iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

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Tarik Abou-Chadi @tabouchadi.bsky.social · 10/10/2026

Tausense Menschen die zusammengepfercht werden, gezielt ausgehungert, geschlagen, gefoltert, terrorisiert. Deutschland unterstützt diese Politik. Kritischer Diskurs wird unterdrückt. Wir haben kollektiv schlicht aufgehört Palästinenser als Menschen zu betrachten. Das ist unsere Staatsräson.

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turgut keskintürk @tkeskinturk.bsky.social · 02/10/2026

a new paper forthcoming in British Journal of Political Science! we use a novel choice task to estimate values in the Schwartz Value Space and study how these values structure political preferences among kids, one of their parents, and a U.S. sample. read: tkeskinturk.github.io/values-politics.pdf

Values and Political Preferences in Childhood
Christopher D. Johnston
Martín Opertti
Turgut Keskintürk

October, 2026
Abstract
Studies of youth political development focus primarily on political socialization and salient events, while paying relatively less attention to important individual differences among children themselves, such as values. We administer an original survey to a sample of 10-to-12-year-olds and show that children’s value priorities strongly predict their political preferences, and that one dimension of value priorities continues to predict political preferences even after adjusting for parental values and political preferences. Taken together, our findings suggest that pre-teens already use their own value priorities to organize their political attitudes, which emphasizes the importance of children’s independent attributes in their political development, and lends support to the idea that personal values provide a foundation for political ideology.

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Alexander Wuttke @kunkakom.bsky.social · 03/10/2026

Eine Szene aus "Inside CDU" zeigt, wie sich Stellung und Strategie von Neonazis in Deutschland verändert haben. Der Mann, der Sven Schulze mit dem Mikrofon durch die CDU-Wahlfeier verfolgt, war Führungskader einer militanten Neonazi-Kameradschaft, die in Dortmund mit Gewalt Angst verbreitete. 🧵

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Isabelle DeSisto @isadesisto.bsky.social · 01/10/2026

Our article with @grigopop.bsky.social and @jacobtucker.bsky.social is now out in @bjpols.bsky.social! This has been a very long journey from the initial draft to publication, so we are very excited 😀 I'll summarize our findings in the next few of posts in the thread.

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Denis Cohen @denis-cohen.bsky.social · 28/09/2026

📄 New paper in @electoralstudies.bsky.social: “From the center to the fringes: A comparative test of attitudinal explanations for mainstream-to-challenger defection” 👥 with @krausewe.bsky.social and @aigneranna.bsky.social 🔗 doi.org/10.1016/j.el...

doi.org

Redirecting

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Alexander Wuttke @kunkakom.bsky.social · 20/06/2026

What can surveys miss when respondents choose the same answer option? In this pre-print, we argue that public opinion research needs not only to know where respondents stand, but how they think. AI Conversational Interviewing is one way to make that observable at scale

AI Conversational Interviewing: Scaling Up Semi-Structured and In-depth Interviews
Public opinion research has long faced a trade-off between depth and scale: standardized surveys enable large-scale measurement but restrict respondents to researcher-defined categories, obscuring the diversity of unexpected considerations that underlie public sentiment. More conversational interviews provide richer insights through open-ended probing, but their reliance on trained human interviewers has kept them difficult to scale. This study introduces AI Conversational Interviewing as a method for collecting open-ended public opinion data at scale, pursuing three objectives: to demonstrate the analytical value of conversational text data for questions beyond the reach of closed-ended items; to assess the method's practical viability through participants' own evaluations; and to inform implementation by experimentally comparing voice-based, chat-based, and free-choice interview modes. We conducted a study combining an AI-led interview with a standardized survey on migration policy among 571 respondents recruited via Prolific and Payback Panel. The findings establish AI Conversational Interviewing as a viable and valuable addition to the social-science toolkit. The conversational transcripts surface considerations and reasoning that a comprehensive standardized battery does not capture such as markedly different mental models of migration among subgroups with similar attitudes levels. Among respondents who completed the interview, evaluations of the AI interview were at or above those of the standardized survey across modes, although completion itself varied by condition. By releasing open data and open-source pipeline materials, the study contributes to a growing literature on harnessing artificial intelligence to expand the methods of public opinion measurement.

