iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

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Markus Kollberg @markuskollberg.bsky.social · 06/10/2026

🚨New Paper in @polbehavior.bsky.social! Julia Leschke and I ask: What works against populist rhetoric? We find: Advocating for pluralist ideals can mitigate the negative effects of populist rhetoric. link.springer.com/article/10.1... More details below ⏬

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British Journal of Political Science @bjpols.bsky.social · 29/09/2026

From July 2026 - The Equality Positions and Policies of Governments, 1970–2020: How Egalitarian Parties Evoke Equality While Evading Real Redistribution - cup.org/3TLOKfb - @alexanderhorn.bsky.social & @leoahrens.bsky.social #OpenAccess

BJPolS abstract discussing selective egalitarianism in economic policies, analyzing political manifestos and OECD countries' approaches to taxation and redistribution. The focus is on party competence and policy complexity, highlighting challenges in implementing redistributive measures effectively.

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Werner Krause @krausewe.bsky.social · 28/09/2026

Happy to see our new paper on mainstream-to-challenger defection in print! w/ @denis-cohen.bsky.social & @aigneranna.bsky.social Check out Denis' summary below! Thanks to @nilssteiner.bsky.social, @conradziller.bsky.social & @ackermannk.bsky.social for organizing this SI! tinyurl.com/5aa9wrmb

First page of the journal article "From the center to the fringes: A comparative test of attitudinal explanations for mainstream-to-challenger defection" by Denis Cohen, Werner Krause, and Anna Aigner, published in Electoral Studies. The page shows the journal head, author affiliations at the University of Mannheim and the University of Potsdam, keywords, a link to the replication dataset, and the full abstract.

Dot plot showing net balances of vote switching between mainstream and challenger parties, in percentage points, across 16 west European elections from 1973 to 2025. Each election is a point with a 95% credible interval, ordered left to right from most negative to most positive. Values run from about −6 to +15 points; positive values mean net gains for challengers. German elections are labeled individually and mostly sit between −4 and +4 points. Germany's February 2025 election, highlighted in red, is a clear outlier at nearly +10 points, placing it among the highest in the series alongside the Netherlands 2002, Greece 2012, Denmark 1973, and Italy 1992.

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Marius Sältzer @msaeltzer.bsky.social · 24/09/2026

Our colleague and friend Philipp Köker has left us and i can't begin to order my thoughts. I hope I can express to his family the feeling of loss we can't beginn to understand, but attempt to share. rundblick-niedersachsen.de/politikwisse...

rundblick-niedersachsen.de

Politikwissenschaftler stirbt überraschend mit 40 Jahren

Philipp Köker, habilitierter Politikwissenschaftler und Experte für die Erforschung politischer Institutionen, ist im Alter von 40 Jahren überraschend gestorben. Die Nachricht hat in Kreisen der Unive...

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Toni Rodon @tonirodon.bsky.social · 25/09/2026

Having a job in a workplace with a considerable proportion of university-educated coworkers is associated with an increase in culturally liberal attitudes www.cambridge.org/core/journal...

cambridge.org

Ideas at Work: Educated Colleagues Shape Political Attitudes | British Journal of Political Science | Cambridge Core

Ideas at Work: Educated Colleagues Shape Political Attitudes - Volume 56

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Tarik Abou-Chadi @tabouchadi.bsky.social · 21/09/2026

Die Landtagswahlen zeigen, dass die ehemaligen Volksparteien kein programmatisches Angebot mehr haben, das Wähler:innen anspricht. Sind sie nicht mehr im Rennen um das Amt der Ministerpräsident*in, erhalten sie kaum noch Stimmen. Übrig sind dann nur noch wenige eher ältere Stammwähler:innen.

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Christian Stöcker @christianstoecker.de · 20/09/2026

Gern noch mal in einfachen Worten für Union und FDP: Wenn man fünf Jahre lang so tut, als habe die AfD im Grunde Recht (“Migration=größtes Problem”, “Grüne=sozialistische Deutschlandhasser”), dann hilft man damit der AfD und schadet sich selbst. Es ist wirklich nicht schwer.

