LewisRebecca R Helm @rebeccarhelm.bsky.social · 08/10/2026Wow, literally thought this was fake news when I saw it on BlueSky. But apparently no www.cnn.com/2026/10/08/p...cnn.comPete Hegseth vows to make first firing squad execution in decades ‘public’ | CNN PoliticsUS Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth vowed in an interview this week that the execution of the man who killed 13 people in a mass shooting at Fort Hood in 2009 would be “public.” 2365
Reposted by Geraint LewisEthan Mollick @emollick.bsky.social · 09/10/2026From The Lancet: in an urgent care setting, the advice of the obsolete Gemini 2.5 Pro & Gemini 2.5 Flash (without access to patient medical records) were rated of similar quality to doctors by other physicians. There was no safety issues spotted. Models have gotten significantly better since. 310717
Reposted by Geraint LewisMichael Savage @michaelsavage.bsky.social · 08/10/2026NEW: A big admission by the BBC in court today that stories accusing the couple behind PinkNews of sexual misconduct were false and defamatory. The stories meant they faced extra checks from a social worker ahead of a standard hearing about their son. www.theguardian.com/media/2026/o...theguardian.comBBC pays compensation to PinkNews couple over false sexual misconduct allegationsBroadcaster apologises after admitting claims against Benjamin Cohen and Anthony James were defamatory 4123
Reposted by Geraint LewisIan Dunt @iandunt.bsky.social · 08/10/2026America right now is the maddest place on earth. Like watching a David Lynch film. 4693137840
Reposted by Geraint LewisJim Pickard @pickardje.bsky.social · 08/10/2026I'm sorry if this is obvious but the Tory proposal to exempt family homes completely from IHT will lead to 1] pensioners buying the biggest houses they possibly can 2] pensioners refusing to downsize which can only be bad news for younger families trying to buy family homes 871041242
Reposted by Geraint LewisWill Jennings📉🗳️ @drjennings.bsky.social · 08/10/2026This is a surprisingly big lead for rejoin - if it survived a referendum campaign, the outcome would be 66-34. Not even close. 1616146
Reposted by Geraint LewisRoland Smith @rolandmcs.bsky.social · 07/10/2026A fortnight ago, Kemi Badenoch described the single market as 'a great thing'. Now she can't say that Brexit has been good for London. Probably just Kemi being Kemi. But still. 2412329
Reposted by Geraint LewisSam Freedman @samfr.bsky.social · 06/10/2026New post: Burnham has opened the door to a "rejoin" manifesto pledge. The politics make more sense than a lot of people seem to realise. I look at what it would involve at every step from pledge to referendum. There are significant barriers but it can be done. samf.substack.com/p/the-route-...samf.substack.comThe route back into the EUBack in 2022 I wrote about the long-term prospects for undoing Brexit and made two predictions. 1530579
Reposted by Geraint LewisChaminda Jayanetti @cjayanetti.bsky.social · 06/10/2026The thing is, this isn't some gotcha memory test about "what precise amount of money will this cost/raise" of the type beloved by interviewers in election campaigns. It's the most basic question imaginable - "how will this thing work?" She has no idea. 52458113
Reposted by Geraint LewisAndrew Sparrow @andrewsparrowgdn.bsky.social · 06/10/2026Badenoch suggests Tories would not reverse Labour legislation making pensions triple lock less generous - www.theguardian.com/politics/liv... 182
Reposted by Geraint LewisMatt Hodges @matthodges.bsky.social · 03/10/2026There's growing experimental evidence¹˒²˒³˒⁴ that LLMs are unusually good at talking people out of entrenched false beliefs and conspiracy theories. ¹ pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/39264999/ ² pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/41179846/ ³ sciety.org/articles/act... ⁴ connecticut.adl.org/resources/re... 36842216
Reposted by Geraint LewisDr Stylite @columnist.bsky.social · 02/10/2026Of course Chris, there’s years to go and nothing is agreed until everything is agreed. But. This is a very material change in the weather and that should cause a pretty significant reappraisal of what’s possible. 4241
Reposted by Geraint LewisDr Stylite @columnist.bsky.social · 30/09/2026In my view, when you narrow to those three choices, a combination of the inevitable balance of obligations combined with the greater consequentiality of rule taking means you end up at rejoin. And I think (to my surprise) that’s where he is. 1253
Reposted by Geraint LewisJames Chapman @jamesmchapman.bsky.social · 29/09/2026One interesting consequence of Burnham’s truth-telling today on Brexit, and plan to set out what I hope will be a path to rejoin, is that Farage will be forced back onto what is now - funnily enough - his least favourite subject. Let’s see him defend his inheritance in detail. 27519
Reposted by Geraint LewisDavid Henig @davidheniguk.bsky.social · 30/09/2026Heck, go mad, engage with @simonusherwood.bsky.social, me, and other embittered old hands of UK-EU relations. Personally I'm reading this morning of Turkey's problems with Made in Europe, which despatches easily the idea a customs union solves much. 1545
Reposted by Geraint LewisFarrukh @implausibleblog.bsky.social · 29/09/2026Krishnan Guru-Murthy, "Is Rejoining the European Union an option?" Lisa Nandy, "Yes of course." "And I think Andy Burnham is right to say that we've got to be honest, Brexit has not worked for us" "A lot of the public I think have come to that view as well" 3948374
Reposted by Geraint LewisEthan Mollick @emollick.bsky.social · 29/09/2026Hey, Claude: "I asked an earlier Claude to Remove the Squid from All Quiet on the Western Front. Now you can make movies and such. I need you to show how far you have come" & I pasted in the post below. That was it. There is some clever stuff here, models have a real sense of humor at this point 4905