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Werner Krause @krausewe.bsky.social · 09/06/2026

New paper out in the @thejop.bsky.social (w/ @christinagahn.bsky.social) Do opinion polls shape election results? Using both cross-national data and a survey experiment, the answer we find is yes - though it depends on how we communicate polling results. www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/...

Image showing the abstract of the paper "Self-Fulfilling Prophecies at the Voting Booth" by Werner Krause and Christina Gahn, published in the Journal of Politics. The abstract describes a quasi-experimental study across 25 countries finding that parties polling just below electoral thresholds are approximately 45 percentage points less likely to clear them, and that this effect diminishes when voters are informed about polling uncertainty.

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Jule Kegel @julekgl.bsky.social · 13/05/2026

My first paper is out! Co-authored with @falkscheidig.bsky.social doi.org/10.1093/pa/g...

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Julius Diener @dienerjulius.bsky.social · 11/05/2026

What drives legislators' emotional engagement with climate issues? I explore the role of their age and party affiliation and over-time developments in a new research note in European Journal of Political Research. (a thread)

A screenshot of the title page of the paper

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Christoph Valentin Steinert @chrisvsteinert.bsky.social · 26/03/2026

The German public is more approving of police violence when victims are immigrants, and this bias is highly resistant to new information. This shows our new study published in Science Advances. www.science.org/doi/10.1126/... (1/3)

science.org

Public opinion on police misconduct: Discrimination and information resistance

The German public is more approving of police violence when victims are immigrants, and this bias is resistant to new information.

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Jule Kegel @julekgl.bsky.social · 24/03/2026

Are you a policymaker, teacher, practitioner, academic in political science, psychology, education or related field? We’re inviting experts to complete a short survey on youth political participation: tinyurl.com/ywnseae3 For every completion, we’ll donate €1.20 to UNICEF. Please share!

tinyurl.com

Qualtrics Survey | Qualtrics Experience Management

The most powerful, simple and trusted way to gather experience data. Start your journey to experience management and try a free account today.

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Domantas Undzėnas @unddom.bsky.social · 24/03/2026

📢 My first dissertation paper is out in the BJPIR! 📢 Why do ethnic majorities support the radical right? I show that feeling deprived compared to ethnic minorities increases support for hierarchical societies - which in turn fuels radical right support. doi.org/10.1177/1369... A short 🧵:

journals.sagepub.com

Sage Journals: Discover world-class research

Subscription and open access journals from Sage, the world's leading independent academic publisher.

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Korinna Lindemann @korinlind.bsky.social · 05/03/2026

Very happy to share that our paper "Political socialization and immigrants' support for progressive politics: the case of green parties" with @antvalentim.bsky.social is now published in @psrm.bsky.social! Link to paper: doi.org/10.1017/psrm... Short summary in 🧵below: (1/5)

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Johannes Lattmann @jlattmann.bsky.social · 05/03/2026

🚨 Happy to see this article with the wonderful David Schweizer out online first at European Union Politics! We examine who is aware of European funding and how citizens prefer these funds to be allocated. The article is available open access here: journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10....

journals.sagepub.com

Sage Journals: Discover world-class research

Subscription and open access journals from Sage, the world's leading independent academic publisher.

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Naman Rawat @namanrawat.bsky.social · 03/03/2026

📢 New in IMR. We often ask whether #refugees “integrate.” But what happens when the host society becomes hostile? I develop the concept of social marginalization and show that refugees in more #violent German counties report stronger feelings of exclusion and discrimination. doi.org/10.1177/0197...