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Julius Kölzer @juliusk.bsky.social · 20/09/2026

Es gibt Mecklenburg-Vorpommern. Aber es gibt auch Mecklenburg und Vorpommern. Wie wir heute Abend voraussichtlich wieder sehen werden, unterscheiden sich beide Regionen deutlich in ihrem Wahlverhalten. Woher kommen diese Unterschiede? Ein Thread mit Daten aus dem Kaiserreich bis heute. 🧵

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Carl T. Bergstrom @carlbergstrom.com · 19/09/2026

When we talk about the costs that LLMs impose on society we should not forget the fact that nothing works anymore because everyone is so scared of getting their shit scraped. I can't even use google scholar from my university or starlink because they send too much traffic.

Google
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Arndt Leininger @aleininger.bsky.social · 15/09/2026

🧵 Just accepted @thejop.bsky.social, with @tswalve.bsky.social "What's in a name? Name recognition, place-based identities, and candidate success" Voters prefer local candidates. But how do they know who's local? Often simply from the name on the ballot👇 www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/...

journals.uchicago.edu

What's in a name? Name recognition, place-based identities, and candidate success | The Journal of Politics: Vol 0, No ja

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Julia Partheymüller @schnizzl.bsky.social · 14/09/2026

📣 Call for papers now open! The next Annual Conference of the European Political Science Society will take place in Copenhagen, 24–26 June 2027. Submission deadline: 13 November 2026 (23:59 CET) Looking forward to it! #EPSS2027 @epssnet.bsky.social

Screenshot of the European Political Science Society website announcing “Copenhagen 2027.” Under “Join us in Copenhagen!”, a photo shows colourful waterfront buildings and boats. Text announces the society’s next meeting on 24–26 June 2027, with panels and networking. An orange notice reads: “Call for papers is now open!”

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Lars Christensen @mamomvpy.bsky.social · 08/09/2026

En lille forsmag på onsdagens udgave af Makropuls.

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Marcel Dirsus @marceldirsus.com · 07/09/2026

There are many factors, of course, but a big part in my opinion is the sense among voters that elections have gotten somewhat meaningless. You vote and vote and vote, but you won't ever actually get what you want because it has become almost impossible to form coherent coalitions

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Tarik Abou-Chadi @tabouchadi.bsky.social · 06/09/2026

A few things (international) commentatoes should remember. Only 2 million people live in Sachsen-Anhalt. Half of Berlin, a tenth of NRW. Around 400k will vote AfD. Even with this strong result, 80% of people living in S-A will not have voted for the AfD. In a state that is a far-right stronghold.

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Europe Elects @europeelects.bsky.social · 06/09/2026

Germany: Saxony-Anhalt regional elections 🇩🇪 🇪🇺 Notable facts • Lowest turnout of any German regional election: 44.4% (2006) • First German state government to rely on a LINKE (then PDS) majority (1994) • Far-right DVU's best-ever result in any German regional election: 12.9% (1998) #Sachsen-Anhalt

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Jonathan S Doucette @jdoucette.bsky.social · 04/09/2026

1/5: How does the development of Eastern Europe and Scandinavia compare to Western Europe? My new Cambridge Element, How Settlers Shaped Eastern Europe and Scandinavia, is out. Chapter 2 compares three transformations in the East with the West: doi.org/10.1017/9781...

doi.org

How Settlers Shaped Eastern Europe and Scandinavia

Cambridge Core - Political Economy - How Settlers Shaped Eastern Europe and Scandinavia

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Tarik Abou-Chadi @tabouchadi.bsky.social · 01/09/2026

New working paper. We propose a theory of dynamic identity-based linkages between voters and parties. We base this theory on models of expressive voting where voting signifies joining a community of social groups of voters. People have a sense of which parties are associated with which groups.

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Christian Christensen @chrchristensen.bsky.social · 30/08/2026

Iceland votes 53-47 to reject re-starting negotiations to join EU. Result driven by desire to maintain control over fishing, which makes up 40% of Iceland’s exports. Reflected in geographic results. Capital Reykjavik voted around 55-45 in favour, while rest of country clearly voted against.

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Magda Breyer @mabreyer.bsky.social · 26/08/2026

How do individuals normatively assess changes to the social order and what does this tell us about electoral realignment? New publication with @dpzollinger.bsky.social and Tabea Palmtag out now in the Journal of European Public Policy 😊 doi.org/10.1080/1350...

