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Tim Small

@buttersideup.com
133 followers 271 following 222 posts

Professional spod who also does some low energy building and renewables related stuff.

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Reposted by Tim Small
neil21 @neil21.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
Car hits child. Gun shoots man. AI hacked site. Hold *people* accountable for the tools they use. At least users of guns and cars theoretically require licensing.
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Zeke Hausfather @zekehausfather.com · 28/09/2026
This year's record setting El Niño will impact many different parts of the world, with some experiencing severe drought and others flooding. In a new analysis at The Climate Brink, I explore what impacts happened during past events and which are most likely to occur this year
theclimatebrink.com
The impacts of this year’s record-shattering El Niño
El Niño will drive severe drought from Indonesia to the Southern Africa and northern South America, with wetter winters from the US Gulf Coast to Southern South America.
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Brighton Farm Freelancers Group @brightonfarm.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
Freelancer? In Brighton? Come to our meet up tomorrow evening! It's very relaxed, usually 10-15 freelancers along for a nice chat. We'll be in the Battle of Trafalgar pub from 8pm-11 Last week: www.brightonfarm.com/2026/meeting... Map: maps.app.goo.gl/CbGLaPkoPuXM...
brightonfarm.com
Python work and app stores, notes from 23rd September 2026 - Brighton Farm
On the 23rd September, nine freelancers got together in the beer garden of the Battle of Trafalgar pub in Brighton to talk almost everything except freelancing, but it did occasionally come up. This i...
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Phillips OBrien @phillipspobrien.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
Russia has one enormous strategic advantage of which it is taking advantage. It can daily attack civilian targets--hospitals, universities, markets--knowing that while Ukraine can do the same, the Ukrainians are too humane to do so.
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Dave Vetter @davidrvetter.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
Very pleased to see that this research from my Smith School colleagues is getting traction in national media.
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Kees van der Leun @sustainable2050.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
Probably not wise to vote for friends of Russia then.
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David Ho @davidho.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
My former colleagues, Mark Cane and Stephen Zebiak, were the first to successfully predict El Niño more than a year in advance in the late 1980s. Now we’re really good at it, and know the consequences. It’d be irresponsible for governments not to take action. Read this from my buddy Jeff Shaman.
nytimes.com
Opinion | The Super El Niño Comes Bearing One Gift: Time to Prepare (Gift Article)
There’s still time to prepare.
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Mike Elk @mikeelk.bsky.social · 26/09/2026
X is blocking the Brazilian Catholic Bishops' Conference account as polling shows Catholics backing Lula. The Church has denounced outside interference in the election
paydayreport.com
X Blocks Account of National Conference of Bishops of Brasil As Catholics Back Lula
Polls show Catholics backing Lula as the church denounces foreign interference.
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Commercial Solar Guy @commercialsolarguy.com · 27/09/2026
Small scale solar is #1 yo
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Frederik Hoedeman @fredhoedeman.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
Answer to Dutch PM question on the risk of dismantling AMOC monitoring: "The government is examining how AMOC monitoring can be ensured, whether at the national level or within an EU context. Discussions on this matter are currently underway between various government bodies and research institutes"
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Carbon Brief @carbonbrief.org · 21/09/2026
NEW – Analysis: ‘Super El Niño’ reaches ‘remarkable’ all-time record ✍️ Written by @zekehausfather.com Read here: buff.ly/4a9XUAK
Daily Niño 3.4 sea surface temperature anomalies, 1982-2026, each relative to a centred 30-year climatology (ONI convention). Chart by Carbon Brief.
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Bart⚓️ @bartgonnissen.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
The Facial Expressions of Tethys by artist Julius von Bismarck. A suspended high-sea buoy that moves in real time. Sensors on a twin buoy out in the Atlantic Ocean send live satellite data to motors inside the museum. This makes the indoor buoy copy the exact, real-time movements of the ocean waves.