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Tim Allinger @timallinger.bsky.social · 13/02/2026

Very glad that our first DEMNORM paper found such a great home at @thejop.bsky.social. If you’re interested in the role of social desirability in online surveys, check out the thread and paper below ⬇️

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Ryan Briggs @ryancbriggs.net · 11/02/2026

I have a new paper. We look at ~all stats articles in political science post-2010 & show that 94% have abstracts that claim to reject a null. Only 2% present only null results. This is hard to explain unless the research process has a filter that only lets rejections through.

It must be very hard to publish null results
Publication practices in the social sciences act as a filter that favors statistically significant results over null findings. While the problem of selection on significance (SoS) is well-known in theory, it has been difficult to measure its scope empirically, and it has been challenging to determine how selection varies across contexts. In this article, we use large language models to extract granular and validated data on about 100,000 articles published in over 150 political science journals from 2010 to 2024. We show that fewer than 2% of articles that rely on statistical methods report null-only findings in their abstracts, while over 90% of papers highlight significant results. To put these findings in perspective, we develop and calibrate a simple model of publication bias. Across a range of plausible assumptions, we find that statistically significant results are estimated to be one to two orders of magnitude more likely to enter the published record than null results. Leveraging metadata extracted from individual articles, we show that the pattern of strong SoS holds across subfields, journals, methods, and time periods. However, a few factors such as pre-registration and randomized experiments correlate with greater acceptance of null results. We conclude by discussing implications for the field and the potential of our new dataset for investigating other questions about political science.

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Jona de Jong @jonadejong.bsky.social · 02/02/2026

Do ordinary Republicans and Democrats really avoid each other in everyday life? In a new working paper with Delia Baldassarri, we present descriptive and experimental evidence to challenge the view that partisanship drives the formation of social relationships. osf.io/preprints/so... 1/15

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Melanie Sauter @melinscribe.bsky.social · 02/02/2026

🚨 Join us for the next edition Summer School for Women* in Political Methodology in Mannheim 🚨 7 days of hands-on advanced methods + networking for PhDs, postdocs & early-career researchers. Free of charge (limited travel support). Deadline 1 March 2026: summerschoolwpm.org #methodsky #polisky

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Lukas Warode @lwarode.bsky.social · 28/01/2026

partycoloR is now on CRAN! Started as a simple idea 6 years ago, now it's a full-featured package. Extract party colors and logos from Wikipedia with one line of code. It's already powering ParlGov Dashboard. install.packages("partycoloR")

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Denis Cohen @denis-cohen.bsky.social · 10/11/2025

Just published in @bjpols.bsky.social: @sergipardos.bsky.social and I show that inter-regional moves in pursuit of employment security reduce individual worries about immigration—a mobility pattern that, in the aggregate, reinforces spatial polarization in anti-immigration sentiment. cup.org/3XiB6yD

cup.org

Regional Labor Markets, Residential Mobility, and Anti-Immigration Sentiment | British Journal of Political Science | Cambridge Core

Regional Labor Markets, Residential Mobility, and Anti-Immigration Sentiment - Volume 55

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Tarik Abou-Chadi @tabouchadi.bsky.social · 21/10/2025

To be clear: deportations to increase cultural homogeneity is the text book definition of ethnic cleansing. Demands that come even close to this are so far outside any democratic norm and the rule of law. What has happened to a country when this is not condemned in the strongest possible terms?

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Tiago Ventura @tiagoventura.bsky.social · 07/10/2025

How common are “survey professionals” - people who take dozens of online surveys for pay - across online panels, and do they harm data quality? Our paper, FirstView at @politicalanalysis.bsky.social, tackles this question using browsing data from three U.S. samples (Facebook, YouGov, and Lucid):

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Domantas Undzėnas @unddom.bsky.social · 01/07/2025

In our new publication to @nature.com Humanities & Social Sciences Communications @muhx2.bsky.social and I explore if the full-scale Russian invasion of Ukraine increased support for European integration among Europeans. The answer is yes! A short 🧵: www.nature.com/articles/s41...