Reposted by Geraint LewisDavid Henig @davidheniguk.bsky.social · 29/09/2026As I wrote in September 2024, there's probably only two realistic UK-EU models, the one we have possibly strengthened in a Swiss way if we accept free movement of workers, or membership. But how to work that into a political narrative? Tricky. ecipe.org/publications... 1259
Reposted by Geraint LewisThe Institute for Fiscal Studies @theifs.bsky.social · 29/09/2026"The old triple lock is gone. And the new triple lock still keeps pace with average earnings, but doesn't have the ratchet." 📺 @helenmiller.bsky.social interprets the Prime Minister's triple lock announcement in her response to the speech on BBC Politics Live: 186
Reposted by Geraint LewisJoël Reland @jreland.bsky.social · 29/09/2026What's that Andy? You want to look at the different options for the UK's relationship with the EU? If only someone had set them out already... ukandeu.ac.uk/introducing-... 510342
Reposted by Geraint LewisIan Dunt @iandunt.bsky.social · 29/09/2026I am so happy about what I am hearing that I have lost the ability to speak 961118101
Reposted by Geraint LewisMike Galsworthy @mikegalsworthy.bsky.social · 28/09/2026💥 HUGE NEWS 💥 “Ministers say it is ‘not if but how’ the prime minister puts rejoin in the next election manifesto” Exclusive for The Independent.independent.co.ukBurnham edges Labour closer to rejoining EUExclusive: After Ed Miliband told the Labour conference in Liverpool that Britain’s future is at the heart of Europe, ministers say it is ‘not if but how’ the prime minister puts rejoin in the next el... 51747207
Reposted by Geraint LewisMarie Le Conte @youngvulgarian.marieleconte.com · 28/09/2026who do I petition to get someone to launch a Tate Morden, to confuse the tourists 3546936
Reposted by Geraint LewisRyan @ryanwright.bsky.social · 28/09/2026This is how I remember the order of Henry VIII’s wives. 263953742
Reposted by Geraint LewisEthan Mollick @emollick.bsky.social · 28/09/2026I was reflecting on how many random contingencies went into creating the current accelerating AI moment and had Opus 5.5 put together a video, inspired by old science show Connections, to try and point out how a series of initially unrelated ideas led to the moment we are in now. 1012524
Reposted by Geraint LewisLuca @lucagalletti.bsky.social · 27/09/2026Burj Al Babas, a famous abandoned housing development in Türkiye, filled with hundreds of empty fairy-tale-style "mini-castles" Full story: www.architecturaldigest.com/gallery/tour... IG: @our_orbit_vanlife 62559122
Reposted by Geraint LewisIan Dunt @iandunt.bsky.social · 27/09/2026God knows if it'll work. God knows how they'll find the money for it. But it's very satisfying to see a PM taking big swings after 14 years of self-harm followed by two years of petrified stasis. 1451337
Reposted by Geraint LewisDavid Henig @davidheniguk.bsky.social · 27/09/2026And ultimately the UK is stuck while it can't honestly discuss relations with all of its neighbours. Which is the argument for change, but will any serious Labour folk be brave enough? 46110
Reposted by Geraint LewisEthan Mollick @emollick.bsky.social · 27/09/2026It is strange how much LLMs turned out to be able to solve such a wide range of hard problems that would not, instinctively, seem to be problems that a model of human language would be able to solve This is from a Stanford project that let Astra drive a robot in a kitchen tml.stanford.edu/homebody/ 2339845
Reposted by Geraint LewisDr Stylite @columnist.bsky.social · 24/09/2026Relatedly, I continue to think that UK (re)joining the EU over the next 10 years is a very really possibility. Indeed, it *is*. And yet it is very under discussed as to how that might actually happen. People seem to either accept it as some sort of deterministic truth or just dismiss it. 5324
Reposted by Geraint LewisAcyn @acyn.bsky.social · 24/09/2026Room empties out at the UN as Netanyahu begins his speech. 1883286246991
Reposted by Geraint LewisMark Chadbourn @chadbourn.bsky.social · 24/09/2026Netanyahu was booed as he began his United Nations General Assembly speech. Many delegations walked out of the hall. Netanyahu: “Before I begin, just a quick announcement: if there are any other moral cowards who haven't yet left this hall, please do so now.” 82638159
Reposted by Geraint LewisRobert Saunders @robertsaunders.bsky.social · 24/09/2026It's characteristic of the Brexit debate that, after a decade of arguing about it, the leader of the Conservative Party doesn't appear to know what the single market is & can't be arsed to find out. She seems to have a vague idea it's "a free trade area" that got mixed up with "all the other stuff". 86214
Reposted by Geraint LewisMark Chadbourn @chadbourn.bsky.social · 24/09/2026NATO chief Mark Rutte: “If ever there would be an incident in the Indo-Pacific, it will not be only the Indo-Pacific. It will mean that, at the same time, Putin will try to move against NATO territory in Europe. 918853
Reposted by Geraint LewisThe News Agents @thenewsagents.co.uk · 24/09/2026“We need to actually admit to ourselves that leaving the EU massively hit our growth, our prosperity - and didn’t solve the immigration problem.” In reopening the Brexit debate, is Tony Blair helping or hindering Andy Burnham? 87014
Reposted by Geraint LewisMatthew Holehouse @matthewholehouse.bsky.social · 24/09/2026France's Haddad notably open about rejoin chatter on a visit to London. "It would make all of us stronger... Macron was quite blunt, the EU was stronger when the UK was in it. There's no ambiguity." But he warns it would be "much more fraught" if Britain sought sui generis membership. 24616
Reposted by Geraint LewisDr Stylite @columnist.bsky.social · 24/09/2026Putting this differently and reframing it less as you must reform (clumsy, silly) and more as ‘as a new member we will be constructive re these important debates’ is absolutely relevant. 061