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Tim Small @buttersideup.com · 26/09/2026
Berkeley Earth's Sept 2026 climate report includes temperature forecasts for the coming year including details on the 2026-2027 El Nino: m.youtube.com/watch?v=Jjki...
m.youtube.com
Berkeley Earth Monthly Press Briefing for August 2026
YouTube video by Berkeley Earth
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Gavin Schmidt @climateofgavin.bsky.social · 26/09/2026
Tell me that you don’t understand insurance without saying you don’t understand insurance… 🤦
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Paul Hikari @paulhikari.bsky.social · 26/09/2026
And here's the trailer. www.youtube.com/watch?v=eY_8...
youtube.com
Musk | Official Trailer | Bleecker Street
YouTube video by Musk
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John Fugelsang @johnfugelsang.bsky.social · 26/09/2026
Streisand Effect, Activate.
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Fionna O’Leary @fascinatorfun.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
Holy Jesus, Mary Immaculate and all the fucking saints. How can anyone who has been both ELECTED and PAID SO MUCH be so GOBSMACKINGLY stupid and ignorant? How? How is it possible that her husband and children don’t stop her? Are they all sucking at her money teat? I just don’t get it.
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Andrew Sissons @acjsissons.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
Another piece on energy from me today (happy Friday, I guess!) This time it's a bit of a good news story: the latest on electricity prices decoupling from gas. Decoupling is still happening, and electricity bills would be higher if the UK didn't have so much clean power.
Chart shows the change in gas and electricity bills between April and October in 2022 and 2026 - during two energy crises.
In 2022, electricity prices rose almost as fast as gas prices (88% v 68%). In 2026, gas prices rose much faster (33% compared to 9%)
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Lauri Myllyvirta @laurimyllyvirta.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
NEW from us: five years after China pledged to stop overseas coal power projects and support clean energy, dozens of coal power plants have been canceled and the country's overseas clean energy financing has seen impressive growth, but gaps remain in the coal ban.
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Edward Perez @eddieperez.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
Fixed it: Engineers at OpenAI developed harmful software that was approved by company executives. The company could not control its own work product, and OpenAI’s automated software was used to attempt breaches of govt and university sites. OpenAI execs have denied responsibility for their product.
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Mrs. Betty Bowers @mrsbettybowers.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
The United States, which once freed prisoners from Germany's concentration camps, is now siding with the war criminals—and obstructing those who would hold them into account. Shameful—if this administration had any shame.
yacnews.com
US prepares to sanction the ICC, that indicted Russia's Putin and Israel's Netanyahu for war crimes
Trump is preparing sanctions against the International Criminal Court itself, potentially cutting it off from U.S. banking, technology and services. The US has already sanctioned 13 ICC officials and ...
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Zeke Hausfather @zekehausfather.com · 22/09/2026
I have a new piece out in Nature today on the record-breaking 2026/2027 El Niño, what impacts we should expect, and how governments can prepare. The Niño3.4 region is currently running more than 1C hotter than any prior event on record, and we remain months away from the peak www.nature.com/artic...
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Tim Small @buttersideup.com · 22/09/2026
Hi @octopus.energy It seems that you have a bug in your systems - I'm already on an Octopus customer and you already pay me for solar export. I want to switch from one Octopus export tariff to a different one. There is no mechanism to do this - instead two different advisors have told me...
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Reposted by Tim Small
Zeke Hausfather @zekehausfather.com · 21/09/2026
This year's El Niño event is moving into record territory, with the daily Oceanic Niño Index (ONI) tying the record previously set during the 2015/2016 super-El Niño. My latest over at Carbon Brief: www.carbonbrief.org/...
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Zeke Hausfather @zekehausfather.com · 09/02/2026
I've created a new dashboard for The Climate Brink that is updated daily with ERA5 global mean surface temperature data. It includes daily anomalies, monthly and annual forecasts, and a bunch of interactive data visualizations: dashboard.theclimate...
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Zeke Hausfather @zekehausfather.com · 16/09/2026
All the September dynamical ENSO models (including SINTEX) are now in, and they give a 100% chance of a record event this year using the Oceanic Niño Index (ONI) metric:
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Our World in Data @ourworldindata.org · 18/09/2026
Since the rise of humans, wild land mammal biomass has declined by 85%. Around 100,000 years ago, all of the wild land mammals on Earth summed up to around 20 million tonnes of carbon. By around 10,000 years ago, there had been a huge decline, likely in the range of 25% to 50%.