nature.com

Entangled fates—the rally effect around Europe due to Russia’s war of aggression against Ukraine - Humanities and Social Sciences Communications

Humanities and Social Sciences Communications - Entangled fates—the rally effect around Europe due to Russia’s war of aggression against Ukraine

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EPSS @epssnet.bsky.social · 26/06/2025

🚨 Big News for European Political Science 🚨 We’re thrilled to announce the launch of the European Political Science Society (EPSS): a new, member-led, not-for-profit association built to support our scholarly community. 🔗 epssnet.org Here’s a thread with everything you need to know. 🧵

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Klara Müller @klaramueller.bsky.social · 23/06/2025

🚨 Excited to see my first solo-authored paper now published in IJPOR! 🚨 Do election outcomes affect participation in post-election surveys? And specifically, do election winners respond more than losers? The short answer: not really. The slightly longer answer: 🧵👇 academic.oup.com/ijpor/articl...

academic.oup.com

Survey Nonresponse After Elections: Investigating the Role of Winner-Loser Effects in Panel Attrition

Abstract. When and for whom do election outcomes drive survey nonresponse? This paper investigates whether belonging to the winners or losers of an electio

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Abby Cassario @abbycassario.bsky.social · 20/05/2025

🚨🚨 NEW PRE-PRINT 🚨🚨 Prominent theories in political psychology argue that threat causes increases in conservatism. Early experimental work supported this idea, but many of these studies were (severely) underpowered, and examined only a few threats and ideological DVs. 1/n osf.io/preprints/ps...

osf.io

OSF

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Felicia Riethmüller @feliciarthm.bsky.social · 13/05/2025

Thrilled to see my 1st PhD paper out in #PartyPolitics! Based on ~15000 posts by 86 German subnat. parties (2015-2019), Simon Franzmann & I show that dominant & challenger parties differ in the use of policy-based vs symbolic & positive vs negative appeals. 🔓: doi.org/10.1177/1354...

Abstract
Social group appeals are a crucial but often overlooked aspect of party competition. Challenger parties differ from
dominant parties not only in their issue entrepreneurship and anti-establishment rhetoric, but also in how they approach
social groups. Whereas dominant parties can and must use their policy record when appealing to groups rhetorically,
challenger parties compensate for their lack of policy influence and long-lasting group ties by using more symbolic groupbased appeals, creating affective affiliations with voters while avoiding accountability or dividing their potential base.
Similarly, they are more inclined to use negative group-based appeals. Using a most-similar-systems design and a new
dataset of 15,460 tweets from German subnational parties, our main finding is that dominant parties, particularly those
having held the prime minister’s office, favour policy-based group appeals, while challengers rely more on symbolic appeals.
However, differences in appeal strategies diminish during campaign times. Our findings underline the importance of groupbased appeals for mainstream-challenger competition.

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Lukas Warode @lwarode.bsky.social · 08/05/2025

The first paper of my dissertation has been published in West European Politics! @wepsocial.bsky.social See the thread below:

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Pavlos Vasilopoulos @pavlosvas1.bsky.social · 06/05/2025

Our article w/Justin Robinson on authoritarianism in 🇬🇧 is published in the new issue of @polbehavior.bsky.social We employ a longitudinal analysis using the @britishelectionstudy.com to investigate the causal effect of the psychological trait of authoritarianism on political attitudes and voting 🧵

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Brian Guay @brianguay.bsky.social · 07/04/2025

New paper on misperceptions out in PNAS @pnas.org www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/... Why do people overestimate the size of politically relevant groups (immigrant, LGBTQ, Jewish) and quantities (% of budget spent on foreign aid, % of refugees that are criminals)?🧵👇

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Joris Frese @fresejoris.bsky.social · 20/03/2025

Published Today in PSRM: Based on a novel “Multiple Unexpected Events during Survey Design” (MUESD), I contextualize previous findings suggesting that Europeans become more empathetic toward migrants when exposed to migrant suffering. www.cambridge.org/core/journal... A Summary Thread: 1/15

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Max Czollek @maxczollek.bsky.social · 13/03/2025

..und noch ein Fall, in dem ein rechsextremer Vierfachmord unter dem medialen Radar läuft. Am 25. März 2024 starben die Eltern und ihre beiden drei Jahre und wenige Monate alten Töchter bei einem Brandanschlag. Erinnert an die Toten. Und die Medien an ihre verdammte demokratische Verantwortung.