The title and abstract of the article in a screenshot

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Jonathan S Doucette @jdoucette.bsky.social · 17/08/2026

What effect sizes can a design reliably detect, and how does that compare to the smallest effect size of interest? These questions are rarely pondered outside of experiments. I (with assistance from Claude) wrote an R package, "simpower", that helps with this: github.com/faranordk/si....

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NeoEonOne @neoeonone.bsky.social · 11/08/2026

An American interviewer asked Count Binface where he stands on the political spectrum.

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Tarik Abou-Chadi @tabouchadi.bsky.social · 15/08/2026

That many of our colleagues still post on X is one thing (mostly disappointing). But that our universities, professional associations, journals etc. still use a platform whose purpose it is to destroy the very basis of what science is and needs is really beyond my comprehension. Simply a disgrace.

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Dominik Schraff @dschraff.bsky.social · 05/08/2026

Politicians and the media need to make it clearer that the AfD is not just anti-democratic, they also need to show how their policies are the road to crazy town

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Dominik Schraff @dschraff.bsky.social · 05/08/2026

AfD polling as the strongest party at the federal level, and potentially reaching an absolute majority in Sachsen-Anhalt. I think part of the reason is a lack of engagement with many of the unhinged policies AfD proposes. Demolishing all windmills, Dexit, Remigration… (1)

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David Attewell @davidattewell6.bsky.social · 05/08/2026

This is not a picture of a democratic election. It's a "free but unfair" election, on a playing field systematically tilted towards a wealthy ultraminority. This one campaign saw about as much spending as the entire '24 UK general election. Money in politics is an existential threat to democracy.

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Philipp Lutz @lutzphilipp.bsky.social · 22/07/2026

Europeans want fairer responsibility-sharing in refugee protection among member states, but disagree on which principles should guide such a fair distribution — partly due to national self-interest. New article out in @ejprjournal.bsky.social with @bencrum.nl doi.org/10.1017/S147...

cambridge.org

Fair enough? Citizens’ preferences on refugee distribution in the EU | European Journal of Political Research | Cambridge Core

Fair enough? Citizens’ preferences on refugee distribution in the EU

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Christian Rauh @chrauh.bsky.social · 21/07/2026

𝑯𝒐𝒘 𝒄𝒐𝒎𝒎𝒊𝒕𝒕𝒆𝒅 𝒂𝒓𝒆 𝒄𝒊𝒕𝒊𝒛𝒆𝒏𝒔 𝒕𝒐 𝒕𝒉𝒆 𝒊𝒅𝒆𝒂𝒍 𝒐𝒇 𝒅𝒆𝒎𝒐𝒄𝒓𝒂𝒄𝒚? Our new (well…) study in @ejprjournal.bsky.social suggests that commitment to democratic rights and procedures does not look particularly robust once citizens face concrete crisis-related trade-offs. (1/6)

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UK in a Changing Europe @ukandeu.bsky.social · 21/07/2026

🤓 For anyone trying to get up to speed on the UK's relationship with the EU, check out our latest report 🇬🇧🇪🇺 It has analysis of the relationship since Brexit, as well as a handy staircase that outlines the viable options for the future (as well as the key tradeoffs) 🔗 ukandeu.ac.uk/reports/ten-...

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Thiemo Fetzer 🇪🇺🇺🇦 - same handle elsewhere @trfetzer.com · 23/06/2026

Its now ten years since the UK voted narrowly to Leave the European Union. I have studied how the UK got there through my research for many years now. Evidence is growing that the UK is indeed leveling up, but, by leveling down. Let me introduce the Brexit Cost project:

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European Journal of Political Research @ejprjournal.bsky.social · 08/07/2026

We didn't see that coming 👀 😪 @miroslavnemcok.bsky.social, @jfdaoust.bsky.social & Piret Ehin look at the 2016 surprise Estonian government shift to better understand how changes in government, seperate to elections, alter #DemocraticSafisfaction when winner/loser status changes

buff.ly

Satisfaction with democracy after winning and losing without elections | European Journal of Political Research | Cambridge Core

Satisfaction with democracy after winning and losing without elections

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Julius Kölzer @juliusk.bsky.social · 06/07/2026