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Kelly Hereid @kellyhereid.bsky.social · 18/09/2026
"I asked about the threat of the rising sea. 'It’s definitely a problem,' the agent said. I blinked. 'Dang,' I said. 'Then how do you protect a place like this?' 'Really expensive insurance,' he replied. 'That’s the answer.'" 🙃🙃🙃 Great commentary by @kzhill.bsky.social too
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Peter Gleick @petergleick.bsky.social · 18/09/2026
We're losing the great scientists that developed the first tools to understand how we're changing the #climate & then warned us about the consequences. Remembering them & building on their work is our responsibility to their legacy. RIP Dr. Robert E. Dickinson fromtheprow.agu.org/robert-e-dic...
fromtheprow.agu.org
Mourning the Passing of Robert E. Dickinson, AGU Past President and Distinguished Earth System Scientist
Dr. Dickinson’s remarkable career spanned more than six decades, helping shape modern understanding of the climate system through pioneering contributions to atmospheric dynamics, climate modeling, cl...
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David Roberts @volts.wtf · 18/09/2026
I love this slide. I really don't think the geopolitical implications of the clean energy transition have sunk in for most people.
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Juraj Mikurcik @jurajmikurcik.bsky.social · 18/09/2026
A cool solar PV facade and balconies on the 12-storey biobased apartment block in Malmö 🇸🇪 A total of ⚡ 218kWp system paired with 🔋 194kWh battery storage. Makes a lot of sense for low sun winter generation ☀️ via ETC Bygg
Photo of an apartment block being fitted with solar PV panels on facade and balconies
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Tim Small @buttersideup.com · 18/09/2026
Rising gas prices have led to more calls for the UK govt to approve new gas extraction license applications in the North Sea. UK gov estimates between 100 and 200 billion m³ (bcm) of gas remain in the UK areas of the North Sea. More optimistic industry estimates are of up to 450 bcm.
A chart showing EU natural gas prices (TTF) which have risen from around €30 / MWh before the US/Israeli attacks on Iran to around €80 / MWh today.
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Oxide Computer Company @oxide.computer · 17/09/2026
Oxide and Friends: “For Want of a Resistor” is now live! Listen to the full episode wherever you stream your podcasts: buff.ly/bxFQl6b
buff.ly
Oxide and Friends | For Want of a Resistor
When the supply chain crunch catches up with you, sometimes a tiny resistor the size of a fleck of pepper is the difference between a world-class computer and... e-waste. Members of the Oxide opera...
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Felix Hamer • electricfelix @electricfelix.eurosky.social · 17/09/2026
Fickling does it again: "China’s Electric Cars Aren’t Europe’s Real Problem" "current policy gets the problem back-to-front. Europe is restricting imports of Chinese-made EVs, but allowing unrestricted trade in the batteries that power them" #battchat www.bloomberg.com/opinion/arti...
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Robert Saunders @robertsaunders.bsky.social · 05/09/2026
Scenes like this did a lot of damage to Mosley and the BUF in the 1930s. Though that relied on Conservative papers reporting them.
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TimB33 #noKings @timb33.bsky.social · 05/09/2026
www.theguardian.com/politics/202... The video is nicely done. "the kind of thing Nigel won't know, doesn't know, won't know. It's the kind of thing he'd want, he'd rather not know".
theguardian.com
Cambridge University examines conduct of academic suspended by Reform UK
James Orr, an associate professor, was shown in Channel 4 News footage apparently trying to sidestep electoral law
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drbarbarajane.bsky.social @drbarbarajane.bsky.social · 05/09/2026
Associate prof-not the real thing, and yes, if Cambridge uni want to retain any respect, he has to be sent packing!
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Chris Nimmo @omminc.bsky.social · 05/09/2026
If James Orr is a Professor of Ethics and Theology at Cambridge University, his behaviour in the Poll funding debacle, surely means he should resign or be dismissed from his professorial role at Cambridge University ?