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Dan Williams @danwphilosophy.bsky.social · 12/03/2025

I wrote about what I call the "everyone is biased" bias and the problems with excessive cynicism: www.conspicuouscognition.com/p/the-everyo...

conspicuouscognition.com

The "everyone is biased" bias

On the problems with excessive epistemic cynicism

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Felix Münchow @felixmuenchow.bsky.social · 02/03/2025

Reaching for former employees? I'll try my best.

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Amalia Alvarez-Benjumea @amaliaab.bsky.social · 28/02/2025

I recently published a review article on how social norms regulating the expression of prejudice change. I guess we will be seeing many of these mechanisms in action in the near future. www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...

sciencedirect.com

Social norms and the expression of prejudice: How the norm changes

Social norms influence how opinions are expressed. The norm against prejudice discourages individuals from expressing certain opinions to avoid being …

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Michael Bang Petersen @m-b-petersen.bsky.social · 25/02/2025

Our research on Need for Chaos was focused on how some voters wanted to watch the world burn: www.cambridge.org/core/journal... With DOGE it now seems to be official government strategy from Trump & Musk But the goal seems the same: Burning down existing structures for selfish status gain

cambridge.org

The “Need for Chaos” and Motivations to Share Hostile Political Rumors | American Political Science Review | Cambridge Core

The “Need for Chaos” and Motivations to Share Hostile Political Rumors - Volume 117 Issue 4

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Tarik Abou-Chadi @tabouchadi.bsky.social · 23/02/2025

Wir haben gestern lange darüber gesprochen was wir tun würden wenn Autoritäre und Faschisten die Macht übernehmen. Behält man Stellen in Bürokratie und Wissenschaft, wandert man aus, wie würde man Widerstand organisieren? Als Deutscher kennt man diese Fragen. Man hat sie häufig rückblickend ... 1/

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Hannah Rajski @hannahrajski.bsky.social · 21/02/2025

Wir bei zweitstimme.org haben in den letzten Tagen über 20.000 Menschen gefragt, was Sie denken, wie die Wahl ausgeht. Und auch, was sie erwarten, wer ihren Walkreis gewinnt. zweitstimme.org/posts/blog/c... #citizenforecasting #btw25

zweitstimme.org

Was denken Wähler:innen, wie die Wahl ausgeht?

Wir haben über 20.000 Personen gefragt, was sie erwarten wie die Wahl ausgeht - im Gegensatz zu der Frage “Wen werden Sie wählen?”. Dabei bilden diese Personen keine repräsentative Stichprobe, sie sin...

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Jon Green @jongreen.bsky.social · 31/01/2025

Ok, thread time. Closed-ended survey responses are efficient and easy to analyze, but limit what respondents can say. Open-ended responses are useful for letting respondents answer with more depth in their own words (as opposed to yours).

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Igor Levit @igorpianist.bsky.social · 29/01/2025

29. Januar 2025 Der Tag beginnt im Bundestag damit, dass man der Shoah gedenkt und er endet damit, dass Nazis jubeln.

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Kai Arzheimer @kai-arzheimer.com · 29/01/2025

In #Germany, a watershed moment: Just hours after commemorating the Holocaust, the centre-right has accepted the support of the #farright #AfD to pass a (largely symbolic) motion against immigration, tearing a massive hole into the so-called 'firewall', Germany's variety of the cordon sanitaire.

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Felix Münchow @felixmuenchow.bsky.social · 05/01/2025

Thanks Abby! I‘ll keep you posted!

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