Die Linke pulled off a surprise win in Germany’s most recent federal election and has suddenly become one of the most closely watched parties in Europe’s progressive politics. Behind the success lies a continuing structural transformation of its geographic support base. A short thread🧵

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Jack Bailey @jack-bailey.co.uk · 30/06/2026

I have a new paper on the Gallagher index: the most common measure of electoral disproportionality. We often assume it runs from 0 (perfect 𝘱𝘳𝘰𝘱𝘰𝘳𝘵𝘪𝘰𝘯𝘢𝘭𝘪𝘵𝘺) to 1 (perfect 𝘥𝘪𝘴𝘱𝘳𝘰𝘱𝘰𝘳𝘵𝘪𝘰𝘯𝘢𝘭𝘪𝘵𝘺). But I show that in most party systems, 1 is not a possible value. journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10....

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Alexander Wuttke @kunkakom.bsky.social · 27/06/2026

Are preferences for authoritarian rule individual predispositions—or can they spread socially? Using field + survey experiments in the Norwegian Armed Forces, we show that openness to strongman rule can spread socially. American Journal of Political Science: onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...

onlinelibrary.wiley.com

American Journal of Political Science | MPSA Journal | Wiley Online Library

The increasing popularity of strongman rule in democratic societies underscores the need to explore how authoritarian regime preferences might spread socially. We assess the role of social influence ...

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Julius Kölzer @juliusk.bsky.social · 27/06/2026

81 % of eastern German municipalities have fewer residents today than in 1985. Losses cluster especially in Pommerania and rural Sachsen-Anhalt, where towns often shrank by a third or more. Growth is almost entirely confined to larger cities like Berlin & Leipzig and their commuter belts.

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Julius Kölzer @juliusk.bsky.social · 24/06/2026

I am always struck by how much of the spatial inequality within East Germany is obscured when Germany is considered as a whole. The disparities between Mecklenburg and the Pomeranian parts of the same federal state are particularly revealing.

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Jacob Edenhofer @jacobedenhofer.bsky.social · 23/06/2026

This paper is obviously relevant today, as we mark the 10th anniversary of Brexit, but I don't want to add to the plethora of takes on current events. Instead, let me zoom out and disucss the (fairly nuanced) implications of our analysis both for understanding British politics over the last decade

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Cambridge University Press Political Science & IR @cambup-polsci.cambridge.org · 24/06/2026

#OpenAccess from @ejprjournal.bsky.social - Growing together or apart? Regional inequality and preferences for inter-territorial redistribution - cup.org/4fQY5LU - @dschraff.bsky.social #FirstView

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European Journal of Political Research @ejprjournal.bsky.social · 22/06/2026

Growing together or growing apart? 🌱 @dschraff.bsky.social use surve experiments from France and Germany to find whether absolute regional income creates stronger disagreements about sharing resources between regions when income inequality is increasing 💰️

buff.ly

Growing together or apart? Regional inequality and preferences for inter-territorial redistribution | European Journal of Political Research | Cambridge Core

Growing together or apart? Regional inequality and preferences for inter-territorial redistribution

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Sara Hagemann @sarahagemann.bsky.social · 21/06/2026

Thank you to #Belfast and the great @epssnet.bsky.social team for a fantastic #EPSS2026 conference. We’re very excited to host #EPSS2027 and look forward to welcome the #EPSS community in Copenhagen 24-26 June 2027! @ucph.bsky.social

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Dominik Schraff @dschraff.bsky.social · 19/06/2026

When growth is shared broadly, poor and rich regions converge in their support for redistribution. When growth concentrates in rich areas, preferences polarize, driven mainly by the wealthy areas pulling back solidarity.

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Yiqing Xu @yiqingxu.bsky.social · 15/06/2026

My very personal reflection on the use of AI in social science, perhaps the first of many. yiqingxu.substack.com/p/ai-disarray

yiqingxu.substack.com

AI Disarray

I have felt a little disarrayed recently, and I attribute it to AI.

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value plus discounted @akhilrao.bsky.social · 12/06/2026

niche take: there is no such thing as a "causal" estimate, there are only estimates that converge in probability to your stated estimand and those that don't

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