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Tim Small @buttersideup.com · 05/09/2026
Elder statesman of cryptography Bruce Schneier on the impacts of AI on financial, political/societal and computer systems. Sounds dry and niche/technical, but absolutely isn't. Essential viewing! m.youtube.com/watch?v=eEBv...
m.youtube.com
DEF CON 34 - Hacking AI - Bruce Schneier
YouTube video by DEFCONConference
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Private Eye Magazine @privateeyenews.bsky.social · 24/08/2026
Burnham to tackle ‘subscription traps’ From the latest Private Eye, out now.
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Steve Rosenberg @bbcstever.bsky.social · 23/08/2026
Spotted in a Russian newspaper: “The logic of this war is becoming more and more harsh: either they will destroy Russia, or we will crush them.” A week of petrol queues, growing geo-political tension & no end in sight to Russia’s war in Ukraine. #ReadingRussia
youtu.be
Amid fuel crisis Russia now importing petrol from India
YouTube video by Steve Rosenberg
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Alexandra Witze @alexwitze.bsky.social · 20/08/2026
Do you want to write a story about volcanoes that changed history? the editor asked. Why yes. Yes, I do. My piece in @knowablemag.bsky.social on the terrible, horrible, no good, very bad days that can transpire after an eruption: knowablemagazine.org/content/arti... 🧪🌋
knowablemagazine.org
Volcanoes that made history
Long after the lava stopped flowing, enormous eruptions altered Earth’s climate and societies all over the globe
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Darth Putin @darthputinkgb.bsky.social · 20/08/2026
OTD in 1968 Soviet Russia invaded to save Czechoslovakia from the Prague Spring. Some of these tanks are in Ukraine today. We said we were protecting them from Nazis. Imagine such a bullshit excuse today...
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Prof Penny Endersby @pennyend.bsky.social · 21/08/2026
www.bbc.co.uk/weather/arti... I had an early brief on this and ordered a pallet of sandbags for my marginally flood-prone house. They’re easy to obtain in the middle of a drought! This is a good article by the BBC covering some of the global impacts to be expected from such a strong El Niño.
bbc.co.uk
El Niño set to be 'strongest in living memory', says Met Office
Scientists say the growing El Niño weather pattern is an "unprecedented event" and means 2027 is likely to be the world's hottest year on record.
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Joseph D. Ortiz @earthsciinfo.bsky.social · 14/08/2026
Short-hop, BEV aircraft are coming. Heart Aerospace completes successful test flight of its experimental 15 passenger X-1 BEV aircraft (27 minutes; $5 worth of electricity for power). 🧪💡🔌☀️💨💧🔋 www.travelpulse.com/news/airline...
travelpulse.com
World's Largest Electric Aircraft Completes First Flight
Heart Aerospace has successfully completed the first flight of its X1 electric aircraft, advancing the development of the ES-30 hybrid-electric regional airliner amid rising jet fuel costs.
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Peter Gleick @petergleick.bsky.social · 05/08/2026
Elon Musk thinks he knows the price of some things but he understands the true value of nothing.
A tweet from Musk: "You don't seem to understand that SpaceX will be worth more than the rest of Earth if we accomplish our goals"
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Zeke Hausfather @zekehausfather.com · 10/07/2026
Why is AC so rare in much of Europe? Well, until recently it simply wasn't hot enough to need it. Here is the average number of days above 30C (86F) for major cities over time:
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LeRaffl @leraffl.bsky.social · 08/07/2026
June was a BEV share record again in China. Third in a row! Pure ICE are doomed to fall to below 10% in the next 3 or so years.
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David Roberts @volts.wtf · 29/06/2026
This is a great example of what's called "pluralistic ignorance" -- the phenomenon whereby most people share a particular view, but they *don't think other people share it*. In this case: most people are concerned about climate change but think others aren't.
sherwood.news
Over 50% of Americans say climate change is a serious threat; only 10% think their compatriots feel the same
That perception gap on the issue is among the highest in the world, per a new Gallup poll....
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Kees van der Leun @sustainable2050.bsky.social · 29/06/2026
Let's keep those out of our Dutch sidewalks and bicycle lanes!
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